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Saga Communications (SGA)
:SGA

Saga Communications (SGA) AI Stock Analysis

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Saga Communications

(NASDAQ:SGA)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$14.00
▲(14.57%Upside)
Saga Communications' overall score is driven by a solid financial foundation and attractive valuation metrics, including a high dividend yield. Positive technical trends support the stock's momentum. However, the company faces challenges with declining net revenue and ongoing losses, as highlighted in recent earnings. Corporate events such as dividends and buybacks bolster investor confidence.

Saga Communications (SGA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Saga Communications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSaga Communications, Inc., a broadcast company, acquires, develops, and operates broadcast properties in the United States. The company's radio stations employ various programming formats, including classic hits, adult hits, top 40, country, country legends, mainstream/hot/soft adult contemporary, pure oldies, classic rock, and news/talk. As of February 28, 2022, it owned seventy-nine FM, thirty- four AM radio stations, and seventy-nine metro signals serving twenty-seven markets. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Grosse Pointe Farms, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneySaga Communications generates revenue primarily through the sale of advertising time on its radio stations. This involves local and national advertisers purchasing airtime to reach the company's audience with their marketing messages. The company's revenue streams are bolstered by its ability to attract a large and engaged listener base, which in turn draws advertisers seeking to target specific demographics. Additionally, Saga Communications may earn revenue from digital advertising on its online platforms associated with its radio stations. The company’s earnings are influenced by factors such as audience ratings, the economic environment affecting advertising budgets, and the competitive landscape of the media industry.

Saga Communications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in digital ad revenue and interactive revenue, showing the success of Saga's digital strategy. However, this was offset by a decrease in net revenue and ongoing net losses. The uncertain pacing for Q2 adds to the challenges faced by the company.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Digital Ad Revenue Growth
Saga produced $5 million in digital ad revenue for all of 2024 and has already generated $5.3 million in 2025 by May 8, experiencing 4 months of significant growth.
Increase in Total Interactive Revenue
Saga's total interactive revenue for 2024 was $14.2 million, and as of May 8, 2025, the company has already written $12.5 million.
High Profit Margin in Interactive Revenue
For the quarter, total Interactive revenue was up 14% with a 51% profit margin.
Successful Digital Strategy
Saga's digital strategy focuses on merging radio with digital ads, showing growth and trust from clients, evidenced by a $1 million order from a single client in one market.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Revenue
Net revenue decreased 4.3% to $24.2 million compared to $25.3 million last year.
Operating Loss
The company had an operating loss of $2.3 million compared to $2.4 million last year.
Net Loss
Saga reported a net loss of $1.6 million for the quarter, approximately the same as last year.
Uncertain Pacing for Q2
Pacing for the second quarter is still uncertain, with April pacing down high single digits, May showing improvement to down low single digits, and June currently flat with last year.
Company Guidance
During the Saga Communications Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic plans. Saga's net revenue for the quarter decreased by 4.3% to $24.2 million, with an operating loss of $2.3 million, mirroring last year's figures. Despite this, Saga's digital platform showed impressive growth, with $5.3 million in digital ad revenue generated by May 8, 2025, surpassing the total digital revenue for 2024. Total interactive revenue reached $12.5 million by the same date. The company plans to use proceeds from potential non-core asset sales, including tower sites, for stock buybacks as part of its capital allocation strategy. Saga's digital strategy aims to capture a larger share of the rapidly growing digital ad market, with a focus on blending radio with digital advertising solutions. The company anticipates capital expenditures between $4 million and $4.5 million for 2025 and expects station operating expenses to remain flat or decrease slightly compared to 2024. Additionally, Saga plans to continue paying regular quarterly dividends while maintaining a strong financial position.

Saga Communications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Saga Communications displays stable financials with a strong balance sheet and low leverage. However, profitability is moderate with room for operational improvements, and cash flow needs better conversion efficiency.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Saga Communications has shown moderate stability in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is 14.74%, indicating a reasonable efficiency in managing production costs relative to revenue. However, the TTM net profit margin is 3.08%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. Revenue growth has been relatively flat with minor fluctuations, showing a slight decrease in recent years. The EBIT margin at 2.20% and EBITDA margin at 8.01% underline the need for better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Saga Communications reflects solid financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating conservative leverage use. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 2.12% for TTM, which is lower than ideal, pointing towards potential underutilization of equity. The equity ratio is strong at 74.59%, showcasing a robust capital structure with a high proportion of assets funded by equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow position of Saga Communications is stable, with a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.27, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow has seen some volatility, with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of -48.55%, requiring attention to sustain liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.64, highlighting the need for better cash conversion efficiency.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
112.47M112.92M112.77M114.89M108.34M95.81M
Gross Profit
16.58M16.01M22.57M27.36M25.10M14.23M
EBIT
2.47M2.35M11.49M8.96M9.95M-2.24M
EBITDA
9.01M10.20M18.10M18.23M20.80M5.66M
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.46M3.46M9.50M9.20M11.16M-1.91M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
55.15M27.79M40.18M46.92M54.76M51.35M
Total Assets
245.07M221.72M232.21M240.75M247.93M246.49M
Total Debt
6.08M5.00M7.35M6.83M6.43M10.00M
Net Debt
-49.06M-13.86M-22.23M-29.97M-48.33M-41.35M
Total Liabilities
47.33M55.80M61.66M62.22M51.01M55.95M
Stockholders Equity
197.74M165.92M170.55M178.53M196.92M190.54M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.21M4.29M11.02M11.07M14.98M9.58M
Operating Cash Flow
11.33M13.77M15.38M17.13M19.10M12.09M
Investing Cash Flow
-8.22M-6.68M-2.50M-14.99M-3.35M-604.00K
Financing Cash Flow
-5.35M-17.81M-20.10M-20.09M-12.35M-4.17M

Saga Communications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price12.22
Price Trends
50DMA
11.73
Positive
100DMA
11.78
Positive
200DMA
12.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Positive
RSI
51.20
Neutral
STOCH
51.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SGA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.25, above the 50-day MA of 11.73, and above the 200-day MA of 12.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SGA.

Saga Communications Risk Analysis

Saga Communications disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Saga Communications reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Saga Communications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SGSGA
74
Outperform
$78.72M21.922.06%8.18%-1.65%-51.45%
61
Neutral
$14.57B5.94-3.83%7.78%2.79%-33.24%
EVEVC
57
Neutral
$211.97M-82.15%8.58%-66.94%-52.19%
53
Neutral
$42.30M-56.08%-7.35%-1093.79%
42
Neutral
$14.51M-243.54%-2.92%-165.37%
39
Underperform
$8.36M3.37-5.85%-3.65%89.15%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SGA
Saga Communications
12.22
-2.75
-18.37%
BBGI
Beasley Broadcast Group
4.66
-7.96
-63.07%
CMLS
Cumulus Media
0.12
-1.75
-93.58%
EVC
Entravision
2.33
0.59
33.91%
UONE
Urban One
1.57
-0.33
-17.37%

Saga Communications Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividends
Saga Communications Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
May 27, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Saga Communications announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per share, to be paid on June 27, 2025, to shareholders of record on June 6, 2025, amounting to approximately $1.6 million. This dividend is part of Saga’s capital allocation plan for 2025, which includes potential stock buybacks funded by the sale of non-core assets, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on financial flexibility and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (SGA) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saga Communications stock, see the SGA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Saga Communications Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 6, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 2, 2025, Saga Communications, Inc. elected seven directors for the upcoming year. Additionally, stockholders approved the appointment of Crowe LLP as independent auditors for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, re-approved the CEO Annual Incentive Plan, and supported a resolution on executive compensation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.