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Saga Communications Inc (SGA)
NASDAQ:SGA
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Saga Communications (SGA) AI Stock Analysis

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SGA

Saga Communications

(NASDAQ:SGA)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(5.63%Upside)
Saga Communications' overall stock score reflects a stable financial foundation and a solid balance sheet, complemented by a positive dividend and shareholder return strategy. While technical indicators are neutral, the strong dividend yield and digital strategy growth are offset by high P/E valuation concerns and uncertain revenue prospects.

Saga Communications (SGA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Saga Communications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSaga Communications, Inc. (SGA) is a broadcasting company primarily engaged in the acquisition, development, and operation of radio stations throughout the United States. The company is involved in the broadcasting sector and focuses on delivering a diverse range of audio content through its network of radio stations across multiple markets. Saga Communications is dedicated to providing high-quality, locally-focused programming, including news, sports, music, and talk shows, tailored to meet the interests and needs of its local audiences.
How the Company Makes MoneySaga Communications generates revenue primarily through the sale of advertising airtime on its radio stations. The company offers advertisers the opportunity to reach targeted local audiences by broadcasting commercials during its various programming segments. This includes both traditional on-air advertising and digital advertising through the company's online platforms. Additionally, Saga Communications may engage in strategic partnerships and sponsorships to further enhance its revenue streams. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by factors such as audience ratings, advertising rates, and the overall health of the advertising market.

Saga Communications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 13.10%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in digital ad revenue and interactive revenue, showing the success of Saga's digital strategy. However, this was offset by a decrease in net revenue and ongoing net losses. The uncertain pacing for Q2 adds to the challenges faced by the company.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Digital Ad Revenue Growth
Saga produced $5 million in digital ad revenue for all of 2024 and has already generated $5.3 million in 2025 by May 8, experiencing 4 months of significant growth.
Increase in Total Interactive Revenue
Saga's total interactive revenue for 2024 was $14.2 million, and as of May 8, 2025, the company has already written $12.5 million.
High Profit Margin in Interactive Revenue
For the quarter, total Interactive revenue was up 14% with a 51% profit margin.
Successful Digital Strategy
Saga's digital strategy focuses on merging radio with digital ads, showing growth and trust from clients, evidenced by a $1 million order from a single client in one market.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Revenue
Net revenue decreased 4.3% to $24.2 million compared to $25.3 million last year.
Operating Loss
The company had an operating loss of $2.3 million compared to $2.4 million last year.
Net Loss
Saga reported a net loss of $1.6 million for the quarter, approximately the same as last year.
Uncertain Pacing for Q2
Pacing for the second quarter is still uncertain, with April pacing down high single digits, May showing improvement to down low single digits, and June currently flat with last year.
Company Guidance
During the Saga Communications Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic plans. Saga's net revenue for the quarter decreased by 4.3% to $24.2 million, with an operating loss of $2.3 million, mirroring last year's figures. Despite this, Saga's digital platform showed impressive growth, with $5.3 million in digital ad revenue generated by May 8, 2025, surpassing the total digital revenue for 2024. Total interactive revenue reached $12.5 million by the same date. The company plans to use proceeds from potential non-core asset sales, including tower sites, for stock buybacks as part of its capital allocation strategy. Saga's digital strategy aims to capture a larger share of the rapidly growing digital ad market, with a focus on blending radio with digital advertising solutions. The company anticipates capital expenditures between $4 million and $4.5 million for 2025 and expects station operating expenses to remain flat or decrease slightly compared to 2024. Additionally, Saga plans to continue paying regular quarterly dividends while maintaining a strong financial position.

Saga Communications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Saga Communications displays a stable financial profile with a solid balance sheet, reflecting low leverage and a strong equity position. The income statement shows moderate profitability, with margins indicating room for operational improvements. Cash flow management is generally positive but requires attention to maintain free cash flow stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Saga Communications has shown moderate stability in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is 14.74%, indicating a reasonable efficiency in managing production costs relative to revenue. However, the TTM net profit margin is 3.08%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. Revenue growth has been relatively flat with minor fluctuations, showing a slight decrease in recent years. The EBIT margin at 2.20% and EBITDA margin at 8.01% underline the need for better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Saga Communications reflects solid financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating conservative leverage use. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 2.12% for TTM, which is lower than ideal, pointing towards potential underutilization of equity. The equity ratio is strong at 74.59%, showcasing a robust capital structure with a high proportion of assets funded by equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow position of Saga Communications is stable, with a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.27, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow has seen some volatility, with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of -48.55%, requiring attention to sustain liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.64, highlighting the need for better cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue112.92M112.77M114.89M108.34M95.81M
Gross Profit16.01M22.57M27.36M25.10M14.23M
EBITDA10.20M18.10M18.23M20.80M5.66M
Net Income3.46M9.50M9.20M11.16M-1.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets221.72M232.21M240.75M247.93M246.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.79M40.18M46.92M54.76M51.35M
Total Debt5.00M7.35M6.83M6.43M10.00M
Total Liabilities55.80M61.66M62.22M51.01M55.95M
Stockholders Equity165.92M170.55M178.53M196.92M190.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.29M11.02M11.07M14.98M9.58M
Operating Cash Flow13.77M15.38M17.13M19.10M12.09M
Investing Cash Flow-6.68M-2.50M-14.99M-3.35M-604.00K
Financing Cash Flow-17.81M-20.10M-20.09M-12.35M-4.17M

Saga Communications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price12.78
Price Trends
50DMA
12.74
Positive
100DMA
12.20
Positive
200DMA
12.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
45.25
Neutral
STOCH
21.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SGA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.23, above the 50-day MA of 12.74, and above the 200-day MA of 12.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SGA.

Saga Communications Risk Analysis

Saga Communications disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Saga Communications reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Saga Communications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$82.30M22.922.06%7.83%-1.65%-51.45%
66
Neutral
¥441.68B15.492.35%2.33%5.77%-13.28%
57
Neutral
$201.97M-82.15%9.01%-66.94%-52.19%
56
Neutral
$40.07M-56.08%-7.35%-1093.79%
42
Neutral
$14.93M-243.54%-2.92%-165.37%
41
Neutral
$7.30M3.37-5.85%-3.65%89.15%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SGA
Saga Communications
12.78
-1.02
-7.39%
BBGI
Beasley Broadcast Group
4.07
-7.87
-65.91%
CMLS
Cumulus Media
0.14
-1.42
-91.03%
EVC
Entravision
2.22
0.57
34.55%
UONE
Urban One
1.55
-0.35
-18.42%

Saga Communications Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Saga Communications Updates Bylaws for 2026 Meeting
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

Saga Communications has updated its Amended and Restated Bylaws regarding shareholder proposals and nominations for its 2026 Annual Meeting. The new bylaws specify that such proposals must be received by February 1, 2026, unless the meeting date changes, in which case different deadlines apply. This update revises the previously communicated deadlines in the 2025 proxy statement.

The most recent analyst rating on (SGA) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saga Communications stock, see the SGA Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividends
Saga Communications Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
May 27, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Saga Communications announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per share, to be paid on June 27, 2025, to shareholders of record on June 6, 2025, amounting to approximately $1.6 million. This dividend is part of Saga’s capital allocation plan for 2025, which includes potential stock buybacks funded by the sale of non-core assets, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on financial flexibility and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (SGA) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saga Communications stock, see the SGA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Saga Communications Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 6, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 2, 2025, Saga Communications, Inc. elected seven directors for the upcoming year. Additionally, stockholders approved the appointment of Crowe LLP as independent auditors for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, re-approved the CEO Annual Incentive Plan, and supported a resolution on executive compensation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025