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ServisFirst Bancshares (SFBS)
NYSE:SFBS
US Market

ServisFirst Bancshares (SFBS) AI Stock Analysis

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SFBS

ServisFirst Bancshares

(NYSE:SFBS)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$98.00
▲(19.73% Upside)
Overall score is driven primarily by strong profitability/cash-flow conversion and improved leverage, reinforced by a constructive earnings outlook for margin expansion and repricing upside. The score is tempered by the recent TTM revenue decline, credit headwinds noted on the call, and technically overbought momentum signals despite a strong uptrend.
Positive Factors
High profitability and cash conversion
Sustained high net margins and near-total conversion of earnings into free cash flow strengthen the bank’s ability to fund organic growth, dividends, and loan loss absorption. Durable cash generation underpins capital allocation flexibility and resilience through economic cycles.
Large loan repricing opportunity to boost margins
A sizable, identifiable repricing runway (~$2B) offers structural NIM uplift as rates normalize. Capturing higher yields on repriced loans provides a multi-quarter tailwind to net interest income, supporting sustainable margin expansion and predictable earnings leverage.
Strong capital, liquidity and funding profile
Solid capital ratios, rising tangible book value and ample liquid assets reduce solvency and funding risk, enabling prudent loan growth and shareholder returns. Absence of brokered funding and FHLB reliance lowers structural liquidity vulnerability over the medium term.
Negative Factors
TTM revenue decline
A pronounced trailing revenue contraction signals potential structural headwinds to top-line sustainability. If revenue base remains depressed, margin and profit growth will rely heavily on repricing and cost control, increasing execution risk and compressing long-term growth optionality.
Concentrated credit stress and rising NPAs
Concentration in a single problematic borrower that materially raised NPAs creates idiosyncratic downside risk. Such concentrated losses can erode capital, force higher provisions, and increase regulatory and underwriting scrutiny, making credit metrics more volatile over quarters.
Expansion and liability sensitivity raise near-term cost risk
Aggressive regional expansion with upfront hiring and planned expense growth will pressure near-term efficiency and returns. Elevated deposit beta and liability sensitivity mean funding costs could rise with rates, squeezing margins while the new footprint scales to profitability.

ServisFirst Bancshares (SFBS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ServisFirst Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for ServisFirst Bank that provides various banking services to individual and corporate customers. It accepts demand, time, savings, and other deposits; checking, money market, and IRA accounts; and certificates of deposit. The company's loan products include commercial lending products, such as seasonal, bridge, and term loans for working capital, expansion of the business, acquisition of property, and plant and equipment, as well as commercial lines of credit; commercial real estate loans, construction and development loans, and residential real estate loans; and consumer loans, such as home equity loans, vehicle financing, loans secured by deposits, and secured and unsecured personal loans. It also offers other banking products and services comprising telephone and mobile banking, direct deposit, Internet banking, traveler's checks, safe deposit boxes, attorney trust accounts, automatic account transfers, automated teller machines, and debit card systems, as well as Visa credit cards; treasury and cash management services; wire transfer, night depository, banking-by-mail, and remote capture services; and correspondent banking services to other financial institutions. In addition, the company holds and manages participations in residential mortgages and commercial real estate loans originated by ServisFirst Bank in Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and Tennessee. It operates 23 full-service banking offices located in Alabama, Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and Tennessee, as well as 2 loan production offices in Florida. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama.
How the Company Makes MoneyServisFirst Bancshares generates revenue primarily through net interest income, which is derived from the interest earned on loans and other interest-earning assets minus the interest paid on deposits and borrowings. Key revenue streams include commercial loans, residential mortgages, and consumer loans. Additionally, the bank earns non-interest income from fees related to banking services, wealth management, and investment services. Significant partnerships with local businesses and organizations enhance its customer base and drive growth in deposits and loans, contributing further to its earnings.

ServisFirst Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 20, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple strong financial and operational positives: meaningful EPS growth (Q4 +32% q/q and +33% y/y), margin expansion (NIM up to 3.38% in Q4), solid loan growth and a sizable repricing opportunity (~$2B opportunity cited), improved efficiency (sub-30% quarter; full-year improvement of 14% vs 2024), diversified noninterest revenue growth, and strong liquidity/capital metrics. Offsetting these positives are credit-related headwinds concentrated in a single merchant-developer exposure that pushed NPAs to 97 bps, quarterly charge-offs of $6.7M, earlier securities losses, and near-term profitability drag and expense growth tied to the Texas expansion. Management’s tone was constructive and optimistic about 2026 while acknowledging specific localized credit and ramp-up challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly and Annual EPS Growth
Diluted EPS of $1.58 for the fourth quarter, up 32% sequentially (vs Q3 2025) and up 33% year-over-year (vs Q4 2024). Full-year operating EPS of $5.25 and GAAP EPS of $5.06; net income available to common shareholders of $86.4M for the quarter and $276.5M for the year.
Margin Expansion and Asset Yields
Net interest margin expanded from 2.92% in Q1 2025 to 3.38% in Q4 2025. Asset yield of 5.79% for the quarter (up 10 bps vs Q1 2025; down 3 bps vs Q3 2025) and loan yield at 6.30% despite a 75 bps drop in benchmark rates during the quarter.
Loan Growth and Pipeline Momentum
Annualized loan growth of 12% in the quarter. Loan pipeline increased 11% quarter-over-quarter and, net of projected payoffs, increased 80% quarter-over-quarter. Yearly loan growth roughly split with ~10% annual growth in both C&I and real estate; C&I posted nearly 10% growth for the year (highest in several years).
Improving Efficiency and Operating Performance
Quarterly efficiency ratio dipped below 30%; full-year adjusted efficiency ratio near 32%, a 14% improvement versus 2024. Noninterest expense was flat vs the same quarter last year and down ~3% vs the linked quarter; full-year noninterest expense up only ~2%.
Revenue Diversification and Fee Growth
Operating noninterest revenue up 12% for the full year. Service charges rose 26% YoY after fee increases, and mortgage banking fee income increased 11% YoY, contributing positively to overall revenue.
Capital, Liquidity and Book Value Strength
Tangible book value grew 4% in the quarter to $33.62 per share. Deposits grew 5% year-over-year; Fed funds purchases declined 26% YoY. Company reports strong liquidity and operates without broker deposits or FHLB debt.
Significant Repricing Opportunity
Approximately $1.0B of low fixed-rate loans scheduled to reprice in 2026 (weighted avg yield 5.18%) vs current going-on loan rate ~6.47%, implying ~130 bps pickup potential on that bucket. Including ~ $700M of cash flow and ~$300M from covenant/modification-related repricings, management cites ~ $2.0B total repricing opportunity over the next 12 months.
Strategic Growth Initiatives and Correspondent Network
Expansion into Texas with a 9-member Houston team already productive; budgeted 2026 growth for Texas is the highest among regions. Company has 388 correspondent banks (145 settle at the Fed) and growth in an Asian credit card program with 150 banks in pipeline and endorsements from ABA plus 12 state banking associations.
Negative Updates
Increase in Nonperforming Assets
Nonperforming assets to total assets rose to 97 basis points at year-end versus 26 basis points at fiscal year-end 2024 (and roughly consistent with 96 bps at Q3 2025). Management attributes the year-over-year increase largely to exposure to a single merchant developer.
Quarterly Net Charge-Offs and Credit Costs
Net charge-offs in Q4 were approximately $6.7M (majority related to one credit). Full-year net charge-offs were 21 basis points. CECL provision expense was $7.9M for the quarter; allowance for credit losses ended the year at 1.25% of loans.
Earlier Securities Losses
Securities losses recorded in Q2 and Q3 2025 related to restructuring the bond portfolio; while unrealized losses are now small, prior realized losses weighed on results earlier in the year.
Texas Market Currently Unprofitable and Expense Drag
All markets are profitable except the newest Texas market. Management expects an expense drag from Texas during ramp-up; efficiency ratio expected to move from sub-30% toward the low-30s (estimated 30%–33%) in 2026 as Texas hires build a book.
Uncertainty Around Loan Payoffs and Pipeline Precision
Management noted the loan pipeline and projected payoffs are inexact; while projected payoffs declined materially quarter-over-quarter, they believe payoffs may be understated and continue to monitor payoff trends closely, creating some uncertainty in near-term loan growth projections.
Expense Growth Guidance and Liability Sensitivity
Management budgets call for high-single-digit expense growth in 2026 to support hires (notably in Texas). The bank remains slightly liability sensitive; deposit beta was elevated (83 bps during the declining rate cycle), and future rate changes could affect margins and deposit costs.
Company Guidance
Management guided that the December spot net interest margin (about 3.50%, with Q4 NIM at 3.38%) is a good starting point for 2026 and expects further margin expansion driven by repricing — roughly $1.0B of low‑fixed‑rate loans (W.A. yield 5.18%) that could capture ~130 bps vs. the going‑on rate (~6.47%), plus ~ $700M of cash flows and ~ $300M of covenant/modification repricings (about a $2.0B total opportunity); 86% of variable loans have floors (W.A. floor 4.74%). They also noted strong deposit responsiveness (deposit beta ~83 bps) and lower funding costs (interest‑bearing liabilities down ~40 bps linked‑quarter and ~65 bps YoY), expect high‑single‑digit expense growth in 2026 to support Texas expansion (9‑person Houston team today, more hires planned in Q1–Q2) and a short‑term drag to results but a targeted efficiency ratio in the low‑30s (≈30–33%). Other forward‑looking context included continued loan momentum (Q4 annualized loan growth 12%; pipeline +11% QoQ and +80% net of projected payoffs), stable credit positioning (allowance 1.25%, FY net charge‑offs 21 bps, Q4 NCOs ~$6.7M, NPAs 97 bps), and strong capital/returns (tangible book $33.62, FY operating EPS $5.25, adjusted ROA 1.62%, ROE ~17%).

ServisFirst Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and operating efficiency (TTM net margin 25.56%, solid EBIT/EBITDA margins) and robust cash generation (TTM free cash flow growth 24.33%, FCF to net income 97.9%). Leverage improved (debt-to-equity down to 0.87) and ROE is solid (15.05%), but TTM revenue declined (-23.8%), creating a clear growth risk.
Income Statement
75
Positive
ServisFirst Bancshares shows strong profitability with a TTM net profit margin of 25.56% and a gross profit margin of 49.54%. However, the revenue growth rate has declined by 23.8% in the TTM, indicating potential challenges in revenue generation. Despite this, the company maintains solid EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.87 in the TTM, down from 1.27 in 2024, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity remains strong at 15.05%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not provided, limiting a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
ServisFirst Bancshares demonstrates robust cash flow management with a free cash flow growth rate of 24.33% in the TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 97.9%, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash flow. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available, which could provide further insights into cash flow stability.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.02B977.12M828.82M580.46M437.43M
Gross Profit526.97M456.07M407.79M454.43M374.11M
EBITDA342.13M283.77M249.02M312.95M257.74M
Net Income276.60M227.24M206.85M251.50M207.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.73B17.35B16.13B14.60B15.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.16B2.82B2.86B1.46B5.01B
Total Debt1.51B2.06B1.32B1.68B1.78B
Total Liabilities15.88B15.73B14.69B13.30B14.30B
Stockholders Equity1.85B1.62B1.44B1.30B1.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00248.27M193.39M268.98M256.88M
Operating Cash Flow0.00252.91M197.30M272.63M266.33M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-948.53M-200.43M-2.64B-1.56B
Financing Cash Flow0.00941.16M1.32B-1.04B3.31B

ServisFirst Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price81.85
Price Trends
50DMA
74.56
Positive
100DMA
75.60
Positive
200DMA
76.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.31
Negative
RSI
59.49
Neutral
STOCH
41.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SFBS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 81.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 78.39, above the 50-day MA of 74.56, and above the 200-day MA of 76.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SFBS.

ServisFirst Bancshares Risk Analysis

ServisFirst Bancshares disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ServisFirst Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ServisFirst Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.54B19.166.72%3.83%43.53%-21.74%
75
Outperform
$5.51B13.4410.53%1.02%2.20%20.88%
75
Outperform
$5.61B12.5316.75%1.66%-9.31%
73
Outperform
$4.47B16.1815.24%1.82%3.97%24.91%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$4.33B10.3114.31%2.03%0.99%4.94%
64
Neutral
$3.67B15.4613.85%1.70%6.55%12.94%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SFBS
ServisFirst Bancshares
81.85
-4.88
-5.63%
ABCB
Ameris Bancorp
80.62
16.98
26.69%
BANF
BancFirst
109.95
-5.23
-4.54%
AX
Axos Financial
98.99
30.06
43.61%
IBOC
International Bancshares
69.64
6.03
9.48%
AUB
Atlantic Union Bankshares
38.84
3.40
9.59%

ServisFirst Bancshares Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
ServisFirst Bancshares posts strong Q4 2025 earnings
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 20, 2026, ServisFirst Bancshares reported strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, highlighted by a 22% year-over-year increase in diluted earnings per share to $5.06 and a 26% rise in adjusted diluted EPS. For the fourth quarter, diluted EPS climbed 33% from a year earlier to $1.58, net interest margin expanded to 3.38%, the efficiency ratio improved to 29%, and the cost of interest-bearing deposits fell to 3.01%, while loans grew at a 12% annualized pace and deposits rose 5% year over year. The company increased its quarterly cash dividend by 13%, expanded into the Texas market with a new commercial banking team, and strengthened its balance sheet, with book value per share up 14%, liquidity at 9% of total assets with no FHLB advances or brokered deposits, and common equity tier 1 capital rising to 11.65%, underscoring improved profitability and competitive positioning in its core markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (SFBS) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ServisFirst Bancshares stock, see the SFBS Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
ServisFirst Bancshares Increases Quarterly Dividend by 13.4%
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. announced an increase in its quarterly cash dividend by 13.4%, raising it from $0.335 to $0.38 per share. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders, with the dividend payable on January 13, 2026, to stockholders of record as of January 2, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (SFBS) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ServisFirst Bancshares stock, see the SFBS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ServisFirst Bancshares Updates Investor Presentation for Growth
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. has updated its investor presentation to include current quarter financial data, reflecting its continued growth and strategic focus on expanding in metropolitan markets. The company’s consistent profitability and asset growth, along with its disciplined business strategy, highlight its strong market positioning and commitment to shareholder value, as evidenced by significant increases in tangible book value and stock price since its inception.

The most recent analyst rating on (SFBS) stock is a Hold with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ServisFirst Bancshares stock, see the SFBS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 22, 2026