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International Bancshares Corp. (IBOC)
NASDAQ:IBOC

International Bancshares (IBOC) AI Stock Analysis

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IBOC

International Bancshares

(NASDAQ:IBOC)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$76.00
▲(8.45% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven by strong financial quality (profitability, low leverage, and dependable cash generation) and an attractive valuation (low P/E with a solid dividend yield). Offsetting these strengths are weak technical signals (below key moving averages with negative momentum) and the notable 2025 revenue decline, which raises durability risk.
Positive Factors
Very low leverage
Very low leverage and rising equity provide a durable capital cushion that reduces regulatory and refinancing risk. This balance-sheet strength supports lending capacity, dividend increases and loss absorption through cycles, while healthy ROE (~11%–17%) preserves franchise resilience.
Strong cash generation
Consistent, high-quality operating and free cash flow creates sustainable internal funding for loans, deposit initiatives and shareholder returns. Reliable cash generation lowers reliance on wholesale funding and gives management flexibility for capital allocation across economic cycles.
High core profitability
Robust net margins and steady net income indicate durable core profitability that can absorb cyclical swings and support reinvestment. Strong margins enhance buffer against credit losses, fund operating initiatives and underpin a capacity to sustain dividends over the medium term.
Negative Factors
2025 revenue decline
A large one-year revenue drop materially raises earnings durability concerns; persistent top-line weakness could compress margins, reduce free cash flow and limit capital return flexibility. Structural revenue pressure would force tougher trade-offs in lending and expense priorities.
Top-line volatility
Meaningful revenue volatility reduces predictability of earnings and complicates multi-year planning. For a bank reliant on net interest and fee income, this instability makes provisioning, credit pacing and strategic investment harder, increasing execution risk over coming quarters.
Regional concentration
Concentration in Texas and U.S.–Mexico border markets concentrates credit and deposit exposure to local economic cycles, trade and policy shifts. Limited geographic diversification can amplify regional downturns, regulatory or demographic shocks and slow portfolio diversification benefits.

International Bancshares (IBOC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

International Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInternational Bancshares Corporation, a financial holding company, provides commercial and retail banking services. It accepts checking and saving deposits; and offers commercial, real estate, personal, home improvement, automobile, and other installment and term loans. The company also provides international banking services, including letters of credit, commercial and industrial loans, and foreign exchange services. In addition, it offers other banking related services, such as credit cards, safety deposit boxes, collection, notary public, escrow, drive up and walk up facilities, and other customary banking services; and Internet banking services, as well as securities products through third party providers. As of February 28, 2022, the company had 170 branch facilities and 263 ATMs serving 76 communities in Texas and Oklahoma. International Bancshares Corporation was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Laredo, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyInternational Bancshares generates revenue primarily through net interest income, which is the difference between the interest earned on loans and the interest paid on deposits. Key revenue streams include interest from commercial and consumer loans, mortgage loans, and fees from various banking services such as account maintenance and transaction services. Additionally, the company earns non-interest income from investment services, insurance products, and transaction fees. Significant partnerships with local businesses and community organizations enhance its market reach and customer base, contributing to its overall earnings.

International Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: high and consistent profitability, well-managed balance sheet with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.04 in 2025), and solid operating/free cash flow that closely tracks net income. Main risk is earnings durability due to the sharp 2025 revenue decline (-21.1% YoY).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Profitability is a clear strength, with consistently strong net profit margins (roughly ~29% to ~50% over 2020–2025) and steady net income in the ~$300M–$412M range since 2022. However, the top line is more volatile: revenue grew strongly in 2022–2024, but declined sharply in 2025 (-21.1% YoY), which meaningfully increases earnings durability risk if weakness persists.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Balance sheet risk looks well-managed, highlighted by very low leverage in 2025 (debt-to-equity ~0.04, down from ~0.23–0.46 in prior years) alongside rising equity over time. Returns on equity remain healthy (generally ~11%–17%), though they eased in 2025 versus the 2023 peak, suggesting profitability improved less than the capital base recently.
Cash Flow
83
Very Positive
Cash generation is consistently strong and high-quality: operating cash flow and free cash flow are both solid (2025 free cash flow ~$473M) and free cash flow closely tracks net income (about ~94%–98% across the period). Growth in free cash flow is positive most years (including 2025), though the pace can fluctuate (e.g., a decline in 2021).
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue827.08M1.04B970.10M712.91M620.43M
Gross Profit827.08M801.84M798.87M653.11M585.64M
EBITDA23.35M531.24M545.46M404.46M347.36M
Net Income412.29M409.17M411.77M300.23M253.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.58B15.74B15.07B15.50B16.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.005.34B5.47B6.51B7.42B
Total Debt119.20M654.73M650.03M576.78M1.01B
Total Liabilities13.32B12.94B12.62B13.46B13.74B
Stockholders Equity3.25B2.80B2.45B2.04B2.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow472.94M459.80M446.94M368.73M281.29M
Operating Cash Flow491.06M473.95M474.43M387.94M291.68M
Investing Cash Flow-591.69M-985.06M-1.07B-992.03M-915.89M
Financing Cash Flow284.47M212.71M-843.89M-517.43M1.84B

International Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price70.08
Price Trends
50DMA
69.59
Negative
100DMA
68.11
Negative
200DMA
67.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Positive
RSI
38.77
Neutral
STOCH
33.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IBOC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 70.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.23, above the 50-day MA of 69.59, and above the 200-day MA of 67.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IBOC.

International Bancshares Risk Analysis

International Bancshares disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. International Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

International Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.85B12.289.23%3.02%5.63%65.11%
76
Outperform
$4.17B10.1314.31%2.03%0.99%4.94%
75
Outperform
$4.42B16.0115.24%1.82%3.97%24.91%
74
Outperform
$4.38B9.543.78%3.51%-1.44%-21.65%
71
Outperform
$4.21B14.029.44%5.19%3454.95%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$3.69B15.4713.85%1.70%6.55%12.94%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IBOC
International Bancshares
67.11
2.57
3.99%
ASB
Associated Banc-Corp
26.41
2.84
12.06%
BANF
BancFirst
110.00
-7.06
-6.03%
TCBI
Texas Capital Bancshares
95.30
17.20
22.02%
UCB
United Community Banks
32.17
1.17
3.78%
SFBS
ServisFirst Bancshares
81.01
-8.68
-9.68%

International Bancshares Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
International Bancshares boosts semi-annual dividend to shareholders
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

On January 30, 2026, International Bancshares Corporation’s Board of Directors approved a semi-annual cash dividend of $0.73 per share on its common stock, representing a 4.3% increase over the prior dividend. The dividend will be paid on February 27, 2026, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on February 13, 2026, signaling the company’s continued focus on returning capital to shareholders and indicating confidence in its financial performance and capital position.

The most recent analyst rating on (IBOC) stock is a Hold with a $78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on International Bancshares stock, see the IBOC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026