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Associated Banc-Corp (ASB)
NYSE:ASB

Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) AI Stock Analysis

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Associated Banc-Corp

(NYSE:ASB)

Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$25.00
▼(-2.42%Downside)
The overall stock score reflects strong financial and earnings performance, balanced by a moderately high valuation and neutral technical indicators. The company's robust operational metrics and strategic growth initiatives are significant strengths, while the high P/E ratio and potential macroeconomic challenges warrant caution.
Positive Factors
Credit Trends
Credit had positive trends with non-performing loans decreasing and provisions below estimates.
Franchise Growth
Management has done well to improve the growth rate of the franchise, with profitability improvement to follow.
Negative Factors
Loan Growth
Net interest income was weaker than expected due to softer loan growth, impacting overall profitability.
Net Interest Income
Faster rate cuts weigh on lowered Net Interest Income guidance, impacting earnings.

Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Associated Banc-Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAssociated Banc-Corp, a bank holding company, provides various banking and nonbanking products to individuals and businesses in Wisconsin, Illinois, and Minnesota. The company operates through three segments: Corporate and Commercial Specialty; Community, Consumer, and Business; and Risk Management and Shared Services. Its Corporate and Commercial Specialty segment offers lending solutions, including commercial loans and lines of credit, commercial real estate financing, construction loans, letters of credit, leasing, asset based lending, and loan syndications; deposit and cash management solutions, such as commercial checking and interest-bearing deposit products, cash vault and night depository services, liquidity solutions, payables and receivables solutions, and information services; specialized financial services such as interest rate risk management, foreign exchange solutions, and commodity hedging; fiduciary services such as administration of pension, profit-sharing and other employee benefit plans, fiduciary and corporate agency services, and institutional asset management; and investable funds solutions such as savings, money market deposit accounts, IRA accounts, CDs, fixed and variable annuities, full-service, discount and online investment brokerage; investment advisory services; and trust and investment management accounts. The company's Community, Consumer, and Business segment offers lending solutions, such as residential mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, personal and installment loans, auto loans, business loans, and business lines of credit; and deposit and transactional solutions such as checking, credit, debit and pre-paid cards, online banking and bill pay; and money transfer services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 215 banking branches. Associated Banc-Corp was founded in 1861 and is headquartered in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyAssociated Banc-Corp generates revenue primarily through interest income from its lending activities, which include personal loans, mortgages, and commercial loans. The company also earns money from fees and service charges related to its deposit accounts, wealth management services, and transaction-based activities such as credit and debit card services. Additionally, ASB benefits from investment securities and gains from sales of assets. Strategic partnerships, effective risk management, and a focus on customer relationships further support its financial performance.

Associated Banc-Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 17.52%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive performance with robust loan and deposit growth, margin expansion, and a strong capital position. However, there are some concerns due to non-recurring expenses and uncertainties related to tariffs and trade negotiations.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Loan and Deposit Growth
In Q1 2025, the company reported $526 million in loan growth and $502 million in core customer deposit growth, with a 4% increase in core customer deposits compared to Q1 2024.
Margin Expansion and Increased Net Interest Income
Net interest income increased by $16 million from Q4 2024 to $286 million, with a margin expansion of 16 basis points to 2.97%.
Strong Capital Position
The CET1 ratio increased to 10.11% as of Q1 2025, marking a 10 basis point increase relative to Q4 2024 and a 68 basis point increase from Q1 2024.
Positive Credit Metrics
Q1 2025 saw a decrease in delinquencies to $47 million, down $33 million from the prior quarter, and a reduction in net charge-offs to $3 million.
Strategic Expansion and Investment Completion
The company completed Phase 2 of its strategic plan, including the expansion of the commercial banking team and the addition of new RMs in Kansas City.
Negative Updates
Non-Recurring Expenses
Q1 2025 non-interest expenses included a $4 million OREO write-down, not expected to be a recurring item.
Challenges from Tariffs and Trade Negotiations
Uncertainty introduced by tariffs and trade negotiations has created a cautious outlook among customers, though no material changes in activity have been observed yet.
Non-Interest Income Impacted by Loan Sale
A $7 million pre-tax loss was recognized from a loan sale, impacting non-interest income in Q1 2025.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Associated Banc-Corp reported several key metrics indicating strong performance and strategic progress. The company achieved GAAP earnings of $0.59 per share, with total loans increasing by $526 million, driven significantly by $352 million in commercial and industrial (C&I) loan growth. Core customer deposits rose by $502 million, contributing to a net interest margin expansion of 16 basis points to 2.97%. The bank also saw a 12 basis point charge-off rate, reflecting stable credit quality. Additionally, there was a 10 basis point increase in CET1 capital, showcasing enhanced capital strength. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, the company remains focused on executing its strategic plan, with a continued emphasis on organic growth and risk management.

Associated Banc-Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Associated Banc-Corp shows moderate financial performance with strong revenue growth and effective cash management. However, challenges in profitability and leverage indicate the need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The income statement shows moderate performance with some challenges. The Gross Profit Margin for the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is strong at approximately 72.5%, indicating effective cost management relative to revenue. However, the Net Profit Margin has declined to 8.1% from 12.9% in 2024, reflecting pressure on net earnings. The Revenue Growth Rate for the TTM is healthy at 85.4%, showing substantial growth compared to the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively modest, indicating room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet presents a mixed picture. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.63, suggesting a balanced leverage position, although slightly higher than the previous year. The Return on Equity (ROE) is relatively low at 3.1% for the TTM, down from 2.7% in 2024, indicating a need for enhanced profitability. The Equity Ratio of 10.8% reflects a moderately leveraged position but below optimal levels for stability. Overall, the company maintains adequate financial stability but could improve equity utilization.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow performance is solid. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate for the TTM is marginal at 0.1%, but the company effectively maintains strong free cash flow generation. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is robust at 3.65, highlighting efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio stands at 3.73, reinforcing the company's ability to convert earnings into cash effectively. However, there is potential to enhance cash flow growth further.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.82B2.10B1.02B1.42B1.12B1.41B
Gross Profit1.28B944.38M1.01B1.23B1.14B1.08B
EBITDA254.17M236.97M300.36M528.51M506.75M435.42M
Net Income143.66M123.14M182.96M366.12M350.99M306.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.31B43.02B41.02B39.41B35.10B33.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.32B5.13B4.52B436.95M5.36B3.50B
Total Debt2.93B3.16B2.81B4.59B2.22B2.24B
Total Liabilities38.62B38.42B36.84B35.39B31.08B29.33B
Stockholders Equity4.69B4.61B4.17B4.02B4.02B4.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow535.70M535.26M380.93M783.86M477.27M495.14M
Operating Cash Flow523.91M580.25M442.74M846.57M529.55M550.02M
Investing Cash Flow-2.07B-2.22B-1.44B-5.25B-1.58B-793.74M
Financing Cash Flow1.93B1.73B1.30B4.00B1.36B371.02M

Associated Banc-Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.62
Price Trends
50DMA
23.21
Positive
100DMA
22.73
Positive
200DMA
23.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Negative
RSI
71.45
Negative
STOCH
89.77
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.74, above the 50-day MA of 23.21, and above the 200-day MA of 23.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.45 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.77 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASB.

Associated Banc-Corp Risk Analysis

Associated Banc-Corp disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Associated Banc-Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Associated Banc-Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$4.57B12.3010.19%1.24%7.16%31.69%
AXAX
77
Outperform
$4.42B10.6717.80%15.93%0.17%
72
Outperform
$4.24B19.3314.14%1.49%11.42%7.58%
ASASB
70
Neutral
$4.16B29.463.23%3.67%0.21%-12.02%
WUWU
66
Neutral
$2.87B3.22136.84%10.84%-5.16%59.60%
64
Neutral
$6.58B10.886.59%5.04%24.65%0.99%
EBEBC
56
Neutral
$3.31B24.06-4.18%3.40%-7.20%-122.94%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASB
Associated Banc-Corp
25.62
6.02
30.71%
ABCB
Ameris Bancorp
67.06
18.72
38.73%
BANF
BancFirst
129.88
45.75
54.38%
AX
Axos Financial
83.18
26.50
46.75%
WU
Western Union
8.73
-2.32
-21.00%
EBC
Eastern Bankshares
15.92
2.62
19.70%

Associated Banc-Corp Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Associated Banc-Corp Announces Retirement of David Stein
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Associated Banc-Corp announced the retirement of David Stein, who has been with the company for over 20 years. Stein will step down as executive vice president and head of consumer and business banking on July 1, 2025, transitioning to a strategic advisor role and continuing as Madison market president until the end of 2025. His leadership has been instrumental in advancing the bank’s consumer and business banking sectors, and he will contribute to the development of the next strategic plan before his full retirement. Steven Zandpour will take over as head of consumer and business banking effective July 1, 2025.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsDividends
Associated Banc-Corp Shareholders Approve 2025 Equity Plan
Positive
May 2, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Associated Banc-Corp held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders where the shareholders approved the 2025 Equity Incentive Plan, elected directors, approved executive compensation, and ratified KPMG LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025. Additionally, the Board declared dividends on common and preferred stocks, payable in June 2025, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to shareholder returns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 21, 2025