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Associated Banc-Corp (ASB)
NYSE:ASB

Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) AI Stock Analysis

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Associated Banc-Corp

(NYSE:ASB)

65Neutral
Associated Banc-Corp demonstrates stable financial health and positive strategic initiatives, contributing to loan and deposit growth. However, challenges remain in cost management and profit realization. The technical analysis depicts mixed signals, with potential overvaluation concerns. Positive earnings call insights and strategic initiatives support the stock, but macroeconomic uncertainties and non-recurring expenses pose risks.
Positive Factors
Credit Trends
Credit had positive trends with non-performing loans decreasing and provisions below estimates.
Franchise Growth
Management has done well to improve the growth rate of the franchise, with profitability improvement to follow.
Negative Factors
Loan Growth
Net interest income was weaker than expected due to softer loan growth, impacting overall profitability.
Net Interest Income
Faster rate cuts weigh on lowered Net Interest Income guidance, impacting earnings.

Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Associated Banc-Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAssociated Banc-Corp, a bank holding company, provides various banking and nonbanking products to individuals and businesses in Wisconsin, Illinois, and Minnesota. The company operates through three segments: Corporate and Commercial Specialty; Community, Consumer, and Business; and Risk Management and Shared Services. Its Corporate and Commercial Specialty segment offers lending solutions, including commercial loans and lines of credit, commercial real estate financing, construction loans, letters of credit, leasing, asset based lending, and loan syndications; deposit and cash management solutions, such as commercial checking and interest-bearing deposit products, cash vault and night depository services, liquidity solutions, payables and receivables solutions, and information services; specialized financial services such as interest rate risk management, foreign exchange solutions, and commodity hedging; fiduciary services such as administration of pension, profit-sharing and other employee benefit plans, fiduciary and corporate agency services, and institutional asset management; and investable funds solutions such as savings, money market deposit accounts, IRA accounts, CDs, fixed and variable annuities, full-service, discount and online investment brokerage; investment advisory services; and trust and investment management accounts. The company's Community, Consumer, and Business segment offers lending solutions, such as residential mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, personal and installment loans, auto loans, business loans, and business lines of credit; and deposit and transactional solutions such as checking, credit, debit and pre-paid cards, online banking and bill pay; and money transfer services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 215 banking branches. Associated Banc-Corp was founded in 1861 and is headquartered in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyAssociated Banc-Corp generates revenue primarily through interest earned on loans and securities, which is a significant component of its net interest income. The company also earns non-interest income through fees and service charges related to deposit accounts, wealth management and investment services, and loan servicing. Additionally, insurance services contribute to its revenue streams. Associated Banc-Corp benefits from strategic partnerships and community banking initiatives, leveraging its strong regional presence and customer relationships to drive growth and profitability.

Associated Banc-Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Associated Banc-Corp's financial health is stable with consistent revenue growth and a strong balance sheet. However, declining net profit margins and fluctuating cash flow metrics suggest challenges in managing operational costs and converting revenue into profit. Continued focus on efficiency improvements and cost management could enhance profitability.
Income Statement
63
Positive
The gross profit margin remains consistent as gross profit equals total revenue, indicating an efficient cost structure. However, net profit margin has decreased from 15.5% in 2022 to 5.8% in 2024, reflecting increased expenses or reduced income. Revenue grew significantly from 2023 to 2024 by 108.2%, but net income declined, indicating potential challenges in cost management or profit realization.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
The company has demonstrated strong equity growth with stockholders' equity increasing steadily, reflecting robust financial health. There is a decrease in total debt over the years, leading to a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. However, the equity ratio has slightly declined over the years, indicating a higher proportion of liabilities relative to assets.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow has shown a positive trend but is not consistently converted into net income, as seen in the fluctuating operating cash flow to net income ratio. Free cash flow has grown, but the free cash flow growth rate was negative from 2022 to 2023, signaling potential volatility. The company has maintained strong cash reserves, aiding liquidity.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.03B1.02B1.20B1.13B1.12B
Gross Profit
2.12B1.02B1.20B1.13B1.12B
EBIT
-1.31B324.18M692.65M436.31M326.97M
EBITDA
0.000.00513.53M440.98M359.70M
Net Income Common Stockholders
123.14M182.96M366.12M350.99M306.77M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.13B4.09B436.95M5.36B3.80B
Total Assets
43.02B41.02B39.41B35.10B33.42B
Total Debt
2.69B2.48B4.59B1.91B2.24B
Net Debt
1.69B1.57B4.00B879.59M1.53B
Total Liabilities
38.42B36.84B35.39B31.08B29.33B
Stockholders Equity
4.41B4.17B4.02B4.02B4.09B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
580.25M380.93M783.86M477.27M495.14M
Operating Cash Flow
580.25M442.74M846.57M529.55M550.02M
Investing Cash Flow
-2.22B-1.44B-5.25B-1.58B-793.74M
Financing Cash Flow
1.73B1.30B4.00B1.36B371.02M

Associated Banc-Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.47
Price Trends
50DMA
22.18
Positive
100DMA
23.43
Negative
200DMA
22.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
59.91
Neutral
STOCH
89.52
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.61, above the 50-day MA of 22.18, and below the 200-day MA of 22.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASB.

Associated Banc-Corp Risk Analysis

Associated Banc-Corp disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Associated Banc-Corp reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Associated Banc-Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AXAX
72
Outperform
$3.59B8.4518.81%26.87%10.56%
WUWU
72
Outperform
$3.36B3.77136.84%9.27%-5.16%59.60%
72
Outperform
$3.93B10.979.99%1.25%8.49%33.58%
69
Neutral
$3.94B17.9814.14%1.53%2.59%7.66%
ASASB
65
Neutral
$3.72B26.393.24%4.03%0.29%-11.72%
63
Neutral
$12.38B9.577.87%79.17%12.62%-4.94%
EBEBC
60
Neutral
$3.17B24.06-4.18%3.11%-7.21%-122.95%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASB
Associated Banc-Corp
22.47
2.19
10.80%
ABCB
Ameris Bancorp
59.00
12.10
25.80%
BANF
BancFirst
119.31
31.68
36.15%
AX
Axos Financial
63.94
13.33
26.34%
WU
Western Union
10.11
-2.25
-18.20%
EBC
Eastern Bankshares
14.97
2.75
22.50%

Associated Banc-Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.04%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive performance with robust loan and deposit growth, margin expansion, and a strong capital position. However, there are some concerns due to non-recurring expenses and uncertainties related to tariffs and trade negotiations.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Loan and Deposit Growth
In Q1 2025, the company reported $526 million in loan growth and $502 million in core customer deposit growth, with a 4% increase in core customer deposits compared to Q1 2024.
Margin Expansion and Increased Net Interest Income
Net interest income increased by $16 million from Q4 2024 to $286 million, with a margin expansion of 16 basis points to 2.97%.
Strong Capital Position
The CET1 ratio increased to 10.11% as of Q1 2025, marking a 10 basis point increase relative to Q4 2024 and a 68 basis point increase from Q1 2024.
Positive Credit Metrics
Q1 2025 saw a decrease in delinquencies to $47 million, down $33 million from the prior quarter, and a reduction in net charge-offs to $3 million.
Strategic Expansion and Investment Completion
The company completed Phase 2 of its strategic plan, including the expansion of the commercial banking team and the addition of new RMs in Kansas City.
Negative Updates
Non-Recurring Expenses
Q1 2025 non-interest expenses included a $4 million OREO write-down, not expected to be a recurring item.
Challenges from Tariffs and Trade Negotiations
Uncertainty introduced by tariffs and trade negotiations has created a cautious outlook among customers, though no material changes in activity have been observed yet.
Non-Interest Income Impacted by Loan Sale
A $7 million pre-tax loss was recognized from a loan sale, impacting non-interest income in Q1 2025.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Associated Banc-Corp reported several key metrics indicating strong performance and strategic progress. The company achieved GAAP earnings of $0.59 per share, with total loans increasing by $526 million, driven significantly by $352 million in commercial and industrial (C&I) loan growth. Core customer deposits rose by $502 million, contributing to a net interest margin expansion of 16 basis points to 2.97%. The bank also saw a 12 basis point charge-off rate, reflecting stable credit quality. Additionally, there was a 10 basis point increase in CET1 capital, showcasing enhanced capital strength. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, the company remains focused on executing its strategic plan, with a continued emphasis on organic growth and risk management.

Associated Banc-Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Associated Banc-Corp Highlights 2025 Strategic Growth Initiatives
Positive
Feb 10, 2025

The investor presentation for the first quarter of 2025 highlights Associated Banc-Corp’s strategic initiatives and growth trajectory. In recent years, the company has implemented a variety of growth-focused strategies, including upgrading its digital banking experience and launching new programs to expand its commercial presence and improve profitability. These efforts have contributed to increased loan growth, improved customer satisfaction, and a stronger market position, including a significant increase in commercial and business lending and a successful repositioning of their balance sheet. The company’s disciplined credit and expense management have been key drivers in enhancing returns, with a particular focus on diversifying into higher-return categories.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.