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Stora Enso (SEOAY)
OTHER OTC:SEOAY

Stora Enso (SEOAY) AI Stock Analysis

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SEOAY

Stora Enso

(OTC:SEOAY)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▼(-3.77% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/06/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash conversion (negative free cash flow over 2023–2025) and a shrinking revenue base, despite improved profitability and a strengthening balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with the stock above major moving averages, and valuation is reasonable with a moderate P/E and dividend. Earnings call messaging is constructive on targets and transformation progress, but near-term margin headwinds remain material.
Positive Factors
Diversified renewable materials portfolio
Stora Enso's vertical, multi‑product model (forestry through mills to packaging, wood products and pulp) spreads demand risk across end markets. This integration supports durable revenue streams, pricing mix benefits in value‑added packaging, and long-term resilience versus single-product peers.
Negative Factors
Sustained negative free cash flow
Three years of negative FCF despite positive operating cash flow indicate ongoing cash absorption from capex and working capital. This constrains internal funding for deleveraging and dividends, increasing reliance on asset sales or markets to meet targets and reducing financial flexibility over the medium term.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified renewable materials portfolio
Stora Enso's vertical, multi‑product model (forestry through mills to packaging, wood products and pulp) spreads demand risk across end markets. This integration supports durable revenue streams, pricing mix benefits in value‑added packaging, and long-term resilience versus single-product peers.
Read all positive factors

Stora Enso (SEOAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Stora Enso Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Stora Enso is a leading global provider of renewable solutions in packaging, biomaterials, wooden construction, and paper, headquartered in Helsinki, Finland. The company operates across various sectors, including consumer products, industrial pac...
How the Company Makes Money
Stora Enso makes money primarily by selling forest-based products and solutions to industrial and commercial customers. Its main revenue streams typically include: (1) Packaging materials and packaging solutions—selling fiber-based packaging produ...

Stora Enso Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call described a company in active transformation: strong strategic progress (asset separation, divestments, sustainability achievements), disciplined financial targets, and delivered value-creation actions (roughly EUR 900 million achieved plus EUR 500–700 million pipeline). At the same time, near-term profitability is constrained by the Oulu ramp-up drag (~EUR 140 million), weaker pulp prices hitting Biomaterials, notable fiber/wood cost headwinds, and subdued market conditions. The balance of evidence shows meaningful structural improvements and clear plans to restore margins and leverage, while material short-term challenges persist.
Positive Updates
Group Sales and EBIT (2025)
Reported sales of EUR 9.3 billion and adjusted EBIT of EUR 528 million for full year 2025, demonstrating resilience in a challenging market.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBIT Pressure and Q4 Decline
Adjusted EBIT decreased for the full year and in Q4; sales declined in Q4 due to slightly lower board prices and significantly lower pulp prices, with Biomaterials the primary segment hit by weaker pulp prices.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Group Sales and EBIT (2025)
Reported sales of EUR 9.3 billion and adjusted EBIT of EUR 528 million for full year 2025, demonstrating resilience in a challenging market.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Stora Enso’s guidance focuses on disciplined growth and margin expansion: management targets about 4% annual revenue growth and roughly a 10% EBIT margin (excluding Swedish forests) within 2–4 years, plans to distribute 50% of net profit as dividends and to cut net debt/adjusted EBITDA from the current 2.8x to below 1x; the Board will propose a EUR 0.25/share dividend at the AGM on 24 March 2026. For 2025 the group reported EUR 9.3bn sales and EUR 528m EBIT, saw net debt fall by ~EUR 800m after divesting ~175,000 ha of Swedish forest for ~EUR 900m (forest fair value ~EUR 8.5bn / EUR 10.75 per share), and held operating working capital at 7% of sales. Management reiterated Oulu’s ramp‑up weighed ~EUR 140m on 2025 EBIT (Q1 2026 EBIT drag guided at EUR 15–30m) but should add ~EUR 800m of sales at full capacity (target 2027); it said value‑creation measures have delivered ~EUR 900m of annual P&L impact to date with an additional EUR 500–700m identified, cited fiber/wood cost headwinds (c. EUR 900m vs 2021 and ~EUR 300m this year), expects cash flow after investments to improve as heavy investments end, and plans CapEx around EUR 550m.

Stora Enso Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Earnings recovered in 2025 (positive net income and improved operating margin) and leverage is manageable with improving debt-to-equity, but the multi-year revenue decline and three straight years of negative free cash flow (including 2025) materially weaken the quality and durability of the recovery.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.33B9.05B9.40B11.68B10.16B
Gross Profit2.71B3.57B3.05B5.15B4.68B
EBITDA1.36B603.00M226.00M2.53B2.10B
Net Income695.00M-136.00M-357.00M1.55B1.27B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.06B19.80B20.75B20.92B19.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.28B2.02B2.46B1.92B1.53B
Total Debt4.47B5.73B5.21B3.92B3.87B
Total Liabilities8.41B9.81B9.87B8.42B8.36B
Stockholders Equity10.80B10.14B10.98B12.53B10.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-130.00M-161.00M-237.00M878.00M832.00M
Operating Cash Flow645.00M952.00M752.00M1.58B1.48B
Investing Cash Flow60.00M-1.13B-1.31B-742.00M-449.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.49B-301.00M1.08B-450.00M-1.22B

Stora Enso Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.95
Price Trends
50DMA
12.31
Negative
100DMA
12.14
Negative
200DMA
11.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Negative
RSI
53.55
Neutral
STOCH
59.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SEOAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.60, below the 50-day MA of 12.31, and above the 200-day MA of 11.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SEOAY.

Stora Enso Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$5.39B18.579.23%1.53%-3.90%-25.97%
67
Neutral
$11.69B4.8131.48%1.96%6.65%47.88%
64
Neutral
$5.31B38.728.46%1.37%-3.26%-46.80%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
$9.32B12.096.64%2.64%7.62%
56
Neutral
$1.65B14.6413.86%3.51%-8.92%-32.30%
44
Neutral
$245.07M-13.93-2.50%-21.76%-1214.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SEOAY
Stora Enso
11.80
3.55
42.97%
CLW
Clearwater Paper
15.28
-9.27
-37.76%
LPX
Louisiana-Pacific
76.00
-8.53
-10.09%
UFPI
UFP Industries
94.87
-9.42
-9.03%
SUZ
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA
9.42
0.74
8.55%
SLVM
Sylvamo Corp
41.74
-14.91
-26.32%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026