Viaplay (SE:VPLAY.B)
:VPLAY.B
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Viaplay (VPLAY.B) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:VPLAY.B

Viaplay

(VPLAY.B)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
kr1.00
▲(8.70% Upside)
Viaplay's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance and weak technical indicators. The negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield further contribute to a low valuation score. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.

Viaplay (VPLAY.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Viaplay Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionViaplay Group AB (publ) operates as an entertainment provider and streaming company in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company operates Viaplay, an online video streaming service, which offers live sports, original series, documentaries and films, and international TV releases, as well as all-time classic series, and children's animation and series; Viafree that offers a range of free-to-view content to viewers; V sport, series & film, a family of premium-TV channels that offers television entertainment; and Viaplay studios that consists of production companies, which produce original and animated content. It also operates TV3, commercial TV channel; TV6, a young male skewed channel; TV8, a channel that provides procedural drama; TV10, a channel for sporting events and documentaries; Viasat4 and TV3+ for young male audiences; TV3 PULS that offers procedural series, cooking, and lifestyle shows; TV3 Sport for sports lovers; and TV3 MAX, which shows comedy and drama series. In addition, it operates radio stations, comprising of Rix FM, Bandit Rock, Power Hit Radio, Star FM, P4 Lyden av Norge, P5 Hits, P6 Rock, P7 Klem, P8 Pop, P9 Retro, and P10 Country; NRJ, an online TV channel; Bandit, an online station; and I LIKE RADIO, an online music service, well as news, talk shows, and contests. Further, the company offers advertising services on TV channels, radio stations, and streaming services. The company was formerly known as Nordic Entertainment Group AB (publ) and changed its name to Viaplay Group AB (publ) in May 2022. Viaplay Group AB (publ) was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyViaplay generates revenue primarily through subscription fees from its streaming service. The company offers multiple subscription tiers, allowing customers to choose plans that best fit their viewing habits and preferences. In addition to direct subscriptions, Viaplay benefits from partnerships with telecommunications companies and other distributors, which often bundle the streaming service with internet or mobile plans. Advertising is another potential revenue stream, although it may be less significant compared to subscription fees. Moreover, Viaplay invests in original content and exclusive rights to sports programming, which helps attract and retain subscribers, thereby enhancing its overall revenue potential.

Viaplay Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with several positive developments such as organic sales growth in core operations and a reduction in core operating losses. However, challenges remain, including declines in Viaplay sales, advertising revenue, and currency-related financial pressure. The company's strategic initiatives in content cost management and new product introductions are promising, but financial and market challenges persist.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Core Operations Organic Sales Growth
Core operations generated 6% organic sales growth, driven by growth in linear subscription revenues and sublicensing of content.
Introduction of HVOD Tier
The introduction of HVOD tier in Denmark, Sweden, and Norway has attracted new customer segments and encouraged reactivation by former subscribers.
Significant Growth in Sublicensing
Sublicensing and other sales accounted for 9% of core revenues in Q3 and grew by 165% year-on-year on an organic basis.
Content Cost Management
Content costs were largely stable year-on-year in Q3 and are expected to be down in Q4 with lower costs related to content sublicensing.
Reduction in Core Operating Losses
Core operating losses were reduced by SEK 63 million or 56% year-on-year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Viaplay Sales
Viaplay sales were down 1% year-on-year on an organic basis, with the D2C subscriber base down in almost all markets.
Advertising Revenue Decline
Advertising revenue, accounting for 18% of core revenues, was down 1% on an organic basis.
Currency Challenges
Ongoing and substantial currency challenges due to the weak SEK had a negative impact on EBIT and sales.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Total free cash flow was negative SEK 1.523 billion, with core EBIT loss of SEK 49 million.
Account Sharing and Piracy Issues
Tackling account sharing and piracy remain critical focus areas due to significant value leakage.
Company Guidance
In the Q3 2024 earnings call for VPLAY B.ST, the executives reaffirmed their commitment to achieving profitable growth and maintaining their forward-looking guidance. The company reported a 6% organic sales growth driven by linear subscription revenue and content sublicensing, although Viaplay's subscription revenue saw a slight decline of 1% year-on-year. Price adjustments positively impacted the D2C ARPU across core markets, despite a decrease in the subscriber base. The introduction of the HVOD tier in Denmark, Sweden, and Norway led to sequential growth in subscribers, while advertising revenue accounted for 18% of core revenues, albeit with a slight organic decline. The executives emphasized continued focus on content ROI and partnerships, with sublicensing and other sales growing 165% organically, and outlined ongoing measures to combat account sharing and piracy. Cost control remains a priority, aiming to align content costs with revenue growth, and the company is on track to reduce EBIT losses, notwithstanding currency challenges. Looking ahead, VPLAY B.ST anticipates a strong content slate for Q4, including major sports events and popular reality formats, while underlining the importance of mutually beneficial partnerships with content suppliers and distribution partners.

Viaplay Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Viaplay is facing financial difficulties across all major financial statements. The income statement shows declining revenues and profitability, the balance sheet reflects moderate leverage but poor returns, and the cash flow statement indicates significant cash flow challenges. The company needs to address these issues to improve its financial health and stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Viaplay's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced a substantial decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -95% in the TTM period. Gross profit margin is relatively low at 12.46%, and the net profit margin is negative, indicating losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also weak, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Despite previous years showing some profitability, the recent trend is concerning.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66, indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative in the TTM period, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is not calculated due to missing data, but the overall financial stability is questionable given the negative net income and declining equity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Viaplay's cash flow statement highlights significant issues. The operating cash flow is negative, and free cash flow has decreased by 17.81% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. Despite a positive free cash flow to net income ratio, the overall cash flow situation is concerning due to persistent negative cash flows.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.94B18.49B18.57B15.69B12.66B12.00B
Gross Profit2.23B2.03B1.30B2.60B3.20B3.19B
EBITDA137.00M638.00M-9.90B455.00M819.00M3.26B
Net Income-552.00M106.00M-9.75B323.00M325.00M2.24B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.15B16.85B19.72B21.86B19.53B15.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments927.00M1.04B2.54B2.77B5.70B2.04B
Total Debt2.24B2.43B7.65B4.41B3.82B5.13B
Total Liabilities12.73B13.18B20.81B12.95B11.21B12.71B
Stockholders Equity3.42B3.68B-1.09B8.91B8.32B3.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.01B-2.04B-3.51B-3.19B261.00M1.38B
Operating Cash Flow-966.00M-2.00B-3.35B-3.00B477.00M1.53B
Investing Cash Flow-15.00M105.00M-137.00M-502.00M243.00M-367.00M
Financing Cash Flow-77.00M352.00M3.29B535.00M2.91B-301.00M

Viaplay Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.92
Price Trends
50DMA
1.22
Negative
100DMA
1.10
Negative
200DMA
0.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
30.91
Neutral
STOCH
18.07
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:VPLAY.B, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.01, below the 50-day MA of 1.22, and above the 200-day MA of 0.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 30.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.07 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:VPLAY.B.

Viaplay Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
58
Neutral
€5.19B-133.19-3.84%26.82%76.68%
41
Neutral
kr156.35M32.83%13.34%
41
Neutral
€39.17M-3.1733.98%-104.57%
41
Neutral
€69.14M-0.47-229.41%-10.21%-1.15%
40
Underperform
$4.40B-8.03-14.56%-5.47%98.92%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:VPLAY.B
Viaplay
0.92
0.25
38.05%
SE:ACAST
Acast AB
30.50
15.50
103.33%
SE:GBK
Goodbye Kansas Group AB
1.96
0.66
50.38%
SE:GCOR
Gaming Corps AB
1.08
0.43
67.97%
SE:BRIGHT
Speqta AB
0.31
-2.10
-87.07%
SE:FRAG
Fragbite Group AB
9.44
-0.81
-7.90%

Viaplay Corporate Events

Viaplay Group Reports Q3 2025 Earnings and Strategic Progress
Oct 23, 2025

Viaplay Group is a Nordic entertainment company specializing in streaming services, pay-TV channels, and commercial radio networks, with a strong focus on sports and local storytelling content. In its latest earnings report, Viaplay Group reported total net sales of SEK 4,018 million, a decrease from the previous year, with a net income of SEK -142 million. The company highlighted progress in its strategic transformation and the anticipated closure of the Allente acquisition in the fourth quarter. Key financial metrics showed a slight improvement in underlying core operations, with organic sales growth declining by 2.7% year-on-year. The company continues to focus on monetization, performance improvements, and return on investment, with expectations of a strong lineup of sports events in the coming months. Viaplay Group remains committed to its strategic priorities and aims to create long-term value for its shareholders and audiences.

Viaplay Group Shows Progress in Q3 Amid Transformation Efforts
Oct 22, 2025

Viaplay Group reported a slight improvement in underlying performance during the third quarter of 2025, with progress in its transformation strategy and the Allente acquisition expected to close in Q4. Despite a decline in linear subscription sales, the company saw growth in direct-to-consumer streaming sales and advertising revenues, while maintaining a focus on cost efficiency and long-term value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:VPLAY.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viaplay stock, see the SE:VPLAY.B Stock Forecast page.

Viaplay Group to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 8, 2025

Viaplay Group is set to release its Q3 2025 financial results on October 22, 2025, followed by a conference call featuring presentations from key executives. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, impacting its market positioning and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:VPLAY.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viaplay stock, see the SE:VPLAY.B Stock Forecast page.

Viaplay Group Convenes 2026 Nomination Committee
Sep 29, 2025

Viaplay Group has convened a Nomination Committee to prepare proposals for the 2026 Annual General Meeting. The committee includes representatives from Groupe Canal+, PPF Cyprus Management Limited, Nordea Fonder, and the Chair of Viaplay Group’s Board of Directors. This move is part of the company’s governance process, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:VPLAY.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viaplay stock, see the SE:VPLAY.B Stock Forecast page.

Viaplay Expands Premier Sunday for 2025/2026 Season
Aug 15, 2025

Viaplay is expanding its Viaplay Premier Sunday coverage for the 2025/2026 Premier League season, doubling the number of live shows from 10 to 20. Hosted by Jules Breach and featuring Premier League legends Peter Schmeichel, Freddie Ljungberg, and Jaap Stam, the show will provide exclusive pre-match, halftime, and post-match content across Viaplay’s five markets. This expansion aims to enhance the viewing experience with local-language commentary and expert insights, strengthening Viaplay’s position in the sports broadcasting industry.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:VPLAY.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viaplay stock, see the SE:VPLAY.B Stock Forecast page.

Viaplay Group Secures Noteholder Approval for Financial Restructuring
Jul 31, 2025

Viaplay Group has received approval from its noteholders for new working capital credit facilities and the cancellation of a significant guarantee facility, following its acquisition of Telenor’s stake in Allente Group. This approval, achieved through a written procedure, allows Viaplay to enhance its financial flexibility and supports its strategic expansion in the television services market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:VPLAY.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viaplay stock, see the SE:VPLAY.B Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025