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AAC Clyde Space (SE:AAC)
:AAC
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AAC Clyde Space (AAC) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:AAC

AAC Clyde Space

(AAC)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
kr149.00
▲(44.38% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance, especially recurring losses and renewed cash burn, despite a strong low-leverage balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend, and the earnings call adds a positive outlook via sizable backlog and improved full-year targets, though supply-chain and timing risks remain. Valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
AAC's very low leverage and equity-heavy capital base provide enduring financial flexibility, lowering refinancing and interest risks. This balance-sheet strength supports multi-quarter program execution, allows selective investment in missions or ground infrastructure, and cushions the business against episodic cash-flow volatility.
Negative Factors
Persistent losses & volatile gross profit
Ongoing net losses and swings in gross profit undermine the firm's path to durable profitability. Negative and volatile gross margins constrain free cash generation, reduce reinvestment capacity, depress return metrics, and lengthen the timeline to self-funded growth absent structural margin improvement.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
AAC's very low leverage and equity-heavy capital base provide enduring financial flexibility, lowering refinancing and interest risks. This balance-sheet strength supports multi-quarter program execution, allows selective investment in missions or ground infrastructure, and cushions the business against episodic cash-flow volatility.
Read all positive factors

AAC Clyde Space (AAC) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

AAC Clyde Space Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AAC Clyde Space AB (publ) primarily provides solutions and services to the small satellite market in Sweden, the United Kingdom, other European countries, the United States, Asia, and internationally. The company offers command and data handling, ...
How the Company Makes Money
AAC primarily makes money through a mix of (1) product sales, (2) project/engineering and mission services, and (3) recurring data/service revenues. Product revenue comes from designing, manufacturing, and delivering satellite hardware and subsyst...

AAC Clyde Space Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2026
(Q1-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted several major strategic wins (notably the Sterna contract and SEK 1.1 billion backlog), successful recent satellite launches, and a conservative but positive full-year guidance (SEK 440–510M net sales; ~10% EBITDA). These positives were partially offset by a materially disruptive supply chain issue in the U.S. that suppressed Q1 net sales and EBITDA and shifted revenue recognition into Q2. Management expects the supply issues to be resolved and to begin recognizing Sterna revenue in Q2, and notes a strong pipeline and ongoing customer engagements (INFLECION, VIREON). Given the scale and strategic value of the booked backlog and the constructive guidance, the highlights outweigh the operational setbacks from the quarter, though timing risks remain.
Positive Updates
Sterna Contract and SEK 1.1 Billion Backlog
Signed the major Sterna contract, creating an order backlog of approximately SEK 1.1 billion. The contract secures a large share of future revenues, is strategically important for European weather-monitoring capability, and enables revenue recognition to begin from Q2.
Negative Updates
Subdued Q1 Results and EBITDA Impact
Q1 results were subdued and below management expectations. A supplier-related disruption in the U.S. removed a substantial portion of net sales for the quarter and materially reduced EBITDA. Management stated that without the supplier issue the quarter would have shown a positive EBITDA. Comparisons to prior-year Q1 are affected by exceptional items in 2025 that previously inflated EBITDA.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Sterna Contract and SEK 1.1 Billion Backlog
Signed the major Sterna contract, creating an order backlog of approximately SEK 1.1 billion. The contract secures a large share of future revenues, is strategically important for European weather-monitoring capability, and enables revenue recognition to begin from Q2.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company issued full‑year guidance of SEK 440–510 million in net sales, targeting an EBITDA of around 10% and a positive operational cash flow, supported by an order backlog of about SEK 1.1 billion (largely from the Sterna contract); management expects to begin recognizing EPS‑Sterna revenue from Q2 (with recognition spread over the next three quarters) and says the majority of 2026 revenues are already on the books, while Q1 was subdued due to a U.S. supplier issue that reduced net sales and EBITDA (resolution expected this quarter); recent operational milestones include the March launches of 2 VIREON satellites (plus 5 customer satellites) now in commissioning pending first‑light imagery, and a final INFLECION decision is anticipated in the current quarter — guidance was prepared conservatively after stress testing.

AAC Clyde Space Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet is a strength with low leverage, but operating performance remains weak: persistent net losses, volatile/occasionally negative gross profit, and a recent deterioration in 2025/TTM results. Cash flow is a key risk, with operating cash flow and free cash flow turning materially negative again in 2025 and worsening in TTM, raising cash-burn/runway concerns.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue288.96M295.28M352.86M276.61M196.72M179.95M
Gross Profit81.47M-60.47M247.46M-43.00M135.69M110.35M
EBITDA-1.44M-3.02M29.45M-1.01M-29.61M-18.13M
Net Income-51.07M-46.09M-5.58M-41.36M-46.55M-39.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.07B895.53M988.61M938.37M881.40M874.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.41M30.12M49.68M59.55M52.10M96.11M
Total Debt59.71M37.23M21.04M40.80M17.21M15.71M
Total Liabilities358.25M184.77M285.62M275.62M217.90M195.59M
Stockholders Equity709.05M712.19M704.02M663.57M663.51M678.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-120.83M-115.42M34.63M-46.09M-34.44M-64.68M
Operating Cash Flow-69.63M-72.60M56.79M4.88M6.43M-35.46M
Investing Cash Flow-40.99M-39.09M-44.64M-50.97M-40.87M-21.78M
Financing Cash Flow116.80M93.63M-23.00M53.91M-10.27M89.64M

AAC Clyde Space Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price103.20
Price Trends
50DMA
119.78
Positive
100DMA
117.47
Positive
200DMA
108.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.82
Negative
RSI
77.67
Negative
STOCH
99.31
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:AAC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 103.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 128.19, below the 50-day MA of 119.78, and below the 200-day MA of 108.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.67 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:AAC.

AAC Clyde Space Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
kr8.54B22.9310.29%0.41%84.46%
69
Neutral
kr332.06M25.7933.71%1.22%31.62%28.58%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
kr1.14B-13.06-6.70%-18.69%-252.61%
58
Neutral
kr1.52B60.962.75%0.11%-35.60%
57
Neutral
kr3.52B-997.43
51
Neutral
kr100.29M-34.981.33%0.62%-45.80%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:AAC
AAC Clyde Space
163.00
82.20
101.73%
SE:AVT.B
AVTECH Sweden AB
5.90
-4.03
-40.60%
SE:MILDEF
MilDef Group AB
186.00
-58.10
-23.80%
SE:GGEO
Guideline Geo AB
9.30
-0.24
-2.52%
SE:GOMX
GomSpace Group AB
21.74
11.38
109.85%
SE:CTT
CTT Systems AB
119.40
-79.06
-39.84%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 19, 2026