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Southern Copper Corp (SCCO)
NYSE:SCCO

Southern Copper (SCCO) AI Stock Analysis

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SCCO

Southern Copper

(NYSE:SCCO)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$138.00
▼(-1.62% Downside)
Southern Copper's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the primary drivers of its score. However, mixed technical indicators and a high P/E ratio suggest caution. The decrease in copper production and increased operating costs are notable risks, but the company's optimism about future growth and market conditions provides a balanced outlook.

Southern Copper (SCCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Southern Copper Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSouthern Copper Corporation (SCCO) is a leading integrated copper producer, primarily operating in the mining sector. The company has significant operations in Peru and Mexico, where it mines, processes, and sells copper and other minerals. SCCO's core products include copper cathodes, copper rod, and by-products such as molybdenum and zinc. With a strong focus on sustainability and efficiency, Southern Copper plays a vital role in the global copper market, serving various industries including construction, electronics, and renewable energy.
How the Company Makes MoneySouthern Copper generates revenue primarily through the sale of copper and its by-products. The company operates a vertically integrated model, which allows it to control the entire production process from mining to refining. Key revenue streams include the sale of copper cathodes, which are sold to various domestic and international customers, and copper rod, which is used in electrical applications. Additionally, SCCO earns revenue from the sale of molybdenum and zinc, which are generated as by-products of copper production. The company's revenue is significantly impacted by global copper prices, which can fluctuate due to supply and demand dynamics. Strategic partnerships with other mining companies and customers also enhance its market reach and operational efficiency, contributing to its overall earnings.

Southern Copper Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with record net sales, EBITDA, and net income, driven by increased byproduct production and improved metal prices. However, these positive aspects are contrasted by declines in copper production and increased operating costs. The company remains optimistic about future growth and market conditions.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
Southern Copper achieved new company records for net sales, adjusted EBITDA, and net income in the third quarter of 2025. Net sales were $3.4 billion, a 15% increase compared to Q3 2024. Adjusted EBITDA was $1,975 million, a 17% increase from Q3 2024, with an EBITDA margin of 59%.
Significant Byproduct Production Increases
Zinc production rose 46%, silver output grew 16%, and molybdenum production increased by 8% in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024. Zinc production was driven by a 108% increase at the Buenavista zinc concentrator.
Cost Efficiency and Low Cash Costs
Southern Copper achieved a cash cost of $0.42 per pound of copper in Q3 2025, one of the industry's lowest, marking a 34% decrease from the previous quarter.
Positive Market Conditions
LME copper prices increased by 7% and COMEX by 14% during the quarter. The company estimates a copper market deficit of nearly 400,000 tons, supporting strong long-term fundamentals for copper prices.
ESG and Sustainability Achievements
S&P Global increased Southern Copper's sustainability rating by 4 points, placing the company among the leaders in the mining sector. Significant efforts are being made to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and restore ecosystems.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Copper Production
Copper production decreased by 7% in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024, with total production at 234,892 tons. This was due to lower ore grades and a focus on maximizing zinc and silver production at the Buenavista mine.
Challenges in Mexican and Peruvian Operations
Copper production fell by 3% year-to-date 2025 due to lower ore grades in Mexico and Peru. Production in Peru decreased by 7% due to lower output at the Toquepala and Cuajone mines.
Increased Operating Costs
Total operating costs and expenses increased by $128 million, or 9%, compared to Q3 2024, driven by higher costs in purchased copper concentrate, labor, and energy.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Southern Copper Corporation reported record net sales, adjusted EBITDA, and net income, driven by increased byproduct production and improved metal prices. Zinc production surged 46% due to the Buenavista zinc concentrator, while silver and molybdenum outputs rose by 16% and 8%, respectively. The company achieved a cash cost of $0.42 per pound of copper, benefiting from higher production volumes and favorable prices. Copper production decreased by 7% from the third quarter of 2024 to 234,892 tons, primarily due to lower ore grades in Peru and Mexico. Net sales reached $3.4 billion, a 15% increase year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA was $1,975 million, up 17% from the previous year, with a margin of 59%. The company continues to focus on organic growth and plans a capital investment of $2 billion in 2026, including $866 million for the Tia Maria project.

Southern Copper Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Southern Copper Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price140.27
Price Trends
50DMA
133.34
Positive
100DMA
117.80
Positive
200DMA
104.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.51
Negative
RSI
57.60
Neutral
STOCH
40.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SCCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 140.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 136.12, above the 50-day MA of 133.34, and above the 200-day MA of 104.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SCCO.

Southern Copper Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$106.98B15.2422.84%1.02%26.25%
80
Outperform
$129.36B11.9618.18%4.83%-0.44%-4.20%
79
Outperform
$53.58B10.0413.65%10.37%-8.49%-41.69%
73
Outperform
$114.89B30.1639.45%2.19%12.70%25.51%
73
Outperform
$148.32B16.5119.51%3.67%-7.86%14.17%
67
Neutral
$68.26B33.4211.33%1.26%2.83%3.39%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SCCO
Southern Copper
141.45
55.30
64.19%
BHP
BHP Group
59.05
12.09
25.75%
FCX
Freeport-McMoRan
47.82
10.16
26.98%
NEM
Newmont Mining
99.45
63.05
173.21%
RIO
Rio Tinto
75.99
20.65
37.31%
VALE
Vale SA
12.79
4.95
63.14%

Southern Copper Corporate Events

Southern Copper Corp Reports Record Q3 Earnings
Oct 30, 2025

Southern Copper Corp, a major player in the mining industry, specializes in the production of copper and other valuable metals, operating primarily in Mexico and Peru.

Southern Copper Reports Strong Earnings Amid Sales Dip
Jul 31, 2025

Southern Copper Corporation, a major player in the mining industry, is one of the largest integrated copper producers globally, with operations in Mexico and Peru and exploration activities in Argentina and Chile.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 19, 2025