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Saratoga Investment Corp (SAR)
NYSE:SAR
US Market
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Saratoga Investment (SAR) AI Stock Analysis

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SAR

Saratoga Investment

(NYSE:SAR)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
Saratoga Investment's overall score reflects strong technical indicators and attractive valuation, balanced by mixed financial performance and earnings call sentiment. Revenue growth and operational efficiency are strengths, but low net margins and high leverage pose risks. The stock's upward price momentum and high dividend yield provide additional support for the score.
Positive Factors
Dividend Yield
Over the next four quarters, the analyst expects a dividend yield of 12.3% and stock price appreciation, resulting in an estimated 12-month total return of about 23%.
Investment Growth
Analyst expects SAR's investment portfolio to grow to support EPS/NII and cover the dividend, indicating confidence in future performance.
Negative Factors
Net Asset Value
The net asset value was down by 4% due to a net loss and dividends, resulting in a lower price target.
Net Investment Income
Core net investment income fell below the new dividend level due to previous rate cuts and a smaller average investment portfolio.

Saratoga Investment (SAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Saratoga Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSaratoga Investment Corp (SAR) is a business development company that provides customized financing solutions to middle-market companies in the United States. It operates primarily in the sectors of technology, business services, and healthcare. The company focuses on delivering debt and equity capital to support growth, acquisitions, and refinancing needs, facilitating the expansion and operational success of its portfolio companies.
How the Company Makes MoneySaratoga Investment Corp generates revenue primarily through interest income from the debt investments it makes in middle-market businesses. These investments typically include first and second lien loans, mezzanine debt, and, to a lesser extent, equity investments. The company also earns money from capital gains when it exits equity positions in successful portfolio companies. Additionally, Saratoga Investment benefits from management and incentive fees, which are tied to the performance of the assets under management, given its role as an investment adviser. This structure allows the company to capitalize on both steady interest income and potential upside from equity investments.

Saratoga Investment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 08, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 1.86%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with several positive indicators such as increased adjusted NII per share, improved NAV, and strong return on equity. However, these are tempered by challenges like the decline in adjusted NII compared to the previous year, pressure on NAV per share, and ongoing difficulties in deal volume due to market conditions.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Adjusted NII Per Share
Adjusted Net Investment Income (NII) per share increased by 17.9% from the previous quarter, reflecting strong earnings performance.
NAV Improvement
Net Asset Value (NAV) increased by 7.8% from the same quarter last year and by 0.9% from the previous quarter.
Strong Return on Equity
The latest 12-month return on equity was 9.3%, up from 4.4% last year and from 7.5% last quarter, surpassing the industry average of 7%.
Healthy Portfolio Quality
Overall portfolio credit quality remained strong with only 0.6% of investments on nonaccrual status, significantly lower than the industry average of 3.7%.
Investment Capacity
Saratoga maintains $430 million of investment capacity, with $224 million in cash, providing flexibility for future investments.
Negative Updates
Decline in Adjusted NII
Adjusted NII was down 29.3% from last year, impacted by lower assets under management due to significant repayments and lower base interest rates.
NAV Per Share Decline
NAV per share was $25.52, down from $26.85 last year, mainly due to a onetime dividend adjustment which reduced NAV per share by $0.50.
Challenges in Deal Volume
Continued low M&A activity in the lower middle market, leading to challenges in finding new quality platform investments.
Interest Margin Pressure
Yields on core BDC assets decreased due to recent decreases in interest rates, impacting overall income.
Company Guidance
In the Saratoga Investment Corp.'s fiscal first quarter 2026 conference call, key metrics highlighted include a 17.9% increase in adjusted net investment income (NII) per share from the previous quarter, a net asset value (NAV) of $396.4 million, and a strong return on equity of 9.3%, surpassing the industry average of 7%. The company reported a $50.1 million investment in new portfolio companies and follow-ons, with the core non-CLO portfolio marked up by $2.6 million. The portfolio's fair value increased by $3.8 million, and the net interest margin expanded from $13.7 million last quarter to $15.6 million. Despite a challenging macro environment, Saratoga maintained a high credit quality portfolio, with 99.7% of its investments rated in the highest category. The dividend of $0.75 per share for the second fiscal quarter represents an 11.8% yield, with a total of $430 million in investment capacity available. The company's strategic initiatives include expanding business development efforts to counteract the current slowdown in deal volume and M&A activities in the lower middle market.

Saratoga Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Saratoga Investment shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, as evidenced by high gross and EBIT margins. However, low net profit margins imply potential challenges with non-operational costs. The balance sheet suggests moderate leverage with a stable equity base. Cash flows have improved significantly, but historical volatility indicates potential liquidity risks. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory with opportunities for improved profitability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a strong gross profit margin at 99.84% for the TTM, indicating efficient cost management relative to revenue. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 0.07%, highlighting potential issues with higher non-operating expenses or taxes. Revenue growth is robust, with substantial increases over the periods, particularly between the latest TTM and previous periods. EBIT and EBITDA margins are positive, showing operational efficiency, but the low net income impacts profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a healthy equity position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.06, which is manageable but slightly on the higher side for asset management firms, suggesting moderate leverage. The return on equity is modest at 6.73%, reflecting average profitability on shareholder investments. The equity ratio of 30.73% is stable, indicating a solid equity foundation relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant improvement in free cash flow, with a remarkable growth rate in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 3733.47, highlighting strong cash generation relative to net income. However, historical negative operating cash flows and high capital expenditures could pose liquidity risks if not managed.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue94.16M69.55M69.85M77.46M39.91M
Gross Profit42.10M20.36M36.35M57.58M26.32M
EBITDA31.97M11.70M26.76M48.52M19.94M
Net Income28.09M8.93M24.68M45.74M14.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.19B1.19B1.08B876.24M592.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments148.22M8.69M65.75B47.26M18.83M
Total Debt781.82M803.67M711.13M498.88M274.05M
Total Liabilities798.88M820.98M731.20M520.46M287.97M
Stockholders Equity392.67M370.22M346.96M355.78M304.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow96.46B-157.21M-130.37M-203.13M-62.35M
Operating Cash Flow96.46B-157.21M-130.37M-203.13M-62.35M
Investing Cash Flow144.04M0.002.25B-55.08B-78.08B
Financing Cash Flow-87.29B101.64M173.58M226.09M52.81M

Saratoga Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.25
Price Trends
50DMA
24.66
Positive
100DMA
23.95
Positive
200DMA
23.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Negative
RSI
55.32
Neutral
STOCH
59.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SAR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.97, above the 50-day MA of 24.66, and above the 200-day MA of 23.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SAR.

Saratoga Investment Risk Analysis

Saratoga Investment disclosed 82 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Saratoga Investment reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Saratoga Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$15.70B10.9010.25%8.60%7.71%-29.47%
74
Outperform
$5.87B10.8219.65%6.44%28.32%13.63%
71
Outperform
$1.28B9.059.36%15.28%-55.16%47.09%
68
Neutral
$359.54M10.309.27%12.20%-1.64%104.07%
67
Neutral
¥850.21B13.229.24%2.92%7.76%9.30%
58
Neutral
$1.60B-4.80%20.38%-30.01%-349.28%
58
Neutral
$608.01M-1.48%19.21%-48.53%73.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SAR
Saratoga Investment
25.25
5.30
26.57%
MAIN
Main Street Capital
65.09
19.35
42.30%
PSEC
Prospect Capital
2.87
-1.47
-33.87%
ARCC
Ares Capital
22.32
3.15
16.43%
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
7.08
-0.56
-7.33%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
11.43
-0.71
-5.85%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 10, 2025