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Saratoga Investment (SAR)
NYSE:SAR
US Market

Saratoga Investment (SAR) AI Stock Analysis

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SAR

Saratoga Investment

(NYSE:SAR)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▼(-0.52% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/14/26
The score is held back primarily by balance-sheet risk and data-consistency red flags in the financials, alongside weak technical momentum. These are partly offset by attractive valuation (low P/E and high yield) and a cautiously constructive earnings-call backdrop supported by liquidity and strong credit metrics.
Positive Factors
Strong liquidity / dry powder
Nearly $396M of committed liquidity (cash, undrawn SBIC debentures and revolvers) gives Saratoga durable optionality to fund originations and avoid forced asset sales. This strengthens NAV preservation, enables measured AUM growth without immediate external financing, and reduces short-term refinancing pressure.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage / balance-sheet red flags
Reported debt-to-equity near 2.0 and a TTM snapshot indicating negative equity are structural concerns. Elevated leverage amplifies sensitivity to mark-to-market asset moves, constrains strategic flexibility, increases vulnerability to funding stress, and could pressure dividend policy under adverse scenarios.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong liquidity / dry powder
Nearly $396M of committed liquidity (cash, undrawn SBIC debentures and revolvers) gives Saratoga durable optionality to fund originations and avoid forced asset sales. This strengthens NAV preservation, enables measured AUM growth without immediate external financing, and reduces short-term refinancing pressure.
Read all positive factors

Saratoga Investment (SAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Saratoga Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Saratoga Investment Corp. is a business development company specializing in leveraged and management buyouts, acquisition financings, growth financings, recapitalization, debt refinancing, and transitional financing transactions at the lower end o...
How the Company Makes Money
Saratoga Investment makes money primarily from income and gains generated on its investment portfolio. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Interest income from debt investments such as first-lien and second-lien loans and other structured c...

Saratoga Investment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 07, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong balance sheet liquidity, NAV growth in aggregate, high-quality portfolio credit metrics, continued originations and disciplined underwriting, and continued dividend support. However, material year-over-year declines in NII and NII per share, yield compression from lower short-term rates and tighter spreads, elevated repayments impacting near-term earnings, and increased operating shares/expenses were notable headwinds. On balance, the company appears well positioned with significant dry powder and strong long-term performance metrics, offsetting near-term earnings pressure.
Positive Updates
NAV Growth and Portfolio Fair Value
Quarter-end NAV of $413.2M, up 10.2% year-over-year (from $375M) and up 0.7% sequentially (from $410.5M). Total portfolio fair value was 1.7% above cost and the core non‑CLO portfolio was 2.1% above cost.
Negative Updates
Year‑over‑Year NII Declines and Yield Compression
Adjusted NII was $9.8M this quarter, down 21.3% YoY. Adjusted NII per share was $0.61, down 32.2% YoY (but up 5.2% QoQ). Adjusted NII yield declined to 9.5% from 13.3% a year ago, reflecting lower SOFR base rates and tighter spreads on new originations.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
NAV Growth and Portfolio Fair Value
Quarter-end NAV of $413.2M, up 10.2% year-over-year (from $375M) and up 0.7% sequentially (from $410.5M). Total portfolio fair value was 1.7% above cost and the core non‑CLO portfolio was 2.1% above cost.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance was cautious but constructive: they reiterated a focus on NAV preservation and accretive capital deployment of $395.6M of dry powder (comprised of $169.6M cash, $136M undrawn SBIC III debentures and $90M undrawn revolvers) to grow AUM ($1.016B) and NAV ($413.2M, $25.59/share), while maintaining the $0.25/month dividend ($0.75/quarter; annualized yield ~12.9% at $23.19) to be reviewed quarterly; they expect to deploy capital to lift adjusted NII (Q3 adj. NII $9.8M, $0.61/share, 9.5% yield; adj. NII QoQ +7.8% but YoY -21.3%), improve run-rate earnings (net interest margin $13.5M, weighted avg core BDC yield 10.6%), and sustain strong credit metrics (portfolio fair value 1.7% above cost, core non‑CLO +2.1%, 83.9% first‑lien, 99.8% top‑rated credits, nonaccrual only Pepper Palace at 0.2% FV/0.4% cost); they flagged net originations $17.2M in Q3 (originations $72.1M; repayments included a $12M baby bond), post‑quarter closings of ~$89.3M vs $30.5M repayments, available capacity ~$396M, callable baby bonds ~$269M, and a $175M 4.375% note maturing Feb‑2026 which they will address using cash or capital markets as appropriate.

Saratoga Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FY2025 showed a strong rebound in profitability and improved free cash flow, but leverage appears elevated and the TTM set includes major inconsistencies (e.g., negative equity and unusually low margins), lowering confidence in the underlying run-rate picture.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
BreakdownTTMFeb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue101.77M94.16M69.55M69.85M77.46M39.91M
Gross Profit52.11M42.10M20.36M36.35M57.58M26.32M
EBITDA1.29B31.97M11.70M26.76M48.52M19.94M
Net Income38.54M28.09M8.93M24.68M45.74M14.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.20B1.19B1.19B1.08B876.24M592.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments52.30M148.22M8.69M65.75M47.26M18.83M
Total Debt764.68M781.82M803.67M711.13M498.88M274.05M
Total Liabilities783.76M798.88M820.98M731.20M520.46M287.97M
Stockholders Equity413.21M392.67M370.22M346.96M355.78M304.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.92M197.54M-157.21M-130.37M-203.13M-62.35M
Operating Cash Flow22.92M197.54M-157.21M-130.37M-203.13M-62.35M
Investing Cash Flow-38.45M0.000.002.25B-55.08B-78.08B
Financing Cash Flow-65.08M-33.32M101.64M173.58M226.09M52.81M

Saratoga Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.12
Price Trends
50DMA
22.42
Positive
100DMA
22.26
Positive
200DMA
22.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
57.31
Neutral
STOCH
85.86
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SAR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.89, above the 50-day MA of 22.42, and above the 200-day MA of 22.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SAR.

Saratoga Investment Risk Analysis

Saratoga Investment disclosed 82 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Saratoga Investment reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Saratoga Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$597.73M2.1024.70%11.02%-45.46%134.73%
63
Neutral
$13.06B10.899.22%9.64%10.34%-24.16%
61
Neutral
$800.88M59.291.29%14.17%36.15%-38.59%
58
Neutral
7.829.56%14.11%44.71%52.98%
58
Neutral
$295.14M10.645.42%16.61%-3.09%200.66%
53
Neutral
$330.58M-5.23-12.44%21.13%-91.81%78.46%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SAR
Saratoga Investment
22.75
2.66
13.23%
GAIN
Gladstone Investment
15.14
2.79
22.62%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
8.22
-0.02
-0.30%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
4.60
-0.91
-16.56%
ARCC
Ares Capital
18.63
0.27
1.45%
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
4.08
-1.55
-27.56%

Saratoga Investment Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Saratoga Investment Updates At-The-Market Equity Offering Program
Positive
Mar 13, 2026
On March 13, 2026, Saratoga Investment Corp. and its adviser amended their existing equity distribution agreement with Lucid Capital Markets, Ladenburg Thalmann, Compass Point, and Raymond James to migrate the company&#8217;s at-the-market common ...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Saratoga Investment Completes $100 Million Unsecured Notes Offering
Positive
Feb 6, 2026
On February 6, 2026, Saratoga Investment Corp. closed a $100 million public offering of 7.50% unsecured notes due 2031, issued under a supplemental indenture with U.S. Bank Trust Company as trustee. The notes, which pay interest quarterly beginnin...
Private Placements and Financing
Saratoga Investment Announces New 7.50% Notes Offering
Positive
Jan 30, 2026
On January 29, 2026, Saratoga Investment Corp. entered into an underwriting agreement with Saratoga Investment Advisors, LLC and Lucid Capital Markets, LLC, as representative of the underwriters, for a public offering of $100 million aggregate pri...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Saratoga Investment Issues New Senior Unsecured Notes
Positive
Jan 27, 2026
On January 23, 2026, Saratoga Investment Corp. entered into a Registration Rights Agreement tied to its issuance and sale of 7.25% Senior Unsecured Notes due May 1, 2030, committing to register an exchange offer for substantially identical registe...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026