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Rolls-Royce Holding PLC (RYCEY)
OTHER OTC:RYCEY

Rolls-Royce (RYCEY) AI Stock Analysis

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RYCEY

Rolls-Royce

(OTC:RYCEY)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$19.00
▲(9.57% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/31/26
The score is driven mainly by a strong fundamental recovery and upbeat guidance with upgraded midterm targets and substantial shareholder returns. This is partially offset by remaining balance-sheet leverage risk and currently weak technical momentum (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is reasonable but not a major positive catalyst.
Positive Factors
Multi-year profitability turnaround
Rolls‑Royce has delivered a durable multi‑year operational recovery: material revenue expansion and a step‑up in margins to strongly positive levels. This structural earnings improvement increases coverage for investment, services growth and shareholder returns if cyclical demand persists.
Negative Factors
Meaningful leverage remains
Although equity returned to positive territory, material debt and elevated leverage reduce balance‑sheet resilience. This limits headroom for cyclical shocks or higher working‑capital needs and raises sensitivity to margin or cash‑flow setbacks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi-year profitability turnaround
Rolls‑Royce has delivered a durable multi‑year operational recovery: material revenue expansion and a step‑up in margins to strongly positive levels. This structural earnings improvement increases coverage for investment, services growth and shareholder returns if cyclical demand persists.
Read all positive factors

Rolls-Royce (RYCEY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rolls-Royce Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Rolls-Royce Holdings plc operates as an industrial technology company in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company operates in four segments: Civil Aerospace, Power Systems, Defence, and New Markets. The Civil Aerospace segment develops,...
How the Company Makes Money
Rolls-Royce primarily makes money through a mix of original equipment sales and long-term, service-driven aftermarket revenue across its end markets. 1) Civil Aerospace (commercial aero engines) - Engine sales: Revenue from selling large civil ae...

Rolls-Royce Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a strongly positive operational and financial transformation story: significant revenue, profit and free cash flow growth in 2025, upgraded midterm targets, major LTSA and aftermarket margin improvements, a substantial multiyear buyback and rising shareholder distributions. Challenges remain—notably supply‑chain and product cost inflation, near‑term shop‑visit and LTSA timing effects, higher investments and some one‑off accounting impacts—but management provides clear plans and targets to mitigate these and highlights that much of the LTSA cash upside will accrue beyond the midterm. Overall, the positive achievements and upgraded guidance outweigh the headwinds.
Positive Updates
Group Revenue and Profit Growth
Group revenue grew 14% to GBP 20.0 billion and group operating profit rose ~40% to GBP 3.5 billion (5x vs 2022). Operating margin improved by 3.2 percentage points to 17.3%.
Negative Updates
Ongoing Supply Chain Headwinds and Product Cost Inflation
Industry supply‑chain constraints persist into 2026 with product cost inflation; management expects supply chain cash drag to continue through 2026 and be gone only by the midterm. An additional charge of GBP 161 million (mostly H1) related to product cost inflation was recorded.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Group Revenue and Profit Growth
Group revenue grew 14% to GBP 20.0 billion and group operating profit rose ~40% to GBP 3.5 billion (5x vs 2022). Operating margin improved by 3.2 percentage points to 17.3%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Rolls‑Royce guided to 2026 underlying operating profit of £4.0–4.2bn and free cash flow of £3.6–3.8bn (noting a continuing supply‑chain headwind that should be gone by the midterm), with net LTSA balance growth broadly similar to 2025, large‑engine flying hours of 115–120% of 2019, shop visits of 1,480–1,550 and an expected supply‑chain cash drag of c.£150–200m; they flagged higher net investments, an outflow on provisions and cash tax c.£200m higher versus 2025. For the 2028 midterm they upgraded targets to operating profit £4.9–5.2bn, operating margin 18–20%, free cash flow £5.0–5.3bn and return on capital 23–26%; divisional midterm margins include Civil Aerospace 21–23% (installed fleet growth 6–7% p.a.), Power Systems 18–20% (OE growth in Power Gen and Governmental ~20% p.a.), and Defence 14–16%. They expect net LTSA balance growth of c.£0.8–1.2bn to midterm with large‑engine flying hours rising to 130–140% of 2019 and shop visits peaking in 2026 then falling to 1,300–1,400 in 2028, assume a blended FX of ~$1.33/£ (vs $1.44 in 2025), and built in material LTSA margin upside (contract margins up ~19pp 2022–28 with an incremental +2pp contract and +8pp LTSA improvement vs prior targets); capital returns include a £7–9bn buyback program 2026–28 (£2.5bn in 2026 including £200m already executed) alongside a 2025 final dividend of 5p (full year 9.5p, 32% payout) and a commitment to return >75% of FCF 2026–28.

Rolls-Royce Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong turnaround with sharp profitability and cash-flow improvement (income statement and cash flow are solid), but balance-sheet risk remains a key constraint due to meaningful leverage despite the return to positive equity.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.74B18.91B16.49B13.52B11.22B
Gross Profit5.79B4.22B3.62B2.76B2.14B
EBITDA6.01B3.48B3.74B1.25B996.00M
Net Income5.71B2.52B2.41B-1.27B120.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.05B35.69B31.51B29.45B28.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.51B5.36B3.52B2.40B2.55B
Total Debt4.27B5.13B5.76B5.96B7.78B
Total Liabilities35.36B36.57B35.14B35.47B33.31B
Stockholders Equity2.72B-912.00M-3.68B-6.05B-4.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.68B2.90B1.77B1.25B-818.00M
Operating Cash Flow4.29B3.78B2.48B1.85B-259.00M
Investing Cash Flow-885.17M-831.00M-726.00M826.00M-428.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.77B-1.05B-549.00M-2.87B-88.00M

Rolls-Royce Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.34
Price Trends
50DMA
16.75
Positive
100DMA
16.08
Positive
200DMA
15.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Negative
RSI
57.19
Neutral
STOCH
70.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYCEY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.93, above the 50-day MA of 16.75, and above the 200-day MA of 15.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RYCEY.

Rolls-Royce Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$98.01B19.5726.50%1.55%-0.14%72.35%
75
Outperform
$272.74B36.5410.62%1.44%8.79%39.63%
74
Outperform
$143.54B22.2680.53%2.77%2.88%-35.15%
72
Outperform
$144.32B17.17227.54%0.87%12.65%153.93%
70
Outperform
$328.30B37.7645.88%0.48%-19.21%31.83%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$172.93B74.05-94.94%10.19%-6.03%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYCEY
Rolls-Royce
17.17
8.29
93.43%
BA
Boeing
220.06
64.54
41.50%
GE
GE Aerospace
313.02
132.47
73.37%
LMT
Lockheed Martin
623.87
172.50
38.22%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
690.57
182.64
35.96%
RTX
RTX
203.19
78.23
62.60%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 31, 2026