Runway Growth Finance Corp (RWAY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $398.12M
• Dividend Yield: 15.01%
• Average Volume (3M): 281.39K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.55
• Revenue Growth: -2.83%
• EPS Growth: 75.00%
• Country: US
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 81
• Industry: Financial - Credit Services
• EPS (TTM): 0.42
• Shares Outstanding: 37,347,427
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 294,327
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 281,393
• PEG Ratio: -1.12
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.82
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -1.32
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.56
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.18
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 9.60
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 14.87
• 1Y Price Target: $10.45
• Price Target Upside: -3.15% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6

• Rating: 63 Neutral
• Price Target: ―

Runway Growth Finance Corp faces significant financial performance challenges with declining revenue and negative net income, which are partially offset by a strong balance sheet with no debt. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, though the valuation is attractive with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. The earnings call provided a mixed outlook with strategic positives but financial concerns, leading to an overall score of 63.

Positive Factors

Acquisitions and Reorganizations

Gynesonics was marked up additionally on its pending acquisition, while Snagajob improved on its reorganization after it was acquired.

Business Sale

FiscalNote agreed to sell a business for $40 million in cash.

Net Asset Value

NAV improved 3% sequentially and 4.9% from two quarters ago.

Negative Factors

Dividend Policy

The base dividend was lowered to $0.33 in accord with a new 'capital preservation' policy.

Portfolio Diversity

Portfolio diversity (only 31 unique debt names) remains a headwind to valuation.

Top Line Yields

Top line yields dropped on base rates and non-recurring income.

Runway Growth Finance Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Runway Growth Finance Corp. is a business development company specializing investments in senior-secured loans to late stage and growth companies. It prefers to make investments in companies engaged in the technology, life sciences, healthcare and information services, business services and select consumer services and products sectors. It prefers to investments in companies engaged in electronic equipment and instruments, systems software, hardware, storage and peripherals and specialized consumer services, application software, healthcare technology, internet software and services, data processing and outsourced services, internet retail, human resources and employment services, biotechnology, healthcare equipment and education services. It invests in senior secured loans between $10 million and $75 million.

How the Company Makes Money

Runway Growth Finance Corp generates revenue primarily through the interest income earned on its portfolio of senior secured loans. The company extends these loans to high-growth companies, typically with venture capital backing, across various sectors such as technology and life sciences. Interest payments on the principal amount of the loans represent the main source of revenue. Additionally, Runway Growth Finance may earn fees on the origination of loans and other related financial services. The company's earnings are influenced by the quality of its loan portfolio, interest rate environments, and its ability to identify and partner with suitable high-growth companies. Strong relationships with venture capital firms and other financial institutions also play a critical role in identifying potential lending opportunities, thereby contributing to the company's revenue streams.

Runway Growth Finance Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Runway Growth Finance Corp is encountering profitability and cash flow challenges, with declining revenue and negative net income impacting financial performance. Despite a strong balance sheet with no debt, the company must focus on enhancing revenue streams and profitability to improve overall financial health.

Income Statement

The company has shown a decline in revenue from $145.8M to $144.6M, indicating a slight negative revenue growth. However, the gross profit margin has improved from 75.5% to 100% due to the entire revenue being recognized as gross profit, which might be due to accounting classifications. EBIT margin decreased from 60% to 44.1%, and net income turned negative, impacting net profit margin adversely. The overall profitability trajectory is concerning due to declining EBIT and negative net income.

Balance Sheet

Runway Growth Finance showcases a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 47.2%. The debt-to-equity ratio improved significantly with no debt in the latest year, reducing financial risk. However, the return on equity dropped to zero due to the lack of net income, highlighting challenges in generating returns for shareholders.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow decreased from $112.4M to $69.8M, which is a significant drop, indicating reduced cash generation capability. Free cash flow is positive but has decreased from the prior year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is undefined due to zero net income, and reliance on operating cash flow is evident to maintain free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	147.40M	144.63M	145.82M	42.19M	51.71M	51.38M
Gross Profit	106.08M	85.89M	110.06M	16.46M	31.90M	36.77M
EBITDA	56.13M	73.61M	-33.93M	0.00	0.00	0.00
Net Income	77.16M	73.61M	44.34M	4.70M	45.62M	46.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.03B	1.09B	1.08B	1.14B	738.35M	639.89M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	18.36M	5.75M	44.97M	1.12B	4.70M	14.89M
Total Debt	0.00	552.33M	510.08M	548.96M	79.49M	97.42M
Total Liabilities	529.61M	576.49M	532.08M	565.71M	132.15M	173.65M
Stockholders Equity	503.29M	514.87M	547.07M	576.05M	606.19M	466.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	123.46M	69.76M	112.44M	-359.85M	-61.25M	-106.09M
Operating Cash Flow	119.23M	69.76M	112.44M	-359.85M	-61.25M	-106.09M
Investing Cash Flow	-25.17M	0.00	0.00	-453.82M	-120.84M	168.61M
Financing Cash Flow	-63.28M	-66.98M	-115.23M	360.91M	51.06M	75.18M

Runway Growth Finance Corp Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 10.79
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RWAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.26, above the 50-day MA of 9.69, and above the 200-day MA of 9.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.27 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RWAY.

Runway Growth Finance Corp Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FINV	84 Outperform	$2.34B	6.72	17.91%	3.00%	5.13%	25.93%
AGM	79 Outperform	$2.08B	12.09	13.51%	3.07%	25.81%	-1.60%
YRD	73 Outperform	$521.03M	2.83	14.69%	3.65%	12.45%	-36.64%
BBDC	70 Outperform	$965.22M	9.79	8.24%	13.52%	3.82%	-12.74%
OMF	68 Neutral	$6.93B	12.32	17.46%	7.14%	9.07%	―
Sector *	67 Neutral	¥713.20B	10.86	7.42%	3.37%	7.74%	16.12%
RWAY	63 Neutral	$398.12M	6.39	12.28%	15.01%	-2.83%	75.00%

Runway Growth Finance Corp Corporate Events

Runway Growth Finance Expands Board with New Directors

Runway Growth Finance Corp., a Maryland corporation, announced changes to its Board of Directors on March 13, 2025. John Engel resigned as a director, effective March 21, 2025, with no disagreements with the company. Jennifer Kwon Chou was elected as an independent director, along with Robert Warshauer, Alexander Duka, and Ted Goldthorpe, who will also serve as the chair of the Board. These appointments, effective March 21, 2025, are part of the Board’s expansion from five to eight directors, enhancing the company’s strategic and governance capabilities.