Rivian Automotive (RIVN) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $16.64B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 39.88M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.23
• Revenue Growth: 2.73%
• EPS Growth: 45.63%
• Country: US
• Employees: 14,861
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Auto - Manufacturers
• EPS (TTM): -0.80
• Shares Outstanding: 1,209,521,500
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 33,813,335
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 39,877,804
• PEG Ratio: 0.16
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.05
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.71
• P/FCF Ratio: -4.72
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.80
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.58
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: -59.78
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -6.66
• 1Y Price Target: $13.69
• Price Target Upside: -0.15% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 22

• Rating: 46 Neutral
• Price Target: $12.50 ▼(-8.83% Downside)

Rivian's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which shows revenue growth but significant profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation metrics reflect ongoing losses. The earnings call provided some positive strategic insights, but challenges remain.

Positive Factors

Strategic Partnerships

The strategic investment from Volkswagen strengthens Rivian's financial position and provides capital for growth initiatives, enhancing its competitive edge.

Software and Services Growth

Growth in software and services diversifies revenue streams and supports long-term sustainability, leveraging technology for competitive advantage.

Tariff Relief Prospects

Potential tariff relief could lower costs for Rivian, improving profitability and competitiveness in the U.S. market, supporting long-term growth.

Negative Factors

Profitability Challenges

Ongoing profitability issues with negative margins highlight the need for cost management and efficiency improvements to ensure long-term viability.

Regulatory and Tariff Challenges

Regulatory and tariff challenges could pressure margins and profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments to mitigate long-term financial impact.

Production Volume Decrease

Decreased production volumes due to supply chain issues can hinder revenue growth and market share expansion, impacting long-term business stability.

Rivian Automotive Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rivian Automotive, Inc. is an American electric vehicle manufacturer headquartered in Plymouth, Michigan. Founded in 2009, the company specializes in designing and producing electric trucks and SUVs, with a focus on adventure-oriented vehicles that combine utility and sustainability. Rivian's flagship products include the R1T electric pickup truck and the R1S electric SUV, both built on a flexible skateboard platform that accommodates various configurations and battery sizes. The company aims to redefine the automotive landscape by offering innovative electric solutions for outdoor enthusiasts and environmentally conscious consumers.

How the Company Makes Money

Rivian generates revenue primarily through the sale of its electric vehicles, notably the R1T and R1S models. The company has also established a reservation system, allowing customers to place deposits on vehicles before their official release, which helps to gauge demand and secure early funding. Additional revenue streams include the sale of accessories and services related to their vehicles. Rivian has formed strategic partnerships, notably with Amazon, which has invested in the company and ordered a fleet of electric delivery vans, providing a significant revenue stream. The company also explores potential revenue from charging networks and software services, including over-the-air updates and autonomous driving features, contributing to its long-term growth strategy.

Rivian Automotive Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Rivian Automotive is experiencing revenue growth but faces significant profitability and cash flow challenges. High leverage and negative margins are key risks, requiring strategic improvements in cost management and operational efficiency.

Income Statement

Rivian Automotive shows a slight improvement in revenue growth, with a 2.9% increase in the TTM period. However, the company continues to face significant challenges with negative gross, net, EBIT, and EBITDA margins, indicating ongoing profitability issues. The negative margins reflect high costs relative to revenue, which is a concern for long-term sustainability.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.96 in the TTM period, indicating higher leverage compared to previous years. While the equity ratio remains relatively stable, the negative return on equity highlights the company's struggle to generate profits from shareholders' investments. The balance sheet shows a need for improved financial management to enhance profitability and reduce leverage.

Cash Flow

Rivian's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative free cash flow growth and a negative operating cash flow to net income ratio. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to cover net losses, but the overall cash flow position indicates a need for better cash management and cost control to achieve positive cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	5.15B	4.97B	4.43B	1.66B	55.00M	0.00
Gross Profit	-222.00M	-1.20B	-2.03B	-3.12B	-465.00M	-29.00M
EBITDA	-1.99B	-3.39B	-4.27B	-5.99B	-4.46B	-981.00M
Net Income	-3.50B	-4.75B	-5.43B	-6.75B	-4.72B	-1.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	15.60B	15.41B	16.78B	17.88B	22.29B	4.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	7.51B	7.70B	9.37B	11.57B	18.13B	2.98B
Total Debt	6.33B	5.00B	4.92B	1.81B	1.53B	180.00M
Total Liabilities	9.52B	8.85B	7.64B	4.08B	2.78B	5.99B
Stockholders Equity	6.07B	6.56B	9.14B	13.80B	19.51B	-1.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-1.22B	-2.86B	-5.89B	-6.42B	-4.42B	-1.76B
Operating Cash Flow	183.00M	-1.72B	-4.87B	-5.05B	-2.62B	-848.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-2.00B	-1.98B	-2.51B	-1.37B	-1.79B	-914.00M
Financing Cash Flow	858.00M	1.14B	3.13B	99.00M	19.83B	2.50B

Rivian Automotive Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 13.71
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RIVN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.19, below the 50-day MA of 13.77, and above the 200-day MA of 13.15, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RIVN.

Rivian Automotive Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TSLA	―	$1.53T	308.37	7.03%	―	-1.56%	-59.09%
LI	―	$21.20B	19.92	11.91%	―	7.49%	-21.06%
Sector *	―	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
XPEV	―	$21.69B	―	-13.34%	―	66.53%	48.17%
NIO	―	$14.85B	―	-329.46%	―	9.60%	-5.91%
RIVN	―	$16.64B	―	-54.42%	―	2.73%	45.63%
LCID	―	$5.54B	―	-54.39%	―	39.01%	7.12%

Rivian Automotive Corporate Events

Rivian Settles Securities Litigation for $250 Million

Rivian Automotive, Inc. announced on October 23, 2025, that it has agreed to settle a securities class action litigation from 2022, which was pending in the United States District Court for the Central District of California. The company, while denying any wrongdoing, has agreed to pay $250 million to resolve the claims, allowing it to focus its resources on the upcoming launch of its mass market R2 vehicle in the first half of 2026. The settlement is subject to court approval and will be funded through a combination of insurance and cash on hand.

The most recent analyst rating on (RIVN) stock is a Sell with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rivian Automotive stock, see the RIVN Stock Forecast page.

Rivian Reports Q3 2025 Production and Delivery Figures

On October 2, 2025, Rivian announced its production and delivery figures for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, with 10,720 vehicles produced and 13,201 delivered, aligning with its outlook. The company narrowed its 2025 delivery guidance to 41,500 to 43,500 vehicles and plans to release its third-quarter financial results on November 4, 2025, followed by an audio webcast to discuss business performance and outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (RIVN) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rivian Automotive stock, see the RIVN Stock Forecast page.

Rivian Earnings Call: Progress Amid Challenges

Rivian Automotive, Inc. recently held its earnings call, reflecting a balanced sentiment. The company showcased notable progress in vehicle development, software and services growth, and a strengthened financial position. However, these positive developments are tempered by significant challenges in production, regulatory credits, and increased tariffs, leading to a neutral overall sentiment.

Rivian’s Q2 2025: Progress Amid Challenges

Rivian Automotive, Inc., a prominent player in the electric vehicle industry, continues to innovate with its technology-driven approach, focusing on electric trucks and SUVs. The company is known for its commitment to vertical integration and direct-to-consumer sales, setting it apart in the competitive EV market.