Rivian Automotive (RIVN) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $22.58B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 57.20M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.17
• Revenue Growth: 28.21%
• EPS Growth: 44.43%
• Country: US
• Employees: 14,861
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Auto - Manufacturers
• EPS (TTM): -0.66
• Shares Outstanding: 1,222,000,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 50,172,073
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 57,203,548
• PEG Ratio: 0.16
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.05
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.71
• P/FCF Ratio: -4.72
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.70
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.71
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 130.63
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -6.88
• 1Y Price Target: $14.82
• Price Target Upside: -20.75% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 19
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 58 Neutral
• Price Target: $19.00 ▲(1.60% Upside)

Rivian's stock score is primarily influenced by its strong technical momentum and strategic partnerships, which are offset by ongoing profitability challenges and negative valuation metrics. The company's financial performance shows some improvement, but significant hurdles remain in achieving sustainable profitability.

Positive Factors

Strategic Partnerships

The partnership with Volkswagen enhances Rivian's revenue streams and strengthens its market position, supporting long-term growth.

Technological Advancements

Rivian's advancements in autonomy and AI technology position it as a leader in EV innovation, enhancing its competitive edge.

Strong Balance Sheet

A strong balance sheet with substantial cash reserves provides Rivian with the financial flexibility to invest in growth and innovation.

Negative Factors

Cash Flow Challenges

Ongoing cash flow challenges could hinder Rivian's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, impacting long-term sustainability.

Profitability Concerns

Continued unprofitability raises concerns about Rivian's ability to achieve sustainable financial performance in the long term.

High Adjusted EBITDA Loss

High EBITDA losses reflect operational inefficiencies, challenging Rivian's path to profitability and financial stability.

Rivian Automotive Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rivian Automotive, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles and accessories. The company offers five-passenger pickup trucks and sports utility vehicles. It provides Rivian Commercial Vehicle platform for electric Delivery Van with collaboration with Amazon.com. The company sells its products directly to customers in the consumer and commercial markets. Rivian Automotive, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in San Jose, California.

How the Company Makes Money

Rivian generates revenue primarily through the sale of its electric vehicles, notably the R1T and R1S models. The company has also established a reservation system, allowing customers to place deposits on vehicles before their official release, which helps to gauge demand and secure early funding. Additional revenue streams include the sale of accessories and services related to their vehicles. Rivian has formed strategic partnerships, notably with Amazon, which has invested in the company and ordered a fleet of electric delivery vans, providing a significant revenue stream. The company also explores potential revenue from charging networks and software services, including over-the-air updates and autonomous driving features, contributing to its long-term growth strategy.

Rivian Automotive Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Rivian Automotive shows improvement in revenue and gross profit margins, but remains unprofitable with negative net profit and EBIT margins. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage, but negative return on equity and cash flow challenges persist, indicating a need for better cash management.

Income Statement

Rivian Automotive's income statement shows a significant improvement in gross profit margin from negative to positive over the TTM, indicating better cost management. However, the company remains unprofitable with a negative net profit margin and EBIT margin, reflecting ongoing operational challenges. Revenue growth is positive, but the high negative margins suggest profitability is still a distant goal.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. However, the negative return on equity highlights the company's struggle to generate profits from its equity base. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid asset base, but profitability remains a concern.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a significant decline in free cash flow, indicating cash burn issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some operational cash generation, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow challenges. The company needs to improve cash management to support growth.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	5.83B	4.97B	4.43B	1.66B	55.00M	0.00
Gross Profit	121.00M	-1.20B	-2.03B	-3.12B	-465.00M	-29.00M
EBITDA	-2.30B	-3.39B	-4.27B	-5.99B	-4.46B	-981.00M
Net Income	-3.58B	-4.75B	-5.43B	-6.75B	-4.69B	-1.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	15.22B	15.41B	16.78B	17.88B	22.29B	4.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	7.09B	7.70B	9.37B	11.57B	18.13B	2.98B
Total Debt	4.97B	5.74B	4.92B	1.81B	1.61B	180.00M
Total Liabilities	10.13B	8.85B	7.64B	4.08B	2.78B	5.99B
Stockholders Equity	5.07B	6.56B	9.14B	13.80B	19.51B	-1.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-489.00M	-2.86B	-5.89B	-6.42B	-4.42B	-1.76B
Operating Cash Flow	1.08B	-1.72B	-4.87B	-5.05B	-2.62B	-848.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-2.89B	-1.98B	-2.51B	-1.37B	-1.79B	-914.00M
Financing Cash Flow	851.00M	1.14B	3.13B	99.00M	19.83B	2.50B

Rivian Automotive Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 18.70
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RIVN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.61, above the 50-day MA of 15.02, and above the 200-day MA of 13.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RIVN.

Rivian Automotive Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TSLA	73 Outperform	$1.53T	317.59	7.03%	―	-1.56%	-59.09%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
RIVN	58 Neutral	$22.58B	-6.01	-65.28%	―	28.21%	44.43%
LI	55 Neutral	$17.53B	27.85	6.53%	―	-10.00%	-54.75%
XPEV	50 Neutral	$18.49B	-43.98	-9.01%	―	86.57%	51.35%
NIO	45 Neutral	$11.61B	-3.43	-296.45%	―	14.94%	2.53%
LCID	41 Neutral	$4.07B	-1.10	-61.12%	―	45.86%	22.13%

Rivian Automotive Corporate Events

Rivian Approves New Stock Option for CEO

On November 6, 2025, Rivian Automotive‘s Board of Directors approved a new performance-based stock option for CEO Dr. Robert J. Scaringe, replacing a previous award from 2021. The new option allows the purchase of up to 36.5 million shares, contingent on achieving significant stock price and financial performance goals, designed to retain and incentivize Dr. Scaringe as Rivian progresses its technology roadmap and launches new products. Additionally, Dr. Scaringe received a profits interest award from Mind Robotics, a subsidiary of Rivian, providing him with a 10% economic interest once certain profit thresholds are met.

Rivian Settles Securities Litigation for $250 Million

Rivian Automotive, Inc. announced on October 23, 2025, that it has agreed to settle a securities class action litigation from 2022, which was pending in the United States District Court for the Central District of California. The company, while denying any wrongdoing, has agreed to pay $250 million to resolve the claims, allowing it to focus its resources on the upcoming launch of its mass market R2 vehicle in the first half of 2026. The settlement is subject to court approval and will be funded through a combination of insurance and cash on hand.

Rivian Reports Q3 2025 Production and Delivery Figures

On October 2, 2025, Rivian announced its production and delivery figures for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, with 10,720 vehicles produced and 13,201 delivered, aligning with its outlook. The company narrowed its 2025 delivery guidance to 41,500 to 43,500 vehicles and plans to release its third-quarter financial results on November 4, 2025, followed by an audio webcast to discuss business performance and outlook.