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XPeng, Inc. ADR
(NYSE:XPEV)
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Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▼(-28.18% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/12/26
The score reflects improving financial trajectory (margin recovery and positive 2025 cash flow) and supportive forward guidance, but it is held back by continued lack of sustained profitability, higher leverage, and a weak technical trend with the stock trading below key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Margin Improvement
Consistent high revenue growth with meaningful gross margin expansion reflects improving unit economics and product mix. Sustained mix toward higher-margin SKUs and cost reductions support longer-term margin recovery, making profitability achievable as volumes scale and fixed costs leverage.
Negative Factors
Ongoing Unprofitability
Despite margin gains, the company remains unprofitable at the operating and net levels. Persistent negative operating margins mean long-term viability depends on continuing margin expansion and delivery scale; failure to sustain improvements would keep earnings negative and strain cash over cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & Margin Improvement
Consistent high revenue growth with meaningful gross margin expansion reflects improving unit economics and product mix. Sustained mix toward higher-margin SKUs and cost reductions support longer-term margin recovery, making profitability achievable as volumes scale and fixed costs leverage.
Read all positive factors
XPeng, Inc. ADR Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Vehicle Deliveries
Tracks the number of vehicles delivered to customers, indicating sales performance, market demand, and production efficiency.
Tracks the number of vehicles delivered to customers, indicating sales performance, market demand, and production efficiency.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyXPeng, Inc. ADR (XPEV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$12.50B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)7.19M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.02
Revenue Growth49.73%
EPS Growth54.60%
CountryUS
Employees19,884
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-3.83
Shares Outstanding783,716,060
10 Day Avg. Volume6,860,607
30 Day Avg. Volume7,193,487
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.98
Price to Book (P/B)2.22
Price to Sales (P/S)0.90
P/FCF Ratio13.74
Enterprise Value/Market Cap8.75
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.49
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit7.49
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-58.36
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$22.94Price Target Upside26.73% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)-1.01
Revenue Forecast (FY)$93.61B
XPeng, Inc. ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Operating within the People's Republic of China, XPeng Inc. is an innovator in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, focusing on the creation and sale of intelligent, connected automobiles. It handles the entire process from conceptualization to marke...
How the Company Makes Money
XPeng primarily makes money by selling smart electric vehicles to customers, which is recorded as automotive sales revenue. It also generates revenue from providing related services, which can include items such as maintenance and repair services,...
XPeng, Inc. ADR Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 28, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a mix of near-term financial weakness and strong forward-looking operational momentum. Q1 results showed significant revenue and delivery declines and returned the company to a net loss, driven by lower volumes and higher input costs. Offsetting these headwinds, management provided aggressive Q2 guidance (large QoQ increases in deliveries and revenue), highlighted successful product launches (GX, Turing SoC upgrades, continued Mona M3 leadership), meaningful international traction, improving YoY gross margins, a solid cash balance (RMB 42.09 billion) and a clear multi-year strategy focused on physical AI (robotaxi, humanoid robots, VLA 2.0). The outlook is optimistic but execution- and timing-dependent given elevated R&D spend, supply ramp constraints, regulatory uncertainties and the sharp recent QoQ revenue decline.Positive Updates
Strong Q2 Guidance with Large QoQ Growth Expected
Management guided Q2 deliveries of 100,000–106,000 units (implying +59.5% to +69.1% quarter-over-quarter) and revenue of RMB 19.6 billion–RMB 20.8 billion (implying +50.4% to +59.6% quarter-over-quarter), signaling an expected sharp recovery in volumes and top-line vs Q1.
Negative Updates
Q1 Revenue and Vehicle Revenue Declines
Total revenue for Q1 2026 was RMB 13.03 billion, down 17.6% year-over-year and down 41.4% quarter-over-quarter. Revenue from vehicle sales was RMB 11.00 billion, down 23.5% year-over-year and down 42.3% quarter-over-quarter, mainly due to lower deliveries.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Q2 Guidance with Large QoQ Growth Expected
Management guided Q2 deliveries of 100,000–106,000 units (implying +59.5% to +69.1% quarter-over-quarter) and revenue of RMB 19.6 billion–RMB 20.8 billion (implying +50.4% to +59.6% quarter-over-quarter), signaling an expected sharp recovery in volumes and top-line vs Q1.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided Q2 2026 deliveries of 100,000–106,000 vehicles (up 59.5%–69.1% q/q from Q1’s 62,680) and revenue of RMB 19.6–20.8 billion (up 50.4%–59.6% q/q from Q1’s RMB 13.03 billion), said Q2 total gross margin should be roughly flat with Q1 (Q1 total gross margin 20.6%; vehicle margin 12.1%), and reiterated that deliveries should grow q/q in each remaining quarter with Q2 expected to show >60% q/q growth; international momentum (April monthly international deliveries >6,000) should push international revenue to >20% of total starting Q2 and management targets sustained monthly overseas deliveries >10,000 in Q4 and to more than double full‑year overseas deliveries. They also flagged product and technology milestones tied to guidance: launch/deliveries of GX and three new SUVs in the next six months (GX ultra‑flagship ASP >RMB 350,000, >80% of initial orders), a VLA 2.0 upgrade planned for Q3 (VLA 2.0 ADAS penetration >50% in April), four H2 global model launches, mass‑production target for humanoid robots by year‑end with commercial deliveries in 1Q27, and a cash balance of RMB 42.09 billion as of March 31, 2026.XPeng, Inc. ADR Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 73.56B | 74.63B | 40.87B | 30.68B | 26.86B | 20.99B |
| Gross Profit | 14.61B | 14.08B | 5.85B | 451.15M | 3.09B | 2.62B |
| EBITDA | -1.88B | 2.26B | -2.91B | -8.02B | -7.58B | -3.94B |
| Net Income | -2.25B | -1.11B | -5.79B | -10.38B | -9.14B | -4.86B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 100.44B | 103.16B | 82.71B | 84.16B | 71.49B | 65.65B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 37.12B | 34.96B | 32.72B | 31.67B | 31.22B | 39.72B |
| Total Debt | 41.34B | 19.55B | 15.94B | 15.39B | 12.83B | 5.05B |
| Total Liabilities | 72.08B | 72.79B | 51.43B | 47.83B | 34.58B | 23.50B |
| Stockholders Equity | 28.35B | 30.37B | 31.27B | 36.33B | 36.91B | 42.15B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 4.91B | -4.44B | -1.36B | -12.91B | -5.41B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 8.26B | -2.01B | 956.16M | -8.23B | -1.09B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -7.33B | -1.26B | 631.17M | 4.85B | -33.08B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 514.76M | 669.32M | 8.02B | 6.00B | 14.63B |
XPeng, Inc. ADR Technical Analysis
Negative
18.10
Price Trends
14.94
Negative
16.36
Negative
18.65
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.60
Negative
40.52
Neutral
56.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XPEV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.28, above the 50-day MA of 14.94, and below the 200-day MA of 18.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XPEV.
XPeng, Inc. ADR Risk Analysis
XPeng, Inc. ADR disclosed 115 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. XPeng, Inc. ADR reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
We and certain of our directors and officers may be named as defendants in one or several shareholder class action lawsuits. Q4, 2023
2.
We recorded a significant amount of indefinite-lived intangible assets and goodwill in connection with our acquisitions, and we may incur material impairment charges to our indefinite-lived intangible assets and goodwill if the recoverability of these assets become substantially reduced. Q4, 2023
3.
We have entered into collaborations, and may establish or seek collaborations, and we may not timely realize the benefits of such arrangements. Q4, 2023
XPeng, Inc. ADR Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
52 Neutral | $25.30B | -6.13 | -69.98% | ― | 10.43% | 21.58% | |
49 Neutral | $12.50B | -37.85 | -7.56% | ― | 49.73% | 54.60% | |
47 Neutral | $12.20B | -8.20 | -328.93% | ― | 51.42% | 66.12% | |
46 Neutral | $12.19B | -46.18 | -2.49% | ― | -23.38% | -123.25% | |
46 Neutral | $2.17B | -0.44 | -193.02% | ― | 61.03% | -5.36% | |
42 Neutral | $7.14B | -1.76 | 61.92% | ― | 74.15% | -29.12% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
XPEV
XPeng, Inc. ADR
13.03
-4.61
-26.13%
NIO
Nio
4.78
0.61
14.63%
LI
Li Auto
12.10
-16.55
-57.77%
LCID
Lucid Group
5.55
-17.15
-75.55%
VFS
VinFast Auto
3.05
-0.49
-13.84%
RIVN
Rivian Automotive
17.48
4.73
37.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.