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XPeng, Inc. ADR (XPEV)
NYSE:XPEV
US Market

XPeng, Inc. ADR (XPEV) AI Stock Analysis

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XPeng, Inc. ADR

(NYSE:XPEV)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$19.00
▲(0.80%Upside)
XPeng's stock score is influenced significantly by its robust earnings call, pointing towards strong growth potential and future profitability. However, financial performance and valuation remain weak due to ongoing net losses and negative cash flows, while technical analysis reflects a bearish trend.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance and Growth
Analysts have raised their volume forecasts and expect XPeng to reach net profit breakeven earlier than previously anticipated, reflecting confidence in the company's growth prospects.
Sales and Market Performance
The G7 received strong initial demand with 10,000 pre-sale orders in just an hour, indicating robust sales momentum.
Technology and Innovation
XPeng's G7 model features advanced technology, such as the Huawei co-developed AR-HUD and AI Turing smart driving chips, which are expected to enhance its appeal in the market.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
The recent price competition by BYD, Changan, Chery, and Leapmotor on entry-level models makes M03 Plus less competitive.
Stock Volatility
As XPeng's share price has increased significantly, there may be some profit-taking or flip trades following the G7 launch, potentially leading to short-term stock volatility.

XPeng, Inc. ADR (XPEV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

XPeng, Inc. ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXPeng Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets smart electric vehicles in the People's Republic of China. It offers SUVs under the G3 and G3i names; four-door sports sedans under the P7 name; and family sedans under the P5 name. The company also provides sales contracts, maintenance, super charging, vehicle leasing, insurance agency, ride-hailing, technical support, automotive loan referral and auto financing, music subscription, and other services. XPeng Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyXPeng, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its electric vehicles, which constitute the bulk of its income. The company offers various models that appeal to different consumer segments, thereby widening its market reach. Additionally, XPeng invests in developing proprietary software and autonomous driving technologies, which enhance the value proposition of its vehicles. The company also explores ancillary revenue streams through services such as vehicle leasing, charging solutions, and after-sales services. XPeng has established key partnerships with technology firms and suppliers to bolster its technology capabilities and supply chain efficiency, which in turn supports its revenue growth.

XPeng, Inc. ADR Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Vehicle Deliveries
Vehicle Deliveries
Shows the number of vehicles delivered to customers, offering a direct measure of sales performance, market demand, and production efficiency.
Chart InsightsXPeng's vehicle deliveries have surged, reaching a record 94,008 units in Q1 2025, marking a 331% year-over-year increase. This growth is driven by successful international expansion and advancements in AI technology. Despite a slight quarter-over-quarter revenue decline and increased expenses, the company anticipates achieving profitability by Q4 2025, supported by improved vehicle margins and a favorable product mix. XPeng's strategic focus on scaling operations and cost reduction is expected to sustain this momentum, with Q2 deliveries projected to further increase significantly.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

XPeng, Inc. ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 21, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance in terms of delivery growth and international expansion. Despite a slight quarter-over-quarter revenue decline and increased expenses, the significant year-over-year growth and strategic advancements in AI and technology suggest a positive trajectory. The sentiment is tempered by ongoing net losses.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Q1 Deliveries
XPeng's Q1 deliveries totaled 94,008 units, marking a 331% year-over-year increase and establishing a new historical record for quarterly deliveries.
Improved Gross Margin
Vehicle gross margin has improved for seven consecutive quarters, with the company's overall gross margin reaching a record high of 15.6% in Q1 2025.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow exceeded RMB3 billion in Q1 2025.
International Expansion Success
Overseas deliveries soared by more than 31,700 year-over-year. XPeng opened over 40 new stores abroad, entering key markets such as the U.K. and Indonesia.
Advanced AI and Technology Development
XPeng is spearheading integrated innovations powered by AI, including Turing AI-assisted driving and the development of Turing chips.
Strong Revenue Growth Forecast
For Q2 2025, XPeng estimates total vehicle deliveries between 102,000 and 108,000 units, with revenue expected to be between RMB17.5 billion and RMB18.7 billion, reflecting significant year-over-year growth.
Negative Updates
Decreased Quarter-over-Quarter Revenues
Total revenues for Q1 2025 decreased by 1.8% quarter-over-quarter, and revenues from vehicle sales decreased by 2.1% quarter-over-quarter.
R&D and SG&A Expenses Increase
R&D expenses increased by 46.7% year-over-year, and SG&A expenses increased by 40.2% year-over-year, although both saw a quarter-over-quarter decrease.
Continued Net Loss
Net loss was RMB0.66 billion for Q1 2025, though it narrowed compared to both year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter figures.
Company Guidance
In the call, XPeng Inc. provided guidance on their impressive performance and future outlook. For the first quarter of 2025, XPeng achieved record deliveries of 94,008 units, a 331% year-over-year increase, setting a historical high for quarterly deliveries. Their vehicle gross margin continued to improve for the seventh consecutive quarter, reaching a record high of 15.6%, with a significant narrowing of net loss compared to the previous quarter. XPeng's free cash flow exceeded RMB3 billion, and they expect Q2 vehicle deliveries to range from 102,000 to 108,000 units, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 237.7% to 257.5%. Revenue for the second quarter is expected to be between RMB17.5 billion to RMB18.7 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 115.7% to 130.5%. The company anticipates achieving profitability by Q4 2025, driven by enhanced vehicle margins, a favorable product mix, and continued improvements in scale and cost reduction.

XPeng, Inc. ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
XPeng's financial performance shows promising revenue growth, but persistent negative EBIT and net profit margins indicate ongoing operational challenges. The strong asset base is offset by liquidity concerns due to negative free cash flow, necessitating improvements in operational efficiency and cash generation.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
XPeng's revenue has shown consistent growth over the years, with a substantial increase from 2023 to 2024. However, the company remains unprofitable, with negative net income and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has improved, indicating better cost management, but the persistent negative EBIT and net profit margins reflect ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
XPeng has maintained a strong equity base, although the debt-to-equity ratio has increased slightly due to growing liabilities. The company's equity ratio is stable, demonstrating satisfactory asset management. However, the negative net income continues to weigh on return on equity, posing a challenge to achieving financial stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The company's free cash flow remains negative, indicating cash usage for operations and investments exceeds the cash generated. The operating cash flow was zero in the latest period, highlighting potential liquidity concerns. While the company has secured financing, improving cash flow from operations is crucial for long-term sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue50.13B40.87B30.68B26.86B20.99B5.84B
Gross Profit7.46B5.85B451.15M3.09B2.62B265.99M
EBITDA-4.59B-4.97B-8.02B-7.58B-5.45B-2.27B
Net Income-5.09B-5.79B-10.38B-9.14B-4.86B-2.73B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets88.89B82.71B84.16B71.49B65.65B44.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.63B32.72B31.67B30.79B39.72B33.01B
Total Debt17.70B15.94B15.39B11.07B3.24B2.29B
Total Liabilities58.18B51.43B47.83B34.58B23.50B10.28B
Stockholders Equity30.71B31.27B36.33B36.91B42.15B34.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-4.44B-1.36B-12.91B-5.41B-1.50B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-2.01B956.16M-8.23B-1.09B-139.77M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.26B631.17M4.85B-33.08B-4.41B
Financing Cash Flow0.00669.32M8.02B6.00B14.63B34.33B

XPeng, Inc. ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.85
Price Trends
50DMA
19.57
Negative
100DMA
19.91
Negative
200DMA
16.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.37
Positive
RSI
48.56
Neutral
STOCH
34.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XPEV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.99, below the 50-day MA of 19.57, and above the 200-day MA of 16.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XPEV.

XPeng, Inc. ADR Risk Analysis

XPeng, Inc. ADR disclosed 115 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. XPeng, Inc. ADR reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

XPeng, Inc. ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
LILI
71
Outperform
$26.33B24.5812.22%10.28%-29.75%
62
Neutral
C$5.25B11.0718.94%3.79%5.08%6.52%
51
Neutral
$17.94B-15.52%50.45%49.81%
48
Neutral
$14.75B-53.82%0.58%35.39%
45
Neutral
$6.59B-50.06%40.67%3.40%
VFVFS
45
Neutral
$8.51B36.15%110.83%-66.73%
NINIO
41
Neutral
$7.09B-240.42%23.39%3.93%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XPEV
XPeng, Inc. ADR
18.85
11.40
153.02%
NIO
Nio
3.51
-0.95
-21.30%
LI
Li Auto
25.94
5.75
28.48%
LCID
Lucid Group
2.16
-1.00
-31.65%
VFS
VinFast Auto
3.64
-0.64
-14.95%
RIVN
Rivian Automotive
13.07
-2.42
-15.62%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 05, 2025