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Lucid Group (LCID)
NASDAQ:LCID
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Lucid Group (LCID) AI Stock Analysis

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LCID

Lucid Group

(NASDAQ:LCID)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▼(-2.44% Downside)
Lucid Group's overall stock score reflects significant financial and technical challenges. The most impactful factor is the company's financial performance, marked by high costs and inefficiencies leading to substantial losses. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, with the stock trading well below key moving averages. Valuation metrics are weak, with a negative P/E ratio. Despite these challenges, the earnings call provided some optimism with strong delivery growth and strategic partnerships, but these are overshadowed by ongoing financial and operational hurdles.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Lucid's significant revenue growth reflects strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Strategic Partnerships
These partnerships enhance Lucid's technological capabilities and market reach, positioning it as a leader in autonomous driving and expanding its revenue streams.
Product Expansion
The introduction of new models like the Gravity Touring diversifies Lucid's product offerings, appealing to a wider customer base and driving future sales growth.
Negative Factors
Financial Losses
Ongoing financial losses highlight operational inefficiencies and high costs, which could hinder profitability and require strategic adjustments.
Supply Chain Challenges
Persistent supply chain issues can disrupt production schedules and delivery targets, affecting Lucid's ability to meet market demand and maintain growth.
High Debt Levels
High debt levels increase financial risk and limit flexibility, potentially impacting Lucid's ability to invest in growth and innovation.

Lucid Group (LCID) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lucid Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLucid Group, Inc. a technology and automotive company, develops electric vehicle (EV) technologies. The company designs, engineers, and builds electric vehicles, EV powertrains, and battery systems. As of December 31, 2021, it operates twenty retail studios in the United States. Lucid Group, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Newark, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyLucid Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its electric vehicles, particularly the Lucid Air. The company has a direct-to-consumer sales model, allowing it to retain a larger portion of the sale price compared to traditional dealership models. In addition to vehicle sales, Lucid may also earn revenue from leasing options, as well as ancillary services such as software updates and subscription services for enhanced features. Furthermore, partnerships with energy companies for charging infrastructure and collaborations with technology firms for vehicle integration may contribute to its revenue streams. The company may also explore future revenue opportunities in the form of energy storage solutions, leveraging its expertise in battery technology.

Lucid Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Vehicle Deliveries
Vehicle Deliveries
Tracks the number of vehicles delivered to customers, indicating production efficiency, demand fulfillment, and revenue generation potential.
Chart InsightsLucid Group's vehicle deliveries have shown a robust upward trend, achieving their sixth consecutive quarter of record deliveries. The recent earnings call highlighted a 38% year-over-year increase in deliveries, supported by strategic partnerships with Uber and Nuro, which could drive future growth. However, challenges such as negative gross margins due to tariffs and supply chain issues pose risks. Despite these hurdles, Lucid's strong liquidity position and brand expansion efforts, including a new campaign with Timothée Chalamet, indicate a strategic focus on long-term growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Lucid Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected both significant achievements and ongoing challenges. Lucid demonstrated strong growth in deliveries, strategic partnerships, and increased brand awareness. However, persistent supply chain issues and financial losses pose ongoing challenges. The company remains optimistic about future growth and profitability.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Seventh Consecutive Quarter of Record Deliveries
Lucid Group achieved a seventh consecutive quarter of record delivery numbers despite external challenges. This demonstrates the company's ability to maintain growth momentum.
Strategic Partnerships with Uber and NVIDIA
Lucid secured a $300 million investment from Uber for robotaxis and announced a partnership with NVIDIA to develop Level 4 autonomy, positioning Lucid as a leader in autonomous driving technology.
Increase in Revenue and Market Awareness
Revenue increased by 68% year-over-year, reaching $337 million. The brand awareness campaign led to an 8-point increase in recognition among EV intenders.
Expansion and Production Achievements
Lucid expanded internationally and ramped up production, with Gravity expected to make up the majority of production in Q4. October deliveries showed an increase despite industry trends.
Positive Financial Outlook
Liquidity was strengthened with a facility increase from $750 million to $2 billion. The company expects continued growth and margin improvement.
Negative Updates
Supply Chain Challenges
Lucid faced multiple supply chain crises, including shortages of magnets, aluminum, and chips, which impacted production and delivery schedules.
Production and Delivery Discrepancies
While demand exceeded production, Lucid produced fewer vehicles than planned due to supply chain disruptions, leading to a misalignment with delivery targets.
Ongoing Financial Losses
Lucid reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $718 million, reflecting increased costs from sales, marketing, and ongoing investments.
Company Guidance
During Lucid Group's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided detailed guidance and updates on several metrics. Marc Winterhoff, Interim CEO, highlighted that Lucid achieved its seventh consecutive quarter of record delivery numbers, with 4,078 vehicles delivered, marking a 47% year-over-year increase. Revenue for the quarter was $337 million, reflecting a 68% year-over-year growth. The company also reported a gross margin improvement of approximately 6 points sequentially and an adjusted EBITDA of negative $718 million. Lucid's production reached 3,891 vehicles, with an additional 1,000 vehicles produced for final assembly in Saudi Arabia. The company emphasized its strategic partnerships, including a $300 million investment from Uber, and its collaboration with NVIDIA to develop Level 4 autonomous driving capabilities. Furthermore, Lucid increased its delayed draw term loan facility with the Public Investment Fund to approximately $2 billion, extending its liquidity runway into the first half of 2027. The company reaffirmed its production guidance, aiming to produce around 18,000 units by year-end 2025.

Lucid Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lucid Group faces significant financial challenges, with deeply negative margins and high production costs relative to revenue. The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, and cash flow management issues persist. Despite revenue growth, the company struggles with profitability and operational efficiency.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Lucid Group's income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative margins across the board. The TTM gross profit margin is deeply negative at -99.26%, indicating high production costs relative to revenue. The net profit margin is also concerning at -247.07%, reflecting substantial losses. Despite a revenue growth rate of 14.70% in the TTM, the company struggles with profitability, as shown by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. These figures suggest that while revenue is growing, the company is not yet achieving operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.14 in the TTM, indicating a relatively high level of debt compared to equity, which could pose financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -75.58%, highlighting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. However, the equity ratio is 42.17%, suggesting a reasonable proportion of assets financed by equity. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial instability but with some potential for improvement if profitability issues are addressed.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Lucid Group's cash flow statement indicates ongoing cash flow challenges. The TTM free cash flow growth rate is 9.16%, showing some improvement, yet the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative at -1.75, indicating cash flow issues relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.36, suggesting that while free cash flow is positive relative to net income, the company still faces significant cash flow management challenges. These metrics highlight the need for better cash flow management to support operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.07B807.83M595.27M608.18M27.11M3.98M
Gross Profit-1.04B-923.11M-1.34B-1.04B-127.79M906.00K
EBITDA-1.81B-2.38B-2.57B-1.07B-2.50B-709.29M
Net Income-2.28B-2.71B-2.83B-1.30B-2.58B-719.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.82B9.65B8.51B7.88B7.88B1.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.34B4.03B3.86B3.91B6.26B614.92M
Total Debt2.81B2.48B2.43B2.35B2.21B980.00K
Total Liabilities5.10B5.78B3.66B3.53B3.97B2.72B
Stockholders Equity3.72B3.87B4.85B4.35B3.91B-1.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.40B-2.90B-3.40B-3.30B-1.48B-1.03B
Operating Cash Flow-2.57B-2.02B-2.49B-2.23B-1.06B-570.20M
Investing Cash Flow-21.29M-1.29B-946.98M-3.68B-420.69M-459.58M
Financing Cash Flow2.37B3.55B3.07B1.35B7.14B1.29B

Lucid Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.30
Price Trends
50DMA
19.33
Negative
100DMA
21.08
Negative
200DMA
22.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.99
Positive
RSI
23.95
Positive
STOCH
5.42
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LCID, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.87, below the 50-day MA of 19.33, and below the 200-day MA of 22.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.99 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.95 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.42 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LCID.

Lucid Group Risk Analysis

Lucid Group disclosed 91 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lucid Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lucid Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$17.80B17.1111.91%7.49%-21.06%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
$18.22B-65.28%28.21%44.43%
50
Neutral
$19.22B-9.01%86.57%51.35%
45
Neutral
$12.53B-329.46%9.60%-5.91%
43
Neutral
$4.04B-61.12%45.86%22.13%
41
Neutral
$7.55B74.91%-43.10%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LCID
Lucid Group
12.30
-9.40
-43.32%
NIO
Nio
5.58
0.91
19.49%
LI
Li Auto
18.02
-4.42
-19.70%
XPEV
XPeng, Inc. ADR
20.36
8.74
75.22%
VFS
VinFast Auto
3.23
-0.70
-17.81%
RIVN
Rivian Automotive
14.86
3.26
28.10%

Lucid Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Lucid Group Announces $875M Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, Lucid Group announced a private offering of $875 million in Convertible Senior Notes due 2031, with an option for initial purchasers to buy an additional $100 million. This move aims to repurchase a portion of existing 2026 notes and fund general corporate purposes. Concurrently, Ayar Third Investment Company, a subsidiary of the Public Investment Fund of Saudi Arabia, is expected to engage in a prepaid forward transaction to purchase Lucid’s common stock, potentially influencing the market price of Lucid’s stock and the notes. These financial maneuvers are intended to strengthen Lucid’s market position and provide liquidity for future operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (LCID) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucid Group stock, see the LCID Stock Forecast page.

Lucid Group’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 7, 2025

Lucid Group’s recent earnings call painted a picture of both triumphs and trials. The company celebrated significant growth in deliveries and strategic partnerships, enhancing its brand presence. However, it also acknowledged persistent supply chain issues and financial losses. Despite these challenges, Lucid remains optimistic about its future growth and profitability.

Lucid Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Advances
Nov 6, 2025

Lucid Group, Inc., a Silicon Valley-based technology company, is renowned for producing advanced electric vehicles, including the award-winning Lucid Air and Lucid Gravity SUV, which are assembled in state-of-the-art factories in Arizona and Saudi Arabia. The company is at the forefront of EV technology, focusing on performance, design, and energy efficiency.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Lucid Group Expands Credit Facility to $2 Billion
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Lucid Group announced significant financial and operational developments for the third quarter of 2025. The company reported a 68% increase in revenue to $336.6 million and a 47% rise in vehicle deliveries compared to the same period in 2024. Lucid also increased its credit facility with the Public Investment Fund from $750 million to $2 billion, enhancing its liquidity to $5.5 billion. Key strategic moves included a collaboration with NVIDIA for Level 4 autonomous driving technology and a partnership with Nuro for robotaxi development. Organizational changes were made to accelerate growth and global expansion, alongside the departure of Eric Bach and the appointment of Emad Dlala to senior roles.

The most recent analyst rating on (LCID) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucid Group stock, see the LCID Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
Lucid Group Executes One-for-Ten Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Lucid Group, Inc. implemented a reverse stock split at a ratio of one-for-ten, reducing its common stock from approximately 3,072.6 million to 307.3 million shares. This move, approved by stockholders on August 18, 2025, aims to streamline the company’s equity structure without altering stockholders’ percentage ownership or voting power, except for minor changes due to fractional shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (LCID) stock is a Hold with a $2.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucid Group stock, see the LCID Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
Lucid Group Approves Reverse Stock Split Amendment
Neutral
Aug 22, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Lucid Group, Inc. held a special meeting of stockholders where an amendment to the company’s Third Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation was approved. This amendment allows the company’s Board of Directors to execute a reverse stock split of the common stock, a move that could impact the company’s stock valuation and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (LCID) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucid Group stock, see the LCID Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025