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Lucid Group (LCID)
NASDAQ:LCID
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Lucid Group (LCID) AI Stock Analysis

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LCID

Lucid Group

(NASDAQ:LCID)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-90.24% Downside)
Lucid Group's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and challenging valuation. While the earnings call provided some positive insights into strategic partnerships and vehicle delivery growth, the persistent financial and operational challenges weigh heavily on the stock's outlook.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Uber and Nuro positions Lucid in the growing robotaxi market, potentially expanding revenue streams and enhancing technological capabilities.
Vehicle Delivery Growth
Consistent growth in vehicle deliveries indicates strong demand and effective production capabilities, supporting long-term revenue growth.
Strong Liquidity Position
A robust liquidity position provides financial flexibility to invest in growth initiatives and weather economic uncertainties.
Negative Factors
Negative Gross Margins
Persistently negative gross margins suggest ongoing operational inefficiencies, impacting profitability and long-term financial health.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities, affecting long-term stability.
Supply Chain Challenges
Supply chain disruptions can hinder production efficiency and delay deliveries, impacting revenue growth and operational performance.

Lucid Group (LCID) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lucid Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLucid Group, Inc. is an American automotive company focused on the design and manufacturing of electric vehicles (EVs). Headquartered in Newark, California, Lucid Group specializes in high-performance luxury electric sedans and SUVs, with its flagship product being the Lucid Air, an all-electric luxury sedan that boasts advanced technology and impressive range. The company operates within the automotive and energy sectors, aiming to redefine sustainable transportation through innovative engineering and cutting-edge design.
How the Company Makes MoneyLucid Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its electric vehicles, particularly the Lucid Air. The company has a direct-to-consumer sales model, allowing it to retain a larger portion of the sale price compared to traditional dealership models. In addition to vehicle sales, Lucid may also earn revenue from leasing options, as well as ancillary services such as software updates and subscription services for enhanced features. Furthermore, partnerships with energy companies for charging infrastructure and collaborations with technology firms for vehicle integration may contribute to its revenue streams. The company may also explore future revenue opportunities in the form of energy storage solutions, leveraging its expertise in battery technology.

Lucid Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Vehicle Deliveries
Vehicle Deliveries
Tracks the number of vehicles delivered to customers, indicating production efficiency, demand fulfillment, and revenue generation potential.
Chart InsightsLucid Group's vehicle deliveries have shown a robust upward trend, achieving their sixth consecutive quarter of record deliveries. The recent earnings call highlighted a 38% year-over-year increase in deliveries, supported by strategic partnerships with Uber and Nuro, which could drive future growth. However, challenges such as negative gross margins due to tariffs and supply chain issues pose risks. Despite these hurdles, Lucid's strong liquidity position and brand expansion efforts, including a new campaign with Timothée Chalamet, indicate a strategic focus on long-term growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Lucid Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements such as increased vehicle deliveries, strategic partnerships with Uber and Nuro, and strong brand initiatives. However, there were notable challenges including negative gross margins, supply chain issues, and tariff-related headwinds. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a strong financial position.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Vehicle Deliveries and Production
Lucid delivered 3,309 vehicles, up 38% year-over-year, and produced 3,863 vehicles, up 83% year-over-year, marking their sixth consecutive quarter of record deliveries.
Partnership with Uber and Nuro
Lucid announced a partnership with Uber and Nuro to create a premium robotaxi, with Uber investing $300 million in Lucid. This partnership is seen as an entry into the multitrillion dollar robotaxi market.
Brand Expansion and Marketing Initiatives
Lucid announced Timothée Chalamet as their first-ever global brand ambassador, aiming to raise brand awareness and stimulate demand.
Technological Advancements
Lucid introduced a software update enabling hands-free driving and lane changes, and began production of the 2026 Lucid Air with extended range.
Strong Financial Position
Lucid ended the quarter with $3.6 billion in cash and investments, and total liquidity of $4.86 billion.
Negative Updates
Negative Gross Margin
Lucid reported a negative gross margin of 105%, influenced by a $54 million impact from tariffs.
Challenges with Supply Chain
Lucid faced supply chain issues, particularly with magnet availability originating from China, affecting production.
Tariff-Related Headwinds
Tariff-related margin headwinds were significant, with an anticipated annual impact in the range of 8% to 15%.
Increased Costs
R&D and SG&A expenses increased to $274 million and $257 million respectively, affecting overall financial performance.
Company Guidance
During the Lucid Group's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics, emphasizing significant operational and strategic advancements. Lucid produced 3,863 vehicles, marking an 83% increase year-over-year, and delivered 3,309 vehicles, up 38% from the previous year. Despite these achievements, the gross margin was negatively impacted, in part due to a $54 million tariff-related expense, accounting for a 21 percentage point decrease. The company projected an annual production target of 18,000 to 20,000 vehicles for 2025 and refined its CapEx guidance to $1.1 billion to $1.2 billion. Lucid also announced a strategic partnership with Uber and Nuro, including a $300 million investment from Uber, and plans to deploy 20,000 Lucid Gravity vehicles equipped with Nuro's driver technology over six years. The company ended the quarter with $3.6 billion in cash and investments, supporting its long-term strategic initiatives.

Lucid Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lucid Group faces significant financial challenges, with persistent losses and high leverage. Despite slight revenue growth and improved free cash flow, the overall financial health remains weak due to negative profit margins and high debt levels.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Lucid Group's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has consistently reported negative gross profit margins, with the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) showing a gross profit margin of -99.26%. Net profit margins are also deeply negative, indicating substantial losses relative to revenue. Although there is a slight revenue growth in the TTM, the overall profitability metrics such as EBIT and EBITDA margins remain concerningly negative, reflecting ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.14 in the TTM, indicating increased leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative, highlighting the company's inability to generate profits from shareholders' equity. However, the equity ratio remains relatively stable, suggesting that a significant portion of the company's assets is financed by equity.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates persistent negative operating and free cash flows, although there is a notable improvement in free cash flow growth in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that despite losses, the company manages to convert some of its net income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue928.99M807.83M595.27M608.18M27.11M3.98M
Gross Profit-922.14M-923.11M-1.34B-1.04B-127.79M906.00K
EBITDA-1.87B-2.38B-2.57B-1.07B-2.50B-709.29M
Net Income-2.30B-2.71B-2.83B-1.30B-2.58B-719.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.87B9.65B8.51B7.88B7.88B1.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.83B4.03B3.86B3.91B6.26B614.92M
Total Debt2.74B2.48B2.43B2.08B2.00B980.00K
Total Liabilities6.46B4.48B3.66B3.53B3.97B227.38M
Stockholders Equity2.41B3.87B4.85B4.35B3.91B1.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.64B-2.90B-3.40B-3.30B-1.48B-1.03B
Operating Cash Flow-2.68B-2.02B-2.49B-2.23B-1.06B-570.20M
Investing Cash Flow621.34M-1.29B-946.98M-3.68B-420.69M-459.58M
Financing Cash Flow2.75B3.56B3.07B1.35B7.14B1.29B

Lucid Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price20.50
Price Trends
50DMA
22.62
Negative
100DMA
23.07
Negative
200DMA
24.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.44
Negative
RSI
54.13
Neutral
STOCH
81.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LCID, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 20.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.52, below the 50-day MA of 22.62, and below the 200-day MA of 24.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LCID.

Lucid Group Risk Analysis

Lucid Group disclosed 91 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lucid Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lucid Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
25.96B24.4411.33%7.49%-21.06%
55
Neutral
20.61B-34.56-18.51%66.53%48.17%
51
Neutral
15.67B-4.61-379.72%9.60%-5.91%
49
Neutral
17.45B-4.45-57.76%2.73%45.63%
44
Neutral
7.55B-2.3545.44%79.49%-22.72%
43
Neutral
$6.26B-54.39%39.01%7.12%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LCID
Lucid Group
21.10
-13.80
-39.54%
NIO
Nio
7.37
2.09
39.58%
LI
Li Auto
25.75
4.21
19.55%
XPEV
XPeng, Inc. ADR
21.66
12.06
125.63%
VFS
VinFast Auto
3.23
-0.43
-11.75%
RIVN
Rivian Automotive
14.38
2.67
22.80%

Lucid Group Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
Lucid Group Executes One-for-Ten Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Lucid Group, Inc. implemented a reverse stock split at a ratio of one-for-ten, reducing its common stock from approximately 3,072.6 million to 307.3 million shares. This move, approved by stockholders on August 18, 2025, aims to streamline the company’s equity structure without altering stockholders’ percentage ownership or voting power, except for minor changes due to fractional shares.

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
Lucid Group Approves Reverse Stock Split Amendment
Neutral
Aug 22, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Lucid Group, Inc. held a special meeting of stockholders where an amendment to the company’s Third Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation was approved. This amendment allows the company’s Board of Directors to execute a reverse stock split of the common stock, a move that could impact the company’s stock valuation and market perception.

Stock SplitRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Lucid Group Proposes Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Jul 17, 2025

On July 17, 2025, Lucid Group, Inc. announced the filing of a preliminary proxy statement with the SEC to propose a reverse stock split of its Class A common stock at a one-for-ten ratio. The company believes this move will make its stock more attractive to a broader range of investors, although the completion of the split is subject to stockholder approval and market conditions. The reverse stock split is intended to enhance Lucid’s market positioning, but there is no guarantee it will achieve the desired effects.

Product-Related AnnouncementsPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lucid Group Partners with Uber for Autonomous Vehicles
Positive
Jul 17, 2025

On July 16, 2025, Lucid Group entered into a Vehicle Production Agreement with Uber Technologies to supply a minimum of 20,000 modified Lucid Gravity vehicles for autonomous use on Uber’s platform over six years, starting in late 2026. This partnership, involving Nuro’s autonomous driving software, aims to deploy a fleet of robotaxis globally, enhancing Lucid’s market presence in the autonomous vehicle sector. Additionally, Lucid and Uber’s subsidiary SMB Holding Corporation agreed on a $300 million private placement of Lucid’s Class A common stock to fund the development of these vehicles, expected to close in the third quarter of 2025. This collaboration signifies a significant investment in Lucid’s technology and positions the company to capitalize on the growing autonomous vehicle market.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lucid Group Stockholders Approve Stock Incentive Plan Amendment
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Lucid Group‘s stockholders approved an amendment to the 2021 Stock Incentive Plan, increasing the available shares of Class A common stock by 184 million. This decision, made during the Annual Meeting, potentially strengthens Lucid’s market position by enhancing its ability to incentivize employees and attract talent.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025