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Lucid Group (LCID)
NASDAQ:LCID
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Lucid Group (LCID) AI Stock Analysis

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LCID

Lucid Group

(NASDAQ:LCID)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(0.00%Upside)
Lucid's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which includes significant profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical analysis provides some positive signals, while valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings. The earnings call offers a mixed outlook with both promising developments and ongoing risks.
Positive Factors
Investment and Financing
Uber plans to make a $300 million investment in Lucid as well as an additional investment in Nuro.
Production and Sales
Lucid maintained its 2025 production guidance of 20,000 vehicles, above the pre-release forecast, suggesting strong management expectations for deliveries.
Strategic Partnerships
Lucid announced a three-way partnership with Nuro and Uber to deploy at least 20,000 Lucid Gravity SUVs equipped with Nuro's L4 autonomous technology on the Uber network.
Negative Factors
Financial Uncertainty
It remains unclear what the financial ramifications are outside the sale of incremental 20,000+ vehicles and the Uber investment.
Product Development
Risk from product development stalling post CEO departure earlier in 2025.
Tariffs and Consumer Demand
The risk associated with tariff costs and flagging consumer demand for electric vehicles are incremental challenges for the company.

Lucid Group (LCID) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lucid Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLucid Group, Inc. (LCID) is an American electric vehicle manufacturer specializing in luxury electric cars. Based in Newark, California, the company is known for its high-performance vehicles with advanced technology and sustainable energy solutions. Lucid's flagship product is the Lucid Air, a luxury sedan that boasts exceptional range, speed, and innovative features designed to compete with traditional luxury automotive brands.
How the Company Makes MoneyLucid Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its luxury electric vehicles. The company targets the high-end automotive market, offering vehicles that feature cutting-edge technology and design. Revenue is driven by vehicle sales, which include different variants of the Lucid Air model, each with varying features and price points. Additionally, the company may generate income from ancillary services such as vehicle maintenance, software updates, and charging solutions. Lucid also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations that can contribute to its revenue growth. These partnerships may involve technology sharing, joint ventures, or co-development agreements that leverage Lucid's expertise in electric vehicle technology.

Lucid Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Vehicle Deliveries
Vehicle Deliveries
Tracks the number of vehicles delivered to customers, indicating production efficiency, demand fulfillment, and revenue generation potential.
Chart InsightsLucid Group's vehicle deliveries have shown consistent growth, with a notable 58% year-over-year increase as of Q1 2025. This momentum is supported by strong brand recognition and strategic financial management. However, the company faces challenges such as supply chain bottlenecks and tariff uncertainties, which could impact future growth. Despite these hurdles, Lucid's liquidity and planned capital expenditures indicate a commitment to scaling operations and expanding infrastructure, potentially positioning the company for continued success in the competitive EV market.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Lucid Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.30%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Lucid's significant achievements in vehicle delivery and brand recognition, strong financial management with strategic acquisitions, and positive reception of new models. However, these are tempered by ongoing supply chain challenges, tariff uncertainties, and continued operating losses. The company's proactive measures and strong brand growth are promising, but the current environment presents notable challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Vehicle Deliveries
Lucid delivered 3,109 vehicles, up more than 58% year-over-year, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of record deliveries.
Lucid Air Achievements
The 2025 Lucid Air was named Best Luxury Electric Car by U.S. News and Road Report for the fourth consecutive year and remained the number one best-selling EV in its segment in the U.S.
Strong Financial Moves
Lucid renewed and upsized its credit facility in Saudi Arabia by $240 million and closed a $1.1 billion convertible senior note offering, extending liquidity into the second half of 2026.
Lucid Gravity Launch
The Lucid Gravity SUV received positive feedback and strong interest, with notable media endorsements and over three-quarters of orders from new customers.
Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships
Lucid acquired Nikola assets for approximately $17 million, gaining assets valued at hundreds of millions, and announced a strategic partnership with King Abdullah University of Science and Technology.
Negative Updates
Supply Chain Challenges
Lucid faced temporary systems issues in Saudi Arabia affecting vehicle deliveries and encountered bottlenecks in supply chain impacting Lucid Gravity's production timeline.
Tariff and Regulatory Uncertainty
Potential gross margin headwind increased to 8%-15% due to tariffs, with continued uncertainty regarding the global automotive supply chain.
Operating Losses
Adjusted EBITDA was negative $563 million, with ongoing operating losses as the company scales production.
Challenges in Production Ramp-Up
Technical issues with Lucid Gravity, including software and head-up display supply issues, delayed the ramp-up of production and deliveries.
Company Guidance
During Lucid Group's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key financial metrics and operational updates. Vehicle deliveries reached 3,109 units, marking a more than 58% year-over-year increase, with production totaling 2,212 vehicles, up 28% from the previous year. Lucid projected producing approximately 20,000 vehicles in 2025. Revenues for the quarter stood at $235 million, reflecting a 36% annual growth, while gross margin improved to negative 97.2%, up from negative 134.3% in the previous year. The company also reported a liquidity position of $5.76 billion, which is expected to support operations into the second half of 2026. Furthermore, Lucid announced plans for a $1.4 billion capital expenditure in 2025, primarily for investments in their AMP-1, AMP-2, and retail infrastructure.

Lucid Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lucid Group's financial statements indicate significant challenges with profitability, high leverage, and negative cash flow. Despite revenue growth, substantial financial inefficiencies and high debt levels present ongoing risks.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Lucid Group's TTM revenue shows slight growth, but the company is struggling with significant net and gross losses. The net profit margin and gross profit margin are negative, indicating profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also deeply negative, further highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
The balance sheet shows high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio above 0.8. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting some financial stability. However, the negative return on equity indicates that the company is not generating positive returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Lucid Group's cash flow statement reveals negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, with a declining free cash flow growth rate. Operating cash flow relative to net income also shows inefficiencies in cash generation relative to accounting profit.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue807.83M595.27M608.18M27.11M3.98M
Gross Profit-923.11M-1.34B-1.04B-127.79M906.00K
EBITDA-2.38B-2.57B-1.07B-2.50B-709.29M
Net Income-2.71B-2.83B-1.30B-2.58B-719.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.65B8.51B7.88B7.88B1.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.03B3.86B3.91B6.26B614.92M
Total Debt2.48B2.43B2.08B2.00B980.00K
Total Liabilities5.78B3.66B3.53B3.97B227.38M
Stockholders Equity3.87B4.85B4.35B3.91B1.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.90B-3.40B-3.30B-1.48B-1.03B
Operating Cash Flow-2.02B-2.49B-2.23B-1.06B-570.20M
Investing Cash Flow-1.29B-946.98M-3.68B-420.69M-459.58M
Financing Cash Flow3.56B3.07B1.35B7.14B1.29B

Lucid Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.50
Price Trends
50DMA
2.41
Positive
100DMA
2.40
Positive
200DMA
2.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Positive
RSI
47.95
Neutral
STOCH
18.37
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LCID, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.57, above the 50-day MA of 2.41, and below the 200-day MA of 2.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.37 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LCID.

Lucid Group Risk Analysis

Lucid Group disclosed 91 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lucid Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lucid Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$30.62B25.0512.22%10.28%-29.75%
62
Neutral
$17.13B10.11-8.47%3.27%1.63%-24.01%
54
Neutral
$10.08B-240.42%23.39%3.93%
53
Neutral
$18.15B-15.52%50.45%49.81%
50
Neutral
$7.87B-50.06%40.67%3.40%
48
Neutral
$8.02B36.15%110.83%-66.73%
48
Neutral
$14.97B-53.82%0.58%35.39%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LCID
Lucid Group
2.50
-0.77
-23.55%
NIO
Nio
4.51
0.45
11.08%
LI
Li Auto
26.45
7.08
36.55%
XPEV
XPeng, Inc. ADR
18.03
10.40
136.30%
VFS
VinFast Auto
3.43
-0.47
-12.05%
RIVN
Rivian Automotive
13.03
-2.21
-14.50%

Lucid Group Corporate Events

Stock SplitRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Lucid Group Proposes Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Jul 17, 2025

On July 17, 2025, Lucid Group, Inc. announced the filing of a preliminary proxy statement with the SEC to propose a reverse stock split of its Class A common stock at a one-for-ten ratio. The company believes this move will make its stock more attractive to a broader range of investors, although the completion of the split is subject to stockholder approval and market conditions. The reverse stock split is intended to enhance Lucid’s market positioning, but there is no guarantee it will achieve the desired effects.

The most recent analyst rating on (LCID) stock is a Sell with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucid Group stock, see the LCID Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lucid Group Partners with Uber for Autonomous Vehicles
Positive
Jul 17, 2025

On July 16, 2025, Lucid Group entered into a Vehicle Production Agreement with Uber Technologies to supply a minimum of 20,000 modified Lucid Gravity vehicles for autonomous use on Uber’s platform over six years, starting in late 2026. This partnership, involving Nuro’s autonomous driving software, aims to deploy a fleet of robotaxis globally, enhancing Lucid’s market presence in the autonomous vehicle sector. Additionally, Lucid and Uber’s subsidiary SMB Holding Corporation agreed on a $300 million private placement of Lucid’s Class A common stock to fund the development of these vehicles, expected to close in the third quarter of 2025. This collaboration signifies a significant investment in Lucid’s technology and positions the company to capitalize on the growing autonomous vehicle market.

The most recent analyst rating on (LCID) stock is a Sell with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucid Group stock, see the LCID Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lucid Group Stockholders Approve Stock Incentive Plan Amendment
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Lucid Group‘s stockholders approved an amendment to the 2021 Stock Incentive Plan, increasing the available shares of Class A common stock by 184 million. This decision, made during the Annual Meeting, potentially strengthens Lucid’s market position by enhancing its ability to incentivize employees and attract talent.

The most recent analyst rating on (LCID) stock is a Sell with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucid Group stock, see the LCID Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025