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Transocean LTD (RIG)
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Transocean (RIG) AI Stock Analysis

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RIG

Transocean

(NYSE:RIG)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(4.17% Upside)
Transocean's overall stock score reflects a mix of financial challenges and positive technical momentum. The most significant factor is the company's financial performance, which is hindered by profitability issues despite some cash flow improvements. Technical analysis provides a positive outlook with bullish momentum indicators. Valuation remains a concern due to ongoing losses and lack of dividends. The earnings call adds a moderate positive influence with debt reduction and operational efficiency, though offset by contracting challenges.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt enhances financial flexibility and reduces interest expenses, strengthening the company's long-term financial position.
Operational Efficiency
High operational efficiency indicates effective management and maximizes revenue potential, supporting sustainable business operations.
Fleet Optimization
Optimizing the fleet ensures competitiveness and aligns with market demand, maintaining a modern and efficient asset base.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Profitability issues indicate operational inefficiencies and can hinder long-term growth and shareholder value creation.
Slow Contracting Pace
A slow pace of contracting can limit revenue growth and lead to potential underutilization of assets, affecting future earnings.
Potential Idle Time for Rigs
Idle rigs represent lost revenue opportunities and increased costs, impacting overall financial performance and asset utilization.

Transocean (RIG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Transocean Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTransocean Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides offshore contract drilling services for oil and gas wells worldwide. It contracts its mobile offshore drilling rigs, related equipment, and work crews to drill oil and gas wells. As of February 14, 2022, the company had partial ownership interests in and operated a fleet of 37 mobile offshore drilling units, including 27 ultra-deep water and 10 harsh environment floaters. It serves integrated energy companies, government-owned or government-controlled oil companies, and other independent energy companies. The company was founded in 1926 and is based in Steinhausen, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyTransocean generates revenue primarily through day-rate contracts for its drilling rigs, whereby customers pay for the time the rig is operational. This model allows Transocean to earn money based on the duration of contracts, which can range from several months to multiple years. Key revenue streams include drilling services for major oil and gas companies, which often involve long-term contracts for exploration and production projects. Additionally, Transocean may receive performance bonuses and incentives tied to operational efficiency and safety metrics. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with leading energy firms, enhancing its market position and securing long-term contracts that contribute to stable revenue streams.

Transocean Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted significant financial achievements, including notable debt reduction and operational efficiency. However, challenges such as slow contracting pace and potential idle time for some rigs were also discussed.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Debt Reduction and Interest Expense Savings
By the end of 2025, Transocean will have reduced its debt by approximately $1.2 billion versus scheduled maturities of $714 million. The company also reduced its annualized interest expense by approximately $87 million.
Strong Operational Performance
Transocean achieved a revenue efficiency of 97.5% for the entire third quarter, with September posting 100%.
Rig Contracting Success
BP exercised its 1-year $635,000 per day priced option for the Deepwater Atlas, contributing approximately $232 million in backlog.
Fleet Optimization
Transocean continues to refine its fleet, retiring older assets to maintain a portfolio of high-specification, marketable rigs.
Negative Updates
Slow Pace of Contracting
Due to global macro uncertainties and commodity prices, there was a deferred near-term demand for drilling services, leading to a slower pace of contracting.
Potential Idle Time for Rigs
Transocean faces potential idle time for rigs such as Skyros, Mikonos, KG2, and Proteus in early to mid-next year.
Company Guidance
During the Transocean Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance updates. Transocean reported contract drilling revenues of $1.03 billion for the third quarter, with an average daily revenue of approximately $462,000. The company has made significant progress in reducing its debt, achieving a reduction of approximately $1.2 billion by the end of 2025, and anticipates a decrease in annualized interest expense by $87 million. For the fourth quarter of 2025, Transocean expects contract drilling revenues between $1.03 billion and $1.05 billion, and operating and maintenance expenses ranging from $595 million to $615 million. Looking ahead to 2026, the company forecasts contract drilling revenue to be between $3.8 billion and $3.95 billion, with operating and maintenance expenses between $2.275 billion and $2.4 billion. Additionally, Transocean expects its liquidity to be slightly more than $1.4 billion by the end of 2025. The company remains focused on strengthening its financial position and optimizing its capital structure through ongoing cost-saving initiatives and leveraging cash flow from operations to meet future obligations.

Transocean Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Transocean faces significant financial challenges, particularly in achieving profitability and revenue growth. The income statement reveals operational inefficiencies with a negative gross profit margin and steep net losses. The balance sheet shows moderate stability with manageable leverage, but profitability issues persist. Cash flow improvements are a positive sign, yet they are not translating into profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Transocean's income statement reveals significant challenges, particularly with profitability. The TTM data shows a negative gross profit margin and a steep net loss, indicating operational inefficiencies. Revenue has drastically declined by 74.9% in the TTM period, reflecting a concerning trend. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth and persistent net losses, suggesting ongoing struggles in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting manageable leverage levels. However, the negative return on equity highlights profitability issues, as the company is not generating returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio remains healthy, indicating a solid asset base relative to equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some positive aspects, with a notable 25.8% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating that operations are generating cash despite net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests that cash flow improvements are not yet translating into profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue952.00M3.52B2.83B2.58B2.56B3.15B
Gross Profit491.00M1.35B872.00M907.00M871.00M1.17B
EBITDA-972.00M1.14B732.00M844.00M930.00M1.18B
Net Income-2.93B-512.00M-954.00M-621.00M-591.00M-568.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.17B19.37B20.25B20.44B20.68B21.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.25B560.00M995.00M683.00M976.00M1.15B
Total Debt6.22B7.25B7.85B7.35B7.17B8.37B
Total Liabilities5.86B9.09B9.84B9.64B9.47B10.37B
Stockholders Equity8.08B10.28B10.41B10.79B11.21B11.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow482.00M193.00M-263.00M-269.00M367.00M133.00M
Operating Cash Flow606.00M447.00M164.00M448.00M575.00M398.00M
Investing Cash Flow-74.00M-151.00M-423.00M-757.00M-233.00M-257.00M
Financing Cash Flow-82.00M-350.00M263.00M-112.00M-490.00M-930.00M

Transocean Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.84
Price Trends
50DMA
3.33
Positive
100DMA
3.11
Positive
200DMA
3.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Negative
RSI
63.15
Neutral
STOCH
76.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RIG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.49, above the 50-day MA of 3.33, and above the 200-day MA of 3.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RIG.

Transocean Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$3.90B10.0117.49%6.81%-61.94%
$2.61B-1.19%3.81%25.92%-109.50%
$1.96B27.052.60%-13.36%-82.21%
$763.56M5.0347.77%6.52%
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
$887.30M13.975.39%7.74%7.73%-25.36%
$4.23B-32.05%16.93%-335.82%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RIG
Transocean
3.84
-0.57
-12.93%
HP
Helmerich & Payne
26.26
-6.02
-18.65%
NBR
Nabors Industries
48.52
-26.42
-35.25%
BORR
Borr Drilling
3.10
-1.03
-24.94%
VAL
Valaris
56.12
6.41
12.89%
SDRL
Seadrill Limited
31.56
-8.18
-20.58%

Transocean Corporate Events

Transocean Ltd. Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 31, 2025

Transocean Ltd. is a leading international provider of offshore contract drilling services for oil and gas wells, specializing in ultra-deepwater and harsh environment drilling services. In its third quarter of 2025 earnings report, Transocean Ltd. reported a net loss of $1.92 billion, or $2.00 per diluted share, primarily due to a significant loss on asset impairment. Despite this, the company achieved an adjusted net income of $62 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, indicating operational resilience.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Transocean Closes $500M Notes Offering and Tender Offer
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Transocean International Limited, a subsidiary of Transocean Ltd., closed an offering of $500 million in 7.875% Senior Priority Guaranteed Notes due 2032, which are fully guaranteed by several Transocean entities. These notes, governed by an indenture with specific covenants, are aimed at limiting additional indebtedness and securing the company’s drilling assets. Concurrently, Transocean Ltd. announced early results of its cash tender offer, initially set at $50 million but increased to $100 million, for its outstanding 7.35% Senior Notes due 2041 and 7.00% Notes due 2028. As of October 14, 2025, a significant portion of these notes was tendered, with the company accepting all valid tenders for the 2041 Notes and a prorated amount for the 2028 Notes. This strategic financial maneuver is expected to optimize Transocean’s debt structure and enhance its financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (RIG) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transocean stock, see the RIG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Transocean Releases Fleet Status Report Highlighting Demand
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Transocean released its Fleet Status Report, detailing the status and contract information of its drilling rigs. The report highlights various contracts with major clients like Chevron, Shell, and Petrobras, indicating robust demand for Transocean’s services. This update underscores Transocean’s strong market positioning and its ongoing commitment to maintaining a high level of operational activity, which is crucial for its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (RIG) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transocean stock, see the RIG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Transocean Secures Major Contracts in Gulf and Brazil
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

Transocean Ltd. announced contract fixtures for two of its ultra-deepwater drillships, totaling approximately $243 million in firm contract backlog. In the U.S. Gulf of America, bp exercised a 365-day option for the Deepwater Atlas, contributing $232 million to the backlog, while in Brazil, Petrobras exercised a 30-day option for the Deepwater Mykonos, adding $11 million. These developments reflect Transocean’s strong positioning in the offshore drilling market and its continued ability to secure substantial contracts with major oil companies.

The most recent analyst rating on (RIG) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transocean stock, see the RIG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Transocean Announces $500M Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 30, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Transocean Ltd. announced a private offering of $500 million in Senior Priority Guaranteed Notes due 2032. The proceeds from this offering will be used to refinance existing debt and fund a tender offer for certain outstanding notes. This financial maneuver aims to optimize the company’s capital structure and improve its financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (RIG) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transocean stock, see the RIG Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Transocean Announces Public Offering of 125 Million Shares
Neutral
Sep 26, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Transocean Ltd. entered into an underwriting agreement with Citigroup Global Markets Inc. and Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC for a public offering of 125,000,000 shares at $3.05 per share. The offering, expected to close on September 26, 2025, aims to raise funds for repaying or redeeming indebtedness, including a portion of the $655 million Senior Notes due in 2027, with any remaining proceeds used for general corporate purposes.

The most recent analyst rating on (RIG) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transocean stock, see the RIG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Transocean Upsizes Public Offering to Raise $381M
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Transocean Ltd. announced the pricing of an upsized public offering of 125,000,000 shares at $3.05 per share, increasing from the initially proposed 100,000,000 shares. The offering, expected to close on September 26, 2025, aims to raise approximately $381.25 million before expenses, with proceeds intended for debt repayment and general corporate purposes. This move could strengthen Transocean’s financial position, impacting its operations and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (RIG) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transocean stock, see the RIG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Transocean Announces Major Public Offering of Shares
Neutral
Sep 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Transocean Ltd. announced its intention to offer and sell 100,000,000 shares in an underwritten public offering, with a 30-day option for underwriters to purchase an additional 15,000,000 shares. The proceeds are intended for the repayment or redemption of indebtedness, including a portion of the $655 million Senior Notes due February 2027, with any remaining funds used for general corporate purposes. This move is part of Transocean’s strategy to manage its financial obligations and strengthen its market position in the offshore drilling industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (RIG) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transocean stock, see the RIG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Transocean Announces Rig Sales for Recycling
Negative
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Transocean Ltd. announced its decision to sell several rigs, including Discoverer Clear Leader and Discoverer Americas, for recycling or alternative use. This move is expected to result in a non-cash charge of approximately $1.9 billion in the third quarter of 2025, impacting the company’s financial results and possibly its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (RIG) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transocean stock, see the RIG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Transocean Completes Bond Exchange to Optimize Capital
Neutral
Aug 19, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Transocean Ltd. completed transactions under previously announced Exchange Agreements with certain bondholders to optimize its capital structure. These agreements involved exchanging $39.7 million of 4.0% Senior Guaranteed Exchangeable Bonds for approximately 13.9 million shares and a small cash payment for accrued interest, leaving $37.3 million in bonds outstanding.

The most recent analyst rating on (RIG) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transocean stock, see the RIG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Transocean Announces Bond Exchange for Shares
Neutral
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Transocean Ltd. announced that its subsidiary, Transocean International Limited, entered into agreements to exchange approximately $39.7 million of its 4.0% Senior Guaranteed Exchangeable Bonds for company shares. This move is part of Transocean’s strategy to optimize its capital structure. The number of shares to be exchanged will be determined based on the volume-weighted average price over a five-day trading period, with a limit price set at $2.50 per share. The transactions are expected to close by the end of the trading period, subject to customary conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (RIG) stock is a Buy with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transocean stock, see the RIG Stock Forecast page.

Transocean Ltd. Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 6, 2025

Transocean Ltd., a leading international provider of offshore contract drilling services, specializes in ultra-deepwater and harsh environment drilling with a fleet of 32 mobile offshore drilling units.

Transocean Navigates Challenges with Strategic Optimism
Aug 6, 2025

Transocean’s recent earnings call paints a picture of a company navigating through a challenging yet promising landscape. The sentiment expressed during the call was one of cautious optimism, highlighting strong operational performance and strategic initiatives aimed at cost savings and debt reduction. Despite a temporary slowdown in contracting activity and a moderation in day rates, the company remains positive about the market outlook, expecting increased utilization and higher future day rates. The expansion in the deepwater and ultra-deepwater sectors, along with successful contract extensions, underscores Transocean’s resilience and adaptability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025