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Helmerich & Payne (HP)
NYSE:HP

Helmerich & Payne (HP) AI Stock Analysis

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HP

Helmerich & Payne

(NYSE:HP)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▼(-2.45% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/07/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened financial performance (TTM net loss and higher leverage), partially offset by resilient operating/free cash flow. Technicals are a notable positive with a strong longer-term uptrend and neutral momentum. Earnings call tone and guidance add support through strong free cash flow, liquidity, and deleveraging progress, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings despite a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash generation and FCF growth
Sustained positive operating cash flow and meaningful TTM free-cash-flow growth provide durable internal funding for capex, debt paydown, dividends and opportunistic investments. This cash-generation cushion supports flexibility through cyclical oil & gas cycles and underpins deleveraging plans.
Negative Factors
Profitability deterioration and revenue decline
A sharp drop in revenue and a sizable TTM net loss weaken sustainable earnings power and reduce retained earnings, limiting reinvestment capacity. Persistent or recurring profitability weakness would erode returns, constrain capital allocation, and make cyclical recovery harder to translate into durable margins.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation and FCF growth
Sustained positive operating cash flow and meaningful TTM free-cash-flow growth provide durable internal funding for capex, debt paydown, dividends and opportunistic investments. This cash-generation cushion supports flexibility through cyclical oil & gas cycles and underpins deleveraging plans.
Read all positive factors

Helmerich & Payne (HP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Helmerich & Payne Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Helmerich & Payne, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides drilling services and solutions for exploration and production companies. The company operates through three segments: North America Solutions, Offshore Gulf of Mexico, and Internat...
How the Company Makes Money
Helmerich & Payne generates revenue primarily through its contract drilling services, which are billed on a day-rate basis. The company operates a diverse fleet of land and offshore drilling rigs, and its clients include major oil and gas explorat...

Helmerich & Payne Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a largely constructive operational and financial picture: revenue held at $1B, adjusted EBITDA beat at $230M, strong free cash flow generation, meaningful progress on deleveraging (65% of term loan repaid) and clear technology/contract wins (FlexRobotics, FlexRig improvements, geothermal awards). Offsetting items were primarily timing and one-time impacts — ~$103M non-cash impairment, reactivation cost lumpiness shifting into Q2 (and a bit into Q3), short-term North America softness and some offshore seasonality. Management kept full-year guidance intact, trimmed CapEx modestly, and emphasized returning rigs to work, margin improvement in later quarters and a path to pay down remaining debt. Overall, positive operational momentum and balance-sheet repair outweigh near-term timing and impairment headwinds, with management confident in margin recovery later in the fiscal year.
Positive Updates
Strong quarterly financial performance
Revenue of $1.0 billion (third consecutive quarter at $1B) and adjusted EBITDA of $230 million, coming in ahead of expectations; free cash flow of $126 million for the quarter.
Negative Updates
Non-cash impairment and GAAP loss
Reported net loss of $0.98 per diluted share for the quarter, negatively impacted by ~$103 million of non-cash impairment and unusual non-cash items; adjusted loss excluding those items was ~$0.15 per share.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong quarterly financial performance
Revenue of $1.0 billion (third consecutive quarter at $1B) and adjusted EBITDA of $230 million, coming in ahead of expectations; free cash flow of $126 million for the quarter.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that Q1 FY2026 produced $1.0B revenue, $230M adjusted EBITDA, a net loss of $0.98/sh (‑$0.15/sh excluding $103M of non‑cash items), $68M CapEx, and $126M free cash flow while paying $25M in base dividends; they’ve paid $260M of a $400M term loan (leaving $140M) with cash & short‑term investments ≈$269M and total liquidity ≈$1.2B. Segment detail and near‑term guidance: North America averaged 143 rigs (exit 139) with $239M direct margin and >$18k/day gross margin (Q2 operated rigs guided 132–138 with Q2 direct margin $205–230M; full‑year rig count range 132–148); International ended Q1 with 59 rigs and ≈$29M direct margin (Q2 rigs 57–63, Q2 margin $12–22M) noting 7 Saudi reactivations (expect ≈$5M annualized EBITDA per reactivated rig and FlexRig fleet upside targeted historically at ~$20–25M annualized); Offshore generated ≈$31M direct margin with 3 active rigs/33 management contracts (Q2 margin $20–30M; full‑year offshore guide $100–115M). They trimmed FY2026 gross CapEx to $270–310M, reported SG&A reductions >$50M vs. pre‑merger, have line‑of‑sight on >$100M of divestments, and reiterated the priority of deleveraging toward ~1x net debt/EBITDA while maintaining the base dividend.

Helmerich & Payne Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are pressured by a sharp profitability downturn (TTM revenue -18.1% and a net loss of -$302.2M, -4.4% net margin) and higher leverage versus prior years (debt-to-equity ~0.76 in 2025 annual). Offsetting this, cash generation is holding up (TTM operating cash flow $567.0M and free cash flow $179.6M, +54% TTM FCF growth), which provides some stability despite weaker earnings.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.09B3.75B2.76B2.87B2.06B1.22B
Gross Profit542.96M553.50M729.04M775.01M229.19M-153.76M
EBITDA584.78M658.78M907.46M992.98M453.69M13.81M
Net Income-315.63M-165.09M344.17M434.10M6.95M-326.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.46B6.71B5.78B4.44B4.41B5.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments268.97M245.76M510.26M409.84M385.48M1.12B
Total Debt2.03B2.32B1.86B599.95M582.34M1.08B
Total Liabilities3.76B3.88B2.86B1.67B1.64B2.12B
Stockholders Equity2.60B2.72B2.92B2.77B2.77B2.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow179.57M116.58M189.59M438.22M-38.63M54.29M
Operating Cash Flow567.02M542.95M684.66M833.68M233.91M136.44M
Investing Cash Flow-2.02B-1.93B-458.75M-322.58M-167.31M-161.99M
Financing Cash Flow14.64M66.66M986.51M-463.87M-734.30M425.52M

Helmerich & Payne Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.88
Price Trends
50DMA
34.87
Positive
100DMA
31.94
Positive
200DMA
25.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Positive
RSI
53.45
Neutral
STOCH
28.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.70, above the 50-day MA of 34.87, and above the 200-day MA of 25.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HP.

Helmerich & Payne Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$2.63B5.2618.37%3.72%-20.11%-26.44%
68
Neutral
$1.23B2.8857.72%6.52%
66
Neutral
$4.26B-25.02-2.83%5.42%-16.59%83.95%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
$4.61B20.227.25%1.78%-12.05%-46.45%
58
Neutral
$3.58B-11.45%3.24%35.89%-148.39%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HP
Helmerich & Payne
35.88
15.10
72.68%
NBR
Nabors Industries
83.97
51.34
157.34%
PTEN
Patterson-UTI
11.23
5.02
80.72%
TNK
Teekay Tankers
75.82
41.01
117.81%
LBRT
Liberty Energy
28.44
17.04
149.45%

Helmerich & Payne Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Helmerich & Payne Shareholders Approve Board, Pay, Incentives
Positive
Mar 6, 2026
At its 2026 Annual Meeting, Helmerich Payne stockholders elected the full slate of director nominees, including Chairman Hans Helmerich and other incumbent and independent directors, to serve until the 2027 annual meeting. The voting outcomes ind...
Dividends
Helmerich & Payne Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend Payment
Positive
Mar 4, 2026
At a Board of Directors meeting held on March 4, 2026, Helmerich Payne, Inc. declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per share on its common stock. The dividend will be paid on June 1, 2026, to shareholders of record as of the close of busine...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Helmerich & Payne Announces CEO Retirement and Successor
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025
On December 10, 2025, Helmerich Payne, Inc. announced that CEO John Lindsay will retire following the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, with President Raymond John ‘Trey’ Adams III set to succeed him. Lindsay, who has been pivotal ...
Dividends
Helmerich & Payne Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Dec 9, 2025
On December 9, 2025, Helmerich Payne‘s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per share, to be paid on February 27, 2026, to shareholders recorded by February 13, 2026. This decision reflects the company’s ongo...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026