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Valaris (VAL)
NYSE:VAL
US Market

Valaris (VAL) AI Stock Analysis

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VA

Valaris

(NYSE:VAL)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$41.00
▲( 13.01% Upside)
Valaris showcases a strong financial recovery with robust earnings and cash flow, complemented by favorable valuation. Technical indicators are moderately positive, and the optimistic earnings guidance further supports the stock's potential. Macroeconomic challenges are present but mitigated by strong contract backlog and operational performance.

Valaris (VAL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Valaris Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionValaris Limited (VAL) is a leading offshore drilling contractor, serving the global oil and gas industry. The company operates a high-quality fleet of modern offshore drilling rigs, including drillships, semisubmersible rigs, and jackup rigs. Valaris provides comprehensive drilling services to major international oil companies, national oil companies, and independent operators worldwide, delivering safe and efficient drilling solutions across various offshore environments.
How the Company Makes MoneyValaris makes money primarily through contracts for offshore drilling services. The company generates revenue by leasing its fleet of drilling rigs to oil and gas companies, which pay day rates for the use of these rigs. The contracts may vary in length, with some spanning months to years, providing a steady stream of income. Valaris's earnings are influenced by factors such as the utilization rates of its rigs, the prevailing day rates in the market, and the overall demand for offshore drilling services. Additionally, the company may engage in partnerships or joint ventures that can contribute to its revenue streams, although specific details of such arrangements are subject to change based on market conditions and strategic decisions.

Valaris Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Valaris presents a promising financial outlook with significant improvements across its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow. The company has effectively turned around its profitability and financial stability. The income statement shows robust revenue growth and improving margins, while the balance sheet reflects a solid equity position and manageable leverage. Cash flow management has also improved with positive free cash flow. Despite previous challenges, Valaris is on a strong recovery trajectory, positioning itself well in the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Valaris has shown a strong recovery with a significant improvement in its margins and revenue growth trajectory over the recent periods. The Gross Profit Margin has notably increased to 42.58% TTM, and the Net Profit Margin has turned positive at 12.61% TTM from a negative base in the past. Revenue growth is also robust at 5.48% TTM, indicating solid market demand. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved to 18.97% and 25.91% TTM respectively, reflecting better operational efficiencies. Overall, the income statement reflects a strong financial turnaround and growing profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Valaris shows a stable financial position with a manageable Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.49 TTM, indicating moderate leverage. The Return on Equity has improved significantly to 14.01% TTM, showcasing efficient use of equity capital. The Equity Ratio stands at 50.42% TTM, reflecting a solid equity base relative to total assets. Although the debt level has increased, the company has maintained equity growth, supporting financial stability.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Valaris has demonstrated improvement in its cash flow management, with a positive Free Cash Flow of $81.54 million TTM, which is a notable turnaround from previous deficits. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.56 TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is not applicable due to previous negative values, but the positive shift is a favorable sign of improving cash flow health.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.46B2.36B1.78B1.60B1.23B1.43B
Gross Profit
598.80M479.60M139.50M128.10M-66.00M-584.00M
EBIT
466.30M352.30M53.50M307.10M-902.00M-4.33B
EBITDA
637.20M577.10M254.20M361.40M-4.18B-4.26B
Net Income Common Stockholders
310.00M373.40M865.40M176.50M-4.49B-4.86B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
509.10M368.20M620.50M724.10M608.70M325.80M
Total Assets
4.35B4.42B4.32B2.86B2.61B12.87B
Total Debt
1.16B1.17B1.16B551.80M545.30M15.70M
Net Debt
650.30M799.40M534.90M-172.30M-63.40M-310.10M
Total Liabilities
2.32B2.18B2.33B1.56B1.55B8.50B
Stockholders Equity
2.02B2.24B1.99B1.30B1.06B4.37B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
81.54M-99.70M-428.60M-79.50M-124.90M-345.50M
Operating Cash Flow
484.91M355.40M267.50M127.50M-66.00M-251.70M
Investing Cash Flow
-383.40M-452.30M-665.80M-16.70M-3.70M-42.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-157.00M-158.30M285.50M-6.40M388.70M522.20M

Valaris Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price36.28
Price Trends
50DMA
35.81
Positive
100DMA
39.74
Negative
200DMA
46.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.61
Positive
RSI
49.75
Neutral
STOCH
10.58
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VAL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 36.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.66, above the 50-day MA of 35.81, and below the 200-day MA of 46.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.58 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VAL.

Valaris Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TDTDW
78
Outperform
$1.95B11.8116.24%19.34%31.76%
VAVAL
76
Outperform
$2.58B8.5214.66%30.82%-62.91%
71
Outperform
$1.43B4.3212.75%-15.60%32.51%
HPHP
66
Neutral
$1.54B7.057.57%8.67%12.23%-37.06%
RIRIG
60
Neutral
$2.20B-6.65%24.47%-55.45%
57
Neutral
$7.06B3.07-3.48%5.79%0.59%-50.58%
53
Neutral
$2.21B-24.93%5.59%5.82%-481.39%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VAL
Valaris
36.28
-39.50
-52.12%
HP
Helmerich & Payne
15.46
-20.62
-57.15%
PTEN
Patterson-UTI
5.72
-4.90
-46.14%
TDW
Tidewater
39.46
-66.27
-62.68%
RIG
Transocean
2.49
-3.62
-59.25%
SDRL
Seadrill Limited
23.07
-29.30
-55.95%

Valaris Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.29%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Valaris reported a strong financial performance with significant contract backlog additions and safety achievements. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and potential idle time for rigs present challenges. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with a focus on securing future contracts and managing fleet efficiency.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Valaris reported total revenues of $621 million, up from $584 million in the prior quarter, and adjusted EBITDA of $181 million, up from $142 million in the prior quarter. Adjusted free cash flow was $74 million.
Significant Contract Backlog Increase
Since the last call, Valaris has added more than $1 billion in new contract backlog, including a $350 million contract for the drill ship Valaris DS-10. The total backlog increased to more than $4.2 billion, a nearly 20% increase from the previously reported $3.6 billion.
Safety Awards and Milestones
Valaris received the 2024 Best Safety Performance Award for jackup rigs from the IADC North Sea chapter. Rigs VALARIS 121, 144, and Mad Dog achieved significant safety milestones, including two years without a recordable incident for VALARIS 121.
Successful Jackup Contract Extensions
Five jackups chartered to ARO Drilling joint venture were extended for five-year terms, securing their operations into 2030.
Positive Market Outlook
Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, Valaris remains optimistic about offshore production's role in meeting global energy needs. The company is actively engaged in discussions for additional contracting opportunities in 2026 and beyond.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Proposed tariffs on international trade and OPEC Plus production cuts have introduced new uncertainties for the global economy and the offshore drilling industry.
Idle Rig Concerns
Valaris DS-12 completed its contract offshore Egypt in March and is currently idle in Las Palmas, with efforts to secure its next contract ongoing. Other floaters are also expected to complete contracts later this year, with potential idle time.
Challenges in the Jack-up Market
Global jackup fleet utilization declined from 94% in early 2024 to 90% at the end of the first quarter, leading to downward pressure on day rates in certain benign environment regions.
Increased Competition in the North Sea
An uptick in available units in the North Sea is expected to increase competition for upcoming work, potentially resulting in increased idle time across parts of the fleet.
Company Guidance
During the Valaris First Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance that highlighted their operational and financial performance. Valaris reported a revenue efficiency of 96% and an adjusted EBITDA of $181 million for the first quarter, up from $142 million in the previous quarter. The company also generated $74 million in adjusted free cash flow. Valaris emphasized their commercial success by securing over $1 billion in new contract backlog, including significant contracts for drill ships in West Africa, and extensions for jackups in the Middle East and other regions. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, Valaris remains confident in its ability to secure more contracts, leveraging its high-specification fleet to meet global energy demands. The company also received recognition for its safety performance, with several rigs achieving notable safety milestones. Looking ahead, Valaris narrowed its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $500 million to $560 million, maintaining a focus on operational excellence and prudent fleet management.

Valaris Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Valaris Increases Contract Backlog to $4.2 Billion
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

Valaris Limited, a company in the offshore drilling industry, reported an increase in its contract backlog to approximately $4.2 billion as of April 30, 2025, up from $3.6 billion in February 2025. The company secured new contracts and extensions, including a two-year contract for drillship VALARIS DS-10 offshore West Africa and a five-year extension for jackups leased to ARO Drilling in Saudi Arabia. Additionally, Valaris sold three semisubmersibles for recycling, generating $10 million in sales proceeds.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.