tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Ryman (RHP)
NYSE:RHP
Advertisement

Ryman (RHP) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
394 Followers

Top Page

RHP

Ryman

(NYSE:RHP)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$110.00
▲(10.42%Upside)
Ryman's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and corporate events, such as the strategic acquisition of a premier resort. While technical analysis and earnings call sentiment are positive, high leverage and economic uncertainty pose risks. Investors should consider the attractive dividend but remain cautious of potential volatility due to debt levels.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
The acquisition of JW Marriott Desert Ridge was completed earlier than expected, which is anticipated to contribute positively to earnings.
Financial Performance
RHP started off the year on a positive note with 1Q AFFOps of $2.08 beating consensus.
Strategic Positioning
RHP remains uniquely positioned within lodging as group exposure provides best-in-class earnings visibility.
Negative Factors
Acquisition Cost
The acquisition price is elevated at $910.5 per key and 12.7 times 2024 EBITDA.
Leverage Impact
Post acquisition, leverage is estimated to increase from 3.9 times to approximately 4.3 times.
Valuation Concerns
Despite plans for spinning off Opry Entertainment Group, there are concerns about investor hesitance due to valuation complexity and the need for more scale.

Ryman (RHP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryman Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRyman Hospitality Properties, Inc. (NYSE: RHP) is a leading lodging and hospitality real estate investment trust that specializes in upscale convention center resorts and country music entertainment experiences. The Company's core holdings* include a network of five of the top 10 largest non-gaming convention center hotels in the United States based on total indoor meeting space. These convention center resorts operate under the Gaylord Hotels brand and are managed by Marriott International. The Company also owns two adjacent ancillary hotels and a small number of attractions managed by Marriott International for a combined total of 10,110 rooms and more than 2.7 million square feet of total indoor and outdoor meeting space in top convention and leisure destinations across the country. The Company's Entertainment segment includes a growing collection of iconic and emerging country music brands, including the Grand Ole Opry; Ryman Auditorium, WSM 650 AM; Ole Red and Circle, a country lifestyle media network the Company owns in a joint-venture with Gray Television. The Company operates its Entertainment segment as part of a taxable REIT subsidiary. * The Company is the sole owner of Gaylord Opryland Resort & Convention Center; Gaylord Palms Resort & Convention Center; Gaylord Texan Resort & Convention Center; and Gaylord National Resort & Convention Center. It is the majority owner and managing member of the joint venture that owns the Gaylord Rockies Resort & Convention Center.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyman Healthcare makes money primarily through the sale and operation of its retirement villages and aged care facilities. Key revenue streams include the sale of independent living units and serviced apartments to residents, who typically enter into long-term occupancy agreements. Additionally, Ryman charges ongoing fees for services provided, such as care services and village maintenance. The company also earns revenue from its aged care facilities, where residents pay for various levels of care and accommodation. Significant factors contributing to Ryman's earnings include the aging population in its operating regions and its strong reputation for delivering high-quality care and living environments.

Ryman Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.40%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects strong first quarter performance with record revenue and growth across segments. However, economic uncertainty and anticipated government business pullback pose challenges. The company has managed cost structures effectively and sees strong forward bookings, but remains cautious about near-term volatility.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Quarter Revenue and Growth
Consolidated revenue increased by 11% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDAre up 15% and AFFO per share up 28%. Hospitality segment saw record first quarter revenue with RevPAR and total RevPAR growth of 10% and 9%, respectively.
Entertainment Segment Performance
Entertainment segment revenue grew by 34% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDAre increasing by 35%, both setting first quarter records.
Strong Forward Bookings
Gross group room nights booked for future years increased by 10% year-over-year, with 2026 and 2027 bookings up 13% and 35%, respectively.
Proactive Cost Management
Implemented $28-$30 million in profit improvement plans to manage cost structure effectively, leading to improved wage margin by 40 basis points.
Negative Updates
Economic Uncertainty Impact
Federal government's trade rebalancing efforts create uncertainty, causing hesitancy among businesses for near-term meetings and impacting in-the-year, for-the-year bookings.
Government Business Pullback
Anticipated pullback in government-related business affecting the low end of prior guidance, impacting group business volumes.
Potential Cancellations and Attrition
Increased attrition and modest pullback in demand for in-the-year bookings, prompting revised guidance for hospitality RevPAR and total RevPAR growth.
Company Guidance
During Ryman Hospitality Properties' first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics, reflecting cautious optimism amidst uncertain economic conditions. Consolidated revenue increased by 11%, with consolidated adjusted EBITDAre up 15% and AFFO per fully diluted share rising by 28%. The Hospitality segment reported record first quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDAre, driven by year-over-year RevPAR and total RevPAR growth of 10% and 9%, respectively. In response to the uncertainty caused by global economic factors, Ryman adjusted its full-year outlook for hospitality RevPAR growth to 1.25% to 3.75% and total RevPAR growth to 0.75% to 3.25%. Despite these adjustments, the company maintained its guidance for adjusted EBITDAre, AFFO, and AFFO per fully diluted share, citing proactive cost management and a unique business model as key factors. The Entertainment segment showed robust growth, with revenue up 34% and adjusted EBITDAre increasing by 35%, both marking first quarter records. The company remains focused on long-term value creation while managing near-term dynamics, with a continued emphasis on cost efficiencies and strategic capital deployment.

Ryman Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ryman's financial performance shows strong recovery and growth in key metrics, such as revenue growth and improved profitability margins. However, high leverage is a significant risk factor. The company effectively manages cash flow, supporting operations and growth, but managing debt levels is crucial for future stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Ryman has shown a strong recovery and growth trajectory in its income statement. The Gross Profit Margin is healthy at 33.2% in TTM, improving from previous years. The Net Profit Margin also improved significantly to 12.2% in TTM. Revenue has grown consistently year-on-year, with a notable increase of 32.5% from 2022 to 2023. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, indicating efficient operations and cost management. The recovery from the pandemic-driven downturn is evident, although past losses highlight potential volatility.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a high Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 6.60 in TTM, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk. However, the Return on Equity (ROE) is robust at 54.8% in TTM, reflecting effective use of equity. The Equity Ratio is low at 10.1%, suggesting heavy reliance on debt financing. While the company has shown financial improvement, the high leverage remains a concern.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Ryman's cash flow statements reflect strong operational cash generation, with Operating Cash Flow at $667M in TTM and a solid Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.29. Free Cash Flow has grown year-on-year, showing positive cash management. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.78, indicating good cash earnings quality. The company has managed significant capital expenditures while maintaining positive cash flow, but the high debt may pressure future cash flows.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.34B2.16B1.81B939.37M524.48M
Gross Profit772.63M666.22M579.75M200.70M-26.67M
EBITDA755.05M664.91M524.15M155.86M-102.87M
Net Income271.64M311.22M128.99M-194.80M-460.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.22B5.19B4.04B3.58B3.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments477.69M591.83M334.19M140.69M56.70M
Total Debt3.51B3.51B2.99B3.05B2.77B
Total Liabilities4.28B4.27B3.63B3.60B3.24B
Stockholders Equity548.98M569.15M95.90M-22.39M205.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow168.60M350.28M330.41M89.25M9.82M
Operating Cash Flow576.51M557.06M419.93M111.25M-161.52M
Investing Cash Flow-410.40M-1.01B-189.31M-289.74M-172.65M
Financing Cash Flow-290.32M711.87M50.71M261.73M-6.47M

Ryman Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price99.62
Price Trends
50DMA
98.44
Positive
100DMA
94.26
Positive
200DMA
99.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.37
Positive
RSI
49.03
Neutral
STOCH
16.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RHP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 99.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 101.25, above the 50-day MA of 98.44, and above the 200-day MA of 99.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RHP.

Ryman Risk Analysis

Ryman disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryman reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryman Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$6.18B21.3054.93%4.57%9.27%-2.13%
73
Outperform
$11.48B17.1610.12%5.44%7.52%-5.25%
71
Outperform
$2.99B15.845.84%8.04%4.98%-7.08%
71
Outperform
$2.24B18.913.46%12.48%-3.68%35.35%
69
Neutral
$1.25B-0.33%0.38%2.18%56.00%
64
Neutral
$1.78B92.551.66%3.99%-3.90%-89.21%
54
Neutral
$1.23B3.780.67%6.00%-2.39%-129.28%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RHP
Ryman
99.62
1.80
1.84%
SHO
Sunstone Hotel
9.02
-1.14
-11.22%
HST
Host Hotels & Resorts
16.55
-0.20
-1.19%
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
10.61
-3.10
-22.61%
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT
12.57
-1.39
-9.96%
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts
11.22
-2.38
-17.50%

Ryman Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Ryman Completes Acquisition of JW Marriott Resort
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. completed the acquisition of the JW Marriott Phoenix Desert Ridge Resort & Spa for approximately $865 million. This acquisition, funded through a public stock offering and private placement of senior notes, enhances Ryman’s portfolio with a premier resort featuring extensive amenities and meeting spaces. The integration of this property is expected to create significant value opportunities, reinforcing Ryman’s position in the upscale hospitality market.

The most recent analyst rating on (RHP) stock is a Buy with a $133.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryman stock, see the RHP Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ryman Issues $625M Notes for Resort Acquisition
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. and its subsidiaries issued $625 million in senior notes to fund the acquisition of the JW Marriott Phoenix Desert Ridge Resort & Spa. The notes, due in 2033, are part of a larger financial strategy that includes a public stock offering to cover the $865 million purchase price. The issuance of these notes is a significant move for Ryman, as it strengthens its portfolio in the upscale hospitality sector, potentially enhancing its market position and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (RHP) stock is a Buy with a $111.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryman stock, see the RHP Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Ryman Completes $275 Million Stock Offering
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, BofA Securities, Inc., and J.P. Morgan Securities LLC for the issuance and sale of 2,600,000 shares of common stock at $96.20 per share. The underwriters exercised an option to purchase an additional 390,000 shares, closing the offering on May 21, 2025, with net proceeds of approximately $275 million. The agreement includes customary representations, warranties, and indemnification provisions, and some underwriters have existing commercial relationships with the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (RHP) stock is a Buy with a $133.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryman stock, see the RHP Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ryman Announces Acquisition of JW Marriott Phoenix
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. announced its subsidiary’s agreement to acquire the JW Marriott Phoenix Desert Ridge Resort & Spa for approximately $865 million. This acquisition, expected to close in the second or third quarter of 2025, aims to expand Ryman’s presence in the Western U.S. and enhance shareholder value through synergies with existing assets. However, the acquisition carries risks, including integration challenges and potential undiscovered liabilities, which could impact Ryman’s financial position and operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (RHP) stock is a Buy with a $133.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryman stock, see the RHP Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Ryman Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where several proposals were approved. These included the election of nine directors to the board, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year. The meeting saw significant shareholder participation, with over 54 million shares represented.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 17, 2025