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Ryman Hospitality Properties (RHP)
NYSE:RHP

Ryman (RHP) AI Stock Analysis

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RHP

Ryman

(NYSE:RHP)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$99.00
â–²(6.37% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/12/26
The score is driven primarily by solid operating performance and constructive forward commentary (strong bookings/liquidity), tempered by meaningful balance-sheet leverage and a clearly weak technical setup. Valuation is helped by the strong dividend yield, while recent refinancing and expanded credit capacity modestly support the outlook.
Positive Factors
Forward Group Bookings
Substantial forward group bookings and on-the-books group revenue provide durable revenue visibility for a convention-focused REIT. Multi-day group demand boosts ADR and ancillary spend (banquets, AV, F&B), supporting steadier cash flow and insulating results from purely transient leisure volatility.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
The company’s capital structure remains debt-heavy and pro forma net leverage is elevated (~4.3x per guidance), which amplifies sensitivity to interest rates and cyclical downturns. High leverage constrains flexibility, increases covenant and refinancing risk, and limits ability to pursue opportunistic investments without more liquidity.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Forward Group Bookings
Substantial forward group bookings and on-the-books group revenue provide durable revenue visibility for a convention-focused REIT. Multi-day group demand boosts ADR and ancillary spend (banquets, AV, F&B), supporting steadier cash flow and insulating results from purely transient leisure volatility.
Read all positive factors

Ryman (RHP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryman Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. (NYSE: RHP) is a leading lodging and hospitality real estate investment trust that specializes in upscale convention center resorts and country music entertainment experiences. The Company's core holdings* includ...
How the Company Makes Money
Ryman makes money primarily through real estate and hotel-related cash flows generated by its owned hospitality and entertainment assets. 1) Hotel and resort real estate economics (core earnings driver) - Room revenue exposure: The hotels in Ryma...

Ryman Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 23, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational execution, notable growth in the Entertainment segment, record holiday/ICE! performance, robust liquidity and a successful acquisition strategy, while noting measured, conservative guidance for 2026 driven by macro uncertainty, near-term seasonality and ongoing construction disruption. Overall, management portrayed confidence in long-term growth and substantial portfolio-driven upside, balanced against identifiable near-term risks.
Positive Updates
Beating Guidance and Strong Financial Execution
Full year results came in above midpoints of guidance ranges; Entertainment segment and AFFO/AFFO per share finished above the high end of guidance. Fourth quarter outperformed expectations driven by holiday programming and downtown Nashville volumes.
Negative Updates
Conservative 2026 Guidance and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Management issued a cautious initial 2026 guide with same-store RevPAR midpoint growth of 2.5% and flattish leisure assumptions, citing political and macroeconomic uncertainty and potential attrition/cancellations that could pull results below group pace.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Beating Guidance and Strong Financial Execution
Full year results came in above midpoints of guidance ranges; Entertainment segment and AFFO/AFFO per share finished above the high end of guidance. Fourth quarter outperformed expectations driven by holiday programming and downtown Nashville volumes.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's 2026 guidance at the midpoint assumes same-store hospitality RevPAR growth of 2.5% (same-store total RevPAR +2.5%), same-store hospitality adjusted EBITDAre consistent with ~2.5% operating expense growth or roughly 10 bps of margin expansion, and a JW Marriott Desert Ridge first full-year adjusted EBITDAre contribution (meeting-space conversion opens April 2026); the Entertainment midpoint implies nearly 10% adjusted EBITDAre growth with 2026 seasonality weighted to Q2. Near-term, management expects Q1 same-store RevPAR and total RevPAR to be roughly flat, hospitality adjusted EBITDAre margin to decline ~100 bps, and Entertainment Q1 adjusted EBITDAre to fall by several million dollars. Booking and pace metrics underpinning the guide include same-store group rooms revenue on the books for 2026 up ~6% (2027 up ~5%), ADR on the books pacing mid-single-digits, December 2025 bookings ADR +>10% vs prior year, more than 1.2M gross group room nights booked in Q4, and entering the year with ~50 points of occupancy on the books. Financial posture assumes $350–$450M of 2026 capex (primarily hospitality), unrestricted cash $471M, total available liquidity ~ $1.3B (pro forma ~ $1.4B after increasing the revolver to $850M), pro forma net leverage ~4.3x, a Fitch upgrade to BB (TLB margin cut from 200 bps to 175 bps), and a Q1 dividend of $1.20 payable April 15, 2026.

Ryman Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year recovery with materially higher revenue and solid profitability since 2022, plus consistently positive operating cash flow and positive free cash flow. Offsetting this, the balance sheet is heavily debt-weighted (high leverage), and 2025 showed margin volatility and softer free cash flow conversion versus prior years.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.58B2.34B2.16B1.81B939.37M
Gross Profit255.86M844.30M709.01M579.75M200.70M
EBITDA774.00M725.64M670.70M530.75M155.86M
Net Income243.43M271.64M311.22M128.99M-176.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.18B5.22B5.19B4.04B3.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments500.18M477.69M591.83M334.19M140.69M
Total Debt4.29B3.51B3.51B2.99B3.05B
Total Liabilities4.97B4.28B4.27B3.63B3.60B
Stockholders Equity750.15M548.98M569.15M95.28M-22.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow232.39M168.60M350.28M330.41M89.25M
Operating Cash Flow590.63M576.51M557.06M419.93M111.25M
Investing Cash Flow-1.23B-410.40M-1.01B-189.31M-289.74M
Financing Cash Flow567.29M-290.32M711.87M50.71M261.73M

Ryman Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price93.07
Price Trends
50DMA
96.48
Negative
100DMA
95.43
Negative
200DMA
95.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.85
Positive
RSI
45.98
Neutral
STOCH
44.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RHP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 93.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 94.09, below the 50-day MA of 96.48, and below the 200-day MA of 95.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.85 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RHP.

Ryman Risk Analysis

Ryman disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryman reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryman Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$13.36B16.0511.54%4.90%6.45%3.79%
67
Neutral
$1.96B18.226.59%5.13%0.95%-8.40%
67
Neutral
$2.80B23.795.50%8.30%0.57%-13.58%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$1.75B70.450.88%3.98%3.04%-98.77%
63
Neutral
$2.16B-2.54-8.42%13.10%-3.57%-104.55%
60
Neutral
$5.86B24.0334.28%5.01%6.98%-32.02%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RHP
Ryman
93.07
2.98
3.31%
DRH
Diamondrock
9.59
2.04
26.94%
SHO
Sunstone Hotel
9.25
-0.16
-1.71%
HST
Host Hotels & Resorts
19.42
5.44
38.89%
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT
11.90
-0.09
-0.78%
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts
10.72
0.32
3.04%

Ryman Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ryman Prices $700 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
On March 11, 2026, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. and its issuing subsidiaries priced a $700 million offering of 5.750% senior unsecured notes due 2034, fully guaranteed by certain subsidiaries and ranking pari passu with the company’s o...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ryman Hospitality Expands Revolving Credit Capacity and Maturity
Positive
Jan 28, 2026
On January 28, 2026, Ryman Hospitality Properties refinanced and amended its revolving credit facility, increasing total capacity from $700 million to $850 million, extending the maturity from May 2027 to January 2030 with an additional one-year e...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026