tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Ryman (RHP)
NYSE:RHP

Ryman (RHP) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
383 Followers

Top Page

RH

Ryman

(NYSE:RHP)

76Outperform
Ryman Hospitality Properties shows a solid financial recovery with strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by effective cash flow management. The technical indicators point to positive momentum, though caution is advised due to overbought technical signals. The valuation appears reasonable, supported by a good dividend yield. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties and government business pullbacks, the earnings call reflects robust performance and effective cost management. The company's high leverage is a key risk to monitor going forward.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
RHP has shown early success with its prior acquisition of JW Hill Country, indicating potential for repeatable success.
Financial Performance
RHP started off the year on a positive note with 1Q AFFOps of $2.08 beating consensus.
Growth Outlook
RHP is expected to continue to outgrow peers, with accelerating growth in 2026/2027 bolstered by renovations and group pace.
Negative Factors
Acquisition Cost
The acquisition price is elevated at $910.5 per key and 12.7 times 2024 EBITDA.
Leverage
Post acquisition, leverage is estimated to increase from 3.9 times to approximately 4.3 times.
Renovation Disruption
Renovation disruption will be a headwind with multiple ongoing projects and reflected in modest group pace.

Ryman (RHP) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ryman Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRyman Healthcare Limited (RHP) is a leading provider of retirement living and aged care services in New Zealand and Australia. The company operates in the healthcare and real estate sectors, offering a range of retirement village options, including independent living, assisted living, and full-service care facilities. Ryman is renowned for its innovative approach to aged care and its commitment to creating vibrant communities for older adults.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyman Healthcare makes money primarily through the development and management of retirement villages and aged care facilities. The company generates revenue from the sale of occupancy rights to its retirement units and ongoing service fees charged to residents for various levels of care and amenities. Additional income streams include deferred management fees, which are a percentage of the resale value of the units when they are vacated and resold, and fees for care services provided to residents in assisted living and care facilities. The company also benefits from property value appreciation and development profits from building new villages. Significant partnerships with healthcare providers and real estate developers further enhance its revenue-generating capabilities.

Ryman Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ryman has demonstrated a solid recovery and growth in key financial metrics, driven by revenue growth and improved profitability margins. However, high leverage remains a significant risk factor. The company has effectively managed cash flow, supporting operations and growth. Continued focus on managing debt levels while sustaining growth will be crucial for future stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Ryman has shown a strong recovery and growth trajectory in its income statement. The Gross Profit Margin is healthy at 33.2% in TTM, improving from previous years. The Net Profit Margin also improved significantly to 12.2% in TTM. Revenue has grown consistently year-on-year, with a notable increase of 32.5% from 2022 to 2023. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, indicating efficient operations and cost management. The recovery from the pandemic-driven downturn is evident, although past losses highlight potential volatility.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a high Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 6.60 in TTM, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk. However, the Return on Equity (ROE) is robust at 54.8% in TTM, reflecting effective use of equity. The Equity Ratio is low at 10.1%, suggesting heavy reliance on debt financing. While the company has shown financial improvement, the high leverage remains a concern.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Ryman's cash flow statements reflect strong operational cash generation, with Operating Cash Flow at $667M in TTM and a solid Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.29. Free Cash Flow has grown year-on-year, showing positive cash management. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.78, indicating good cash earnings quality. The company has managed significant capital expenditures while maintaining positive cash flow, but the high debt may pressure future cash flows.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.40B2.34B2.16B1.81B939.37M524.48M
Gross Profit
796.62M772.63M666.22M579.75M200.70M-26.67M
EBIT
510.57M490.83M453.68M327.15M-61.87M-303.83M
EBITDA
779.28M755.05M664.91M524.15M155.86M-102.87M
Net Income Common Stockholders
291.54M271.64M311.22M128.99M-194.80M-460.82M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
413.86M477.69M591.83M334.19M140.69M56.70M
Total Assets
5.24B5.22B5.19B4.04B3.58B3.56B
Total Debt
3.51B3.51B3.51B2.99B3.05B2.77B
Net Debt
3.10B3.04B2.91B2.65B2.91B2.71B
Total Liabilities
4.28B4.28B4.27B3.63B3.60B3.24B
Stockholders Equity
531.53M548.98M569.15M95.90M-22.39M205.30M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
226.05M168.60M350.28M330.41M89.25M9.82M
Operating Cash Flow
667.25M576.51M557.06M419.93M111.25M-161.52M
Investing Cash Flow
-462.28M-410.40M-1.01B-189.31M-289.74M-172.65M
Financing Cash Flow
-290.53M-290.32M711.87M50.71M261.73M-6.47M

Ryman Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price96.99
Price Trends
50DMA
91.37
Positive
100DMA
96.29
Positive
200DMA
100.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.85
Negative
RSI
65.21
Neutral
STOCH
57.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RHP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 96.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 93.15, above the 50-day MA of 91.37, and below the 200-day MA of 100.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RHP.

Ryman Risk Analysis

Ryman disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryman reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryman Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
RHRHP
76
Outperform
$5.95B21.3654.93%4.54%9.27%-2.13%
PKPK
72
Outperform
$2.16B18.343.46%9.26%-3.68%35.35%
69
Neutral
$2.87B15.375.84%7.97%4.98%-7.08%
PEPEB
68
Neutral
$1.18B-0.33%0.40%2.18%56.00%
HSHST
68
Neutral
$10.70B16.1310.12%5.14%7.52%-5.25%
SHSHO
61
Neutral
$1.77B91.831.66%4.05%-3.90%-89.21%
60
Neutral
$2.82B10.290.31%8508.26%5.91%-17.42%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RHP
Ryman
96.99
-2.88
-2.88%
SHO
Sunstone Hotel
8.83
-1.18
-11.79%
HST
Host Hotels & Resorts
15.14
-2.25
-12.94%
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
9.63
-5.24
-35.24%
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT
11.80
-1.88
-13.74%
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts
10.59
-4.06
-27.71%

Ryman Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.10%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects strong first quarter performance with record revenue and growth across segments. However, economic uncertainty and anticipated government business pullback pose challenges. The company has managed cost structures effectively and sees strong forward bookings, but remains cautious about near-term volatility.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Quarter Revenue and Growth
Consolidated revenue increased by 11% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDAre up 15% and AFFO per share up 28%. Hospitality segment saw record first quarter revenue with RevPAR and total RevPAR growth of 10% and 9%, respectively.
Entertainment Segment Performance
Entertainment segment revenue grew by 34% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDAre increasing by 35%, both setting first quarter records.
Strong Forward Bookings
Gross group room nights booked for future years increased by 10% year-over-year, with 2026 and 2027 bookings up 13% and 35%, respectively.
Proactive Cost Management
Implemented $28-$30 million in profit improvement plans to manage cost structure effectively, leading to improved wage margin by 40 basis points.
Negative Updates
Economic Uncertainty Impact
Federal government's trade rebalancing efforts create uncertainty, causing hesitancy among businesses for near-term meetings and impacting in-the-year, for-the-year bookings.
Government Business Pullback
Anticipated pullback in government-related business affecting the low end of prior guidance, impacting group business volumes.
Potential Cancellations and Attrition
Increased attrition and modest pullback in demand for in-the-year bookings, prompting revised guidance for hospitality RevPAR and total RevPAR growth.
Company Guidance
During Ryman Hospitality Properties' first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics, reflecting cautious optimism amidst uncertain economic conditions. Consolidated revenue increased by 11%, with consolidated adjusted EBITDAre up 15% and AFFO per fully diluted share rising by 28%. The Hospitality segment reported record first quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDAre, driven by year-over-year RevPAR and total RevPAR growth of 10% and 9%, respectively. In response to the uncertainty caused by global economic factors, Ryman adjusted its full-year outlook for hospitality RevPAR growth to 1.25% to 3.75% and total RevPAR growth to 0.75% to 3.25%. Despite these adjustments, the company maintained its guidance for adjusted EBITDAre, AFFO, and AFFO per fully diluted share, citing proactive cost management and a unique business model as key factors. The Entertainment segment showed robust growth, with revenue up 34% and adjusted EBITDAre increasing by 35%, both marking first quarter records. The company remains focused on long-term value creation while managing near-term dynamics, with a continued emphasis on cost efficiencies and strategic capital deployment.

Ryman Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ryman Announces Acquisition of JW Marriott Phoenix
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. announced its subsidiary’s agreement to acquire the JW Marriott Phoenix Desert Ridge Resort & Spa for approximately $865 million. This acquisition, expected to close in the second or third quarter of 2025, aims to expand Ryman’s presence in the Western U.S. and enhance shareholder value through synergies with existing assets. However, the acquisition carries risks, including integration challenges and potential undiscovered liabilities, which could impact Ryman’s financial position and operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (RHP) stock is a Buy with a $133.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryman stock, see the RHP Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on RHP Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, RHP is a Outperform.

Ryman Hospitality Properties shows a solid financial recovery with strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by effective cash flow management. The technical indicators point to positive momentum, though caution is advised due to overbought technical signals. The valuation appears reasonable, supported by a good dividend yield. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties and government business pullbacks, the earnings call reflects robust performance and effective cost management. The company’s high leverage is a key risk to monitor going forward.

To see Spark’s full report on RHP stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Ryman Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where several proposals were approved. These included the election of nine directors to the board, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year. The meeting saw significant shareholder participation, with over 54 million shares represented.

Spark’s Take on RHP Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, RHP is a Neutral.

Ryman’s strong revenue growth and financial stability, underscored by zero debt, are key strengths. The recent earnings call supports optimism with record performance, but economic uncertainties present risks. Technical indicators are mixed, while valuation metrics suggest reasonable pricing and good income potential. Overall, Ryman presents a balanced investment opportunity with notable strengths and some risks to monitor.

To see Spark’s full report on RHP stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
Ryman Announces Board Member Resignation and Compensation
Neutral
Mar 17, 2025

On March 17, 2025, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. announced the resignation of Fazal F. Merchant from its Board of Directors, Audit Committee, and Risk Committee, following his acceptance of a new position with Wiz, Inc. The resignation was not due to any disagreement with the company. In recognition of his service, the Board approved the payment of his quarterly cash compensation and accelerated the vesting of his restricted stock units. Consequently, the Board reduced its size from ten to nine members.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.