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Sunstone Hotel Investors (SHO)
NYSE:SHO
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Sunstone Hotel (SHO) AI Stock Analysis

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SHO

Sunstone Hotel

(NYSE:SHO)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(6.95% Upside)
Sunstone Hotel's overall stock score is driven by a stable financial position and positive technical indicators. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, and mixed earnings call sentiment introduces caution. The strong dividend yield provides some support, but challenges in profitability and market performance weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Performance
Sunstone Hotel Investors reported stronger total revenues and RevPAR in the fourth quarter, coming in above market estimates and consensus.
RevPAR Guidance
Management provided a positive RevPAR growth guidance of 7-10% for 2025, which is above the market and consensus expectations.
Negative Factors
Earnings Guidance
Sunstone Hotel Investors' 2025 EBITDA guidance came in below consensus, potentially putting pressure on the stock.
Labor Costs
The company's fourth-quarter EBITDA margins were lower, impacted by labor activity, which led to weaker margins despite strong revenue performance.

Sunstone Hotel (SHO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sunstone Hotel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. is a lodging real estate investment trust (REIT) that as of the date of this release has interests in 19 hotels comprised of 9,997 rooms. Sunstone's business is to acquire, own, asset manage and renovate or reposition hotels considered to be Long-Term Relevant Real Estate®, the majority of which are operated under nationally recognized brands, such as Marriott, Hilton and Hyatt.
How the Company Makes MoneySunstone Hotel generates revenue primarily through the operation of its hotel properties, which includes room bookings, food and beverage sales, and ancillary services such as event hosting and parking. The company's revenue model is bolstered by long-term management agreements with reputable hotel brands, ensuring a steady stream of income from franchise fees and royalties. Additionally, SHO may engage in property sales and acquisitions to capitalize on market opportunities, further diversifying its revenue streams. Significant partnerships with established hospitality brands enhance its market presence and operational efficiency, contributing to overall profitability.

Sunstone Hotel Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong performance in urban hotels, San Francisco, and Wine Country. However, challenges in the Washington, D.C. market, delayed ramp-up at Andaz Miami Beach, and softness in Wailea tempered the optimism. The company's strategic capital recycling and share repurchase efforts were positive aspects.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Urban Hotels Lead Portfolio
Urban hotels achieved a RevPAR growth of over 9%, driven by corporate group and business travel demand. Specific mention of Marriott Long Beach Downtown, with a nearly 70% RevPAR increase, highlighting the success of recent investments.
San Francisco Performance
San Francisco reported a RevPAR growth of 6.5% and total RevPAR growth of over 16%, marking the second consecutive quarter of exceeding expectations.
Wine Country Success
Montage Healdsburg and Four Seasons Napa Valley both exceeded revenue and earnings expectations, with Montage experiencing an 18% increase in RevPAR and a 23% increase in total RevPAR.
Capital Recycling and Share Repurchase
Successful sale of the Hilton New Orleans St. Charles at an attractive cap rate, with proceeds and additional capital used for $100 million in share repurchases this year, totaling nearly $300 million since 2022.
Negative Updates
Weakness in Washington, D.C. Market
Performance hampered by government and related cancellations, impacting demand and leading to a challenging third quarter forecast.
Slower Ramp-Up at Andaz Miami Beach
Delayed opening in the low summer season resulted in a slower ramp-up, impacting expectations for the early part of the fourth quarter.
Softness in Wailea Market
Lower-than-expected transient volumes in Wailea, impacting third-quarter results despite expected improvements in the fourth quarter.
Company Guidance
In the Sunstone Hotel Investors Second Quarter Earnings Call, the company provided an updated outlook for 2025, incorporating several key metrics. The guidance reflects a more cautious approach due to various headwinds, including softer leisure demand, reduced government volumes, and a moderated ramp-up pace at Andaz Miami Beach. Total portfolio RevPAR growth is expected to range from 3% to 5%, with a specific RevPAR growth of 1% to 3% excluding Andaz. Adjusted EBITDAre is projected between $226 million and $240 million, while adjusted FFO per diluted share is forecasted to be between $0.80 and $0.87. The company anticipates a challenging third quarter with flat to slightly positive RevPAR growth, followed by more significant growth in the fourth quarter, driven by increased contributions from Andaz Miami Beach and improvements in other markets like Long Beach and San Francisco.

Sunstone Hotel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sunstone Hotel exhibits stable financial health with strong operational efficiency and a conservative approach to leverage. The company maintains a solid equity position but faces challenges in enhancing profitability and cash flow growth. Continued focus on improving margins and cash conversion will be crucial for sustaining growth in the competitive REIT hotel and motel industry.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows moderate performance. The TTM gross profit margin is 54.77% and the net profit margin is 3.85%, both indicating stable profitability. Revenue growth is slightly positive at 1.86% from the previous year, suggesting slow growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 11.80% and 22.70% respectively, indicate healthy operational efficiency, though there is room for improvement in net profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 67.11%, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.41, reflecting a conservative leverage approach. However, the return on equity (ROE) is low at 1.71%, suggesting that the company is not fully leveraging its equity to generate higher profits.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
The cash flow statement indicates a robust free cash flow to net income ratio of 4.62, suggesting strong cash generation relative to earnings. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 4.62 highlights potential issues in converting earnings into cash. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, showing a 3.79% decline from the previous year, which could be a concern for future liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue935.00M905.81M985.98M912.05M509.15M267.91M
Gross Profit508.82M421.74M476.46M463.50M218.18M16.22M
EBITDA199.99M203.64M387.31M249.23M43.24M-107.06M
Net Income20.11M43.26M206.71M87.29M34.30M-410.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.01B3.11B3.15B3.08B3.04B2.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments73.56M107.20M426.40M101.22M120.48M368.41M
Total Debt878.52M853.07M831.29M827.04M634.55M790.31M
Total Liabilities1.03B1.00B982.68M997.86M801.27M896.34M
Stockholders Equity1.98B2.10B2.17B2.08B2.20B2.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow167.86M170.38M198.13M80.81M-35.29M-116.81M
Operating Cash Flow167.86M170.38M198.13M209.38M28.37M-116.70M
Investing Cash Flow-94.03M-386.28M258.08M-165.72M-239.69M113.79M
Financing Cash Flow-162.92M-97.52M-119.72M-49.17M-42.10M-445.92M

Sunstone Hotel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.35
Price Trends
50DMA
8.97
Positive
100DMA
8.75
Positive
200DMA
9.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
56.38
Neutral
STOCH
73.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.12, above the 50-day MA of 8.97, and below the 200-day MA of 9.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SHO.

Sunstone Hotel Risk Analysis

Sunstone Hotel disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sunstone Hotel reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sunstone Hotel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.36B22.305.00%3.64%4.81%185.08%
66
Neutral
$1.80B445.070.96%3.79%0.37%-97.38%
63
Neutral
$6.95B13.72-0.50%6.99%4.08%-25.24%
62
Neutral
$2.35B44.391.58%12.04%-3.19%-81.33%
61
Neutral
$1.76B30.354.22%4.98%1.72%-3.49%
59
Neutral
$1.17B36.772.53%7.91%1.42%-20.13%
57
Neutral
$1.32B-0.81%0.35%2.00%50.70%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SHO
Sunstone Hotel
9.49
-0.21
-2.16%
DRH
Diamondrock
8.49
0.50
6.26%
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
11.54
-1.40
-10.82%
RLJ
RLJ Lodging
7.59
-1.05
-12.15%
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts
14.28
0.92
6.89%
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts
11.90
-1.04
-8.04%

Sunstone Hotel Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sunstone Hotel Opens Renovated Andaz Miami Beach
Neutral
May 6, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Sunstone Hotel Investors held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions included the election of directors and the approval of executive compensation and audit appointments. The company reported a decrease in net income for the first quarter of 2025 compared to the previous year, but saw increases in RevPAR and Adjusted EBITDAre. Sunstone opened the newly renovated Andaz Miami Beach, marking a significant milestone in its portfolio enhancement strategy. The company also continued its stock repurchase program and extended a term loan maturity, reflecting its focus on financial flexibility and shareholder returns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025