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Sunstone Hotel Investors (SHO)
NYSE:SHO
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Sunstone Hotel (SHO) AI Stock Analysis

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SHO

Sunstone Hotel

(NYSE:SHO)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(5.56% Upside)
Sunstone Hotel's overall stock score is driven by stable financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, tempered by technical analysis indicating a bearish trend and high valuation concerns. The company's strong dividend yield provides some support, but challenges in key markets and a cautious outlook weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Performance
Sunstone Hotel Investors reported stronger total revenues and RevPAR in the fourth quarter, coming in above market estimates and consensus.
RevPAR Growth Guidance
Management provided a positive RevPAR growth guidance of 7-10% for 2025, which is above the market and consensus expectations.
Negative Factors
EBITDA Margins
The company's fourth-quarter EBITDA margins were lower, impacted by labor activity, which led to weaker margins despite strong revenue performance.
Guidance Pressure
Sunstone Hotel Investors' 2025 EBITDA guidance came in below consensus, potentially putting pressure on the stock.

Sunstone Hotel (SHO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sunstone Hotel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. is a lodging real estate investment trust (REIT) that as of the date of this release has interests in 19 hotels comprised of 9,997 rooms. Sunstone's business is to acquire, own, asset manage and renovate or reposition hotels considered to be Long-Term Relevant Real Estate®, the majority of which are operated under nationally recognized brands, such as Marriott, Hilton and Hyatt.
How the Company Makes MoneySunstone Hotel generates revenue primarily through the operation of its hotel properties, which includes room bookings, food and beverage sales, and ancillary services such as event hosting and parking. The company's revenue model is bolstered by long-term management agreements with reputable hotel brands, ensuring a steady stream of income from franchise fees and royalties. Additionally, SHO may engage in property sales and acquisitions to capitalize on market opportunities, further diversifying its revenue streams. Significant partnerships with established hospitality brands enhance its market presence and operational efficiency, contributing to overall profitability.

Sunstone Hotel Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with several positive highlights such as strong performances in specific markets and successful capital recycling, yet it also faces significant challenges including underperformance in key markets like Washington, D.C., and slower-than-expected ramp-up at Andaz Miami Beach. While there are optimistic signs for future quarters, current uncertainties lead to a cautious outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Urban Hotels RevPAR Growth
Urban hotels led the portfolio with a RevPAR growth of more than 9%, driven by corporate group and business travel demand.
Marriott Long Beach Downtown Performance
Marriott Long Beach Downtown had a RevPAR increase of nearly 70%, benefiting from recent investment and brand conversion.
San Francisco Market Improvement
San Francisco saw a RevPAR growth of 6.5% and total RevPAR growth of over 16%, driven by a better citywide calendar and increased commercial activity.
Renaissance Orlando at SeaWorld Success
The Renaissance Orlando at SeaWorld had a strong quarter with group contribution and solid production, with year-to-date production up 16% in room nights and over 30% in revenue.
Wine Country Resorts Performance
Montage Healdsburg and Four Seasons Napa Valley exceeded revenue and earnings expectations, with Montage growing occupancy by over 1,200 basis points and RevPAR by 18%.
Andaz Miami Beach Opening and Customer Feedback
Andaz Miami Beach opened in May, receiving overwhelmingly positive reviews, and its Tripadvisor ranking improved significantly.
Capital Recycling and Share Repurchases
The company sold the Hilton New Orleans St. Charles at a favorable cap rate and repurchased $100 million of shares, bringing total repurchases since 2022 to nearly $300 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Washington, D.C. Market
Performance in Washington, D.C. was hampered by government cancellations and underperformance of citywide events, impacting expectations for the third quarter.
Challenges in Wailea
Wailea Beach Resort faced price sensitivity and lower-than-expected growth due to market recovery following fires and reopening of the Kaanapali submarket.
Deferred Ramp-Up at Andaz Miami Beach
The later opening of Andaz Miami Beach resulted in an EBITDA swing of several million dollars due to missing the high demand spring break period and slower occupancy build-up.
Softer Leisure Demand and Government Volumes
The updated outlook for the year includes headwinds from a softer leisure demand environment and lower government volumes, impacting expectations.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter earnings call for Sunstone Hotel Investors, several key metrics were discussed, providing an updated financial outlook for 2025. The company's urban hotels led the portfolio with a RevPAR growth of over 9%, driven by strong corporate group and business travel demand. Notably, Marriott Long Beach Downtown experienced a significant RevPAR increase of nearly 70%, while Bidwell Marriott Portland saw a 10% growth. The company noted a softer leisure demand environment and moderated ramp-up at Andaz Miami Beach, leading to a more cautious fourth quarter expectation. Total portfolio RevPAR growth is projected to range from 3% to 5% for the year. Adjusted EBITDAre for the second quarter was reported at $73 million with an adjusted FFO of $0.28 per diluted share, while the full year adjusted EBITDAre is expected to range from $226 million to $240 million. Additionally, Sunstone Hotel Investors executed a capital recycling strategy by selling the Hilton New Orleans St. Charles and using the proceeds for $100 million in share repurchases.

Sunstone Hotel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sunstone Hotel exhibits stable financial health with strong operational efficiency and a conservative approach to leverage. The company maintains a solid equity position with a strong equity ratio and conservative debt levels. However, challenges in enhancing profitability and cash flow growth remain, as indicated by a low ROE and negative free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows moderate performance. The TTM gross profit margin is 54.77% and the net profit margin is 3.85%, both indicating stable profitability. Revenue growth is slightly positive at 1.86% from the previous year, suggesting slow growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 11.80% and 22.70% respectively, indicate healthy operational efficiency, though there is room for improvement in net profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 67.11%, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.41, reflecting a conservative leverage approach. However, the return on equity (ROE) is low at 1.71%, suggesting that the company is not fully leveraging its equity to generate higher profits.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
The cash flow statement indicates a robust free cash flow to net income ratio of 4.62, suggesting strong cash generation relative to earnings. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 4.62 highlights potential issues in converting earnings into cash. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, showing a 3.79% decline from the previous year, which could be a concern for future liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue935.00M905.81M985.98M912.05M509.15M267.91M
Gross Profit378.27M421.74M476.46M463.50M218.18M16.22M
EBITDA174.53M203.64M387.31M249.23M43.24M-107.06M
Net Income20.11M43.26M206.71M87.29M34.30M-410.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.01B3.11B3.15B3.08B3.04B2.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments73.56M107.20M426.40M101.22M120.48M368.41M
Total Debt9.83M853.07M831.29M827.04M634.55M790.31M
Total Liabilities1.03B1.00B982.68M997.86M801.27M896.34M
Stockholders Equity1.98B2.10B2.17B2.08B2.20B2.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow109.13M170.38M198.13M80.81M-35.29M-116.81M
Operating Cash Flow109.13M170.38M198.13M209.38M28.37M-116.70M
Investing Cash Flow-116.55M-386.28M258.08M-165.72M-239.69M113.79M
Financing Cash Flow-77.79M-97.52M-119.72M-49.17M-42.10M-445.92M

Sunstone Hotel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.00
Price Trends
50DMA
8.82
Positive
100DMA
8.72
Positive
200DMA
9.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
56.49
Neutral
STOCH
55.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.85, above the 50-day MA of 8.82, and below the 200-day MA of 9.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SHO.

Sunstone Hotel Risk Analysis

Sunstone Hotel disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sunstone Hotel reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sunstone Hotel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.20B19.765.00%4.14%4.81%185.08%
63
Neutral
$1.57B27.394.22%5.52%1.72%-3.49%
63
Neutral
$6.82B13.38-0.62%7.30%3.67%-27.09%
63
Neutral
$1.64B405.160.96%4.17%0.37%-97.38%
62
Neutral
$2.04B38.581.58%13.13%-3.19%-81.33%
60
Neutral
$1.07B33.572.53%8.53%1.42%-20.13%
54
Neutral
$1.11B-0.81%0.41%2.00%50.70%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SHO
Sunstone Hotel
9.00
-0.44
-4.66%
DRH
Diamondrock
7.86
0.31
4.11%
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
9.79
-2.54
-20.60%
RLJ
RLJ Lodging
7.21
-1.20
-14.27%
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts
13.14
0.72
5.80%
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts
10.66
-1.82
-14.58%

Sunstone Hotel Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sunstone Hotel Opens Renovated Andaz Miami Beach
Neutral
May 6, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Sunstone Hotel Investors held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions included the election of directors and the approval of executive compensation and audit appointments. The company reported a decrease in net income for the first quarter of 2025 compared to the previous year, but saw increases in RevPAR and Adjusted EBITDAre. Sunstone opened the newly renovated Andaz Miami Beach, marking a significant milestone in its portfolio enhancement strategy. The company also continued its stock repurchase program and extended a term loan maturity, reflecting its focus on financial flexibility and shareholder returns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025