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Park Hotels & Resorts (PK)
NYSE:PK

Park Hotels & Resorts (PK) AI Stock Analysis

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PK

Park Hotels & Resorts

(NYSE:PK)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
â–²(6.57% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/21/26
The score is led by solid cash generation and an improved latest-period leverage profile, but is constrained by volatile profitability and a return to net losses. Technicals are mildly supportive with price above key moving averages and neutral momentum. Valuation is mixed—an attractive yield is offset by loss-driven negative P/E—while the earnings call points to a cautious 2026 setup with renovation and refinancing execution risk despite clear strategic progress in the core portfolio.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow through 2022–2025 (2025 FCF ≈$398M) provides durable internal funding for renovation programs, dividends and debt service. Reliable cash generation improves financial flexibility and supports multi-year capital allocation despite cyclical demand swings.
Improved leverage profile
Materially lower leverage in 2025 (debt-to-equity ≈0.07) strengthens balance-sheet resilience. A lighter debt load reduces refinancing pressure, raises tolerance for renovation disruption, and gives management capacity to execute strategic dispositions and redeploy capital without immediate liquidity strain.
Core portfolio & capital recycling
Concentrating assets on 21 core hotels while selling non-core has measurably improved revenue and margins. Core RevPAR and core EBITDA margin expansion, plus disciplined disposals, indicate sustainable higher-quality earnings and better long-term returns from a streamlined, premium portfolio.
Negative Factors
Profitability volatility & impairments
Large impairment-driven net losses in 2025 highlight asset-level volatility and earnings sensitivity to valuations. Episodic write-downs and negative EBITDA years undermine predictability of FFO and dividends, complicating long-term cash-return planning and investor confidence in run-rate profitability.
Refinancing and maturity risk
Concentrated maturities (~$1.4B) and assumed refinancing at higher rates materially raise recurring interest costs. Execution risk on large CMBS and mortgage maturities could strain cash flow coverage, limit discretionary CapEx or share returns if markets or timing worsen over the next 12–24 months.
Non-core drag and timing uncertainty
Remaining non-core assets still contribute meaningful EBITDA but sale timing is uncertain. Delays limit deleveraging and portfolio quality gains, prolong earnings drag from underperforming hotels, and increase exposure to cyclical demand and renovation disruption until dispositions complete.

Park Hotels & Resorts (PK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Park Hotels & Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPark is the second largest publicly traded lodging REIT with a diverse portfolio of market-leading hotels and resorts with significant underlying real estate value. Park's portfolio currently consists of 60 premium-branded hotels and resorts with over 33,000 rooms primarily located in prime city center and resort locations.
How the Company Makes MoneyPark Hotels & Resorts generates revenue primarily through the operation of its hotel properties, which includes room rentals, food and beverage sales, and event hosting services. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on the occupancy rates of its hotels, as well as the average daily rate (ADR) charged to guests. Key revenue streams include direct bookings from guests, group and corporate event bookings, and partnerships with travel agencies and online travel platforms that facilitate reservations. Additionally, the company benefits from brand affiliations with major hotel chains, which can enhance visibility and attract a wider customer base. Seasonal travel trends and economic conditions also play a significant role in influencing the company's earnings.

Park Hotels & Resorts Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Type
Revenue by Type
Breaks down revenue sources, such as room bookings and food services, revealing the diversity and stability of income streams.
Chart InsightsPark Hotels & Resorts has seen a steady recovery in room revenue since the pandemic lows, but recent earnings call insights reveal challenges. Despite strategic reinvestments and asset sales aimed at long-term growth, short-term pressures like a 6% RevPAR decline and softer leisure demand have impacted performance. The company is mitigating risks by extending its credit facility and focusing on high ROI projects, such as the Royal Palm renovation. However, the decline in government and group demand, exacerbated by a government shutdown, poses ongoing risks to revenue stability.
Data provided by:The Fly

Park Hotels & Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed solid operational progress and strategic execution—core assets outperformed, margins in the core expanded, large capital reinvestment programs are underway with expected attractive returns, and liquidity and capital-allocation priorities are clearly articulated. Near-term challenges include renovation-related disruption (notably Royal Palm and tower renovations), a full-year RevPAR decline in 2025, non-core portfolio underperformance and timing uncertainty around remaining dispositions, and material refinancing/maturity obligations in 2026 that raise short-term execution risk. Management's guidance is deliberately conservative, highlighting potential upside if asset reopenings and dispositions materialize on schedule. On balance, the call emphasized strong execution and a constructive multi-year outlook while acknowledging near-term headwinds and refinancing tasks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong disposal track record and recycling capital
Sold or disposed of 51 hotels for over $3,000,000,000 over the past nine years; executed more than $120,000,000 in non-core sales in 2025 at a blended multiple of 21x; closed sale of Hilton Checkers for ~ $13,000,000 (~17x 2025 EBITDA).
Core portfolio outperformance
Core portfolio RevPAR grew 3.2% in Q4 (5.7% excluding Royal Palm) and outperformed non-core by ~1,500 basis points in Q4 and by an average of ~480 basis points for 2025, validating the strategy to concentrate on 21 core hotels.
Core operating profit and margin expansion
Core hotel Adjusted EBITDA rose 13% (≈$18,000,000) year-over-year for the quarter and core hotel Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 230 basis points to 30% in Q4.
Meaningful portfolio yield improvements from prior dispositions
Sales since 2023 (13 hotels) increased portfolio-wide nominal RevPAR by nearly 8% and hotel Adjusted EBITDA margins by over 275 basis points, demonstrating value creation from recycling non-core assets.
Large redevelopment and renovation program underway
Launched $108,000,000 Royal Palm redevelopment; invested nearly $300,000,000 in CapEx across the portfolio in 2025 (≈$110,000,000 in Q4); announced ~$96,000,000 Ali'i Tower renovation at Hilton Hawaiian Village and other significant Hawaii/New Orleans upgrades.
Specific asset operational highlights
Hilton Hawaiian Village delivered 22% RevPAR growth in Q4 (benefitting from easier comps); Bonnet Creek complex generated record Q4 RevPAR up nearly 9% with group revenue +15%; Waldorf Astoria Bonnet Creek named #1 hotel in Orlando; New York delivered its highest fourth quarter group revenue in hotel history (up >8% YoY).
Strong liquidity and balance sheet planning
Year-end liquidity ~ $2,000,000,000 (including $200,000,000 cash, $1,000,000,000 revolver capacity, $800,000,000 undrawn delayed-draw term loan); clear plan to draw term loan and mortgage financings to address 2026 maturities.
Prudent and positive 2026 guidance
Full-year 2026 guidance: RevPAR growth flat to +2%; expense growth low single digits; Adjusted EBITDA $580,000,000–$610,000,000; Adjusted FFO per share $1.73–$1.89. Management emphasized cautious assumptions and upside potential.
Shareholder returns and capital allocation track record
Returned $245,000,000 in 2025 (dividends $200,000,000, share repurchases $45,000,000); three-year total returned $1,300,000,000 and repurchased over 12% of shares; declared Q1 dividend $0.25/share (~>8.5% annual yield at current trading levels).
Royal Palm projected post-renovation earnings upside
Royal Palm forecasted to more than double EBITDA from $14,000,000 to nearly $28,000,000 at stabilization; management expects ~ $3,000,000–$4,000,000 of hotel Adjusted EBITDA in 2026 as it ramps.
Negative Updates
Full-year RevPAR decline and margin pressure
Full-year 2025 RevPAR declined 2% versus 2024; full-year hotel Adjusted EBITDA margin was 26.5%, down 130 basis points versus prior year.
Non-core portfolio underperformance and drag
Non-core portfolio RevPAR and profitability lag: non-core hotel Adjusted EBITDA margin contracted 280 basis points to 10% in Q4 and non-core Adjusted EBITDA declined ~28%, creating an approximately $4,000,000 drag on quarterly earnings.
Renovation-related short-term headwinds (Royal Palm & Hawaii)
Royal Palm closure produced over $4,000,000 headwind to quarterly earnings, contributed ~110 basis points drag to full-year RevPAR and ~15 basis points to margin; renovation disruption elsewhere (e.g., Ali'i Tower) expected to be $1,000,000–$2,000,000 in 2026 (~10 basis points impact to portfolio RevPAR).
Near-term Q1 demand pressure and calendar headwinds
Q1 expected to be the most challenging quarter due to lapping events: New Orleans (lapping Super Bowl) and Miami together expected to represent a ~450 basis point drag on RevPAR in Q1, translating to an approximate $12,000,000 headwind to earnings versus prior year.
Refinancing and maturity risks increase near-term interest burden
Plan assumes refinancing of ~ $1,400,000,000 of debt at a blended rate of ~5.5%, which is expected to increase interest expense by roughly $20,000,000 annually (only $9,000,000 reflected in 2026 guidance given timing); key maturities include $121,000,000 mortgage in June and a $1,275,000,000 CMBS in early November for Hilton Hawaiian Village.
Timing uncertainty for remaining non-core dispositions
While management is committed to selling a majority of remaining non-core hotels in 2026, timing remains uncertain and the guidance excludes any material impact from 2026 non-core dispositions beyond what has closed; remaining 13 non-core hotels generated ~ $60,000,000 of hotel Adjusted EBITDA in 2025 (≈9% of total).
International/inbound demand softness and macro risks
International inbound travel (notably Canada) remained soft in 2025, and management highlighted geopolitical or macroeconomic volatility as downside risks to booking decisions, group pickup, and international travel recovery.
Short-term operational pace weaknesses in certain markets
Q1 group pace is down meaningfully at several assets (e.g., Hawaiian Village Q1 pace down ~37%; Midtown pace down ~6% for the year with Q4 weakest), contributing to conservative guidance and potential downside to near-term results.
Guidance conservatism on event capture (World Cup)
The company's 2026 guidance conservatively assumes no material benefit from World Cup demand at Royal Palm due to opening timing uncertainty, potentially understating upside if reopening is confirmed early and demand converts.
Company Guidance
Management issued cautious 2026 guidance calling for full‑year RevPAR growth of flat to +2%, low‑single‑digit expense growth, Adjusted EBITDA of $580–$610 million and Adjusted FFO per share of $1.73–$1.89; they flagged Q1 as the toughest quarter (New Orleans + Miami ≈450 bps Q1 RevPAR drag, about a $12 million earnings headwind), plan 2026 CapEx of $230–$260 million (including the $108M Royal Palm redevelopment and a ~$96M Ali‘i Tower renovation), expect Royal Palm to contribute only ~$3–$4M of hotel Adjusted EBITDA in 2026 (vs. ~$28M stabilized / ~$5M in 2025), model Hilton Hawaiian Village renovation disruption at $1–$2M (~10 bps portfolio RevPAR), exclude any incremental non‑core disposition proceeds (the 13 remaining non‑core hotels generated ~ $60M hotel Adjusted EBITDA in 2025), and assume successful refinancing of ~ $1.4B at a ~5.5% blended rate (annualized interest +$20M, ~$9M included in guidance timing).

Park Hotels & Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash flow is the key strength (positive OCF/FCF in 2022–2025; 2025 FCF ~$398M and improved interest coverage ~1.90) and the latest leverage profile is much better (2025 debt-to-equity ~0.07). Offsetting this, profitability is unstable—2025 swung to a net loss with negative EBITDA/EBIT after several profitable years—limiting confidence in earnings durability.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Revenue has generally recovered from 2020–2021 lows, with 2025 showing +15.8% growth versus 2024. However, profitability is volatile: after solid profitability in 2022–2024 (2024 net margin ~8.2%), 2025 swung back to a net loss (net margin ~-11.1%) with negative EBITDA margin (~-6.4%) and negative EBIT. This pattern suggests earnings are sensitive to the operating environment and/or one-time items, limiting confidence in run-rate profitability.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage looks materially improved in 2025 with very low debt relative to equity (debt-to-equity ~0.07) and equity of ~$3.1B against ~$7.7B of assets, which supports balance-sheet resilience. That said, prior years show meaningfully higher leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.1–1.3 during 2020–2024), and returns on equity have been modest in profitable years (roughly ~2.5%–5.8%) and negative in downturns—highlighting cyclicality and inconsistent shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength: operating cash flow and free cash flow are positive in 2022–2025, with 2025 free cash flow of ~$398M and a sharp rebound in free cash flow growth. Cash flow also covered interest meaningfully better in 2025 (coverage ~1.90) than in 2022–2024 (generally below 1.0). The main weakness is volatility—cash flow was negative in 2020–2021 and free cash flow has not been consistently growing year-to-year.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.54B2.60B2.70B2.50B1.36B
Gross Profit50.00M745.00M746.00M693.00M227.00M
EBITDA333.00M696.00M683.00M689.00M89.00M
Net Income-283.00M212.00M97.00M162.00M-459.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.70B9.16B9.42B9.73B9.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments232.00M402.00M717.00M906.00M688.00M
Total Debt4.26B4.79B4.71B4.85B4.98B
Total Liabilities4.62B5.57B5.65B5.44B5.34B
Stockholders Equity3.13B3.65B3.81B4.34B4.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow398.00M202.00M218.00M241.00M-191.00M
Operating Cash Flow398.00M429.00M503.00M409.00M-137.00M
Investing Cash Flow-209.00M-166.00M-217.00M87.00M394.00M
Financing Cash Flow-365.00M-573.00M-475.00M-320.00M-475.00M

Park Hotels & Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.26
Price Trends
50DMA
11.13
Positive
100DMA
10.90
Positive
200DMA
10.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
49.98
Neutral
STOCH
31.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.28, above the 50-day MA of 11.13, and above the 200-day MA of 10.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PK.

Park Hotels & Resorts Risk Analysis

Park Hotels & Resorts disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Park Hotels & Resorts reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Park Hotels & Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$13.68B18.0811.62%4.90%6.45%3.79%
67
Neutral
$2.86B16.475.47%8.30%0.57%-13.58%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$2.05B38.393.98%5.13%0.95%-8.40%
63
Neutral
$2.27B-7.90-8.38%13.10%-3.57%-104.55%
62
Neutral
$1.49B24.374.58%3.71%4.29%141.01%
57
Neutral
$1.76B1,006.520.88%3.98%3.04%-98.77%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts
11.26
-0.21
-1.81%
DRH
Diamondrock
10.05
2.13
26.85%
SHO
Sunstone Hotel
9.37
-0.79
-7.77%
HST
Host Hotels & Resorts
19.71
4.31
28.02%
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts
15.39
2.53
19.67%
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT
12.25
-1.21
-8.96%

Park Hotels & Resorts Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Park Hotels Elevates Dell’Orto, Revamps Executive Incentives
Positive
Feb 19, 2026

On February 12, 2026, Park Hotels & Resorts’ board appointed long-time finance chief Sean M. Dell’Orto as chief operating officer, expanding his remit while raising his base salary and incentive targets, a move that consolidates leadership as the company intensifies portfolio repositioning and capital deployment. The compensation committee simultaneously overhauled executive long- and short-term incentive plans effective 2026, adding a RevPAR-based performance metric alongside relative total shareholder return, shifting the mix between performance-based and time-based equity, and materially increasing LTIP and bonus targets for the CEO and executive vice presidents, signaling a stronger emphasis on growth, operating performance and shareholder returns despite recent net losses driven by impairments on Non-Core hotels.

Park also reported that in the fourth quarter and full year 2025 it posted adjusted EBITDA of $152 million and $609 million, respectively, while a series of impairment charges tied to Non-Core assets drove net losses of $204 million for the quarter and $277 million for the year, even as Core RevPAR rose and select flagship properties such as Hilton Hawaiian Village and the Bonnet Creek complex delivered robust growth. Over 2025 and into early 2026, the company spent nearly $300 million on renovations, exited or surrendered six Non-Core hotels for more than $132 million in proceeds, expanded and extended its revolving and term loan facilities, and highlighted strong return profiles at recently renovated assets, positioning its streamlined Core portfolio to benefit from expected demand tied to major upcoming events and constrained new supply, while acknowledging macro and geopolitical risks that could temper travel visibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (PK) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Park Hotels & Resorts stock, see the PK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Park Hotels & Resorts Updates Investor Strategy
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Park Hotels & Resorts released an updated investor presentation highlighting its strategy to dispose of non-core hotels, which is expected to enhance the growth and quality of its core portfolio. The company has made significant strides in reshaping its portfolio, focusing on its core hotels, which are projected to deliver higher revenue per available room (RevPAR) and profit margins. This strategic move is anticipated to improve the company’s valuation and provide substantial earnings upside, benefiting stakeholders by potentially increasing returns and reducing leverage.

The most recent analyst rating on (PK) stock is a Hold with a $10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Park Hotels & Resorts stock, see the PK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 21, 2026