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RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ)
:RLJ
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RLJ Lodging (RLJ) AI Stock Analysis

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RLJ

RLJ Lodging

(NYSE:RLJ)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(2.04% Upside)
RLJ Lodging's overall score reflects strong financial stability and revenue growth, offset by bearish technical indicators and valuation concerns. The earnings call provided mixed signals, with strategic achievements overshadowed by industry headwinds.
Positive Factors
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with no debt enhances RLJ Lodging's financial stability, providing flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic downturns.
Non-Room Revenue Growth
Growth in non-room revenue highlights successful diversification efforts, reducing reliance on room occupancy and enhancing overall revenue stability.
Successful Renovations
Successful renovations position RLJ Lodging to capture higher revenue and improve asset value, supporting long-term growth and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
RevPAR Decline
A decline in RevPAR indicates challenges in occupancy and pricing, which could pressure revenue and profitability if not addressed.
Impact of Government Shutdown
The government shutdown's impact on RevPAR underscores vulnerability to external factors, potentially affecting financial performance and strategic planning.
Delayed Ramp of Renovated Properties
Delays in realizing benefits from renovations could hinder expected revenue growth and return on investment, affecting long-term financial performance.

RLJ Lodging (RLJ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RLJ Lodging Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on the ownership, acquisition, and development of premium branded hotels in the United States. The company primarily invests in the hospitality sector, targeting upscale and upper midscale hotels that cater to both business and leisure travelers. RLJ's portfolio includes a diverse range of properties affiliated with major hotel brands, allowing it to capitalize on the growing demand for quality accommodations in key markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyRLJ generates revenue primarily through the operation of its hotel properties, which includes income from room rentals, food and beverage sales, and ancillary services. The company benefits from its strategic partnerships with well-known hotel brands, which enhance its marketability and occupancy rates. Additionally, RLJ engages in property management and leasing, contributing to its revenue streams. The company may also pursue acquisitions of undervalued or distressed properties to enhance its portfolio, driving future earnings through increased occupancy and operational efficiencies.

RLJ Lodging Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
RLJ Lodging Trust's earnings call for the third quarter of 2025 highlighted resilience and strategic achievements in non-room revenue growth and successful renovations. However, significant challenges such as a decline in RevPAR, the impact of the government shutdown, and delays in the ramp-up of renovated properties paint a mixed picture. The company's urban hotel performance and improved debt position are positive notes, but these are somewhat overshadowed by broader industry headwinds and uncertainties affecting the fourth-quarter outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
RevPAR Index Gain
Despite a 5.1% decline in RevPAR, RLJ Lodging Trust gained market share with an increase in RevPAR index, showcasing the resilience and quality of their assets.
Strong Non-Room Revenue Growth
Non-room revenue grew by 1.3%, outperforming RevPAR by over 600 basis points, driven by ROI initiatives in food and beverage, parking, and expanded market offerings.
Successful Renovations and Conversions
The company's transformative renovations in Waikiki, Key West, and Fort Lauderdale are substantially complete. Recent conversions achieved 6% growth, with new projects in Pittsburgh and Boston expected to unlock significant EBITDA upside.
Urban Hotel Performance
Urban markets outperformed the broader portfolio with a 50 basis points lead. San Francisco CBD hotels achieved 19.4% RevPAR growth, driven by conferences and events.
Improved Debt Position
The company ended the quarter with $1 billion in liquidity and addressed all 2025 debt maturities, with 74% of debt fixed or hedged.
Negative Updates
RevPAR Decline
The company experienced a 5.1% decline in RevPAR, driven by a 3.1% drop in occupancy and a 2.1% decline in ADR, impacted by renovations and broader industry headwinds.
Impact of Government Shutdown
The government shutdown in October led to a RevPAR decline of 2% for the month, affecting the company's fourth-quarter outlook and resulting in a revised full-year guidance.
Delayed Ramp of Renovated Properties
Current travel-related headwinds and macro uncertainty are delaying the anticipated contribution from major renovations in Key West and Waikiki.
Softer Business Travel and Group Demand
Group revenues were impacted by calendar shifts, and non-government-related business travel only achieved 2.4% revenue growth, with government-related demand significantly below last year.
Company Guidance
During the RLJ Lodging Trust's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 5.1% decline in RevPAR, attributed to a mix of occupancy and ADR challenges, as well as impacts from transformative renovations and external factors such as the government shutdown. Despite these headwinds, urban hotels outpaced the broader portfolio by 50 basis points, with notable RevPAR growth of 19.4% in San Francisco CBD. The company experienced a 2.4% increase in non-government business travel revenue, driven by sectors like tech and finance. Non-room revenues grew by 1.3%, outpacing RevPAR performance by over 600 basis points, demonstrating the success of ROI initiatives. The company adjusted its full-year guidance, anticipating RevPAR growth to range between negative 1.9% and negative 2.6%, with adjusted FFO per diluted share between $1.31 and $1.37. Looking ahead to 2026, RLJ expects positive industry tailwinds, including a more stable economic environment and significant events like the World Cup, to drive improved performance.

RLJ Lodging Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RLJ Lodging shows strong revenue growth and improved operational margins. The absence of debt in 2024 enhances financial stability, though profitability and free cash flow growth need improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
RLJ Lodging's revenue has shown a positive growth trajectory over recent years, with a notable recovery from pandemic lows. The gross profit margin is strong at 100%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 3.13% in 2024, indicating limited profitability, which could be a concern if not improved. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved significantly, showcasing better operational performance.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with no total debt reported in 2024, indicating a solid financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is notably low, enhancing financial stability. Return on equity is modest at 1.88%, reflecting moderate returns to shareholders. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a robust capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
RLJ Lodging's cash flow metrics show a mixed picture. Operating cash flow is solid, but there has been a decline in free cash flow growth, down 9.43% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating good cash generation from operations, though the free cash flow to net income ratio could be strengthened for better financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.35B1.37B1.33B1.19B785.66M473.09M
Gross Profit526.26M384.45M390.68M362.26M185.29M-30.23M
EBITDA259.26M359.46M354.64M319.06M-20.00M-73.78M
Net Income20.90M68.02M76.41M41.92M-305.17M-404.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.79B4.88B4.92B4.98B5.15B5.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments374.83M409.81M516.67M481.32M665.34M899.81M
Total Debt0.002.34B2.34B2.33B2.53B2.71B
Total Liabilities2.59B2.59B2.57B2.55B2.74B2.93B
Stockholders Equity2.19B2.28B2.34B2.41B2.40B2.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow251.95M285.42M315.14M132.24M-5.30M-242.04M
Operating Cash Flow251.95M285.42M315.14M256.52M42.96M-168.71M
Investing Cash Flow-117.55M-275.73M-134.75M-135.51M-24.63M-66.69M
Financing Cash Flow-154.68M-131.69M-161.45M-298.49M-239.25M243.03M

RLJ Lodging Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.86
Price Trends
50DMA
7.16
Positive
100DMA
7.24
Positive
200DMA
7.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
59.82
Neutral
STOCH
61.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RLJ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.93, below the 50-day MA of 7.16, and below the 200-day MA of 7.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RLJ.

RLJ Lodging Risk Analysis

RLJ Lodging disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RLJ Lodging reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RLJ Lodging Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$1.69B31.463.98%5.25%0.95%-8.40%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
62
Neutral
$644.39M0.16%6.23%-1.20%-328.23%
58
Neutral
$1.04B136.381.49%8.28%-2.48%-82.63%
58
Neutral
$1.24B23.304.58%3.97%4.29%141.01%
52
Neutral
$1.22B-17.90-3.74%0.35%0.99%-360.58%
47
Neutral
$344.58M-35.25%2.00%-0.56%-14.18%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RLJ
RLJ Lodging
7.25
-1.86
-20.39%
DRH
Diamondrock
8.96
0.22
2.46%
INN
Summit Hotel Properties
5.58
-0.59
-9.49%
SVC
Service Properties
2.00
-1.06
-34.55%
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
11.30
-1.50
-11.74%
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts
13.59
-1.17
-7.95%

RLJ Lodging Corporate Events

RLJ Lodging Trust Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 7, 2025

RLJ Lodging Trust is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that owns 94 premium-branded, urban-centric hotels across major urban markets, catering to business and leisure travelers. In its third quarter 2025 earnings report, RLJ Lodging Trust reported a net loss per share of $0.07 and adjusted funds from operations (FFO) per diluted share of $0.27, with total revenues reaching $330 million. Despite a challenging environment, the company maintained a strong balance sheet and liquidity. Key financial metrics showed a decrease in comparable RevPAR by 5.1% and a decline in adjusted EBITDA by 21% compared to the previous year. The company also repurchased 0.2 million shares for $1.3 million, reflecting its commitment to shareholder value. RLJ Lodging Trust’s management expressed confidence in the company’s strategic initiatives and strong balance sheet, which they believe will position the company to benefit as market conditions improve in 2026.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
RLJ Lodging Appoints Nikhil Bhalla as CFO
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

On September 18, 2025, RLJ Lodging Trust announced the appointment of Nikhil Bhalla as Chief Financial Officer. Bhalla, who has been with the company since 2015, has held various leadership roles, most recently as Senior Vice President of Finance and Treasurer. His promotion reflects his strategic insight, financial acumen, and operational excellence, which are expected to support RLJ’s financial strategy and growth initiatives. This appointment underscores the company’s commitment to developing internal talent and enhancing its leadership team.

The most recent analyst rating on (RLJ) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RLJ Lodging stock, see the RLJ Stock Forecast page.

RLJ Lodging Trust’s Earnings Call: A Mixed Bag
Aug 13, 2025

RLJ Lodging Trust’s recent earnings call presented a balanced sentiment, highlighting both positive achievements and challenges. The company exceeded expectations with strong urban hotel performance and successful conversions, yet faced hurdles such as a RevPAR decline and softer group demand. Despite these challenges, RLJ demonstrated robust financial management and strategic initiatives, although it acknowledged a challenging outlook for the third quarter.

RLJ Lodging Trust Reports Resilient Q2 2025 Results
Aug 9, 2025

RLJ Lodging Trust is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust that owns 94 premium-branded, rooms-oriented hotels located in urban-centric areas, catering to business and leisure travelers across major urban markets.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025