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RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ)
:RLJ
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RLJ Lodging (RLJ) AI Stock Analysis

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RLJ

RLJ Lodging

(NYSE:RLJ)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(16.62% Upside)
RLJ Lodging's overall stock score reflects stable financial performance and technical indicators suggesting short-term bullish momentum. However, high valuation concerns and mixed earnings call results, including RevPAR declines and external challenges, temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Non-Room Revenue Growth
The growth in non-room revenue highlights RLJ's ability to diversify income streams, enhancing resilience against fluctuations in room demand and improving overall profitability.
Successful Renovations
Completion of major renovations positions RLJ to capitalize on increased demand and improved guest experiences, potentially driving higher occupancy and revenue.
Improved Debt Position
Addressing debt maturities and maintaining substantial liquidity enhances RLJ's financial flexibility, supporting future growth initiatives and stability in uncertain markets.
Negative Factors
RevPAR Decline
The decline in RevPAR indicates challenges in maintaining room revenue, which could pressure overall financial performance if not addressed through strategic initiatives.
Impact of Government Shutdown
The government shutdown's impact on RevPAR highlights RLJ's vulnerability to external disruptions, potentially affecting short-term revenue and operational stability.
Delayed Ramp of Renovated Properties
Delays in realizing benefits from renovations could hinder expected revenue growth, affecting RLJ's ability to leverage its investments in property enhancements.

RLJ Lodging (RLJ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RLJ Lodging Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on the ownership, acquisition, and development of premium branded hotels in the United States. The company primarily invests in the hospitality sector, targeting upscale and upper midscale hotels that cater to both business and leisure travelers. RLJ's portfolio includes a diverse range of properties affiliated with major hotel brands, allowing it to capitalize on the growing demand for quality accommodations in key markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyRLJ generates revenue primarily through the operation of its hotel properties, which includes income from room rentals, food and beverage sales, and ancillary services. The company benefits from its strategic partnerships with well-known hotel brands, which enhance its marketability and occupancy rates. Additionally, RLJ engages in property management and leasing, contributing to its revenue streams. The company may also pursue acquisitions of undervalued or distressed properties to enhance its portfolio, driving future earnings through increased occupancy and operational efficiencies.

RLJ Lodging Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
RLJ Lodging Trust's earnings call for the third quarter of 2025 highlighted resilience and strategic achievements in non-room revenue growth and successful renovations. However, significant challenges such as a decline in RevPAR, the impact of the government shutdown, and delays in the ramp-up of renovated properties paint a mixed picture. The company's urban hotel performance and improved debt position are positive notes, but these are somewhat overshadowed by broader industry headwinds and uncertainties affecting the fourth-quarter outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
RevPAR Index Gain
Despite a 5.1% decline in RevPAR, RLJ Lodging Trust gained market share with an increase in RevPAR index, showcasing the resilience and quality of their assets.
Strong Non-Room Revenue Growth
Non-room revenue grew by 1.3%, outperforming RevPAR by over 600 basis points, driven by ROI initiatives in food and beverage, parking, and expanded market offerings.
Successful Renovations and Conversions
The company's transformative renovations in Waikiki, Key West, and Fort Lauderdale are substantially complete. Recent conversions achieved 6% growth, with new projects in Pittsburgh and Boston expected to unlock significant EBITDA upside.
Urban Hotel Performance
Urban markets outperformed the broader portfolio with a 50 basis points lead. San Francisco CBD hotels achieved 19.4% RevPAR growth, driven by conferences and events.
Improved Debt Position
The company ended the quarter with $1 billion in liquidity and addressed all 2025 debt maturities, with 74% of debt fixed or hedged.
Negative Updates
RevPAR Decline
The company experienced a 5.1% decline in RevPAR, driven by a 3.1% drop in occupancy and a 2.1% decline in ADR, impacted by renovations and broader industry headwinds.
Impact of Government Shutdown
The government shutdown in October led to a RevPAR decline of 2% for the month, affecting the company's fourth-quarter outlook and resulting in a revised full-year guidance.
Delayed Ramp of Renovated Properties
Current travel-related headwinds and macro uncertainty are delaying the anticipated contribution from major renovations in Key West and Waikiki.
Softer Business Travel and Group Demand
Group revenues were impacted by calendar shifts, and non-government-related business travel only achieved 2.4% revenue growth, with government-related demand significantly below last year.
Company Guidance
During the RLJ Lodging Trust's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 5.1% decline in RevPAR, attributed to a mix of occupancy and ADR challenges, as well as impacts from transformative renovations and external factors such as the government shutdown. Despite these headwinds, urban hotels outpaced the broader portfolio by 50 basis points, with notable RevPAR growth of 19.4% in San Francisco CBD. The company experienced a 2.4% increase in non-government business travel revenue, driven by sectors like tech and finance. Non-room revenues grew by 1.3%, outpacing RevPAR performance by over 600 basis points, demonstrating the success of ROI initiatives. The company adjusted its full-year guidance, anticipating RevPAR growth to range between negative 1.9% and negative 2.6%, with adjusted FFO per diluted share between $1.31 and $1.37. Looking ahead to 2026, RLJ expects positive industry tailwinds, including a more stable economic environment and significant events like the World Cup, to drive improved performance.

RLJ Lodging Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RLJ Lodging demonstrates stable financial performance with strengths in operational efficiency and cash conversion. However, challenges include a decline in revenue growth and free cash flow growth. The company maintains a balanced leverage position, supporting financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
RLJ Lodging's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a slight decline in revenue growth at -1.15%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a positive gross profit margin of 38.95% and a modest net profit margin of 1.55%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are 8.11% and 19.19% respectively, showing operational efficiency. Despite the recent revenue dip, the company has shown resilience in maintaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is low at 0.93%, suggesting limited returns for shareholders. However, the equity ratio is healthy, showing that a significant portion of assets is financed by equity, which provides stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -24.57% in the TTM period. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 6.17, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, showing that the company is able to convert its net income into free cash flow effectively.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.35B1.37B1.33B1.19B785.66M464.63M
Gross Profit362.04M384.45M390.68M362.26M185.29M-30.23M
EBITDA328.46M359.46M354.64M319.06M-20.00M-73.78M
Net Income33.45M68.02M76.41M41.92M-305.17M-404.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.79B4.88B4.92B4.98B5.15B5.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments374.83M409.81M516.67M481.32M665.34M899.81M
Total Debt2.34B2.34B2.34B2.33B2.53B2.71B
Total Liabilities2.59B2.59B2.57B2.55B2.74B2.93B
Stockholders Equity2.19B2.28B2.34B2.41B2.40B2.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow222.51M285.42M315.14M256.52M-5.30M-242.04M
Operating Cash Flow251.95M285.42M315.14M256.52M42.96M-168.71M
Investing Cash Flow-117.55M-275.73M-134.75M-135.51M-24.63M-66.69M
Financing Cash Flow-154.68M-131.69M-161.45M-298.49M-239.25M243.03M

RLJ Lodging Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.86
Price Trends
50DMA
7.14
Positive
100DMA
7.27
Positive
200DMA
7.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Negative
RSI
63.50
Neutral
STOCH
77.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RLJ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.24, below the 50-day MA of 7.14, and below the 200-day MA of 7.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RLJ.

RLJ Lodging Risk Analysis

RLJ Lodging disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RLJ Lodging reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RLJ Lodging Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$1.33B25.004.58%3.84%4.29%141.01%
64
Neutral
$1.87B34.903.98%5.16%0.95%-8.40%
63
Neutral
$650.48M0.16%5.99%-1.20%-328.23%
62
Neutral
$1.10B150.101.49%7.88%-0.58%-83.32%
52
Neutral
$1.29B-3.74%0.35%0.99%-360.58%
42
Neutral
$290.79M-35.25%2.31%-0.56%-14.18%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RLJ
RLJ Lodging
7.61
-1.87
-19.73%
DRH
Diamondrock
9.11
0.34
3.88%
INN
Summit Hotel Properties
5.34
-0.86
-13.87%
SVC
Service Properties
1.73
-1.00
-36.63%
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
11.33
-2.47
-17.90%
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts
14.00
-0.76
-5.15%

RLJ Lodging Corporate Events

RLJ Lodging Trust Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
Nov 8, 2025

RLJ Lodging Trust’s recent earnings call for the third quarter of 2025 presented a mixed sentiment, highlighting both resilience and challenges. The company demonstrated strategic achievements in non-room revenue growth and successful renovations, yet faced significant hurdles such as a decline in RevPAR, the impact of the government shutdown, and delays in the ramp-up of renovated properties. While urban hotel performance and an improved debt position were positive, broader industry headwinds and uncertainties cast a shadow over the fourth-quarter outlook.

RLJ Lodging Trust Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 7, 2025

RLJ Lodging Trust is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that owns 94 premium-branded, urban-centric hotels across major urban markets, catering to business and leisure travelers. In its third quarter 2025 earnings report, RLJ Lodging Trust reported a net loss per share of $0.07 and adjusted funds from operations (FFO) per diluted share of $0.27, with total revenues reaching $330 million. Despite a challenging environment, the company maintained a strong balance sheet and liquidity. Key financial metrics showed a decrease in comparable RevPAR by 5.1% and a decline in adjusted EBITDA by 21% compared to the previous year. The company also repurchased 0.2 million shares for $1.3 million, reflecting its commitment to shareholder value. RLJ Lodging Trust’s management expressed confidence in the company’s strategic initiatives and strong balance sheet, which they believe will position the company to benefit as market conditions improve in 2026.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
RLJ Lodging Appoints Nikhil Bhalla as CFO
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

On September 18, 2025, RLJ Lodging Trust announced the appointment of Nikhil Bhalla as Chief Financial Officer. Bhalla, who has been with the company since 2015, has held various leadership roles, most recently as Senior Vice President of Finance and Treasurer. His promotion reflects his strategic insight, financial acumen, and operational excellence, which are expected to support RLJ’s financial strategy and growth initiatives. This appointment underscores the company’s commitment to developing internal talent and enhancing its leadership team.

The most recent analyst rating on (RLJ) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RLJ Lodging stock, see the RLJ Stock Forecast page.

RLJ Lodging Trust’s Earnings Call: A Mixed Bag
Aug 13, 2025

RLJ Lodging Trust’s recent earnings call presented a balanced sentiment, highlighting both positive achievements and challenges. The company exceeded expectations with strong urban hotel performance and successful conversions, yet faced hurdles such as a RevPAR decline and softer group demand. Despite these challenges, RLJ demonstrated robust financial management and strategic initiatives, although it acknowledged a challenging outlook for the third quarter.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025