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RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ)
NYSE:RLJ
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RLJ Lodging (RLJ) AI Stock Analysis

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RLJ

RLJ Lodging

(NYSE:RLJ)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(4.90% Upside)
RLJ Lodging's overall stock score reflects a mix of strengths and challenges. The company's strong financial position and high dividend yield are positive factors. However, bearish technical indicators and valuation concerns weigh on the score. The earnings call provided a balanced view with both achievements and challenges, contributing positively to the overall assessment.
Positive Factors
Capital Strategy
Proceeds from the asset sale were used to repurchase stock, reflecting a strategic use of capital.
Earnings
RLJ's earnings topped expectations on better top-line performance and better cost controls.
Financial Performance
Margins and expenses were better than anticipated, with Hotel EBITDA surpassing estimates.
Negative Factors
Market Preference
Downgrade of RLJ to Peer Perform is primarily driven by a shift in preference to resorts and group-focused assets.
Outlook
RLJ significantly reduced its 2H24 outlook, which is unchanged today, reflecting 3Q24 outperformance.
Supply Growth
Concerns over supply growth in the select-service segment relative to full-service.

RLJ Lodging (RLJ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RLJ Lodging Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRLJ Lodging Trust is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust that owns primarily premium-branded, high-margin, focused-service and compact full-service hotels. The Company's portfolio consists of 103 hotels with approximately 22,570 rooms, located in 23 states and the District of Columbia and an ownership interest in one unconsolidated hotel with 171 rooms.
How the Company Makes MoneyRLJ generates revenue primarily through the operation of its hotel properties, which includes income from room rentals, food and beverage sales, and ancillary services. The company benefits from its strategic partnerships with well-known hotel brands, which enhance its marketability and occupancy rates. Additionally, RLJ engages in property management and leasing, contributing to its revenue streams. The company may also pursue acquisitions of undervalued or distressed properties to enhance its portfolio, driving future earnings through increased occupancy and operational efficiencies.

RLJ Lodging Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.99%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive achievements such as exceeding expectations, strong urban hotel performance, and successful conversions, alongside challenges like RevPAR decline, softer group demand, and a challenging outlook for the third quarter. The company demonstrated robust financial management and strategic initiatives, but faced headwinds in demand and rate sensitivity.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Expectations in Second Quarter
Second-quarter results were ahead of expectations, showcasing the resiliency and benefits of a diversified portfolio and disciplined expense management.
Strong Urban Hotel Performance
Urban hotels outperformed the portfolio with significant RevPAR growth, notably 20% in San Francisco CBD and 13% in South Florida.
Successful Conversions
Seven completed conversions achieved 10% RevPAR growth, with specific mention of 26% growth in four recent conversions in Nashville, New Orleans, Houston Medical Center, and the University of Pittsburgh.
Leisure Revenue Growth
Leisure revenues grew by 5%, driven by special events like the U.S. Open, Formula One, and concerts, particularly benefiting urban leisure segments with 7% revenue growth.
Cost Containment Success
Achieved flat operating expense growth, limiting margin compression to 90 basis points due to aggressive cost mitigation efforts.
Strong Balance Sheet
Addressed near-term debt maturities, repaid revolver balance, and maintained nearly $1 billion in total liquidity with a robust balance sheet.
Negative Updates
RevPAR Decline
RevPAR declined by 2.1%, primarily due to transformational renovations and the closure of the Austin Convention Center, which impacted room nights.
Softer Group Demand
Group revenues were impacted by holiday shifts, Austin Convention Center closure, and reduced demand from government-related groups, leading to lack of compression.
Challenging Third Quarter Outlook
The third quarter is expected to be the weakest, with anticipated RevPAR decline due to tough comps, renovations, and softer group demand.
Rate Sensitivity in Leisure Segment
Leisure demand remains stable, but rate sensitivity is evident, with increased usage of discount booking channels expected to persist.
Company Guidance
During the RLJ Lodging Trust Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided a detailed guidance of several metrics and strategic initiatives. RevPAR, or revenue per available room, saw a decline of 2.1% primarily due to ongoing renovations and the closure of the Austin Convention Center, although excluding these factors, RevPAR showed a slight positive growth. The company gained 140 basis points in market share, with urban hotels outperforming the portfolio by 140 basis points. Notably, hotels in San Francisco CBD achieved 20% RevPAR growth. Leisure revenues increased by 5%, driven by events like the U.S. Open in Pittsburgh and Formula One in Miami. Group revenues faced challenges, but non-room revenues grew by 1.5%. The company maintained flat expense growth, limiting margin compression to 90 basis points. Additionally, four recent conversions in Nashville, New Orleans, Houston Medical Center, and the University of Pittsburgh collectively achieved a 26% RevPAR growth. The company executed $6 million in share repurchases and addressed near-term debt maturities, leaving them with nearly $1 billion in total liquidity. Looking forward, RLJ anticipates mixed fundamentals for the rest of 2025, with a stronger outlook for the fourth quarter due to favorable calendar shifts and improved group travel.

RLJ Lodging Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RLJ Lodging shows a recovering financial position with strong revenue growth and improving operational margins. The absence of debt in 2024 strengthens the balance sheet, ensuring financial stability. However, low net profit margins and declining free cash flow growth indicate areas for improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
RLJ Lodging's revenue has shown a positive growth trajectory over recent years, with a notable recovery from pandemic lows. The gross profit margin is strong at 100%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 3.13% in 2024, indicating limited profitability, which could be a concern if not improved. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved significantly, showcasing better operational performance.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with no total debt reported in 2024, indicating a solid financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is notably low, enhancing financial stability. Return on equity is modest at 1.88%, reflecting moderate returns to shareholders. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a robust capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
RLJ Lodging's cash flow metrics show a mixed picture. Operating cash flow is solid, but there has been a decline in free cash flow growth, down 9.43% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating good cash generation from operations, though the free cash flow to net income ratio could be strengthened for better financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.37B1.37B1.33B1.19B785.66M473.09M
Gross Profit624.25M384.45M390.46M362.26M185.29M-30.23M
EBITDA345.15M335.30M354.64M310.00M137.76M-73.78M
Net Income45.23M68.02M76.41M41.92M-305.17M-404.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.82B4.88B4.92B4.98B5.15B5.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments373.90M409.81M516.67M536.39M665.34M899.81M
Total Debt0.002.34B2.34B2.33B2.53B2.71B
Total Liabilities2.58B2.59B2.57B2.55B2.74B2.93B
Stockholders Equity2.23B2.28B2.34B2.41B2.40B2.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow334.02M285.42M315.14M132.24M-5.30M-242.04M
Operating Cash Flow261.65M285.42M315.14M256.52M42.96M-168.71M
Investing Cash Flow-108.88M-275.73M-134.75M-135.51M-24.63M-66.69M
Financing Cash Flow-165.92M-131.69M-161.45M-298.49M-239.25M243.03M

RLJ Lodging Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.15
Price Trends
50DMA
7.39
Negative
100DMA
7.25
Negative
200DMA
8.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
43.17
Neutral
STOCH
66.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RLJ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.44, below the 50-day MA of 7.39, and below the 200-day MA of 8.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RLJ.

RLJ Lodging Risk Analysis

RLJ Lodging disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RLJ Lodging reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RLJ Lodging Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.28B21.045.00%3.89%4.81%185.08%
66
Neutral
$1.72B425.350.96%3.97%0.37%-97.38%
63
Neutral
$6.83B13.33-1.02%7.20%3.67%-27.11%
62
Neutral
$2.22B41.861.58%12.83%-3.19%-81.33%
61
Neutral
$1.64B28.694.22%5.27%1.72%-3.49%
60
Neutral
$1.10B34.722.53%8.39%1.42%-20.13%
55
Neutral
$1.20B-0.81%0.39%2.00%50.70%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RLJ
RLJ Lodging
7.15
-1.48
-17.15%
DRH
Diamondrock
7.90
0.11
1.41%
SHO
Sunstone Hotel
9.01
-0.68
-7.02%
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
9.95
-2.69
-21.28%
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts
13.08
0.41
3.24%
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts
10.91
-1.95
-15.16%

RLJ Lodging Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
RLJ Lodging Executive VP Chad Perry Resigns
Neutral
Apr 15, 2025

On April 9, 2025, Chad Perry, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary of RLJ Lodging Trust, announced his decision to resign from his roles effective May 9, 2025, to explore principal investing opportunities. His departure is amicable and not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025