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Service Properties Trust (SVC)
NASDAQ:SVC
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Service Properties (SVC) AI Stock Analysis

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SVC

Service Properties

(NASDAQ:SVC)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-1.96% Downside)
Service Properties Trust faces significant financial challenges with negative profitability and high leverage, which are the most impactful factors on its stock score. While there are positive developments in strategic dispositions and corporate governance, the overall financial health and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the stock's outlook.

Service Properties (SVC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Service Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionService Properties Trust (SVC) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that primarily invests in the hospitality and healthcare sectors. The company focuses on acquiring and owning a diversified portfolio of service properties, including hotels and healthcare-related facilities, which are leased to qualified operators. SVC aims to generate long-term growth and income for its shareholders through strategic investments in properties across various regions.
How the Company Makes MoneyService Properties Trust generates revenue primarily through long-term lease agreements with hospitality and healthcare operators. The company earns rental income from its portfolio of properties, which includes hotels, senior living facilities, and wellness centers. Additionally, SVC may benefit from management fees, as some of its properties are operated by third-party management companies, providing another stream of income. The company's revenue is significantly influenced by the performance of the hospitality and healthcare markets, occupancy rates, and the quality of its tenant operators. Strategic partnerships with reputable operators also enhance its revenue stability and growth potential.

Service Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.61%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call indicates a mixed performance with notable achievements in strategic hotel dispositions and positive RevPAR trends. However, challenges such as increased interest expenses, declining EBITDA, and debt covenant issues present significant concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Progress in Hotel Disposition
To-date, 8 hotels sold for $46 million, with nonrefundable deposits received for 111 of the 114 Sonesta hotels at $900 million, expected to close by year-end.
Positive RevPAR Performance
RevPAR increased 40 basis points year-over-year, outperforming the broader industry by 90 basis points.
Net Lease Portfolio Expansion
Acquired or agreed to acquire 20 net lease retail properties for $55 million with a focus on e-commerce-resistant sectors.
Strong Retained Hotel Portfolio Performance
The 84 hotels expected to be retained showed RevPAR increasing by 150 basis points year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Hotel EBITDA
Hotel-level EBITDA declined due to elevated labor costs and inflationary pressures, with a $2.4 million negative impact from renovations.
Debt Covenant Concerns
Debt service coverage covenant slightly below requirement at 1.49x, prompting a full draw on the $650 million credit facility.
Interest Expense Increase
Interest expense increased by $8.8 million year-over-year, impacting overall financial results.
Lower Normalized FFO
Normalized FFO decreased to $57.6 million or $0.35 per share from $0.45 per share in the prior year quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Service Properties Trust Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, detailed guidance was provided, including the expectation of closing on the sale of 122 hotels, totaling nearly 16,000 keys, for gross proceeds of $966 million, implying a valuation of 18.4x hotel EBITDA of $53 million over the trailing 12 months. The company reported that their retained hotel portfolio saw a RevPAR increase of 1.5% year-over-year, driven by gains in both occupancy and ADR. The guidance for the third quarter includes a projected RevPAR of $98 to $101 and adjusted hotel EBITDA in the range of $54 million to $58 million. SVC's net lease portfolio, consisting of 742 service-oriented retail properties, was 97% leased with a weighted average lease term of 7.6 years. The company plans to maintain a capital expenditure of $150 million in 2026, down from $250 million in 2025, as part of efforts to enhance EBITDA growth and overall value.

Service Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Service Properties is facing financial challenges with negative profitability margins and high leverage. The company's declining equity ratio and inconsistent cash flows highlight significant risks. While there are efforts to manage debt, the overall financial health remains precarious, necessitating strategic interventions to stabilize operations and improve financial outcomes.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The income statement shows a concerning trend with negative net income in recent periods and a declining gross profit margin from 33.5% in 2024 to 28.5% TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The revenue growth rate is minimal at 1.7% from 2023 to 2024, with a slight decrease in 2025 TTM. Negative EBIT and Net Profit Margins indicate financial distress, affecting profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 7.71 TTM, reflecting significant financial risk. The equity ratio has been declining from 16.7% in 2021 to 10.5% TTM, indicating reduced financial stability. However, the decrease in total liabilities suggests some effort in managing debt, albeit not sufficient to offset overall risks.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows inconsistent free cash flow with a drastic decline from 2023 to the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates challenges in converting income to cash, exacerbated by negative net income. This instability in cash flows raises concerns about liquidity and operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.89B1.90B1.87B1.86B1.50B1.27B
Gross Profit877.76M602.96M632.29M635.65M484.84M567.35M
EBITDA471.25M555.83M664.80M581.45M286.05M501.76M
Net Income-277.89M-275.53M-32.78M-135.24M-543.66M-301.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.93B7.12B7.36B7.49B9.15B8.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments63.18M143.48M180.12M38.37M944.04M73.33M
Total Debt0.005.71B5.52B5.66B7.14B6.21B
Total Liabilities6.24B6.27B6.13B6.10B7.60B6.58B
Stockholders Equity695.94M851.87M1.23B1.39B1.56B2.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow277.07M139.39M485.55M293.55M151.23M-152.43M
Operating Cash Flow134.69M139.39M485.55M243.13M49.90M37.60M
Investing Cash Flow-174.37M-222.86M-29.58M397.25M-101.31M-51.81M
Financing Cash Flow96.25M43.02M-303.56M-1.54B907.37M24.40M

Service Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.55
Price Trends
50DMA
2.56
Negative
100DMA
2.35
Positive
200DMA
2.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
48.12
Neutral
STOCH
36.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SVC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.68, below the 50-day MA of 2.56, and above the 200-day MA of 2.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SVC.

Service Properties Risk Analysis

Service Properties disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Service Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Service Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.26B20.695.00%4.14%4.81%185.08%
64
Neutral
$651.73M41.240.93%5.71%-1.91%-256.67%
63
Neutral
$6.82B13.21-0.71%7.17%3.67%-27.43%
61
Neutral
$348.73M268.681.22%4.49%-0.87%
60
Neutral
$1.10B34.432.53%8.32%1.42%-20.13%
55
Neutral
$1.16B-0.81%0.39%2.00%50.70%
51
Neutral
$413.26M-32.60%1.61%-0.23%-38.68%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SVC
Service Properties
2.55
-1.78
-41.11%
INN
Summit Hotel Properties
5.60
-0.43
-7.13%
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
10.25
-2.11
-17.07%
CLDT
Chatham Lodging
7.27
-0.21
-2.81%
RLJ
RLJ Lodging
7.37
-1.05
-12.47%
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts
13.51
1.06
8.51%

Service Properties Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Service Properties Releases Investor Presentation August 2025
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Service Properties Trust released an investor presentation on its website. The presentation likely provides insights into the company’s financial strategies or performance, which may influence stakeholders’ perceptions and the company’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SVC) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Service Properties stock, see the SVC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Service Properties Shareholders Approve Governance Resolutions
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

At the recent Annual Meeting, Service Properties‘ shareholders elected seven Trustees to the Board for a one-year term, with the election results showing varying levels of support for each nominee. Additionally, shareholders approved a non-binding advisory resolution on executive compensation, the Share Award Plan, and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditors for the 2025 fiscal year, reflecting continued confidence in the company’s governance and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (SVC) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Service Properties stock, see the SVC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Service Properties Trust Outlines Strategic Priorities in June 2025
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Service Properties Trust released an investor presentation outlining its strategic priorities and financial position. The company emphasized its focus on rebalancing its hotel portfolio towards full-service urban and leisure-oriented properties, reducing leverage through planned hotel sales, and acquiring single-tenant freestanding properties that are service-oriented and e-commerce resistant. The presentation highlighted the company’s strong financial position with no near-term debt maturities and ample liquidity, positioning it to optimize its portfolio and generate consistent cash flows with embedded growth. The strategic initiatives aim to enhance asset quality, market share, and operating performance, potentially impacting the company’s valuation and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (SVC) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Service Properties stock, see the SVC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025