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Chatham Lodging (CLDT)
NYSE:CLDT
US Market
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Chatham Lodging (CLDT) AI Stock Analysis

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CLDT

Chatham Lodging

(NYSE:CLDT)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(25.86% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/13/26
The score is driven primarily by improving forward outlook and shareholder-friendly actions from the latest earnings call (raised guidance, accretive acquisition, buybacks, dividend growth), plus constructive technical trend signals. These positives are balanced by weaker underlying financial trajectory in the TTM period (sharp revenue decline and thin/volatile net profitability) and a less informative valuation signal due to a negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Sustained TTM operating cash flow and very strong free-cash-flow growth provide durable internal funding for dividends, buybacks, capex and selective acquisitions. That reduces reliance on external financing and supports shareholder returns and reinvestment over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Sharp recent revenue decline
A ~38% TTM revenue contraction materially reduces the earnings base and raises volatility in FFO and free cash flow. Sustained or recurring revenue weakness would pressure margins, limit capital allocation flexibility and slow recovery of distributions and buybacks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Sustained TTM operating cash flow and very strong free-cash-flow growth provide durable internal funding for dividends, buybacks, capex and selective acquisitions. That reduces reliance on external financing and supports shareholder returns and reinvestment over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Chatham Lodging (CLDT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Chatham Lodging Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Chatham Lodging Trust is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust focused primarily on investing in upscale, extended-stay hotels and premium-branded, select-service hotels. At September, 30, 2020, The company owns interests in...
How the Company Makes Money
CLDT makes money primarily by owning hotel real estate and earning operating cash flow from those hotels. Its core revenue stream is hotel operating revenue (room revenue and, where applicable, ancillary hotel revenue such as parking, meeting spac...

Chatham Lodging Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a predominantly positive tone: management reported strong operational execution, meaningful margin expansion, an accretive $92 million acquisition that is outperforming underwriting, active and opportunistic share repurchases, and an improved 2026 outlook (guidance raised ~15% since February). These positives were balanced with localized weakness in certain markets (coastal Northeast, Dallas, Austin), softness in the convention calendar leading to an expected ~2% RevPAR decline in some convention-driven periods, renovation-related disruptions, higher utilities, and macro/geopolitical uncertainties. Overall, the highlights—especially Silicon Valley outperformance, margin gains, accretive acquisition, and capital return activity—materially outweigh the lowlights.
Positive Updates
Raised Guidance and Strong Capital Returns
Company increased 2026 guidance by approximately 15% since February; common dividend raised 11% in Q1 (after a 28% increase in 2025) with a common dividend to FFO payout ratio of ~32%, indicating strong coverage and room to grow.
Negative Updates
Market-Specific Weaknesses — Coastal Northeast and Texas
Coastal Northeast RevPAR declined ~8% in Q1; Courtyard Dallas Downtown RevPAR down ~26% in Q1 (impacted by convention center renovations/renovation-related demand falloff); Austin market weak with overall RevPAR down ~6% over the last 12 months and Residence Inn Austin under renovation for the bulk of the quarter (renovation now complete).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Raised Guidance and Strong Capital Returns
Company increased 2026 guidance by approximately 15% since February; common dividend raised 11% in Q1 (after a 28% increase in 2025) with a common dividend to FFO payout ratio of ~32%, indicating strong coverage and room to grow.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company raised its outlook (about a 15% increase since February) and now guides 2026 RevPAR growth of 0%–2%, adjusted EBITDA of $95.3M–$99.6M and adjusted FFO per share of $1.21–$1.29 (Q2 RevPAR +1%–2%); Q1 results included hotel RevPAR +1% for the quarter, hotel EBITDA $21.4M, adjusted EBITDA $818.4M, adjusted FFO $0.20/sh, GOP margin 40.2% and hotel EBITDA margin 31.8% (GOP +60 bps YoY; hotel EBITDA margin +140 bps YoY), comparable hotel EBITDA +5% with margins up ~135 bps, and $6M of Q1 CapEx against a $27M 2026 budget; balance sheet metrics and capital allocation assumptions include a 32.5% leverage ratio, completion of a $92M acquisition (six Hilton hotels, 589 rooms, ~66% extended-stay, avg age ~10) contributing pro forma 2025 RevPAR of $127 (Q1) / $153 (Q2) / $140 (FY), continued share buybacks (2.2M shares, ~4% of equity at $7.04 avg through Q1 plus ~200k at $8.34 in April), a $25M repurchase plan to be funded by free cash flow ($15M in 2025, projected ~$20M in 2026), a common dividend increased 11% in Q1 with a dividend-to-FFO payout ratio of ~32%, and expected hotel EBITDA margin guidance revised ~100 bps higher than prior guidance.

Chatham Lodging Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating profitability and cash generation are supportive (TTM EBITDA margin ~31.5%, operating cash flow ~$73.2M and free cash flow ~$57.8M with strong TTM FCF growth), but overall fundamentals are held back by a sharp TTM revenue decline (−38.3%), thin/volatile net profitability (TTM net margin ~3.1%), and rising leverage vs. last year (debt-to-equity ~0.64 TTM vs ~0.48 in 2025).
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
73
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue293.94M295.07M317.21M311.11M294.85M203.97M
Gross Profit80.93M10.38M111.22M110.93M111.56M59.13M
EBITDA92.68M100.72M94.25M86.66M95.67M58.46M
Net Income9.21M15.05M4.17M2.64M9.80M-18.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.24B1.17B1.25B1.34B1.34B1.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.69M32.64M20.20M68.13M26.27M19.19M
Total Debt444.04M358.98M427.48M504.88M491.99M566.99M
Total Liabilities481.42M392.33M462.68M539.55M525.74M596.51M
Stockholders Equity722.92M740.80M758.22M776.06M794.89M797.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow63.88M39.56M73.13M76.44M71.53M19.27M
Operating Cash Flow73.22M64.08M73.83M76.44M71.53M28.78M
Investing Cash Flow-75.90M45.37M-29.17M-28.11M29.96M-101.94M
Financing Cash Flow-3.20M-106.65M-100.56M-7.73M-86.21M71.58M

Chatham Lodging Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.74
Price Trends
50DMA
8.70
Positive
100DMA
7.97
Positive
200DMA
7.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.56
Negative
RSI
81.63
Negative
STOCH
92.79
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CLDT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.57, above the 50-day MA of 8.70, and above the 200-day MA of 7.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.63 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.79 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CLDT.

Chatham Lodging Risk Analysis

Chatham Lodging disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chatham Lodging reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chatham Lodging Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$499.02M-21.601.24%5.00%-7.39%-69.66%
67
Neutral
$683.94M-16.50-1.46%6.61%0.26%-233.17%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
55
Neutral
$171.70M2.28-3.38%7.17%-3.86%-11.52%
48
Neutral
$1.11B-0.37-38.18%2.31%-8.19%24.63%
43
Neutral
$18.78M-0.0756.27%-4.46%-34.66%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CLDT
Chatham Lodging
10.70
4.12
62.61%
INN
Summit Hotel Properties
5.59
1.69
43.33%
SVC
Service Properties
1.71
-0.42
-19.64%
AHT
Ashford Hospitality
2.98
-3.06
-50.66%
BHR
Braemar Hotels & Resorts
2.49
0.56
29.28%

Chatham Lodging Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Chatham Lodging Shareholders Strongly Back Board and Auditor
Positive
May 12, 2026
On May 12, 2026, Chatham Lodging Trust shareholders held their annual meeting and re-elected trustees Edwin B. Brewer Jr., Jeffrey H. Fisher, David Grissen, Mary Beth Higgins, Rolf E. Ruhfus and Ethel Isaacs Williams, each receiving approximately ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsM&A Transactions
Chatham Lodging Expands Portfolio With Six-Hotel Acquisition
Positive
Mar 6, 2026
On March 3, 2026, Chatham Lodging Trust completed a $92 million acquisition of six Hilton-branded hotels totaling 589 rooms across Joplin, Mo., Effingham, Ill., and Paducah, Ky., funded with cash and its revolving credit facility. The portfolio, s...
Shareholder Meetings
Chatham Lodging Sets Date for 2026 Annual Meeting
Neutral
Feb 20, 2026
Chatham Lodging Trust announced on February 20, 2026, that its Board of Trustees has scheduled the 2026 annual meeting of shareholders for May 12, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. EDT at the company’s corporate offices in West Palm Beach, Florida. The re...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 13, 2026