tiprankstipranks
Ashford Hospitality Trust (AHT)
NYSE:AHT
Want to see AHT full AI Analyst Report?

Ashford Hospitality (AHT) AI Stock Analysis

875 Followers

Top Page

AHT

Ashford Hospitality

(NYSE:AHT)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
â–¼(-16.90% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/29/26
The score is primarily dragged down by very weak financial performance, especially negative equity and heavy debt alongside ongoing losses and limited cash flow. Technical signals are neutral-to-soft and do not indicate a clear uptrend. Offsetting factors from the earnings call—operating momentum, conversions, and refinancing/asset-sale progress—help somewhat but do not fully mitigate leverage and cash-flow risks.
Positive Factors
Branded full‑service portfolio and successful conversions
AHT owns a large, branded full‑service portfolio and has executed asset conversions that materially lift demand and pricing. La Pavion’s >40% outperformance shows conversions can deliver durable RevPAR and revenue uplifts, increasing long‑term cash flow potential per asset and supporting sustainable asset value creation.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholders' equity and high leverage
Negative equity and debt roughly equal assets indicate an extremely thin capital base and impaired balance‑sheet resilience. This structural leverage limits financial flexibility, raises probability of covenant pressure or dilutive capital raises, and heightens vulnerability to operating downturns or slower-than-expected asset sale proceeds.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Branded full‑service portfolio and successful conversions
AHT owns a large, branded full‑service portfolio and has executed asset conversions that materially lift demand and pricing. La Pavion’s >40% outperformance shows conversions can deliver durable RevPAR and revenue uplifts, increasing long‑term cash flow potential per asset and supporting sustainable asset value creation.
Read all positive factors

Ashford Hospitality (AHT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ashford Hospitality Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ashford Hospitality Trust is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on investing predominantly in upper upscale, full-service hotels....
How the Company Makes Money
AHT primarily makes money through hotel-level operating cash flow generated by the properties it owns. Hotels earn room revenue (driven by occupancy and average daily rate), along with food & beverage, meeting and event, resort/amenity, and other ...

Ashford Hospitality Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mix of encouraging operating momentum and portfolio-level execution (EBITDA growth, RevPAR gains, outperformance from conversions, margin expansion, accretive asset sale and debt paydown) alongside material balance-sheet and cash-flow challenges (large reported net loss, negative AFFO, high leverage and sizable floating-rate exposure). Management highlighted meaningful progress on GrowAHT initiatives and refinancing actions that are improving liquidity and outlook, but near-term refinancing and cash-flow risks remain. Overall the positives in operating performance and asset-level value-creation are balanced by significant financial headwinds and negative AFFO, yielding a cautious/neutral stance.
Positive Updates
Comparable Hotel EBITDA Growth
Comparable hotel EBITDA grew 6.2% (management stated), with December showing a particularly strong 12% increase in hotel EBITDA versus prior-year, reflecting traction from GrowAHT initiatives and revenue management.
Negative Updates
Large Reported Net Losses
Net loss attributable to common stockholders for Q4 was $131.1M (−$23.83 per diluted share); full-year net loss was $82.5M (−$17.54 per diluted share), indicating significant non-cash/operational hits or markdowns in the period.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Comparable Hotel EBITDA Growth
Comparable hotel EBITDA grew 6.2% (management stated), with December showing a particularly strong 12% increase in hotel EBITDA versus prior-year, reflecting traction from GrowAHT initiatives and revenue management.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that post‑conversion RevPAR upside should be meaningful (they expect a 10%–20% RevPAR premium for the Tribute conversion and have cited conversion outperformance like La Pavion running >40% above underwriting in January), and reiterated GrowAHT initiatives aimed at driving up to ~$50.0M of incremental hotel EBITDA while noting more than half of initiatives are rolled out and December results already showed momentum (comparable hotel RevPAR +3% in Q4, December hotel EBITDA +12% YoY, Embassy Suites Crystal City EBITDA +22% in Q4, gross operating margins +141 bps YoY). They expect 2025 group room revenue pace to be ~+5% and added >$13.0M of group room revenue for 2025 in Q4 (~+6% vs prior-year quarter), plan $95.0M–$115.0M of 2025 capex, and highlighted recent conversion spend of $35.0M (La Concha) and $19.0M (La Pavion). On balance sheet and financing guidance, the company finished Q4 with $112.9M cash, $107.6M restricted cash, ~$122.0M net working capital, a 73‑hotel/17,644‑room portfolio, ~$2.6B of loans at a blended 7.9% (77% effectively floating), completed a $580.0M refinancing and other asset sales (e.g., Courtyard Boston for $123.0M, $1.07M per key), used ~$72.0M of excess proceeds to pay off strategic financing, has raised ~$195.0M of Series J/K preferred proceeds, and does not expect to reinstate a common dividend in 2025.

Ashford Hospitality Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are very weak. TTM revenue fell sharply (-87.2%) and net income remains negative (net margin ~-20%). The biggest constraint is the balance sheet: equity is negative (TTM ~-$474M) with very high debt (~$2.6B vs. ~$2.6B assets). Cash flow is positive in TTM, but small (~$9M OCF/FCF) and historically volatile, offering limited cushion against leverage and refinancing risk.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
12
Very Negative
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.09B1.10B1.17B1.37B1.24B805.41M
Gross Profit173.69M-6.26M234.39M322.94M287.63M108.39M
EBITDA204.63M248.26M407.71M374.12M294.17M110.00M
Net Income-223.64M-179.84M-60.30M-178.49M-139.82M-267.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.61B2.83B3.16B3.46B3.92B4.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments78.80M66.35M112.91M165.23M417.06M592.11M
Total Debt2.60B2.92B2.69B3.10B3.90B3.93B
Total Liabilities3.04B3.21B3.37B3.69B4.04B4.08B
Stockholders Equity-473.54M-409.27M-247.70M-261.14M-148.34M-2.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow21.95M-21.87M-23.79M13.79M-64.53M-144.28M
Operating Cash Flow38.85M-15.67M-23.59M14.39M39.22M-144.19M
Investing Cash Flow288.39M190.76M191.28M-89.75M-70.33M-34.04M
Financing Cash Flow-331.20M-179.17M-258.75M-172.13M-101.51M702.56M

Ashford Hospitality Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.61
Price Trends
50DMA
2.92
Positive
100DMA
3.26
Negative
200DMA
4.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
58.76
Neutral
STOCH
77.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AHT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.96, above the 50-day MA of 2.92, and below the 200-day MA of 4.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AHT.

Ashford Hospitality Risk Analysis

Ashford Hospitality disclosed 111 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ashford Hospitality reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ashford Hospitality Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$515.36M55.641.24%5.00%-7.39%-69.66%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
55
Neutral
$172.39M-10.78-3.38%7.17%-3.86%-11.52%
48
Neutral
$1.16B-1.26-38.18%2.31%-8.19%24.63%
46
Neutral
$18.34M-10.08-32.79%1.52%-0.35%-2.39%
44
Neutral
$19.11M-0.0956.27%―-4.46%-34.66%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AHT
Ashford Hospitality
3.08
-2.73
-46.99%
SVC
Service Properties
1.79
-0.44
-19.91%
CLDT
Chatham Lodging
10.85
4.10
60.72%
BHR
Braemar Hotels & Resorts
2.46
0.17
7.33%
IHT
InnSuites Hospitality
1.54
-0.73
-32.13%

Ashford Hospitality Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Ashford Hospitality Sells Sheraton Indianapolis, Reduces Debt Load
Positive
May 28, 2026
On May 21, 2026, Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc., through an indirect wholly owned subsidiary, closed the sale of the 378-room Sheraton Indianapolis City Centre Hotel in downtown Indianapolis. The property, sold to Keystone Realty Group LLC, carri...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Ashford Hospitality Sells Lakeway Resort, Reduces Debt Load
Positive
May 22, 2026
Ashford Hospitality Trust completed the sale of the 168-room Lakeway Resort and Spa in Austin, Texas, on May 19, 2026, receiving approximately $37.2 million in cash net of selling expenses. The company applied about $36.3 million of the proceeds t...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Ashford Hospitality Shareholders Rebuke Board and Pay Practices
Negative
May 15, 2026
At its May 12, 2026 annual meeting, Ashford Hospitality Trust shareholders withheld majority support from all six board nominees, triggering the company’s director resignation policy, but the board, following a recommendation from its Nomina...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Ashford Hospitality Sells Embassy Suites, Reduces Debt Load
Positive
May 12, 2026
On May 6, 2026, Ashford Hospitality Trust completed the sale of the 150-room Embassy Suites Dallas Near the Galleria in Dallas, Texas, for approximately $16.6 million in cash, net of selling expenses, and its subsidiary Ashford Dallas LP received ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Ashford Hospitality Trust Sells Palm Beach Embassy Suites
Positive
Apr 10, 2026
On April 7, 2026, Ashford Hospitality Trust completed the sale of the 160-room Embassy Suites by Hilton Palm Beach Gardens PGA Boulevard in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, receiving approximately $40.5 million in net cash proceeds and remitting about...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Ashford Hospitality Advances Portfolio Optimization With Major Hotel Sales
Positive
Apr 9, 2026
Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc., a REIT specializing in upper upscale, full-service hotels, continues to reshape its lodging portfolio through targeted divestitures in key markets. The strategy underscores management’s focus on improving pos...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Ashford Hospitality Sells Hilton Alexandria Old Town Hotel
Neutral
Apr 2, 2026
On March 31, 2026, Ashford Hospitality Trust completed the sale of the 252-room Hilton Alexandria Old Town in Alexandria, Virginia, for approximately $57.3 million in cash net of selling expenses, and an affiliated entity reported a gross sale pri...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ashford Hospitality Reshapes Long-Term Advisory Agreement Structure
Negative
Mar 30, 2026
On March 27, 2026, Ashford Hospitality Trust, its operating partnership and Ashford TRS entered into a Fourth Amended and Restated Advisory Agreement with Ashford Inc. and Ashford Hospitality Advisors, significantly revising the economics and dura...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ashford Hospitality Receives Opinion on Preferred Stock Liquidation
Neutral
Mar 26, 2026
Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. obtained an independent opinion from Robert A. Stanger Co., Inc. on the liquidation value of its non-traded Series J, K, L and M Redeemable Preferred Stock as of December 31, 2025, for purposes of supporting broker...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Ashford Hospitality Sells La Posada Hotel, Reduces Debt
Positive
Mar 19, 2026
On March 17, 2026, Ashford Hospitality Trust completed the sale of the 157-room La Posada de Santa Fe hotel in Santa Fe, New Mexico, for approximately $56.8 million in cash, net of selling expenses, through its indirect subsidiary Ashford Posada L...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Ashford Hospitality Updates Executive Incentive and Deferred Compensation
Positive
Mar 17, 2026
On March 13, 2026, Ashford Hospitality Trust entered into a limited waiver under its advisory agreement with its operating partnership, TRS, and external advisor, temporarily lifting restrictions that could limit the company’s discretion to ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Ashford Hospitality Sells Hilton St. Petersburg Bayfront Hotel
Positive
Mar 11, 2026
On March 5, 2026, Ashford Hospitality Trust completed the sale of the 333-room Hilton St. Petersburg Bayfront in St. Petersburg, Florida, for approximately $95.3 million in cash, net of selling expenses. The transaction followed a December 12, 202...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Ashford Hospitality Announces CFO Transition and Succession Plan
Neutral
Mar 6, 2026
On March 5, 2026, Ashford Hospitality Advisors and parent Ashford Inc. agreed that long-serving finance chief Deric Eubanks will voluntarily leave his roles as Chief Financial Officer of Ashford Advisors, Ashford Inc., Ashford Hospitality Trust, a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 29, 2026