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Ashford Hospitality Trust (AHT)
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Ashford Hospitality (AHT) AI Stock Analysis

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AHT

Ashford Hospitality

(NYSE:AHT)

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Underperform 37 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:37Underperform
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-30.97% Downside)
Ashford Hospitality's overall stock score is heavily impacted by its poor financial performance and negative technical indicators. The company's high leverage, negative profitability, and bearish market sentiment are significant concerns. While there are some strategic initiatives and future opportunities, these are overshadowed by the current financial instability and unfavorable valuation metrics.

Ashford Hospitality (AHT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ashford Hospitality Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAshford Hospitality Trust is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on investing predominantly in upper upscale, full-service hotels.
How the Company Makes MoneyAshford Hospitality generates revenue primarily through the ownership and operation of its hotel properties. The company earns income from room rentals, food and beverage sales, and ancillary services offered at its hotels. Key revenue streams include room occupancy rates, which are influenced by market demand, pricing strategies, and the overall economic climate. Additionally, the company may benefit from management and incentive fees if it operates hotels on behalf of third-party owners. Significant partnerships with major hotel brands help in driving customer traffic and enhancing the operational performance of its properties. Furthermore, Ashford Hospitality may engage in strategic capital improvements and repositioning of assets to increase their value and revenue potential.

Ashford Hospitality Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive achievements and challenges. While there were notable successes in revenue growth driven by strategic initiatives and capital improvements, the company faced significant headwinds from reduced government travel and recorded a net loss. Future opportunities, especially from the upcoming FIFA World Cup, provide a positive outlook, but the current challenges indicate a balanced sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Comparable Revenue and EBITDA Growth
The second quarter was highlighted by comparable total revenue growth of 1.3% and comparable hotel EBITDA growth of 2.6%, despite macroeconomic headwinds.
Successful Initiatives and Capital Structure Improvements
The company realized benefits from the Grow AHT initiative, which has driven significant revenue growth and cost savings. Notable improvements in capital structure include extending mortgage loans and launching a follow-on offering of nontraded preferred stock.
RevPAR Growth from Renovations and Repositionings
Properties that underwent significant renovations or repositionings saw RevPAR increases, with Embassy Suites Dallas Galleria and La Concha Key West reporting revenue increases of 31% and 41%, respectively.
Future Opportunities from FIFA World Cup
42% of the portfolio's hotel rooms are located in cities that will host the 2026 FIFA World Cup, positioning the company to capture increased demand.
Negative Updates
Net Loss and Accrued Default Interest
The company reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $39.9 million and accrued $6.8 million of default interest on the Highland loan.
RevPAR Decline and Reduced Government Travel
Comparable hotel RevPAR declined 2.2% due to reduced demand from group and government-related travel. Government room nights were down approximately 26% compared to the prior year.
Group Revenue Decline
Group revenue for the portfolio declined approximately 4% during the second quarter, attributed to industry trends and external factors like the late timing of Easter.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust reported a notable performance with a comparable total revenue growth of 1.3% and a comparable hotel EBITDA growth of 2.6%, despite RevPAR declining by 2.2% due to macroeconomic headwinds. The company made strategic progress with their Grow AHT initiative, aimed at achieving a $50 million run rate EBITDA improvement. This initiative contributed to a 39 basis points expansion in comparable hotel EBITDA margin. The company's financial strategy included extending the MS 17 and Highland mortgage loans, with balances of $410 million and $734 million respectively, and floating interest rates tied to SOFR. Additionally, Ashford Trust raised $212 million in gross proceeds from a preferred stock offering. The company reported a net loss of $39.9 million or $6.88 per diluted share, while AFFO per diluted share was $0.78, which could have been $1.93 without the accrued default interest. The portfolio consisted of 72 hotels with 17,329 rooms, and the company ended the quarter with $100 million in cash and cash equivalents. Looking ahead, Ashford Hospitality Trust focuses on capital structure improvements and opportunistic asset dispositions to enhance cash flow, aiming to capitalize on upcoming events like the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Ashford Hospitality Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ashford Hospitality faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, high leverage, and negative profitability. Despite some positive cash flow improvements, the overall financial health is concerning, with high risks associated with its leverage and negative equity position.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Ashford Hospitality's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced declining revenue with a negative revenue growth rate of -1.26% TTM, and net profit margins remain deeply negative at -20.55% TTM. Despite a positive EBITDA margin of 19.63% TTM, the overall profitability is hindered by substantial net losses, indicating operational inefficiencies and potential difficulties in cost management.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The balance sheet of Ashford Hospitality shows a precarious financial position. The company has a negative stockholders' equity, resulting in an alarming debt-to-equity ratio of -10.72 TTM, which indicates high leverage and financial instability. Return on equity is positive at 101.79% TTM, but this is due to the negative equity base, which is not a sustainable financial position.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement indicates some improvement, with a positive free cash flow growth rate of 26.56% TTM. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is extremely low at 0.61% TTM, suggesting that the company struggles to convert its earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 644.02% TTM, but this is due to the negative net income, which distorts the ratio.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.13B1.17B1.37B1.24B805.41M508.24M
Gross Profit229.51M234.39M322.94M287.63M108.39M-56.15M
EBITDA212.44M407.71M374.12M294.17M110.00M-134.41M
Net Income-232.48M-60.30M-178.49M-139.82M-267.00M-543.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.06B3.16B3.46B3.92B4.10B3.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments99.97M112.91M165.23M417.06M592.11M93.17M
Total Debt3.01B2.69B3.10B3.90B3.93B3.77B
Total Liabilities3.31B3.37B3.69B4.04B4.08B3.99B
Stockholders Equity-282.27M-247.70M-261.14M-148.34M-2.65M-283.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow40.24M-23.79M13.79M-64.53M-144.28M-149.53M
Operating Cash Flow6.25M-23.59M14.39M39.22M-144.19M-149.53M
Investing Cash Flow63.77M191.28M-89.75M-70.33M-34.04M-7.60M
Financing Cash Flow-60.44M-258.75M-172.13M-101.51M702.56M-73.76M

Ashford Hospitality Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.07
Price Trends
50DMA
5.13
Negative
100DMA
5.75
Negative
200DMA
6.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.44
Positive
RSI
9.51
Positive
STOCH
3.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AHT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.33, below the 50-day MA of 5.13, and below the 200-day MA of 6.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 9.51 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AHT.

Ashford Hospitality Risk Analysis

Ashford Hospitality disclosed 111 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ashford Hospitality reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ashford Hospitality Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
59
Neutral
$324.09M601.801.13%5.09%-3.79%
55
Neutral
$191.01M-1.09%7.14%-2.84%-11.92%
47
Neutral
$44.50M-6.54-0.68%-0.57%-24.28%
42
Neutral
$287.43M-35.25%2.34%-0.56%-14.18%
42
Neutral
$15.57M-8.34-28.89%1.54%-2.96%-154.58%
37
Underperform
$21.99M-7.89%-833.99%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AHT
Ashford Hospitality
3.43
-5.76
-62.68%
SVC
Service Properties
1.71
-1.16
-40.42%
CLDT
Chatham Lodging
6.68
-2.20
-24.77%
BHR
Braemar Hotels & Resorts
2.80
-0.50
-15.15%
SOHO
Sotherly Hotels
2.16
1.17
118.18%
IHT
InnSuites Hospitality
1.30
-0.72
-35.64%

Ashford Hospitality Corporate Events

Ashford Hospitality Trust Reports Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 6, 2025

Ashford Hospitality Trust is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that primarily invests in upper upscale, full-service hotels. The company operates within the hospitality sector, focusing on enhancing shareholder value through strategic asset management and operational efficiency.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ashford Hospitality Reports Q3 Growth Amid Challenges
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust held a conference call to discuss its third-quarter financial results, highlighting a 2.0% growth in Comparable Hotel EBITDA despite industry-wide challenges. The company continues to benefit from strategic initiatives like GRO AHT, which aims to improve EBITDA by $50 million, and has made significant progress in refinancing and asset sales, expecting to enhance cash flow and reduce capital expenditures.

The most recent analyst rating on (AHT) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashford Hospitality stock, see the AHT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Ashford Hospitality Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Negative
Nov 4, 2025

Ashford Hospitality Trust reported its third quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a 1.5% decrease in Comparable RevPAR and a net loss of $69 million. Despite these challenges, the company achieved a 2% growth in Comparable Hotel EBITDA and continued its strategic initiative ‘GRO AHT’ to enhance shareholder value. During the quarter, Ashford Trust extended its Highland mortgage loan and completed the sale of several properties, including the Residence Inn San Diego Sorrento Mesa, as part of its strategy to deleverage its portfolio. The company did not declare a dividend on its common stock for the quarter, but paid dividends on its preferred stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (AHT) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashford Hospitality stock, see the AHT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Ashford Hospitality Completes Sale of San Diego Hotel
Neutral
Oct 20, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. completed the sale of the 150-room Residence Inn San Diego Sorrento Mesa hotel for approximately $41.4 million in cash, net of selling expenses. This transaction allowed the company to allocate funds towards loan repayment and reserves, impacting its financial structure and potentially its future operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AHT) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashford Hospitality stock, see the AHT Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Ashford Hospitality Declares Q4 2025 Preferred Dividends
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared fourth quarter 2025 dividends for various series of its cumulative and redeemable preferred stock. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders, which may impact its financial stability and attractiveness to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AHT) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashford Hospitality stock, see the AHT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ashford Hospitality Refinances Nashville Hotel Loan
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. announced the successful refinancing of the mortgage loan for the Renaissance Hotel in Nashville, Tennessee. The new loan, amounting to $218.1 million, features a lower interest rate and extended maturity options compared to the previous loan, potentially improving the company’s financial flexibility and reducing costs.

The most recent analyst rating on (AHT) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashford Hospitality stock, see the AHT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Ashford Hospitality Announces Sale of San Diego Hotel
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

On September 11, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust announced its agreement to sell the 150-room Residence Inn San Diego Sorrento Mesa for $42 million, with the transaction expected to close in October 2025. This sale aligns with the company’s strategy to deleverage its portfolio and enhance financial flexibility, reflecting a capitalization rate of 5.7% on net operating income after anticipated capital expenditures.

The most recent analyst rating on (AHT) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashford Hospitality stock, see the AHT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Ashford Hospitality Sells Non-Core Assets for $33 Million
Positive
Aug 25, 2025

On August 22, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust completed the sale of the Hilton Houston NASA Clear Lake hotel in Houston, Texas, and the Residence Inn Evansville East in Evansville, Indiana, for a total of $33 million. These transactions are part of the company’s strategy to enhance shareholder value by selling non-core assets, which has helped deleverage their platform and improve cash flow after debt service.

The most recent analyst rating on (AHT) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ashford Hospitality stock, see the AHT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025