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Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc (BHR)
NYSE:BHR

Braemar Hotels & Resorts (BHR) AI Stock Analysis

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BHR

Braemar Hotels & Resorts

(NYSE:BHR)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
â–¼(-3.47% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/03/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (losses and rising leverage) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is mixed—high dividend yield but negative earnings—and the latest earnings call adds moderate support from improving property-level trends and deleveraging steps, tempered by floating-rate debt and strategic/dividend uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Luxury resort portfolio strength
Braemar’s concentrated exposure to luxury and upper‑upscale resorts produces durable pricing power and higher ancillary spend per guest. Strong RevPAR and hotel EBITDA growth at flagship properties supports long‑term margin resilience, group/ancillary revenue momentum, and differentiated demand versus broader midscale supply.
Negative Factors
High floating-rate debt exposure
With the vast majority of debt floating, Braemar’s interest expense and cash available for distribution are highly sensitive to rate moves. This elevates operating cash flow volatility and refinancing risk for a hospitality REIT, constraining dividend visibility and capital allocation until rates and hedging are stabilized.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Luxury resort portfolio strength
Braemar’s concentrated exposure to luxury and upper‑upscale resorts produces durable pricing power and higher ancillary spend per guest. Strong RevPAR and hotel EBITDA growth at flagship properties supports long‑term margin resilience, group/ancillary revenue momentum, and differentiated demand versus broader midscale supply.
Read all positive factors

Braemar Hotels & Resorts (BHR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Braemar Hotels & Resorts is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on investing in luxury hotels and resorts....
How the Company Makes Money
Braemar makes money primarily by owning hotel real estate and earning property-level cash flow from hotel operations. Its key revenue stream is hotel operating revenue generated at its properties (most importantly room revenue from transient and g...

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed solid operational momentum in 2025—notably within the resort portfolio, group and ancillary revenue growth, strategic asset repositionings and a material 2025 capex program—supported by successful asset sale and partial deleveraging actions. However, Q4 produced a net loss and a slight negative AFFO, renovation and weather disruptions constrained near-term results, and the balance sheet still carries significant floating-rate debt and strategic uncertainty due to an ongoing sale process and no declared common dividend for 2026. Overall, operational positives are meaningful but balanced by financial losses, interest-rate exposure and transactional uncertainty.
Positive Updates
Comparable Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Comparable total revenue grew 1.8% in Q4 2025 and 2.8% for full year 2025; adjusted EBITDAre was $28.8M for Q4 and $147.0M for the full year, reflecting improved operating profitability.
Negative Updates
Net Losses and Q4 AFFO Shortfall
Reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $46.0M in Q4 2025 (–$0.67 per diluted share) and a full-year net loss of $72.7M (–$1.07 per diluted share). Q4 AFFO per diluted share was negative $0.02, though full-year AFFO was $0.28.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Comparable Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Comparable total revenue grew 1.8% in Q4 2025 and 2.8% for full year 2025; adjusted EBITDAre was $28.8M for Q4 and $147.0M for the full year, reflecting improved operating profitability.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management’s forward-looking guidance was limited but specific: they plan $25–$35 million of capital expenditures in 2026 (after ~$78 million invested in 2025), expect to continue redeeming non‑traded preferred stock (already redeemed $149 million, ~32% of the original raise) as part of a deleveraging strategy tied to an ongoing company sale process (no timetable) and therefore have not set a common dividend policy for 2026; recent transactional and balance‑sheet metrics supporting that guidance include the $115 million Clancy sale ($280k per key) that funded ~$65 million of debt paydown and ~$44 million of net proceeds, quarter‑end cash of $124.4 million plus $42.5 million restricted cash, $1.1 billion of loans with a blended interest rate of 6.7% (≈14% effectively fixed, ≈86% floating), total assets of ~$1.9 billion, net debt to gross assets of ~46.7%, 3,028 rooms, and 73.3 million fully diluted shares; operational results cited to underpin the outlook included Q4 comparable RevPAR of $340 (flat), resort RevPAR of $536 (+4.1%) with resort hotel EBITDA of $32.5 million (+6%), full‑year adjusted EBITDAre of $147 million, and management’s expectation that completed and ongoing renovations will drive future performance.

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are pressured: revenue is flat to slightly down and profitability deteriorated (negative gross profit and larger net loss). Leverage is elevated and rising (debt-to-equity ~2.33x) with negative ROE, increasing refinancing/downturn risk. Offsetting this, operating cash flow and free cash flow remain positive, though down versus the prior period.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue704.01M728.40M739.34M669.59M427.54M
Gross Profit-8.01M153.68M168.47M164.49M82.88M
EBITDA165.11M227.91M160.03M154.15M73.59M
Net Income-22.32M-1.69M-27.02M17.76M-26.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.86B2.14B2.23B2.40B1.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments124.35M135.82M88.45M261.54M216.00M
Total Debt1.17B1.23B1.22B1.39B1.23B
Total Liabilities1.34B1.41B1.41B1.96B1.46B
Stockholders Equity504.02M695.57M795.07M410.11M398.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-37.13M66.82M84.64M109.48M38.31M
Operating Cash Flow40.78M66.82M84.71M109.48M63.95M
Investing Cash Flow195.34M35.51M-77.07M-402.22M-41.68M
Financing Cash Flow-254.35M-83.77M-156.84M345.06M127.95M

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.59
Price Trends
50DMA
2.68
Negative
100DMA
2.74
Negative
200DMA
2.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
49.66
Neutral
STOCH
86.35
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BHR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.38, below the 50-day MA of 2.68, and below the 200-day MA of 2.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.35 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BHR.

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Risk Analysis

Braemar Hotels & Resorts disclosed 98 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Braemar Hotels & Resorts reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$406.38M22.071.13%5.00%-3.79%―
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
54
Neutral
$577.37M-65.40-0.63%6.61%-1.20%-328.23%
46
Neutral
$736.75M-1.51-29.70%2.31%-0.56%-14.18%
45
Neutral
$170.32M-8.70-4.39%7.17%-2.84%-11.92%
42
Neutral
$17.62M-0.1056.27%―-7.89%-833.99%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BHR
Braemar Hotels & Resorts
2.48
0.58
30.73%
INN
Summit Hotel Properties
4.74
0.93
24.28%
SVC
Service Properties
1.26
-0.62
-33.12%
CLDT
Chatham Lodging
8.60
2.37
38.09%
AHT
Ashford Hospitality
2.80
-3.07
-52.30%

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Braemar Hotels Extends Long-Term Advisory Agreement Ten Years
Positive
Apr 3, 2026
On March 31, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts disclosed that its external advisor, Ashford Inc. together with Ashford Hospitality Advisors LLC, elected to extend the term of their Fifth Amended and Restated Advisory Agreement for an additional ten-ye...
Financial Disclosures
Braemar Affirms Estimated Liquidation Value of Preferred Stock
Neutral
Mar 26, 2026
As of December 31, 2025, Braemar Hotels Resorts obtained an independent opinion from Robert A. Stanger Co. on the liquidation value of its non-traded Series E and Series M Redeemable Preferred Stock. Stanger concluded that each series had an est...
Dividends
Braemar Hotels Declares March 2026 Preferred Stock Dividends
Positive
Mar 24, 2026
On March 24, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts Inc. announced that its board declared March 2026 monthly cash dividends on several preferred share classes, including its 5.5% Series B Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock and 8.25% Series D Cumulativ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Braemar Hotels Updates Compensation Framework Under Advisory Agreement
Neutral
Mar 17, 2026
On March 13, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts Inc. entered into a limited waiver under its existing advisory agreement with its operating partnership, TRS, and external advisor Ashford, allowing the company, at its own expense and in its sole discret...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Braemar Hotels & Resorts Announces CFO Transition Plan
Neutral
Mar 6, 2026
On March 5, 2026, Ashford Hospitality Advisors, a subsidiary of Ashford Inc., and Chief Financial Officer Deric Eubanks agreed that he would voluntarily terminate his employment effective March 31, 2026, ending his concurrent CFO roles at Ashford ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Braemar Highlights 2025 Results and Luxury Growth Outlook
Positive
Mar 2, 2026
On March 2, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts Inc. released an investor presentation updating shareholders on its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 performance. The company reported that since its 2013 inception it has nearly doubled total assets and ...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Braemar Hotels Highlights 2025 Results and Strategic Actions
Positive
Feb 27, 2026
On February 27, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, highlighting flat comparable RevPAR for the quarter but 1.8% growth in comparable total revenue, driven largely by strong performance at its luxu...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Braemar Hotels Reports 2025 Results Amid Ongoing Strategic Review
Negative
Feb 26, 2026
Braemar Hotels Resorts reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on February 26, 2026, showing modest growth in revenue metrics but continuing net losses. For 2025, comparable RevPAR rose 1.0% and ADR gained 3.9%, while occupancy dec...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Braemar Hotels Director Resigns Amid Governance and Conflict Dispute
Negative
Feb 25, 2026
On February 20, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts’ board, acting under its bylaws and a prior cooperation agreement, unanimously determined that director Babak “Bob” Ghassemieh had breached that agreement and violated company policie...
Dividends
Braemar Hotels Declares February 2026 Preferred Stock Dividends
Positive
Feb 23, 2026
On February 23, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts Inc. announced that its board declared monthly preferred dividends for February 2026 on its 5.5% Series B Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock and 8.25% Series D Cumulative Preferred Stock. The Serie...
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Braemar Updates Preferred Dividend Practices Amid Sale Process
Neutral
Feb 2, 2026
On February 2, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts announced clarifications to its dividend practices, shifting the declaration process for its Series B and Series D preferred stock to a monthly “reservation” basis to align their dividend cy...
DividendsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Braemar Hotels Outlines 2025 Return-of-Capital Distributions
Neutral
Jan 27, 2026
On January 27, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts announced the federal tax reporting information for 2025 distributions on its common shares and its Series B, D, E and M preferred shares, specifying that all amounts paid on January 15, 2025 to stockho...
Dividends
Braemar Hotels & Resorts Declares January 2026 Preferred Dividends
Positive
Jan 26, 2026
On January 26, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts Inc. announced that its board of directors declared January 2026 dividends on multiple preferred stock classes, including its 5.5% Series B Cumulative Convertible Preferred, 8.25% Series D Cumulative Pr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 03, 2026