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Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc (BHR)
NYSE:BHR
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Braemar Hotels & Resorts (BHR) AI Stock Analysis

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BHR

Braemar Hotels & Resorts

(NYSE:BHR)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
â–¼(-22.78% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/01/26
The score is held back mainly by weak financial performance (losses and elevated leverage) and a clearly bearish price trend versus key moving averages. Offsetting factors include positive recent corporate actions that improve balance-sheet visibility and potential cost structure, plus a high dividend yield, but these are not enough to outweigh the core profitability and trend concerns.
Positive Factors
Near-term debt reduction
Repaying the 2026 convertible notes materially reduces immediate refinancing pressure and interest obligations. This durable de-leveraging step improves liquidity headroom, lowers short-term default risk, and increases management's ability to deploy cash for operations, capex or further liability reduction.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
A debt-heavy capital structure relative to equity heightens vulnerability to cash-flow volatility and rising rates. Declining equity and negative returns on equity mean leverage constrains strategic flexibility, amplifies refinancing risk, and increases the probability that operational shocks will impair financial stability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Near-term debt reduction
Repaying the 2026 convertible notes materially reduces immediate refinancing pressure and interest obligations. This durable de-leveraging step improves liquidity headroom, lowers short-term default risk, and increases management's ability to deploy cash for operations, capex or further liability reduction.
Read all positive factors

Braemar Hotels & Resorts (BHR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Braemar Hotels & Resorts operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT), primarily dedicating its resources to the acquisition and development of high-end hotel and resort properties....
How the Company Makes Money
BHR makes money primarily by owning hotel properties and collecting the operating cash flows those properties generate. Its core revenue source is hotel-level operating revenue produced by guests and on-property spending—most importantly room reve...

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed solid operational momentum in 2025—notably within the resort portfolio, group and ancillary revenue growth, strategic asset repositionings and a material 2025 capex program—supported by successful asset sale and partial deleveraging actions. However, Q4 produced a net loss and a slight negative AFFO, renovation and weather disruptions constrained near-term results, and the balance sheet still carries significant floating-rate debt and strategic uncertainty due to an ongoing sale process and no declared common dividend for 2026. Overall, operational positives are meaningful but balanced by financial losses, interest-rate exposure and transactional uncertainty.
Positive Updates
Comparable Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Comparable total revenue grew 1.8% in Q4 2025 and 2.8% for full year 2025; adjusted EBITDAre was $28.8M for Q4 and $147.0M for the full year, reflecting improved operating profitability.
Negative Updates
Net Losses and Q4 AFFO Shortfall
Reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $46.0M in Q4 2025 (–$0.67 per diluted share) and a full-year net loss of $72.7M (–$1.07 per diluted share). Q4 AFFO per diluted share was negative $0.02, though full-year AFFO was $0.28.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Comparable Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Comparable total revenue grew 1.8% in Q4 2025 and 2.8% for full year 2025; adjusted EBITDAre was $28.8M for Q4 and $147.0M for the full year, reflecting improved operating profitability.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management’s forward-looking guidance was limited but specific: they plan $25–$35 million of capital expenditures in 2026 (after ~$78 million invested in 2025), expect to continue redeeming non‑traded preferred stock (already redeemed $149 million, ~32% of the original raise) as part of a deleveraging strategy tied to an ongoing company sale process (no timetable) and therefore have not set a common dividend policy for 2026; recent transactional and balance‑sheet metrics supporting that guidance include the $115 million Clancy sale ($280k per key) that funded ~$65 million of debt paydown and ~$44 million of net proceeds, quarter‑end cash of $124.4 million plus $42.5 million restricted cash, $1.1 billion of loans with a blended interest rate of 6.7% (≈14% effectively fixed, ≈86% floating), total assets of ~$1.9 billion, net debt to gross assets of ~46.7%, 3,028 rooms, and 73.3 million fully diluted shares; operational results cited to underpin the outlook included Q4 comparable RevPAR of $340 (flat), resort RevPAR of $536 (+4.1%) with resort hotel EBITDA of $32.5 million (+6%), full‑year adjusted EBITDAre of $147 million, and management’s expectation that completed and ongoing renovations will drive future performance.

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: revenue has weakened with sharply negative TTM growth and net results remain loss-making (TTM net margin ~-2.2%) despite positive EBITDA/EBIT margins. Leverage is elevated (about $1.17B debt vs ~$0.49B equity) with declining equity, increasing cyclicality and balance-sheet risk. Positives include positive TTM operating cash flow (~$47.6M) and free cash flow (~$27.5M), though cash flow has been volatile.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue697.18M704.01M728.40M739.34M669.59M427.54M
Gross Profit84.02M-8.01M153.68M168.47M164.49M82.88M
EBITDA167.87M165.11M227.91M160.03M154.15M73.59M
Net Income-15.61M-22.32M-1.69M-27.02M17.76M-26.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.85B1.86B2.14B2.23B2.40B1.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments92.74M124.35M135.82M88.45M261.54M216.00M
Total Debt1.17B1.17B1.23B1.22B1.39B1.23B
Total Liabilities1.35B1.34B1.41B1.41B1.96B1.46B
Stockholders Equity484.93M504.02M695.57M795.07M410.11M398.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow27.46M-37.13M66.82M84.64M109.48M38.31M
Operating Cash Flow47.58M40.78M66.82M84.71M109.48M63.95M
Investing Cash Flow197.46M195.34M35.51M-77.07M-402.22M-41.68M
Financing Cash Flow-232.53M-254.35M-83.77M-156.84M345.06M127.95M

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.59
Price Trends
50DMA
2.37
Negative
100DMA
2.50
Negative
200DMA
2.63
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Negative
RSI
53.31
Neutral
STOCH
76.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BHR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.20, above the 50-day MA of 2.37, and below the 200-day MA of 2.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BHR.

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Risk Analysis

Braemar Hotels & Resorts disclosed 98 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Braemar Hotels & Resorts reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$608.72M229.981.24%5.00%-7.39%-69.66%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$823.39M-24.22-1.46%6.61%0.26%-233.17%
51
Neutral
$156.59M-6.59-3.38%7.17%-3.86%-11.52%
50
Neutral
$1.12B-1.21-38.18%2.31%-8.19%24.63%
50
Neutral
$20.53M-0.0856.27%―-4.46%-34.66%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BHR
Braemar Hotels & Resorts
2.28
-0.18
-7.13%
INN
Summit Hotel Properties
6.79
1.79
35.80%
SVC
Service Properties
1.73
-0.76
-30.52%
CLDT
Chatham Lodging
13.04
6.28
92.99%
AHT
Ashford Hospitality
3.17
-3.26
-50.70%

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Braemar Extends Ritz-Carlton Lake Tahoe Mortgage Maturity
Positive
Jun 29, 2026
On June 29, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts announced it had extended the $43.4 million mortgage loan secured by the 170-room Ritz-Carlton Lake Tahoe, moving the loan’s maturity from July 15, 2026 to October 15, 2026. The extension, priced at ...
Dividends
Braemar Hotels Declares June Preferred Stock Dividends
Positive
Jun 22, 2026
On June 22, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts announced that its board declared June 2026 preferred dividends across multiple series, underscoring continued capital returns to preferred shareholders. The board approved partial cash dividends for the 5...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Braemar Hotels to Become Self-Managed Luxury REIT
Positive
Jun 12, 2026
On June 12, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts announced it had concluded a strategic review and would spin out management to become a self-managed REIT while remaining publicly listed, ending its advisory relationship with Ashford and affiliates. The ...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Braemar Hotels Announces Sale of Three Luxury Properties
Positive
Jun 10, 2026
On June 4, 2026, indirect subsidiaries of Braemar Hotels Resorts Inc. agreed to sell three luxury properties—The Ritz-Carlton Sarasota in Sarasota, Florida, and the Hotel Yountville and Bardessono Hotel and Spa in Yountville, California&#82...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Braemar Uses Asset Sale Proceeds to Retire Convertible Notes
Positive
Jun 1, 2026
On May 26, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts’ subsidiaries completed the sale of the 193-room Park Hyatt Beaver Creek Resort Spa in Avon, Colorado, for $176 million in cash, implying a 4.6% capitalization rate on trailing 12-month net operating...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Braemar Hotels & Resorts Announces Board Refresh and Appointment
Neutral
May 28, 2026
On May 21, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts Inc. appointed Ashford Inc. Chief Operating Officer Eric Batis to its Board of Directors to serve until the next annual shareholders’ meeting, bringing his extensive background in hotel asset manageme...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Braemar Hotels Extends Advisory Agreement Fee Negotiation Period
Neutral
May 22, 2026
Ashford Inc. proposed, and the independent directors of Braemar Hotels Resorts Inc. agreed, to amend their existing advisory agreement, under which Ashford and its affiliate serve as advisors to Braemar. On May 21, 2026, the parties executed Amen...
Dividends
Braemar Hotels Declares Second-Quarter Preferred Stock Dividends
Positive
May 21, 2026
On May 21, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts announced that its board declared and set aside the May 2026 portion of second-quarter dividends for its 5.5% Series B Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock and 8.25% Series D Cumulative Preferred Stock, w...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Braemar Highlights Strong Q1 2026 Luxury Hotel Growth
Positive
May 12, 2026
On May 12, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts released an investor presentation providing a first quarter 2026 earnings update that highlighted the continued expansion and performance of its luxury and upper upscale hotel portfolio. The presentation sh...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Braemar Sells Park Hyatt Beaver Creek to Reduce Debt
Positive
Apr 30, 2026
On April 27, 2026, Braemar’s subsidiaries Ashford BC LP and Ashford TRS BC LLC agreed to sell the 193-room Park Hyatt Beaver Creek Resort Spa in Avon, Colorado, to Apres Owner, LLC for $176 million in cash, or about $912,000 per key. The sa...
Dividends
Braemar Hotels & Resorts Announces Preferred Stock Dividends
Positive
Apr 23, 2026
On April 23, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts announced that its board declared and set aside the April 2026 portion of second-quarter dividends for its 5.5% Series B Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock and 8.25% Series D Cumulative Preferred Stoc...
Business Operations and Strategy
Braemar Hotels Extends Long-Term Advisory Agreement Ten Years
Positive
Apr 3, 2026
On March 31, 2026, Braemar Hotels Resorts disclosed that its external advisor, Ashford Inc. together with Ashford Hospitality Advisors LLC, elected to extend the term of their Fifth Amended and Restated Advisory Agreement for an additional ten-ye...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 01, 2026