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Pebblebrook Hotel (PEB)
NYSE:PEB

Pebblebrook Hotel (PEB) AI Stock Analysis

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PEB

Pebblebrook Hotel

(NYSE:PEB)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
â–²(6.21% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals (steady post-pandemic revenue and generally positive operating/free cash flow) but held back by persistent net losses and profitability volatility. Technicals add modest support with an upward trend and neutral momentum, while valuation is mixed (negative P/E but very high yield). Earnings commentary and recent refinancing/board actions modestly improve the outlook but do not fully offset operating headwinds like ADR/RevPAR pressure.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Cash Generation
Pebblebrook's top line recovery to roughly $1.4–$1.5B with generally positive operating and free cash flow demonstrates structural revenue stabilization and improved cash conversion. This supports ongoing capital needs, dividends and debt service over the next several quarters, reducing reliance on one-off capital raises.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
The February 2026 refinancing materially extends maturities, converts much secured debt to unsecured, restores a $650M revolver and lowers blended interest costs. This durable liquidity and longer maturity profile materially reduces near-term refinancing risk and improves optionality for capital allocation across 2026–2029.
Governance & Incentives
A structured board refresh and a compensation framework that emphasizes long-term equity and performance units tied to FFO, EBITDA and TSR align management with shareholders. Stronger governance and capital-markets expertise enhance decision-making on dispositions, redevelopment and capital allocation over multi-year horizons.
Negative Factors
Recurring Net Losses
Despite revenue recovery, persistent net losses and thin, volatile EBITDA margins signal underlying operating profitability challenges. Continued negative net income limits retained earnings, constrains equity returns, and makes the REIT more dependent on financing and asset sales for strategic investments and dividend support over the medium term.
Historic Leverage Levels
Pebblebrook's multi-year leverage near 0.85–0.96 is meaningful for a cyclical lodging portfolio and heightens sensitivity to demand shocks. The sharp 2025 debt discontinuity adds uncertainty about true leverage trajectory; elevated historical leverage can restrict flexibility during downturns and raises refinancing exposure absent sustained cash generation.
ADR / RevPAR Pressure & Market Concentration
Declines in ADR and RevPAR, and pronounced weakness in key urban markets like Washington, D.C. and Los Angeles, indicate demand mix and pricing pressure risks. Given Pebblebrook's urban and resort concentration, sustained ADR/RevPAR weakness in a few large markets could materially compress margins and cash flow over multiple quarters.

Pebblebrook Hotel (PEB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pebblebrook Hotel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPebblebrook Hotel Trust (NYSE: PEB) is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) and the largest owner of urban and resort lifestyle hotels in the United States. The Company owns 53 hotels, totaling approximately 13,200 guestrooms across 14 urban and resort markets, with a focus on the west coast gateway cities.
How the Company Makes MoneyPebblebrook Hotel Trust generates revenue primarily through the operation of its hotel properties, which include room rentals, food and beverage services, and ancillary offerings such as meeting and event spaces. The company's key revenue streams stem from its rental income derived from guests staying at its hotels, as well as income from on-site restaurants, bars, and event services. Additionally, Pebblebrook may earn management fees from its properties and benefit from partnerships with hotel management companies that operate the hotels on its behalf. The company's revenue can also be influenced by factors such as occupancy rates, average daily rates (ADR), and seasonal demand, as well as its strategic acquisitions and asset management practices that enhance property values and operational efficiency.

Pebblebrook Hotel Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong operational performance with impressive cost management and growth in key markets like San Francisco. However, challenges such as a decline in ADR, weakness in certain urban markets, and the impact of the government shutdown were noted. The outlook for 2026 remains optimistic with expected macroeconomic improvements and major events.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operational Performance
Same-property hotel EBITDA totaled $105.4 million, in line with our midpoint, while adjusted EBITDA came in at $99.2 million, exceeding our midpoint by $2.2 million. Adjusted FFO per share was $0.51, $0.03 above our midpoint.
San Francisco Market Strength
San Francisco RevPAR rose 8.3% in Q3 on a 690 basis point jump in occupancy, driving EBITDA higher by 10.9%. Growth was fueled by an active convention calendar and a continued recovery in both business travel and leisure demand.
Successful Cost Management
Same-property hotel expenses before fixed costs rose just 0.4% year-over-year, and on a per occupied room basis, expenses declined about 2%.
Positive Outlook for 2026
Expectations for 2026 are optimistic due to a favorable macroeconomic setup, low supply growth, and significant events like the World Cup and America's 250th anniversary celebrations.
Redevelopment Program Success
Properties like Newport Harbor Island Resort and Jekyll Island Club Resort showed significant growth, with Newport Harbor RevPAR jumping 29% and total RevPAR surging 35.9% versus pre-renovation performance in 2023.
Negative Updates
Decline in ADR and RevPAR
Same-property occupancy increased nearly 190 basis points, while ADR declined 5.4%, resulting in a 3.1% decline in RevPAR and a 1.5% drop in same-property total RevPAR.
Weakness in Washington, D.C. and Los Angeles
Washington, D.C. had a RevPAR decline of 16.4% due to reduced government travel demand. Los Angeles RevPAR declined 10.4%, driven by competitive pricing and disruptions from ICE activity and National Guard deployments.
Impact of Government Shutdown
The ongoing government shutdown has led to reduced government travel and cancellations, affecting overall demand.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust reported robust performance metrics despite external challenges. The company achieved a same-property hotel EBITDA of $105.4 million and adjusted EBITDA of $99.2 million, surpassing its midpoint by $2.2 million. Adjusted Funds From Operations (FFO) per share was $0.51, exceeding expectations by $0.03. The quarter saw a nearly 190 basis point increase in same-property occupancy, although Average Daily Rate (ADR) dropped by 5.4%, leading to a 3.1% decline in Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR). Notably, San Francisco and Chicago outperformed, with San Francisco's RevPAR rising by 8.3% and driving a 10.9% increase in EBITDA. Portfolio-wide, same-property out-of-room revenues grew by 1.7%, bolstered by strong event space utilization and elevated food and beverage performance. On the expense side, same-property hotel costs before fixed expenses rose just 0.4% year-over-year, with per-occupied-room expenses decreasing by approximately 2%, showcasing the company's efficiency improvements. The company also highlighted a successful $400 million convertible notes offering and plans to leverage strong free cash flow and cash on hand to address upcoming debt maturities.

Pebblebrook Hotel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has recovered and stabilized around ~$1.4–$1.5B and operating/free cash flow is generally positive, supporting fundamentals. However, recurring net losses, thin/volatile profitability, and historically meaningful leverage (with an abrupt 2025 debt discontinuity) cap the score.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Revenue has rebounded sharply since 2020 and has been relatively steady at ~$1.4–$1.5B from 2022–2025, with 2025 showing an outsized jump in reported growth. Profitability remains the weak point: net income is negative in every year provided, with 2024 close to breakeven but 2025 slipping back to a larger loss and very thin EBITDA margin. Overall, the top-line recovery is a clear strength, but inconsistent operating profitability and recurring net losses weigh on the score.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The capital base is sizable (equity roughly $2.5–$3.3B; assets roughly $5.3–$6.3B). Leverage appears elevated in most years with debt-to-equity around ~0.85–0.96 from 2020–2024, which is meaningful for a cyclical lodging REIT, and returns on equity are negative throughout due to net losses. 2025 shows zero reported debt and a zero debt-to-equity ratio, which is a notable improvement if accurate, but it is a sharp discontinuity versus prior years and introduces data/trajectory uncertainty. Net-net: balance sheet is supported by asset scale, but leverage history and negative returns temper the strength.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Cash generation has improved materially versus 2020, with operating cash flow positive and fairly stable from 2021–2025 and free cash flow generally positive (except 2021). However, free cash flow volatility is notable (including a large drop in 2025 versus 2024), and the relationship between cash flow and earnings is uneven given persistent net losses. Overall, cash flow is the most supportive part of the statements, but variability and the earnings drag keep the score from being higher.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.48B1.45B1.42B1.39B733.04M
Gross Profit0.00366.12M354.27M382.28M124.79M
EBITDA12.31M306.40M274.58M238.40M124.83M
Net Income-105.72M-4.24M-78.02M-87.17M-184.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.35B5.69B5.82B6.13B6.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments184.19M206.65M183.75M41.04M58.52M
Total Debt0.002.57B2.64B2.71B2.76B
Total Liabilities2.79B2.91B2.97B3.05B3.10B
Stockholders Equity2.47B2.70B2.76B3.00B3.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow249.73M275.00M236.20M162.00M-13.06M
Operating Cash Flow249.73M275.00M236.20M278.75M70.77M
Investing Cash Flow10.32M-92.83M142.02M-109.39M-81.57M
Financing Cash Flow-281.44M-158.22M-236.85M-209.34M-33.25M

Pebblebrook Hotel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.24
Price Trends
50DMA
11.93
Positive
100DMA
11.41
Positive
200DMA
10.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Positive
RSI
50.83
Neutral
STOCH
15.46
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PEB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.19, above the 50-day MA of 11.93, and above the 200-day MA of 10.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.46 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PEB.

Pebblebrook Hotel Risk Analysis

Pebblebrook Hotel disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pebblebrook Hotel reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pebblebrook Hotel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$2.86B16.475.47%8.30%0.57%-13.58%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$2.05B38.393.98%5.13%0.95%-8.40%
62
Neutral
$1.49B24.374.58%3.71%4.29%141.01%
61
Neutral
$1.38B-10.33-3.74%0.34%0.99%-360.58%
58
Neutral
$1.22B165.841.49%7.76%-0.58%-83.32%
57
Neutral
$1.76B1,006.520.88%3.98%3.04%-98.77%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
12.24
0.02
0.12%
DRH
Diamondrock
10.05
2.13
26.85%
SHO
Sunstone Hotel
9.37
-0.79
-7.77%
RLJ
RLJ Lodging
7.95
-0.96
-10.77%
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts
15.39
2.53
19.67%
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT
12.25
-1.21
-8.96%

Pebblebrook Hotel Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Executes Major Debt Refinancing
Positive
Feb 13, 2026

On February 11 and 12, 2026, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust refinanced a significant portion of its capital structure, closing a new $450 million senior unsecured term loan and amending its existing credit agreement. The new facility refinanced a $360 million term loan, extended its maturity to February 2031, and added a $90 million delayed-draw component available through December 15, 2026.

The company also used $40 million of cash to fully repay the Margaritaville Hollywood Beach Resort mortgage due in 2026 and completed the extension of its $650 million senior unsecured revolving credit facility, restoring full capacity and extending availability through October 2029, subject to extension options. Pricing on the term loan and revolver remained tied to SOFR with existing leverage-based margins, while elimination of a 10-basis-point credit spread adjustment lowered annual interest expense.

Following these transactions, Pebblebrook reported that about 89% of its total debt and convertible notes effectively bear fixed rates and roughly 98% is unsecured, with a weighted average interest rate near 4.4%, and it held around $150 million in cash as of February 11, 2026. The refinancing materially extends the company’s debt maturity profile, reduces secured debt, preserves an undrawn $650 million revolver, and provides a clearer funding path to address its remaining December 2026 convertible note maturity, supporting liquidity and balance-sheet flexibility for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEB) stock is a Hold with a $12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pebblebrook Hotel stock, see the PEB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Sets 2026 Executive Pay Framework
Neutral
Feb 9, 2026

On February 5, 2026, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust’s board approved 2026 executive compensation packages that largely mirror 2025, combining base salary, annual cash bonuses and long-term equity awards for CEO Jon E. Bortz and senior executives Raymond D. Martz and Thomas C. Fisher. For 2026, equity remains the largest share of target pay, with 40% of long-term awards in time-vested LTIP or restricted share units and 60% in performance units that vest after a three-year period based on total shareholder return and other metrics.

Annual cash bonuses for 2026 are tied to seven weighted objectives, including adjusted FFO per share, asset dispositions, hotel EBITDA performance versus peer REITs, RevPAR penetration, balance sheet and capital markets execution, sustainability and responsibility goals, and maintenance of strong internal controls. The structure caps overall cash bonus payouts at 200% of target, includes tighter limits if financial control weaknesses emerge, and links long-term performance units to relative and absolute TSR, reinforcing alignment between executive rewards, shareholder returns and disciplined capital allocation.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEB) stock is a Hold with a $12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pebblebrook Hotel stock, see the PEB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Announces Board Refresh and Additions
Positive
Feb 9, 2026

On February 5 and 9, 2026, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust announced the election of veteran real estate investors Nina P. Jones and Bill Bayless to its Board of Trustees, with Jones joining on March 1, 2026 and Bayless expected to join in the fourth quarter of 2026. Jones, a former T. Rowe Price portfolio manager and current director at major S&P 500 REITs, and Bayless, a student housing pioneer and CEO of Maslow Campus Communities, are slated for key board committee roles and equity-based compensation, adding deep securities, M&A and operational expertise to Pebblebrook’s governance bench.

The company simultaneously unveiled a principles-based board refreshment framework, featuring annual board composition reviews, skill-matrix updates and a target of keeping average independent trustee tenure at 12 years or less by the 2027 shareholder meeting. As part of this shift, long-serving trustee Ron E. Jackson will retire at the 2026 annual meeting and another independent trustee is expected to step down by 2027, signaling a structured transition toward a more regularly refreshed, strategically aligned board aimed at supporting long-term shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEB) stock is a Hold with a $12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pebblebrook Hotel stock, see the PEB Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Schedules Upcoming Quarterly Results Release
Neutral
Dec 18, 2025

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust announced on December 18, 2025, that it plans to release its financial and operating results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, after U.S. markets close on February 25, 2026, followed by a quarterly earnings conference call and webcast on February 26, 2026, at 9:00 a.m. Eastern time. The scheduled disclosure and investor call underscore the REIT’s ongoing engagement with shareholders and analysts, providing an upcoming checkpoint on the company’s operating performance and portfolio trends across its U.S. urban and resort lifestyle hotel assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEB) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pebblebrook Hotel stock, see the PEB Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Pebblebrook Hotel Declares Fourth Quarter Dividends
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust announced that its Board of Trustees authorized and declared cash dividends for its common and preferred shares for the fourth quarter of 2025. The declared dividends include $0.01 per common share and varying amounts for its Series E, F, G, and H preferred shares, with payments scheduled for January 15, 2026. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may impact its financial positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEB) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pebblebrook Hotel stock, see the PEB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackM&A Transactions
Pebblebrook Hotel Completes Sale of Chicago Property
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust completed the sale of the 752-room Westin Michigan Avenue Chicago for $72.0 million. The proceeds from this sale will be used to reduce outstanding debt and preferred equity, repurchase common shares, and support other capital allocation priorities. This transaction, along with a previous sale, has allowed the company to reduce its debt by $100 million. Despite the sale, Pebblebrook’s updated fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 outlook remains largely unchanged, as the reduction in interest expenses is expected to offset the loss of hotel-level EBITDA.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEB) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pebblebrook Hotel stock, see the PEB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026