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Pebblebrook Hotel (PEB)
NYSE:PEB
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Pebblebrook Hotel (PEB) AI Stock Analysis

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PEB

Pebblebrook Hotel

(NYSE:PEB)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(2.15% Upside)
Pebblebrook Hotel's overall score reflects robust financial performance with strong revenue growth and improved cash flow, offset by profitability challenges. Technical indicators show mixed signals, and valuation concerns persist with a negative P/E ratio. The recent earnings call was positive, highlighting strong performance and future outlook, but near-term risks remain. Corporate events like dividend declarations add a modest positive influence.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Pebblebrook Hotel reported 4Q EBITDA above its guidance and consensus due to better RevPAR, food and beverage revenues, and margins.
Market Recovery
Pebblebrook Hotel offers recovery potential with limited future renovation disruption.
Market Valuation
The recent sell-off/underperformance and discounted valuation presents an attractive entry point.
Negative Factors
Guidance
The company's 2025 guidance missed consensus expectations.
Macroeconomic Concerns
Pebblebrook Hotel faces multiple headwinds including reduced demand post the LA wildfires and higher expenses.
Revenue Growth Challenges
The impact from the LA wildfires is expected to be a significant headwind to revenue and EBITDA growth.

Pebblebrook Hotel (PEB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pebblebrook Hotel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPebblebrook Hotel Trust (NYSE: PEB) is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) and the largest owner of urban and resort lifestyle hotels in the United States. The Company owns 53 hotels, totaling approximately 13,200 guestrooms across 14 urban and resort markets, with a focus on the west coast gateway cities.
How the Company Makes MoneyPebblebrook Hotel Trust generates revenue primarily through the leasing of its hotel properties to established hotel operators who manage the day-to-day operations of the hotels. The company earns rental income, which is a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, Pebblebrook benefits from hotel management fees, which are charged based on the hotel's performance, including revenue from room bookings, food and beverage sales, and other ancillary services. The company may also realize income from property sales and redevelopment projects that enhance the value of its hotel assets. Strategic partnerships with hotel brands and operators play a crucial role in maximizing occupancy rates and optimizing revenue generation across its portfolio.

Pebblebrook Hotel Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights strong EBITDA performance, efficient cost control, and positive future outlooks, particularly for San Francisco and 2026. However, challenges remain in Los Angeles and Q3 is expected to be weak, influenced by macroeconomic factors. Despite some headwinds, the outlook for 2026 is strong.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Same-Property Hotel EBITDA
Same-property hotel EBITDA totaled $115.8 million for the quarter, $1.8 million ahead of the midpoint, and increased by $2.5 million over the prior year quarter when adjusted for certain factors.
Adjusted EBITDA and FFO Surpass Expectations
Adjusted EBITDA was $117 million, $6.5 million above the midpoint, and adjusted FFO came in at $0.65 per share, $0.06 ahead of the midpoint.
San Francisco Performance Surge
San Francisco led the portfolio with RevPAR climbing a robust 15.2% due to a stronger convention calendar and increased business and leisure travel.
Successful Cost Control Measures
Same-property hotel expenses, excluding fixed costs, rose just 1.7% year-over-year, with energy costs down 2.1% due to efficiency improvements.
Positive Outlook for 2026
Group room nights for 2026 are up nearly 9%, ADR is ahead by almost 4%, and group revenues are up by 13.1%, positioning Pebblebrook for a strong year.
Negative Updates
Los Angeles Performance Challenges
Los Angeles remained a drag on performance with a $2.2 million EBITDA headwind due to a combination of several market-specific issues including media coverage and economic factors.
Pressure on Leisure Rates Due to Shortened Booking Windows
The continued shortening of the booking window for leisure travel is putting near-term pressure on leisure rates and reducing forward visibility.
Weaker Q3 Outlook
Q3 is expected to be the weakest quarter due to macroeconomic uncertainty, with same-property RevPAR projected to decline 1% to 4%.
Company Guidance
In Pebblebrook Hotel Trust's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a strong performance with adjusted EBITDA reaching $117 million, $6.5 million above the midpoint of their guidance. Adjusted FFO was $0.65 per share, exceeding expectations by $0.06. Same-property hotel EBITDA totaled $115.8 million, surpassing the midpoint by $1.8 million. Despite a $2.2 million EBITDA headwind from Los Angeles, the rest of the portfolio compensated for the underperformance. Excluding Los Angeles, same-property total RevPAR increased by 2.7%, with a 4.1% rise in their urban portfolio, backed by a 15.2% RevPAR growth in San Francisco. The company also highlighted a 1.7% rise in same-property hotel expenses year-over-year, with per occupied room expenses decreasing by 0.8%. Pebblebrook plans to continue leveraging AI technologies to improve efficiency and expects favorable macroeconomic conditions to enhance their performance in 2026.

Pebblebrook Hotel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pebblebrook Hotel shows a recovery in revenue and strong cash flow with no debt, but profitability remains a challenge due to negative net profit margins and net losses.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Pebblebrook Hotel has shown a recovery in revenue from the pandemic lows, with a moderate revenue growth rate of 2.35% from 2023 to 2024. However, profitability remains a challenge as indicated by the negative net profit margin of -3.22% in 2024 and a declining EBIT margin, despite a positive EBITDA margin of 6.60%. This mixed performance highlights a need for improved cost management and profitability enhancement.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has a strong balance sheet, evidenced by a lack of total debt and a healthy equity ratio of 47.37% in 2024. The return on equity remains negative due to net losses, but the absence of debt significantly reduces financial risk. The increase in cash reserves and overall equity strength provide stability, although improved profitability is necessary for better ROE.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Pebblebrook Hotel's cash flow is robust, with stable operating cash flow and a significant free cash flow increase from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to accounting profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting solid cash management despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.47B1.45B1.42B1.39B733.04M442.89M
Gross Profit235.84M366.12M354.27M382.28M124.79M-50.87M
EBITDA255.20M313.13M274.58M238.40M84.69M-100.45M
Net Income-4.87M-4.24M-78.02M-84.98M-186.37M-392.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.65B5.69B5.82B6.13B6.26B6.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments256.13M206.65M183.75M41.04M58.52M124.27M
Total Debt0.002.57B2.64B2.71B2.76B2.54B
Total Liabilities2.92B2.91B2.97B3.05B3.10B2.81B
Stockholders Equity2.64B2.70B2.76B3.00B3.16B3.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow414.39M275.00M236.20M162.00M-13.06M-326.79M
Operating Cash Flow331.70M275.00M236.20M278.75M70.77M-201.78M
Investing Cash Flow-236.96M-92.83M142.02M-109.39M-81.57M250.12M
Financing Cash Flow-136.56M-158.22M-236.85M-209.34M-33.25M31.08M

Pebblebrook Hotel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price9.79
Price Trends
50DMA
10.00
Negative
100DMA
9.68
Positive
200DMA
11.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
44.64
Neutral
STOCH
20.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PEB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.15, below the 50-day MA of 10.00, and below the 200-day MA of 11.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PEB.

Pebblebrook Hotel Risk Analysis

Pebblebrook Hotel disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pebblebrook Hotel reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pebblebrook Hotel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.26B20.695.00%4.14%4.81%185.08%
65
Neutral
$2.02B17.324.04%5.11%1.08%-0.02%
63
Neutral
$1.62B28.294.22%5.34%1.72%-3.49%
63
Neutral
$1.71B422.540.96%4.00%0.37%-97.38%
62
Neutral
$2.13B40.241.58%13.13%-3.19%-81.33%
60
Neutral
$1.10B34.432.53%8.53%1.42%-20.13%
54
Neutral
$1.16B-0.81%0.41%2.00%50.70%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
9.79
-2.57
-20.79%
DRH
Diamondrock
7.86
0.26
3.42%
SHO
Sunstone Hotel
9.00
-0.42
-4.46%
RLJ
RLJ Lodging
7.21
-1.21
-14.37%
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts
13.14
0.69
5.54%
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts
10.66
-1.83
-14.65%

Pebblebrook Hotel Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Pebblebrook Hotel to Announce Q2 2025 Results Soon
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust announced on July 1, 2025, that it will release its financial and operating results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025, on July 29, 2025, after the market closes. The company will hold a conference call to discuss these results on July 30, 2025, at 9:00 AM ET, providing stakeholders with insights into its financial performance and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEB) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pebblebrook Hotel stock, see the PEB Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Pebblebrook Hotel Declares Q2 2025 Cash Dividends
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust announced that its Board of Trustees authorized and declared cash dividends for its common and preferred shares for the second quarter of 2025. The dividends, which include $0.01 per common share and varying amounts for different series of preferred shares, are scheduled to be paid on July 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 30, 2025. This announcement reflects Pebblebrook’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders, despite the potential risks and uncertainties in the hotel industry and broader economy.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEB) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pebblebrook Hotel stock, see the PEB Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pebblebrook Hotel Shareholders Approve Equity Plan Amendment
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 23, 2025, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust shareholders approved an amendment to the company’s 2009 Equity Incentive Plan, increasing the number of shares available for equity-based awards by 3,000,000 and extending the award period until June 30, 2036. During the 2025 Annual Meeting, shareholders also voted on the election of trustees, ratification of KPMG LLP as independent accountants, executive compensation, and the amendment to the Equity Incentive Plan, reflecting strategic moves to enhance corporate governance and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEB) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pebblebrook Hotel stock, see the PEB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025