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Pebblebrook Hotel (PEB)
NYSE:PEB
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Pebblebrook Hotel (PEB) AI Stock Analysis

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PEB

Pebblebrook Hotel

(NYSE:PEB)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
â–¼(-0.38% Downside)
Pebblebrook Hotel's overall stock score reflects a challenging financial environment with mixed results. The most significant factor is the financial performance, which shows profitability concerns and high leverage. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while the valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provided some positive insights, highlighting strong operational performance and an optimistic outlook for 2026.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing the company to manage debt maturities and invest in growth opportunities.
Operational Efficiency
Efficient cost management supports margin sustainability, enabling the company to maintain profitability even in challenging market conditions.
Redevelopment Program Success
Successful redevelopment projects enhance property value and revenue potential, strengthening the company's competitive position in key markets.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, especially in a rising interest rate environment, potentially impacting long-term stability.
Profitability Concerns
Ongoing profitability issues may hinder the company's ability to reinvest in growth and meet financial obligations, affecting long-term viability.
Decline in ADR and RevPAR
Decreasing room rates and revenue per available room indicate pricing pressures, which could impact revenue growth and profitability over time.

Pebblebrook Hotel (PEB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pebblebrook Hotel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on the acquisition, ownership, and redevelopment of upscale and luxury hotels in urban markets across the United States. The company primarily invests in boutique and lifestyle hotels, catering to both leisure and business travelers. Pebblebrook's portfolio includes properties operated under various well-known brands, providing guests with high-quality accommodations and services.
How the Company Makes MoneyPebblebrook Hotel Trust generates revenue primarily through the leasing of its hotel properties to established hotel operators who manage the day-to-day operations of the hotels. The company earns rental income, which is a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, Pebblebrook benefits from hotel management fees, which are charged based on the hotel's performance, including revenue from room bookings, food and beverage sales, and other ancillary services. The company may also realize income from property sales and redevelopment projects that enhance the value of its hotel assets. Strategic partnerships with hotel brands and operators play a crucial role in maximizing occupancy rates and optimizing revenue generation across its portfolio.

Pebblebrook Hotel Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong operational performance with impressive cost management and growth in key markets like San Francisco. However, challenges such as a decline in ADR, weakness in certain urban markets, and the impact of the government shutdown were noted. The outlook for 2026 remains optimistic with expected macroeconomic improvements and major events.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operational Performance
Same-property hotel EBITDA totaled $105.4 million, in line with our midpoint, while adjusted EBITDA came in at $99.2 million, exceeding our midpoint by $2.2 million. Adjusted FFO per share was $0.51, $0.03 above our midpoint.
San Francisco Market Strength
San Francisco RevPAR rose 8.3% in Q3 on a 690 basis point jump in occupancy, driving EBITDA higher by 10.9%. Growth was fueled by an active convention calendar and a continued recovery in both business travel and leisure demand.
Successful Cost Management
Same-property hotel expenses before fixed costs rose just 0.4% year-over-year, and on a per occupied room basis, expenses declined about 2%.
Positive Outlook for 2026
Expectations for 2026 are optimistic due to a favorable macroeconomic setup, low supply growth, and significant events like the World Cup and America's 250th anniversary celebrations.
Redevelopment Program Success
Properties like Newport Harbor Island Resort and Jekyll Island Club Resort showed significant growth, with Newport Harbor RevPAR jumping 29% and total RevPAR surging 35.9% versus pre-renovation performance in 2023.
Negative Updates
Decline in ADR and RevPAR
Same-property occupancy increased nearly 190 basis points, while ADR declined 5.4%, resulting in a 3.1% decline in RevPAR and a 1.5% drop in same-property total RevPAR.
Weakness in Washington, D.C. and Los Angeles
Washington, D.C. had a RevPAR decline of 16.4% due to reduced government travel demand. Los Angeles RevPAR declined 10.4%, driven by competitive pricing and disruptions from ICE activity and National Guard deployments.
Impact of Government Shutdown
The ongoing government shutdown has led to reduced government travel and cancellations, affecting overall demand.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust reported robust performance metrics despite external challenges. The company achieved a same-property hotel EBITDA of $105.4 million and adjusted EBITDA of $99.2 million, surpassing its midpoint by $2.2 million. Adjusted Funds From Operations (FFO) per share was $0.51, exceeding expectations by $0.03. The quarter saw a nearly 190 basis point increase in same-property occupancy, although Average Daily Rate (ADR) dropped by 5.4%, leading to a 3.1% decline in Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR). Notably, San Francisco and Chicago outperformed, with San Francisco's RevPAR rising by 8.3% and driving a 10.9% increase in EBITDA. Portfolio-wide, same-property out-of-room revenues grew by 1.7%, bolstered by strong event space utilization and elevated food and beverage performance. On the expense side, same-property hotel costs before fixed expenses rose just 0.4% year-over-year, with per-occupied-room expenses decreasing by approximately 2%, showcasing the company's efficiency improvements. The company also highlighted a successful $400 million convertible notes offering and plans to leverage strong free cash flow and cash on hand to address upcoming debt maturities.

Pebblebrook Hotel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pebblebrook Hotel's financial performance is mixed. While revenue growth is modest, profitability is a concern with a negative net profit margin and declining gross profit margin. The balance sheet shows high leverage, which could limit financial flexibility, but cash flow generation is improving, providing some cushion against operational challenges.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Pebblebrook Hotel's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a slight revenue growth of 0.71%, but the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -1.48%. The gross profit margin has decreased to 20.27% from 25.19% in the previous annual report, indicating rising costs or pricing pressures. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, suggesting challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a stable but leveraged position. The debt-to-equity ratio is slightly above 1, indicating high leverage, which could pose risks if interest rates rise. However, the equity ratio remains healthy, and the company has managed to maintain a stable asset base. Return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some positive trends. The free cash flow has grown by 26.02% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 3.35, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the reliance on free cash flow to cover net income highlights the need for improved profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.46B1.45B1.42B1.39B733.04M442.89M
Gross Profit243.38M366.12M354.27M382.28M124.79M-50.87M
EBITDA196.12M313.13M274.58M337.94M84.69M-100.45M
Net Income-108.74M-4.24M-78.02M-87.22M-184.91M-392.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.55B5.69B5.82B6.13B6.26B6.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments223.16M206.65M183.75M41.04M58.52M124.27M
Total Debt0.002.57B2.64B2.71B2.76B2.58B
Total Liabilities2.95B2.91B2.97B3.05B3.10B2.81B
Stockholders Equity2.51B2.70B2.76B3.00B3.16B3.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow415.86M275.00M236.20M162.00M-13.06M-326.79M
Operating Cash Flow287.70M275.00M236.20M278.75M70.77M-201.78M
Investing Cash Flow-78.92M-92.83M142.02M-109.39M-81.57M250.12M
Financing Cash Flow-120.93M-158.22M-236.85M-209.34M-33.25M31.08M

Pebblebrook Hotel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.54
Price Trends
50DMA
11.11
Negative
100DMA
10.66
Negative
200DMA
10.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
41.42
Neutral
STOCH
18.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PEB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.67, below the 50-day MA of 11.11, and below the 200-day MA of 10.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PEB.

Pebblebrook Hotel Risk Analysis

Pebblebrook Hotel disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pebblebrook Hotel reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pebblebrook Hotel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
$1.65B28.874.22%5.72%1.72%-3.49%
63
Neutral
$2.64B15.165.41%8.98%0.57%-13.58%
61
Neutral
$1.70B419.720.96%3.88%0.37%-97.38%
58
Neutral
$1.03B32.472.53%8.75%1.42%-20.13%
58
Neutral
$1.22B22.894.58%4.21%4.29%141.01%
52
Neutral
$1.22B-17.90-3.74%0.38%0.99%-360.58%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
10.42
-2.79
-21.12%
DRH
Diamondrock
8.21
-0.53
-6.06%
SHO
Sunstone Hotel
9.28
-1.04
-10.08%
RLJ
RLJ Lodging
6.86
-1.95
-22.13%
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts
13.05
-1.31
-9.12%
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT
11.25
-3.20
-22.15%

Pebblebrook Hotel Corporate Events

Stock Buyback
Pebblebrook Hotel Announces New Share Buyback Program
Neutral
Oct 27, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Pebblebrook Hotel‘s Board authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $150 million, terminating the previous program. This initiative allows the company to buy back shares at its discretion, based on various market and economic factors, without a set expiration date, potentially impacting the company’s stock value and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEB) stock is a Hold with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pebblebrook Hotel stock, see the PEB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
Pebblebrook Hotel Announces $400M Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

On September 16, 2025, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust announced a private offering of $400 million in 1.625% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030, which closed on September 18, 2025. The proceeds were used to repurchase $400 million of its 1.75% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026 and approximately 4.3 million common shares. This strategic financial maneuver aims to manage the company’s debt profile and potentially reduce dilution of common shares, enhancing its market positioning and financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEB) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pebblebrook Hotel stock, see the PEB Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Pebblebrook Hotel Declares Cash Dividends for Q3 2025
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust announced that its Board of Trustees has authorized and declared cash dividends for its common and preferred shares for the quarter ending September 30, 2025. The dividends, which include $0.01 per common share and varying amounts for preferred shares, are set to be paid on October 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of September 30, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may impact its financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEB) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pebblebrook Hotel stock, see the PEB Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Pebblebrook Hotel Announces Upcoming Financial Results Release
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust announced on September 2, 2025, that it will release its financial and operating results for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, on November 5, 2025, after market close. The company will hold a conference call on November 6, 2025, to discuss these results, which may provide insights into its operational performance and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEB) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pebblebrook Hotel stock, see the PEB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025