tiprankstipranks
Reed's, Inc. (REED)
XASE:REED
US Market
Want to see REED full AI Analyst Report?

Reed's (REED) AI Stock Analysis

329 Followers

Top Page

REED

Reed's

(NYSE MKT:REED)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$0.80
Action:Upgraded
Date:07/30/26
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance (shrinking revenue, sharply lower margins, large losses, and heavy cash burn with elevated leverage) and a clearly bearish price trend (trading below all major moving averages). Valuation is constrained by negative earnings, while the earnings call provides only a modest offset due to planned corrective actions and guidance for sequential improvement despite significant Q1 deterioration.
Positive Factors
Distribution Footprint
A broad national retail footprint across 32,000+ stores is a durable commercial asset that supports sustained shelf presence, repeat purchase and negotiation leverage with retailers. Maintaining and rebuilding velocity in these outlets can underpin revenue recovery and protect branded market share over months.
Negative Factors
Cash Burn & Cash Flow
Sustained multi‑million dollar negative operating and free cash flow is a structural risk that erodes liquidity and forces reliance on external financing. Over 2–6 months this limits the company’s ability to invest in distribution, marketing or working capital and raises refinancing and solvency pressure if losses persist.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Distribution Footprint
A broad national retail footprint across 32,000+ stores is a durable commercial asset that supports sustained shelf presence, repeat purchase and negotiation leverage with retailers. Maintaining and rebuilding velocity in these outlets can underpin revenue recovery and protect branded market share over months.
Read all positive factors

Reed's Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Cases Breakdown
Cases Breakdown
Shows how case shipments are distributed across product lines, pack sizes, flavors and sales channels (retail, e‑commerce, foodservice). Reveals which SKUs and channels drive volume and margins, highlights shifts in consumer preference or promo dependence, and flags inventory or distribution issues that can pressure revenue and profitability.
Chart InsightsReed's-branded cases have become the resilient core, recovering after a 2024 trough and powering recent national distribution wins, while Vigil’s shows a steady secular decline and non-core/candy SKUs have effectively been exited. That pattern supports management’s plan to restage the portfolio and move to cans for cost savings, but volume stability hasn’t yet fixed profitability—gross margin is slipping and SG&A is rising—so operational improvements must outpace declining SKU complexity to convert case gains into durable earnings.
Data provided by:The Fly

Reed's (REED) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Reed's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Reed's, Inc. (symbol: REED) operates as a manufacturer and distributor of premium, all-natural handcrafted beverages. These artisanal concoctions, part of the craft specialty foods sector, are available across a wide geographical footprint, spanni...
How the Company Makes Money
Reed's primarily makes money by selling branded beverages to wholesale customers (e.g., distributors and retailers) who then sell the products to end consumers. Revenue is generated from product sales across its beverage portfolio—most notably gin...

Reed's Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The quarter showed substantial operational and financial deterioration: sizable revenue decline (~29%), severe gross margin compression (34%→10%), widened net loss and negative EBITDA, and a significant reduction in cash. Management has taken multiple corrective actions (inventory controls, cost reductions, expanded sales force, e‑commerce initiatives, Amazon restructuring, pricing actions, and a new COO) and reports early signs of improvement, but the negative financial trends and execution issues in Q1 are material and outweigh the early remediation progress.
Positive Updates
Actions Taken to Stabilize Operations
Management implemented a broad corrective plan in early 2026 including enhanced inventory controls, headcount reductions, marketing SG&A cuts, postponement of a brand restage, and appointment of a new COO (Damian Warshall) to improve execution and profitability.
Negative Updates
Sharp Revenue Decline
Net sales for Q1 2026 were $7.1M versus $10.0M a year ago, a decline of $2.9M or approximately -29% year-over-year, driven by lower volumes with recurring national customers and higher promotional/other allowances.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Actions Taken to Stabilize Operations
Management implemented a broad corrective plan in early 2026 including enhanced inventory controls, headcount reductions, marketing SG&A cuts, postponement of a brand restage, and appointment of a new COO (Damian Warshall) to improve execution and profitability.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management characterized Q1 as transitional and guided that corrective actions should drive sequential quarter‑to‑quarter improvement — specifically in net sales, gross margin and net loss — with early margin improvement already observed and management expecting to be “back on the right track” by the end of Q2. Q1 reported metrics: net sales $7.1M (vs $10.0M YoY), gross profit $0.7M (vs $3.4M), gross margin 10% (vs 34%), delivery & handling down 31% to $1.1M and 16% of sales or $2.57 per case (vs $3.17/ case), SG&A $5.8M (vs $3.5M), net loss $6.5M or $(0.55)/share (vs $2.0M or $(0.27)), EBITDA negative $6.2M (vs negative $1.7M), cash used in operations $5.8M (vs $5.4M), cash $4.6M at 3/31/26 (vs $10.4M at 12/31/25) and total debt $9.2M net of deferred fees. To support the guidance management has liquidated tens of thousands of cases of low‑margin inventory, exited an Amazon arrangement costing ~ $1.0M annually, implemented pricing/COGS and SG&A reductions, reinstated heritage glass and Zero Sugar cans, launched retail media/e‑commerce programs (Instacart, walmart.com, albertsons.com, kroger.com) and retained a >80‑person commission sales agency to accelerate SKU placements and promotions.

Reed's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials remain very weak: TTM revenue is down (-8.5%) amid multi-year contraction, gross margin fell sharply to ~13.7%, and profitability is deeply negative (TTM net margin around -65%). Cash flow is a major risk with operating cash flow about -$17.5M and free cash flow about -$17.7M. Balance sheet flexibility is limited with elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~3.7x) and thin equity despite improvement versus prior negative-equity years.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
12
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.18M34.06M37.95M44.71M53.04M49.60M
Gross Profit4.26M6.96M11.38M9.71M12.11M13.60M
EBITDA-19.05M-14.57M-7.38M-9.28M-14.61M-14.96M
Net Income-20.27M-15.85M-13.15M-15.52M-20.06M-16.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.69M23.34M25.14M18.88M25.49M26.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.58M10.42M10.39M603.00K533.00K49.00K
Total Debt10.04M10.03M10.41M27.58M21.89M10.78M
Total Liabilities15.99M14.19M18.49M38.06M33.96M22.12M
Stockholders Equity2.69M9.15M6.65M-19.18M-8.47M4.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.72M-17.32M-6.28M-4.35M-15.44M-17.92M
Operating Cash Flow-17.52M-17.04M-6.12M-4.27M-15.43M-17.59M
Investing Cash Flow-179.00K-253.00K-167.00K-20.00K-2.00K-335.00K
Financing Cash Flow17.42M17.32M16.08M4.36M15.92M17.38M

Reed's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
100DMA
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
RSI
STOCH
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REED, the sentiment is undefined. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of ―, equal to the 50-day MA of ―, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of ― indicates undefined momentum. The RSI at ― is undefined, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of ― is undefined, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a undefined sentiment for REED.

Reed's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison

Reed's Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Reed’s Stockholders Approve 2026 Equity Incentive Plan
Positive
Jun 11, 2026
On June 10, 2026, Reed’s, Inc. held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, where shareholders approved the Reed’s, Inc. 2026 Equity Incentive Plan that had been adopted by the board on March 31, 2026. The plan took effect immediately...
Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Reed’s Faces NYSE American Noncompliance and Delisting Risk
Negative
Jun 3, 2026
Reed’s, Inc., a U.S. craft beverage producer specializing in natural ginger-based and premium sodas under the Reed’s, Virgil’s and Flying Cauldron brands, distributes its products in over 32,000 stores nationwide. The company pos...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2026