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Reed's Inc (REED)
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Reed's (REED) AI Stock Analysis

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REED

Reed's

(OTC:REED)

Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-4.76% Downside)
Reed's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, with significant declines in revenue and profitability. While technical analysis and corporate events provide some neutral to slightly positive aspects, the negative valuation and mixed earnings call sentiment further weigh down the score.

Reed's (REED) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Reed's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionReed's Inc. is a leading beverage company specializing in the production of high-quality, natural ginger-based drinks. Founded in 1987, the company operates primarily in the non-alcoholic beverage sector, offering a diverse range of products including ginger ales, sodas, and kombucha. Reed's is known for its commitment to using real ginger and natural ingredients, catering to health-conscious consumers and those seeking authentic flavors. The company markets its products under the Reed's brand as well as other labels, expanding its reach in both retail and online channels.
How the Company Makes MoneyReed's generates revenue primarily through the sale of its beverage products, which are distributed across various retail outlets, including supermarkets, health food stores, and online platforms. The company leverages both direct-to-consumer sales and partnerships with distributors to reach a wider market. Key revenue streams include sales from their flagship ginger ales and other flavored sodas, as well as kombucha products that appeal to the growing trend of fermented beverages. Reed's also benefits from strategic partnerships with retailers and online marketplaces, enhancing its visibility and availability to consumers. Additionally, the company may engage in promotional campaigns and collaborations that drive brand awareness and consumer interest, further contributing to its earnings.

Reed's Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Reed's made strategic appointments and saw growth in its functional soda line, the significant decrease in net sales, gross profit, and increased costs highlight ongoing challenges. The sentiment is mixed, with notable efforts to address issues, but financial performance remains a concern.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Appointment of Vice President of On-Premise Sales
In July, Reed's appointed Rachel Fox-Greenwood as Vice President of On-Premise Sales to lead expansion into food service and convenience channels. Her extensive experience in market expansion and strategic partnerships is expected to drive growth.
Functional Soda Line Expansion
Reed's functional soda line has gained over 9,000 points of distribution since its April launch, with national distribution in Sprouts and placements at Kroger, Giant Carlisle, and others. The line is seeing encouraging traction, particularly with the Root Beer and Berry Bubbly SKUs.
Key Milestone at Costco
Reed's secured approval for the Winter Ginger Ale Variety Pack at Costco, with anticipated product sales in the second half of 2025 reaching the 7-figure range.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Sales
Net sales for Q2 2025 were $9.5 million, down from $11.9 million in the year-ago quarter, primarily due to lower volumes with recurring national customers.
Decline in Gross Profit and Margin
Gross profit dropped to $0.8 million from $3.8 million, with gross margin falling to 8% from 32% due to $1.6 million in inventory write-offs.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses rose to $6.6 million from $4.5 million, largely driven by contract proceeding costs and investments in personnel and marketing.
Significant Net Loss
Reed's reported a net loss of $6.0 million or negative $0.13 per share, compared to $3.2 million or negative $0.77 per share in Q2 2024.
Higher Delivery and Handling Costs
Delivery and handling costs increased to 17% of net sales, up from 12% in the previous year, due to efforts to rebalance inventory across regions.
Company Guidance
During Reed's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance focusing on several key operational improvements and strategic initiatives aimed at bolstering long-term growth and profitability. Despite a decline in net sales to $9.5 million from $11.9 million in the previous year, Reed's is investing in streamlining operations, refining its marketing approach, and expanding into underpenetrated channels such as convenience and food service. The company highlighted its new Reed's functional soda line, which has achieved over 9,000 distribution points since its launch and is gaining positive consumer feedback. Efforts to enhance supply chain efficiency and improve inventory management were also discussed, including a $1.6 million inventory write-off and a shift from glass to cans for cost savings. Financially, gross margin excluding write-offs was 25%, and the company reported a net loss of $6.0 million. Looking forward, Reed's aims to restore placements lost due to past operational challenges and drive sales growth within its core product lines, supported by ongoing product innovation and strategic personnel appointments.

Reed's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Reed's faces financial challenges with declining revenues and persistent losses, despite improvements in gross margin and liquidity. The balance sheet shows improved equity but high leverage risks. Cash flow remains a concern, requiring strategic financial management to ensure sustainability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Reed's shows a declining revenue trend with a 15.1% decrease from $44.71 million in 2023 to $37.95 million in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margin improved from 21.7% to 30% in the same period, but net profit margins remain negative due to persistent net losses, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
The company has improved its equity position from negative to positive, with stockholders' equity reaching $6.65 million in the TTM. However, the debt-to-equity ratio remains concerning, and the equity ratio is relatively low, indicating potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow improved but remains negative, reflecting ongoing operational challenges. Free cash flow remains negative, although Reed's has reduced its net debt significantly, improving liquidity but still indicating cash flow management issues.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.95M44.71M53.04M49.60M41.62M
Gross Profit11.38M9.71M12.11M13.60M12.77M
EBITDA-7.38M-9.28M-14.73M-14.96M-8.67M
Net Income-13.15M-15.52M-19.11M-17.60M-11.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.14M18.88M25.49M26.32M20.06M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.39M603.00K533.00K49.00K595.00K
Total Debt10.41M27.58M21.89M10.78M1.46M
Total Liabilities18.49M38.06M33.96M22.12M9.65M
Stockholders Equity6.65M-19.18M-8.47M4.20M10.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.28M-4.35M-15.44M-17.92M-9.66M
Operating Cash Flow-6.12M-4.27M-15.43M-17.59M-9.50M
Investing Cash Flow-167.00K-20.00K-2.00K-335.00K-161.00K
Financing Cash Flow16.08M4.36M15.92M17.38M9.34M

Reed's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.05
Price Trends
50DMA
1.02
Positive
100DMA
1.21
Negative
200DMA
1.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
50.84
Neutral
STOCH
49.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REED, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.03, above the 50-day MA of 1.02, and below the 200-day MA of 1.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for REED.

Reed's Risk Analysis

Reed's disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Reed's reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Reed's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.93B33.2724.35%11.97%16.10%
72
Outperform
$3.41B12.2024.18%7.43%17.01%11.63%
67
Neutral
$4.16B22.2537.23%0.81%5.51%
63
Neutral
$20.95B14.50-3.82%3.12%2.72%-11.24%
54
Neutral
$215.85M-22.11%-1.08%54.50%
52
Neutral
$514.68M-114.20%4.47%42.22%
42
Neutral
$50.13M71.20%-19.95%64.37%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REED
Reed's
1.05
-0.28
-21.05%
AKO.A
Embotelladora Andina SA
19.36
5.35
38.19%
FIZZ
National Beverage
44.87
-0.97
-2.12%
OTLY
Oatly Group
17.28
-1.05
-5.73%
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
3.03
1.91
170.54%
COCO
Vita Coco Company
36.02
11.13
44.72%

Reed's Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Reed’s Reports Q2 2025 Financial Decline
Negative
Aug 12, 2025

Reed’s, Inc. reported a decline in financial performance for the second quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, with net sales dropping from $11.9 million to $9.5 million and a net loss increasing to $6.0 million. Despite these challenges, the company is focusing on strengthening its commercial execution and positioning for long-term growth by investing in sales talent, marketing, and channel development. Reed’s is also optimizing its product portfolio, which led to $1.6 million in inventory write-offs, to improve inventory management and focus on high-demand products. The company aims to expand distribution and enhance retail availability to drive future growth and profitability.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Reed’s Appoints CFO as Principal Accounting Officer
Neutral
Jul 8, 2025

Reed’s, Inc. announced the reassignment of its Chief Accounting Officer, Joann Tinnelly, with her duties being redistributed among other personnel, while Doug McCurdy, the Chief Financial Officer, will take on the role of principal accounting officer starting July 7, 2025. Additionally, on July 1, 2025, Reed’s, Inc. settled a previous engagement with an investment bank by agreeing to pay a total of $1.6 million, ensuring a mutual release and waiver from any liabilities or obligations under the prior agreement.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Reed’s Boosts Capital with New Stock Sale
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Reed’s, Inc. issued and sold 3,225,806 shares of common stock for approximately $3,000,000, with D&D Source of Life Holding, Ltd. as the lead investor. The transaction aims to bolster Reed’s working capital and support corporate growth initiatives, including international expansion and strategic investments.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2025