tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Red Violet Inc (RDVT)
NASDAQ:RDVT

Red Violet (RDVT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
149 Followers

Top Page

RDVT

Red Violet

(NASDAQ:RDVT)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$51.00
▲(17.38% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/05/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, low leverage, and improving cash generation) and a constructive earnings update showing continued growth and profitability gains. These positives are tempered by a weaker technical trend (below key longer-term moving averages with negative MACD) and a high valuation (P/E ~60.8) that leaves less room for execution missteps.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage and steadily growing equity (from $43.3M in 2020 to $100.9M in 2025) provide durable financial flexibility for product investment, buybacks, or downturns. A strong capital base reduces refinancing and solvency risk, supporting multi‑year execution of strategy.
Robust Cash Generation
Consistent and growing operating and free cash flow (FCF ~ $28.8M in 2025) underpins self-funded R&D and go‑to‑market investments while enabling buybacks. Persistent cash conversion strengthens earnings quality and supports sustainable capital allocation over the next several years.
Proprietary Platform & AI Investment
A proprietary entity resolution framework and targeted AI investments create structural differentiation in identity intelligence. Cloud-native architecture aids scalability and sticky integrations, increasing switching costs and enabling higher-margin, platform-based recurring revenue.
Negative Factors
Vertical Exposure: Real Estate
Exposure to the real estate vertical leaves revenue sensitive to housing affordability and interest-rate driven activity. Persistent weakness in that vertical can pressure growth and necessitate further diversification or deeper penetration in non‑housing use cases to sustain long‑term revenue.
Slight Retention Weakening
A decline in gross retention, even modest, signals potential softening in renewal dynamics or increased churn risk as larger customers negotiate terms. Over time, lower retention raises required new‑sales intensity and can slow durable ARR expansion if not addressed.
Historical Earnings & FCF Variability
Although recent years show stronger cash conversion, past volatility in free cash flow relative to earnings reflects working-capital and investment swings. This variability increases forecasting risk and could amplify stress if growth slows or if investments temporarily compress margins.

Red Violet (RDVT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Red Violet Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRed Violet, Inc., a software and services company, specializes in proprietary technologies and applying analytical capabilities to deliver identity intelligence in the United States. It offers idiCORE, an investigative solution used to address various organizational challenges, which include due diligence, risk mitigation, identity authentication, and regulatory compliance; and FOREWARN, an app-based solution that provides instant knowledge before face-to-face engagement with a consumer, as well as helps professionals to identify and mitigate risk. The company serves financial services, insurance, healthcare, retail, and telecommunication companies; law enforcement and government agencies; and collections, corporate security, and investigative firms, as well as solutions used for purposes, such as risk mitigation, due diligence, fraud detection and prevention, regulatory compliance, and customer acquisition. It markets its products and services through value-added distributors, resellers, and strategic partners; and trade shows and seminars, advertising, public relations, distribution of sales literature, and product specifications and ongoing communication with prospective customers, distributors, resellers, strategic partners, and installed base of current customers, as well as through direct sales. Red Violet, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyRed Violet generates revenue through a subscription-based model, charging clients for access to its data analytics platform and services. Key revenue streams include fees for identity verification services, background checks, and ongoing data analytics support. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with financial institutions and other industry players, which can enhance its service offerings and expand its client base. Additionally, Red Violet may derive income from one-time service fees for custom data solutions or consulting services tailored to specific client needs.

Red Violet Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong set of operating and financial achievements: record quarterly and annual revenue, expanded margins, large adjusted EBITDA improvement, increased adjusted net income and growth in cash and customer cohorts. Management emphasized durable competitive advantages via a proprietary, cloud-native identity platform and strategic AI investments. The main negatives were modest softness in the IDI real estate vertical (excluding FOREWARN), a small sequential dip in quarterly free cash flow, higher personnel-driven operating expenses (largely seasonal year-end compensation), slightly lower gross retention (-1 ppt), and limited immediate revenue contribution from some recent large enterprise wins. On balance, the company delivered broad-based momentum, improving unit economics and expanding high-value customer relationships while continuing to invest for growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Q4 Revenue and Strong YoY Growth
Revenue for the quarter was a record $23.4 million, up 20% year-over-year, and full-year revenue was $90.3 million, up 20% versus 2024.
Outstanding Profitability and Margin Expansion
Record adjusted gross profit for the quarter was $19.5 million with adjusted gross margin of 83% (quarter); management reported full-year adjusted gross margin expanded to ~84%. Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 rose 33% to $5.9 million with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 25%; full-year adjusted EBITDA was $31 million with a 34% adjusted EBITDA margin.
Strong Adjusted Net Income and EPS
Adjusted net income for the quarter increased 53% to $3.1 million, resulting in adjusted earnings of $0.21 per diluted share.
Robust Free Cash Flow and Cash Position
Generated $3.7 million of free cash flow in Q4 and $18.2 million for full-year 2025 (up from $14.4 million in 2024). Cash and cash equivalents increased to $43.6 million from $36.5 million year-over-year.
Customer and User Growth
IDI billable customer base reached 10,022 (added 169 sequentially). FOREWARN added 17,809 users in Q4 to 390,018 total users. Over 620 REALTOR Associations are contracted to use FOREWARN.
Expansion of High-Value Customer Cohort
Number of customers contributing more than $100,000 in annual revenue rose to 127 in 2025 from 96 in 2024 (an increase of 31 customers, ~32%). Management highlighted multiple enterprise pipeline opportunities including payroll processor and toll authority wins with potential to scale to multimillion-dollar relationships over time.
Strategic Product and AI Investments
Continued targeted investments in data science, product development and go-to-market; proprietary IRON entity resolution framework and cloud-native AI-enabled platform emphasized as durable competitive advantages and drivers of deeper customer integration.
Share Repurchase Activity and Balance Sheet Discipline
Purchased 611,733 shares to date at an average price of $22.26; repurchased 57,812 shares at an average $44.01 through Feb 27, 2026, with $16.4 million remaining under the repurchase program. Current liabilities declined to $7.9 million from $10.3 million, supporting improved short-term balance sheet metrics.
Negative Updates
Real Estate Vertical Softness (Excluding FOREWARN)
IDI's real estate vertical (excluding FOREWARN) declined modestly year-over-year as elevated home prices and higher interest rates constrained affordability and reduced housing activity.
Quarterly Free Cash Flow Dip
Free cash flow in Q4 was $3.7 million, down from $4.4 million in the same period last year (approximately -15.9% year-over-year for the quarter), despite full-year FCF growth.
Rising Personnel and Operating Costs
Personnel-related and other operating expenses increased: cost of revenue (ex D&A) rose 12% to $3.9 million; sales & marketing increased 9% to $5.3 million; general & administrative rose 18% to $9.8 million (driven by year-end incentive compensation); depreciation & amortization increased 12% to $2.8 million.
Retention and Contract Metrics Slightly Weakened
Gross revenue retention remained strong at 95% but declined 1 percentage point year-over-year, a modest deterioration in renewal dynamics.
Limited Near-Term Revenue from Recent Large Wins
Recent enterprise wins (e.g., payroll processor, toll authority) contributed only minimal revenue in Q4; the payroll processor's contractual minimum commitment does not ramp meaningfully until 2026, so near-term revenue impact was limited.
Year-End Sales & Marketing Churn and Headcount Variability
Sales and marketing headcount showed end-of-year churn as lower-performing reps were removed; management described an ebb-and-flow hiring pattern with modest net hires (~30 team members in 2025), which may temporarily impact go-to-market capacity during transitions.
Company Guidance
Management did not provide formal 2026 guidance but said they expect continued “healthy top‑line expansion” and to further reaccelerate revenue growth while investing in product, AI and automation; they framed that outlook with 2025 metrics: full‑year revenue up 20% to $90.3M, adjusted gross profit $75.4M (adjusted gross margin expanded to 84% for the year; Q4 margin 83%), adjusted EBITDA $31.0M (FY margin 34%; Q4 adjusted EBITDA $5.9M and 25% margin), Q4 adjusted net income $3.1M (up 53%) and adjusted EPS $0.21, Q4 free cash flow $3.7M and FY free cash flow $18.2M, cash $43.6M, current assets $56.5M/current liabilities $7.9M, IDI billable customers 10,022 (+169 sequential), FOREWARN users 390,018 (+17,809) with 620+ REALTOR associations contracted, 127 customers >$100k (vs 96 in 2024), plus share repurchases of 611,733 shares to date (57,812 bought recently at $44.01 avg) with $16.4M remaining — but no numeric revenue or margin targets were given for 2026.

Red Violet Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by solid multi-year revenue growth, high and improving margins, very low leverage, and notably stronger operating/free-cash-flow generation in the last two years. Main offsets are earlier-period profitability volatility and some historical variability in free-cash-flow conversion.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has scaled meaningfully from $34.6M (2020) to $90.3M (2025), with 2025 showing a re-acceleration in growth (4.4 vs. ~0.25 in 2024). Profitability also improved: net margin rose to ~14.6% in 2025 from ~9.3% in 2024, and EBITDA margin expanded to ~28.0% (from ~23.3%). Strength is strong gross margin consistently above ~75% since 2021 and improving operating leverage. Key weakness is historical earnings volatility (losses in 2020 and negative EBIT in 2020–2021) and an unusually high 2023 net margin (~22.5%) versus modest EBIT margin (~4.2%), suggesting profits have been less consistent than top-line growth at times.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively financed with very low leverage: debt-to-equity remains ~0.02–0.03 in recent years (2025 ~0.028). Equity has grown steadily ($43.3M in 2020 to $100.9M in 2025) alongside asset growth ($52.0M to $112.0M), indicating a strengthening capital base. Returns on equity improved versus early years, reaching ~13.0% in 2025 (up from ~8.1% in 2024), though it was stronger in 2023 (~15.7%) and weak/negative in 2020–2022, highlighting some variability in efficiency despite the strong balance sheet.
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
Cash generation is a clear positive. Operating cash flow increased to $29.3M in 2025 (from $24.0M in 2024 and $15.1M in 2023), and free cash flow was strong at $28.8M in 2025 with robust growth (~20.3). Free cash flow closely matched net income in 2024–2025 (~0.99 and ~0.98), supporting earnings quality, and cash flow relative to reported profits is healthy (coverage ~3.73 in 2025 vs ~2.32 in 2024). The main weakness is historical variability in free cash flow conversion (notably 2023 free cash flow to net income ~0.39 and lower levels in 2021–2022), indicating occasional working-capital or investment swings.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue90.25M75.19M60.20M53.32M44.02M
Gross Profit75.58M61.19M47.13M41.11M32.83M
EBITDA23.81M17.48M10.86M7.04M4.08M
Net Income13.15M7.00M13.53M616.00K655.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets112.01M98.53M92.99M77.41M74.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments43.56M36.50M32.03M31.81M34.26M
Total Debt2.79M2.00M2.57M1.29M1.91M
Total Liabilities11.09M11.90M6.88M6.32M4.95M
Stockholders Equity100.93M86.63M86.11M71.09M69.43M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.79M23.79M5.92M3.63M3.70M
Operating Cash Flow29.35M23.96M15.07M12.46M8.95M
Investing Cash Flow-11.16M-9.57M-9.15M-8.83M-5.24M
Financing Cash Flow-11.14M-9.92M-5.70M-6.08M17.60M

Red Violet Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price43.45
Price Trends
50DMA
46.75
Negative
100DMA
50.64
Negative
200DMA
49.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.30
Negative
RSI
46.43
Neutral
STOCH
29.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RDVT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 43.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.87, below the 50-day MA of 46.75, and below the 200-day MA of 49.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RDVT.

Red Violet Risk Analysis

Red Violet disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Red Violet reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Red Violet Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$613.08M60.7713.47%22.27%117.93%
69
Neutral
$700.62M17.458.24%3.62%-20.45%
64
Neutral
$678.61M-28.39-8.42%6.54%-19.17%
62
Neutral
$542.77M180.364.70%-4.42%603.17%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
51
Neutral
$316.80M4.29-27.49%-7.43%61.36%
49
Neutral
$183.08M-4.0537.36%-0.14%21.60%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RDVT
Red Violet
43.45
6.63
18.01%
DOMO
Domo
4.38
-3.67
-45.59%
BMBL
Bumble
2.81
-2.01
-41.70%
VTEX
VTEX
4.05
-0.34
-7.74%
RSKD
Riskified
4.45
-0.21
-4.51%
IBTA
Ibotta, Inc. Class A
22.29
-16.79
-42.96%

Red Violet Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Red Violet Extends Executive Employment Agreements Through 2030
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

On January 9, 2026, Red Violet extended the employment agreements of its key executives, including the chief executive officer, president, chief financial officer and chief information officer, pushing the contract expiration date from March 26, 2027 to March 31, 2030. The move signals the company’s intent to ensure leadership continuity over the longer term, which may provide greater stability and strategic consistency for stakeholders as Red Violet executes its business plans over the next several years.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDVT) stock is a Buy with a $63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Red Violet stock, see the RDVT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 05, 2026