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Quanterix Corporation (QTRX)
NASDAQ:QTRX
US Market

Quanterix (QTRX) AI Stock Analysis

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Quanterix

(NASDAQ:QTRX)

51Neutral
Quanterix's overall stock score reflects a mixed outlook. Strong revenue growth and strategic acquisitions are positive, but persistent profitability issues and weak technical indicators weigh heavily. The company needs to improve operational efficiency to leverage its growth potential. Valuation concerns and market volatility further impact the score.
Positive Factors
Market Potential
QTRX has a solid offering in what is estimated to be a $9B Alzheimer's Dx market.
Product Offering
The acquisition offers QTRX access to a new offering in protein detection and strengthens its presence in immuno and oncology.
Strategic Expansion
QTRX's acquisition of AKYA is expected to enhance its strategic priorities, such as growing its menu and expanding into adjacencies.
Negative Factors
Acquisition Risks
The deal introduces significant costs and risks, including a 29% share dilution and increased volatility due to AKYA's financial pressures.
Financial Strain
The cash runway for the combined entity of Quanterix and Akoya is limited, potentially causing financial strain.
Market Challenges
Quanterix is facing pressures in its core academic markets, which account for a significant portion of its U.S. academic expenditure.

Quanterix (QTRX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Quanterix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQuanterix Corporation is a company operating in the biotechnology sector, specializing in advanced diagnostics. It develops and markets ultra-sensitive digital immunoassay platforms that enable researchers and clinicians to detect and quantify proteins and nucleic acids at extremely low concentrations. The company's flagship product, the Simoa (Single Molecule Array) platform, is utilized for various applications, including biomarker research, drug development, and disease diagnostics, particularly in neurological, oncological, and infectious disease fields.
How the Company Makes MoneyQuanterix generates revenue primarily through the sale of its Simoa diagnostic platforms and related consumables, which are integral to its customers' research and diagnostic processes. The company also earns income by providing services such as sample testing and assay development, which support and enhance the utility of its platforms. Additionally, Quanterix engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with pharmaceutical companies, academic institutions, and research organizations, which can lead to joint development agreements, grants, and licensing opportunities that contribute to its revenue. The company's focus on high-sensitivity diagnostics positions it to capitalize on the growing demand for precision medicine and advanced biomarker discovery.

Quanterix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Quanterix shows strong revenue growth and a stable balance sheet with low leverage, but ongoing challenges with profitability and negative cash flows are concerning. The company needs to translate revenue into profitability to leverage its stable financial position.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Quanterix shows consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase from $122.37M in 2023 to $137.42M in 2024. However, profitability metrics are concerning, with a negative EBIT margin of -38.3% in 2024 and a net profit margin of -28%. The company has struggled to translate revenue growth into profitability, which is a significant area of concern.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 and a robust equity ratio of 81.2%. However, the consistent negative net income has impacted the return on equity, which remains negative. Quanterix's strong cash position and low leverage are positive indicators of financial stability.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains negative at -$35.16M for 2024, reflecting ongoing operational challenges. Free cash flow also remained negative despite a reduction in capital expenditures. The company faces challenges in converting revenue growth into positive cash flows, an area that requires attention for long-term sustainability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
135.44M122.37M104.95M110.56M86.38M
Gross Profit
81.12M70.65M46.24M61.73M48.18M
EBIT
-52.62M-44.45M-72.36M-58.59M-31.58M
EBITDA
-52.62M-38.09M-65.73M-53.24M-27.27M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-38.53M-32.33M-96.70M-57.69M-31.53M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
289.12M321.32M338.74M396.46M181.58M
Total Assets
406.53M425.01M434.20M501.53M271.05M
Total Debt
37.37M41.46M44.10M21.89M30.80M
Net Debt
-19.34M-132.96M-294.64M-374.57M-150.79M
Total Liabilities
76.50M78.08M75.26M60.58M64.92M
Stockholders Equity
330.04M346.93M358.94M440.95M206.13M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-38.53M-22.69M-60.00M-61.52M-27.30M
Operating Cash Flow
-35.16M-18.90M-48.27M-47.91M-23.36M
Investing Cash Flow
-82.27M-148.40M-11.21M-6.34M-626.00K
Financing Cash Flow
456.00K2.69M2.31M270.80M96.24M

Quanterix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price5.76
Price Trends
50DMA
6.54
Negative
100DMA
8.22
Negative
200DMA
10.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Negative
RSI
47.78
Neutral
STOCH
64.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QTRX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.46, below the 50-day MA of 6.54, and below the 200-day MA of 10.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for QTRX.

Quanterix Risk Analysis

Quanterix disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Quanterix reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Quanterix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$197.24M30.5316.11%15.35%71.35%
56
Neutral
$248.51M-38.45%15.29%45.45%
55
Neutral
$227.20M-230.96%32.24%-66.93%
52
Neutral
$5.28B3.75-42.72%2.86%17.70%2.03%
51
Neutral
$194.40M-55.25%22.01%10.02%
51
Neutral
$223.42M-11.33%12.30%-31.50%
49
Neutral
$208.38M-20.21%-8.92%31.98%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QTRX
Quanterix
5.77
-11.15
-65.90%
ANIK
Anika Therapeutics
14.46
-13.13
-47.59%
CERS
Cerus
1.30
-0.46
-26.14%
ELMD
Electromed
23.05
5.24
29.42%
RCEL
Avita Medical
9.34
0.62
7.11%
LUNG
Pulmonx
3.77
-5.61
-59.81%

Quanterix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 17, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -20.88%|
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Quanterix demonstrated strong growth in revenue and margins, supported by strategic investments and expansion efforts. However, challenges in the academic market and specific regional declines present notable headwinds. The overall sentiment is balanced with both positive growth indicators and concerns about near-term market volatility.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Seventh Consecutive Quarter of Double-Digit Revenue Growth
Quanterix reported its seventh consecutive quarter of double-digit revenue growth, with a total revenue of $35.2 million, marking an 11% increase year-over-year.
Strong Performance in Accelerator Lab
The Accelerator lab revenue grew by 22% in the quarter, driven by capacity expansion and strong demand for clinical trials and custom assay development.
Non-GAAP Gross Margin Improvement
Non-GAAP gross margin improved by 300 basis points to 57.7% in the fourth quarter, driven by higher pricing and improved operating efficiency.
Significant Expansion in Recurring Revenues
Recurring revenues increased from 65% to 80% over two years, contributing to a revenue CAGR of 14%.
Acquisition of Akoya Biosciences
The planned acquisition of Akoya Biosciences is expected to expand Quanterix's research addressable market from $1 billion to $5 billion, and diagnostics TAM from $10 billion to $15 billion.
Negative Updates
Decline in Instrument Revenue
Instrument revenue was down 7% year-over-year, although it increased 29% sequentially. This decline is attributed to market challenges.
Challenges in the Asia-Pacific Region
The Asia-Pacific region experienced a revenue decline of 6% for the full year, contrasting with growth in North America and Europe.
Impact of Academic Market Volatility
The company anticipates a decline in revenues related to US academic customers by 10% in 2025, representing a year-over-year headwind of approximately 250 basis points.
First Quarter Revenue Decline Expected
Revenue for the first quarter of 2025 is expected to be down 10% to 15%, impacted by the US academic market and timing of Accelerator projects.
Company Guidance
During the Quanterix Corporation Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call, the company reported several key metrics and provided guidance for 2025. The company achieved revenue of $35.2 million in Q4 2024, marking an 11% increase from the previous year, with the Accelerator lab contributing $8.6 million, a 22% growth. Quanterix’s non-GAAP gross margin improved by 300 basis points year-over-year to 57.7%, driven by higher pricing and improved operational efficiency. Cash usage declined by 31% to $4.4 million in the fourth quarter. For the full year 2024, total revenue was $137.4 million, up 12%. Looking forward to 2025, Quanterix expects revenue to range between $140 million and $146 million, with GAAP gross margin anticipated between 59% and 63%, and non-GAAP gross margin between 53% and 57%. The company plans to invest approximately $30 million in diagnostics and the Simoa ONE platform, which is expected to launch at the end of 2025. Quanterix also announced a merger agreement with Akoya Biosciences, aimed at expanding their addressable market and achieving $40 million in operating synergies by 2026.

Quanterix Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Quanterix Revises Merger Terms with Akoya Biosciences
Positive
Apr 29, 2025

On April 28, 2025, Quanterix Corporation announced an amended merger agreement with Akoya Biosciences, revising the terms of their previously announced merger. Under the new terms, Quanterix will issue fewer shares and pay $20 million in cash to Akoya shareholders, with Quanterix shareholders owning 84% of the combined entity. This strategic move aims to create value for shareholders and leverage combined resources to drive synergies and expedite profitability. The merger is expected to close in the second quarter of 2025, pending Akoya shareholder approval and other customary conditions.

Spark’s Take on QTRX Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, QTRX is a Neutral.

Quanterix’s overall stock score is weighed down by its financial performance challenges, particularly in achieving profitability and positive cash flows. The bearish technical indicators and concerning valuation further impact the score negatively. However, the strategic acquisition of Akoya Biosciences and the positive growth outlook from the earnings call provide some optimism, preventing a lower score.

To see Spark’s full report on QTRX stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Quanterix Appoints William Donnelly as New Chairman
Neutral
Mar 28, 2025

On March 24, 2025, Quanterix Corporation appointed William P. Donnelly as the new Chairman of the Board, succeeding Martin D. Madaus, Ph.D. This change follows Dr. Madaus’s decision to resign after receiving less than a majority of votes for his reelection at the 2024 annual meeting. The Board and its Nominating and Governance Committee reviewed the voting results and considered feedback from stockholders before deciding on the leadership change. Dr. Madaus’s resignation is not due to any disagreements with the company, and he is acknowledged for his service.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Quanterix Announces Acquisition of Akoya Biosciences
Positive
Mar 3, 2025

On March 3, 2025, Quanterix announced its proposed acquisition of Akoya Biosciences, aimed at creating the first integrated solution for ultra-sensitive detection of blood- and tissue-based protein biomarkers. The acquisition is expected to expand Quanterix’s market opportunities significantly, particularly in Alzheimer’s Disease diagnostics, and generate substantial cost synergies. The merger is anticipated to close in the second quarter of 2025, pending shareholder approvals. Additionally, Quanterix addressed the nomination of three candidates by Kent Lake Partners for its Board of Directors, emphasizing the strategic importance of the Akoya acquisition despite Kent Lake’s objections.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.