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Quanterix Corporation (QTRX)
NASDAQ:QTRX
US Market

Quanterix (QTRX) AI Stock Analysis

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Quanterix

(NASDAQ:QTRX)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(5.11%Upside)
Quanterix's overall stock score is driven by a strong balance sheet and positive technical indicators. However, profitability issues and a challenging valuation weigh down the score. Strategic initiatives and merger synergies provide some optimism but are offset by revenue declines and macroeconomic headwinds.
Positive Factors
Cost Synergies
QTRX now expects to realize $55M in cost synergies with AKYA to maintain 2026 cash flow profitability target, driven by facility consolidation and deduplication of G&A and sales support.
Growth Opportunities
The early access program for the Simoa One platform and the expected launch of 15 new assays in 2025 could provide growth opportunities for Quanterix.
Revenue Performance
QTRX announced 1Q25 revenue of $30M, beating estimates, with product revenue leading the quarter.
Negative Factors
Integration Risks
The acquisition adds integration risks to an already challenging macro backdrop and reduces cash flexibility for QTRX.
Market Competition
It is challenging for QTRX to gain meaningful adoption in the Alzheimer's disease diagnostic market with multiple competitors entering the market and an FDA approved assay now available.
Revenue Guidance
Quanterix meaningfully lowered its 2025 revenue guidance due to expected macroeconomic headwinds, such as tariffs and U.S. academic funding weakness.

Quanterix (QTRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Quanterix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQuanterix Corporation is a company operating in the biotechnology sector, specializing in advanced diagnostics. It develops and markets ultra-sensitive digital immunoassay platforms that enable researchers and clinicians to detect and quantify proteins and nucleic acids at extremely low concentrations. The company's flagship product, the Simoa (Single Molecule Array) platform, is utilized for various applications, including biomarker research, drug development, and disease diagnostics, particularly in neurological, oncological, and infectious disease fields.
How the Company Makes MoneyQuanterix generates revenue primarily through the sale of its Simoa diagnostic platforms and related consumables, which are integral to its customers' research and diagnostic processes. The company also earns income by providing services such as sample testing and assay development, which support and enhance the utility of its platforms. Additionally, Quanterix engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with pharmaceutical companies, academic institutions, and research organizations, which can lead to joint development agreements, grants, and licensing opportunities that contribute to its revenue. The company's focus on high-sensitivity diagnostics positions it to capitalize on the growing demand for precision medicine and advanced biomarker discovery.

Quanterix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 16.23%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Quanterix demonstrated resilience in consumables and strategic advancements, such as new product launches and significant merger synergies, but faced challenges with declining total revenue, increased expenses, and macroeconomic pressures leading to a more conservative revenue outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Consumables Revenue
Quanterix recorded its highest consumables quarter, with consumables revenue reaching $18.1 million, up 6% from the previous year.
Strategic Initiatives and Product Launches
The company launched four new immunology assays, building on 20 new assays introduced last year, and plans to release the next-gen platform Simoa ONE by year-end.
Akoya Biosciences Merger Synergies
The merger with Akoya is expected to increase Quanterix's shareholder ownership from 70% to 84% and contribute significantly to top-line and gross profit dollars.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Savings
Quanterix announced a $30 million core operating cost reduction, scaling to $55 million annualized savings by 2026, contributing to a path towards positive cash flow.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline
Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $30.3 million, a decrease of 5% compared to the prior year, with a significant decline in Accelerator lab revenue by 36%.
Conservative Revenue Guidance Revision
Revenue guidance for 2025 was revised to a decline of 5% to 13%, reflecting broader macroeconomic pressures, particularly in academic funding and pharma spending.
Increased Operating Expenses
GAAP operating expenses for the quarter increased by $9.1 million due to acquisition and integration expenses, leading to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $11.3 million.
Challenges in Academic Funding
A 20% reduction in NIH funding levels is anticipated, impacting revenues indexed to U.S. academic customers.
Company Guidance
During Quanterix Corporation's first quarter 2025 earnings call, several key financial metrics and strategic updates were discussed. The company reported a revenue of $30.3 million, representing a 5% decline year-over-year, but highlighted a record quarter for consumables, which grew by 6% to $18.1 million. The adjusted gross margin was approximately 50%, and adjusted cash usage improved by over 50%, amounting to $9 million. The company anticipates achieving positive cash flow by 2026, supported by a balance sheet exceeding $100 million. An amended merger with Akoya Biosciences was also announced, reducing the equity value by 67% to $66 million, while increasing Quanterix's shareholder ownership to 84% of the combined company. Additionally, the firm outlined strategic initiatives, including the upcoming launch of the Simoa ONE platform, which promises up to 10x the sensitivity of existing systems and aims to expand into immunology and oncology markets. The company has set a revenue guidance range for 2025 between $120 million and $130 million, factoring in challenges such as reduced NIH funding and pharma spending.

Quanterix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Quanterix shows strong revenue growth and a stable balance sheet with low leverage. However, significant challenges exist with profitability and cash flows, necessitating improvements in operational efficiency.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Quanterix shows consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase from $122.37M in 2023 to $137.42M in 2024. However, profitability metrics are concerning, with a negative EBIT margin of -38.3% in 2024 and a net profit margin of -28%. The company has struggled to translate revenue growth into profitability, which is a significant area of concern.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 and a robust equity ratio of 81.2%. However, the consistent negative net income has impacted the return on equity, which remains negative. Quanterix's strong cash position and low leverage are positive indicators of financial stability.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains negative at -$35.16M for 2024, reflecting ongoing operational challenges. Free cash flow also remained negative despite a reduction in capital expenditures. The company faces challenges in converting revenue growth into positive cash flows, an area that requires attention for long-term sustainability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
135.44M122.37M104.95M110.56M86.38M
Gross Profit
81.12M70.65M46.24M61.73M48.18M
EBIT
-52.62M-44.45M-72.36M-58.59M-31.58M
EBITDA
-44.26M-38.09M-65.73M-53.24M-27.27M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-38.53M-32.33M-96.70M-57.69M-31.53M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
289.12M321.32M338.74M396.46M181.58M
Total Assets
406.53M425.01M434.20M501.53M271.05M
Total Debt
37.37M41.46M44.10M21.89M30.80M
Net Debt
-19.34M-132.96M-294.64M-374.57M-150.79M
Total Liabilities
76.50M78.08M75.26M60.58M64.92M
Stockholders Equity
330.04M346.93M358.94M440.95M206.13M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-38.53M-22.69M-60.00M-61.52M-27.30M
Operating Cash Flow
-35.16M-18.90M-48.27M-47.91M-23.36M
Investing Cash Flow
-82.27M-148.40M-11.21M-6.34M-626.00K
Financing Cash Flow
456.00K2.69M2.31M270.80M96.24M

Quanterix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.66
Price Trends
50DMA
5.40
Positive
100DMA
6.68
Negative
200DMA
9.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Negative
RSI
65.84
Neutral
STOCH
66.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QTRX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.19, above the 50-day MA of 5.40, and below the 200-day MA of 9.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for QTRX.

Quanterix Risk Analysis

Quanterix disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Quanterix reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Quanterix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$167.14M25.1316.56%14.85%64.96%
65
Neutral
$275.27M-36.14%13.06%41.50%
56
Neutral
$255.50M-14.51%7.71%-38.97%
55
Neutral
$158.34M-407.50%32.24%-66.93%
54
Neutral
$5.38B3.40-45.06%3.28%16.75%-0.02%
47
Neutral
$165.64M-20.42%-18.80%26.16%
46
Neutral
$136.88M-60.68%19.84%5.77%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QTRX
Quanterix
6.66
-11.11
-62.52%
ANIK
Anika Therapeutics
11.31
-14.79
-56.67%
CERS
Cerus
1.42
-0.42
-22.83%
ELMD
Electromed
20.05
5.28
35.75%
RCEL
Avita Medical
6.06
-2.79
-31.53%
LUNG
Pulmonx
3.26
-3.53
-51.99%

Quanterix Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Quanterix Approves Cost-Reduction Plan Amidst Strategic Moves
Neutral
May 12, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Quanterix‘s Board of Directors approved a cost-reduction plan to save $15 million in 2025, with annualized savings of $30 million. This includes a significant reduction in workforce, expected to be completed by the end of the second quarter of 2025. Additionally, Quanterix announced a strategic move to integrate its Simoa® ONE assay kits with over 20,000 flow cytometers globally, enhancing its market reach and reducing the need for new equipment purchases. The company also reported a net loss for the first quarter of 2025 but is implementing measures to achieve positive cash flow by 2026, including a merger with Akoya Biosciences, expected to close in June 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (QTRX) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Quanterix stock, see the QTRX Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Quanterix Revises Merger Terms with Akoya Biosciences
Positive
Apr 29, 2025

On April 28, 2025, Quanterix Corporation announced an amended merger agreement with Akoya Biosciences, revising the terms of their previously announced merger. Under the new terms, Quanterix will issue fewer shares and pay $20 million in cash to Akoya shareholders, with Quanterix shareholders owning 84% of the combined entity. This strategic move aims to create value for shareholders and leverage combined resources to drive synergies and expedite profitability. The merger is expected to close in the second quarter of 2025, pending Akoya shareholder approval and other customary conditions.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Quanterix Appoints William Donnelly as New Chairman
Neutral
Mar 28, 2025

On March 24, 2025, Quanterix Corporation appointed William P. Donnelly as the new Chairman of the Board, succeeding Martin D. Madaus, Ph.D. This change follows Dr. Madaus’s decision to resign after receiving less than a majority of votes for his reelection at the 2024 annual meeting. The Board and its Nominating and Governance Committee reviewed the voting results and considered feedback from stockholders before deciding on the leadership change. Dr. Madaus’s resignation is not due to any disagreements with the company, and he is acknowledged for his service.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.