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Pulmonx (LUNG)
NASDAQ:LUNG
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Pulmonx (LUNG) AI Stock Analysis

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LUNG

Pulmonx

(NASDAQ:LUNG)

Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-2.60% Downside)
Pulmonx's overall stock score is primarily impacted by significant financial performance challenges, including ongoing losses and negative cash flow, alongside bearish technical indicators. While there are strengths in international growth and strategic initiatives, these are overshadowed by the revised guidance and valuation concerns, resulting in a cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Stability
Over $100M of cash provides a robust runway, with a $30M burn in 2024, indicating strong financial stability.
Growth Strategy
The 'acquire, test, treat' strategy, including initiatives to increase funnel interest and reduce patient fallout, is expected to drive growth acceleration.
Revenue Growth
The company's revenue from outside the US exceeded expectations, showing strong traction and momentum.
Negative Factors
Financial Concerns
There is a worry that Pulmonx Corporation may need to secure financing in the next year or two that is unfavorable to equity holders.
Revenue Challenges
Management lowered full-year revenue guidance due to a lower U.S. volume outlook, reflecting a substantial slowdown in growth.
Tariff Impact
Tariffs could impact the business through component sourcing cost inflation and other countries' reciprocal tariffs, potentially harming gross margins.

Pulmonx (LUNG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pulmonx Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPulmonx Corporation, trading under the ticker symbol LUNG, is a medical technology company focused on developing and commercializing minimally invasive treatments for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and other severe lung conditions. The company's flagship product is the Zephyr Endobronchial Valve, a device designed to improve lung function, exercise capacity, and quality of life for patients with emphysema, a form of COPD. Pulmonx operates primarily within the healthcare and medical device sectors, aiming to address significant unmet medical needs in respiratory care.
How the Company Makes MoneyPulmonx generates revenue through the sale of its medical devices, particularly the Zephyr Endobronchial Valve, to hospitals and healthcare providers. The company earns money by marketing and distributing these devices in various geographical markets, including the United States, Europe, and Asia. Revenue is also supported by Pulmonx's efforts in training healthcare professionals to effectively use their products, thus enhancing the adoption rate of their technologies. Furthermore, strategic partnerships with medical institutions and ongoing clinical trials help to validate and promote the efficacy of the company's products, which in turn drives sales and revenue growth.

Pulmonx Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -51.11%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Pulmonx showed strong international performance and promising initiatives like direct-to-patient campaigns and AI screening tools. However, the need to revise revenue guidance due to slower U.S. growth and challenges in converting new commercial initiatives offset these achievements.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong International Revenue Growth
International revenue reached a record $9.1 million, a 32% increase from the previous year, highlighting strong global demand and commercial execution.
Increase in Total Worldwide Revenue
Total worldwide revenue for the second quarter was $23.9 million, marking a 15% year-over-year increase.
Expansion of Lung Cancer Screening
Lung cancer screening has tripled since 2020, generating millions of CT scans annually, creating opportunities for emphysema detection.
Direct-to-Patient Campaign Success
Direct-to-patient campaigns engaged over 70,000 first-time patients, contributing to one-third of the patients treated in 2025.
Launch of New AI Screening Tool
LungTraX Detect, an AI-powered screening tool, is being implemented in hospitals to identify emphysema patients from routine CT scans.
Negative Updates
Revised Revenue Guidance
Full year 2025 revenue guidance has been revised down from a range of $96 million to $98 million to a range of $90 million to $92 million due to slower than expected U.S. growth.
Decline in U.S. Growth
U.S. revenue growth was only 6%, reflecting slower-than-expected growth in procedure volume and constraints in interventional pulmonology centers.
Challenges with New Commercial Initiatives
New commercial initiatives are taking longer to convert, impacting the expected rebound in U.S. performance.
Operating Expenses Increase
Total operating expenses increased by 3% year-over-year, with a notable rise in stock-based compensation expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Pulmonx Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company revised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance down to a range of $90 million to $92 million due to slower-than-expected growth in the U.S., particularly in procedure volume. Despite this, international revenue excelled, reaching $9.1 million, driven by robust growth in Europe and Asia. The company reported a 15% year-over-year increase in total worldwide revenue to $23.9 million, supported by sustained adoption of its Zephyr Valves. Gross margin for the quarter was 72%, slightly down from 74% a year prior. The company's efforts to expand capacity included opening 12 new screening centers and training 26 new physicians. It also noted record levels of StratX scans in June and July, signaling potential future growth. Pulmonx maintains a strong cash position, ending the quarter with $84.2 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities.

Pulmonx Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pulmonx shows strong revenue growth and gross profit margins, but ongoing operational losses and negative cash flows present significant financial challenges. The stable balance sheet offers some reassurance, yet profitability and cash flow management need improvement.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Pulmonx has shown consistent revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) increase of 4.4% compared to the previous year. However, the company continues to operate at a loss, with negative EBIT and net income margins indicating significant operational challenges. Gross profit margins remain strong at 73.6% TTM, but the persistent losses suggest difficulty in managing operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.73, indicating relatively balanced leverage. The equity ratio stands at 51.5%, suggesting a stable capital structure. However, the return on equity is negative due to ongoing net losses. Pulmonx maintains a healthy cash position with cash and equivalents covering total debt.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Pulmonx's cash flow position is concerning, with negative operating and free cash flows indicating cash burn. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio also remains negative, consistent with the trend of operating losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue87.47M83.79M68.67M53.66M48.42M32.73M
Gross Profit64.36M62.00M50.75M39.87M35.63M21.20M
EBITDA-60.11M-50.79M-55.09M-55.99M-46.62M-28.44M
Net Income-57.09M-56.39M-60.84M-58.92M-48.66M-32.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets150.74M162.85M177.78M193.68M235.17M263.71M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments88.70M101.48M117.10M141.14M180.04M231.56M
Total Debt56.95M56.47M41.42M24.40M26.46M27.22M
Total Liabilities73.07M77.04M59.47M39.67M41.93M37.57M
Stockholders Equity77.67M85.81M118.31M154.01M193.24M226.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-34.26M-32.98M-38.42M-46.40M-45.06M-31.54M
Operating Cash Flow-32.96M-31.54M-37.61M-45.08M-41.39M-30.63M
Investing Cash Flow36.30M17.48M-2.01M-4.22M-46.26M12.69M
Financing Cash Flow1.16M1.36M21.40M2.47M4.46M234.83M

Pulmonx Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.54
Price Trends
50DMA
2.68
Negative
100DMA
3.72
Negative
200DMA
5.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.40
Positive
RSI
28.63
Positive
STOCH
5.77
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUNG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.43, below the 50-day MA of 2.68, and below the 200-day MA of 5.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.63 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.77 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LUNG.

Pulmonx Risk Analysis

Pulmonx disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pulmonx reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pulmonx Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$288.57M21.9510.79%17.11%45.34%
60
Neutral
HK$18.14B5.30-4.00%3.33%10.16%-17.39%
57
Neutral
$604.38M-0.10%5.08%99.38%
54
Neutral
$204.97M-13.46%5.15%73.29%
52
Neutral
$224.83M-87.65%2.47%56.93%
46
Neutral
$138.61M271.41%45.50%53.07%
45
Neutral
$64.79M-66.88%18.24%4.81%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LUNG
Pulmonx
1.54
-4.18
-73.08%
INGN
Inogen
7.70
-4.48
-36.78%
VMD
Viemed Healthcare
7.33
0.24
3.39%
OM
Outset Medical
13.21
0.71
5.68%
TLSI
TriSalus Life Sciences
3.95
-1.90
-32.48%
BVS
Bioventus
7.53
-0.47
-5.87%

Pulmonx Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Pulmonx Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Pulmonx Corporation held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where approximately 82.79% of the company’s shares were represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected three Class II directors, ratified the appointment of BDO USA, P.C. as the independent accounting firm for 2025, and approved executive compensation on a non-binding advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUNG) stock is a Hold with a $4.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pulmonx stock, see the LUNG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025