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Pulmonx (LUNG)
NASDAQ:LUNG

Pulmonx (LUNG) AI Stock Analysis

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LUNG

Pulmonx

(NASDAQ:LUNG)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(5.63% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/03/26
The score is primarily held down by weak financial health (persistent losses, rising leverage, and negative operating cash flow) and a bearish technical setup (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation provides limited support due to losses and no dividend, while the earnings call was mixed with stable margin guidance and international growth but soft U.S. growth and declining cash.
Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Sustained top-line growth (TTM +23.1%) indicates durable commercial traction for the Zephyr valve across markets. Over a 2-6 month horizon, consistent revenue expansion supports scale benefits, improves negotiating leverage with providers, and validates adoption of the therapy.
High Gross Margins
Elevated gross margins (~73–75%) reflect strong unit economics and efficient manufacturing for the device business. High gross margins provide a buffer to fund R&D and commercialization, enabling durable margin sustainability as revenues scale and fixed costs are amortized.
Differentiated Core Product
A focused, clinically differentiated device (Zephyr valve) targets a clear unmet need in emphysema. Durable competitive advantage stems from procedure complexity, clinical outcomes evidence, and reimbursement pathways, supporting repeatable hospital adoption and long-term addressable market penetration.
Negative Factors
Persistent Net Losses
Ongoing quarterly net losses demonstrate the company has yet to reach operating profitability. Over several months this limits reinvestment flexibility, increases reliance on external financing, and places pressure on management to deliver sustainable cost-control or margin expansion to reach break-even.
Rising Leverage
An increasing debt-to-equity ratio (0.82 TTM) reduces financial flexibility and raises interest and covenant risk if growth slows. Higher leverage can constrain strategic options and amplify downside over a 2-6 month horizon, particularly while profitability remains negative.
Negative Operating Cash Flow / Cash Burn
Declining cash balances and material cash utilization (~$25M YTD) combined with negative operating cash flow signal runway pressure. Even with improving free cash flow metrics, sustained cash burn forces prioritization of runway extension actions or financing, affecting long-term execution risk.

Pulmonx (LUNG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pulmonx Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPulmonx Corporation, a medical technology company, provides minimally invasive devices for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases. It offers Zephyr Endobronchial Valve, a solution for the treatment of bronchoscopic in adult patients with hyperinflation associated with severe emphysema; and Chartis Pulmonary Assessment System, a balloon catheter and console system with flow and pressure sensors that are used to assess the presence of collateral ventilation. The company also provides StratX Lung Analysis Platform, a cloud-based quantitative computed tomography analysis service that offers information on emphysema destruction, fissure completeness, and lobar volume to help identify target lobes for the treatment with Zephyr Valves. It serves emphysema patients in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Pulmonx and changed its name to Pulmonx Corporation in December 2013. Pulmonx Corporation was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyPulmonx generates revenue primarily through the sale of its medical devices, particularly the Zephyr Endobronchial Valve system, which is sold to hospitals and healthcare providers. The company also earns money from associated procedures, training, and support services related to the implantation of its devices. Additionally, Pulmonx may benefit from reimbursement agreements with insurance companies and government healthcare programs, which can enhance the adoption of their products. Strategic partnerships with healthcare institutions and participation in clinical trials may also contribute to increased visibility and sales of their products.

Pulmonx Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with some positive developments in international growth and gross margin improvement, but ongoing challenges in U.S. growth, rising expenses, persistent net loss, and decreasing cash reserves. The focus on execution and profitability suggests attempts to address these issues, but immediate growth strategies remain uncertain.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total worldwide revenue for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, was $21.5 million, a 5% increase from $20.4 million in the same period of the prior year.
International Revenue Surge
International revenue for the third quarter of 2025 was $7.5 million, a 15% increase compared to $6.6 million in the same period last year.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross margin for the third quarter of 2025 was approximately 75%, up from 74% in the same period last year.
Negative Updates
U.S. Revenue Growth Slowdown
U.S. revenue in the third quarter was $14 million, a marginal 1% increase from $13.8 million in the prior year period.
Operating Expenses Increase
Total operating expenses for the third quarter of 2025 were $30.4 million, a 4% increase from $29.2 million in the third quarter of 2024.
Net Loss Persistence
Net loss for the third quarter of 2025 was $14 million or $0.34 per share, similar to a $14.1 million net loss or $0.36 per share for the same period last year.
Cash Reserves Decrease
Company ended the quarter with $76.5 million in cash and cash equivalents, a decrease of $7.7 million from the second quarter of 2025.
Company Guidance
During the Pulmonx conference call, the company provided guidance for the fiscal year 2025, projecting full-year revenue between $89 million and $90 million. They anticipate a gross margin of approximately 73% and expect operating expenses to range from $125 million to $126 million, which includes about $21 million in noncash stock-based compensation. The company reported a total worldwide revenue of $21.5 million for Q3 2025, marking a 5% increase from the previous year. U.S. revenue saw a 1% rise to $14 million, while international revenue grew by 15% to $7.5 million. Gross margin for the quarter increased slightly to 75%. Pulmonx ended the quarter with $76.5 million in cash and cash equivalents, a decrease of $7.7 million from the second quarter, and noted a total cash utilization of approximately $25 million for the first three quarters of 2025. They highlighted a strategic focus on extending their cash runway and improving operating leverage by reallocating resources to high-return areas.

Pulmonx Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and high gross margin are offset by persistent operating losses, negative profitability metrics, rising leverage, and still-negative operating cash flow despite improved free cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Pulmonx shows a consistent revenue growth trajectory, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 23.1%. However, profitability remains a challenge, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is relatively strong at 73.2%, indicating efficient cost management in production. Despite revenue growth, the company struggles with high operating losses, impacting overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.82 in the TTM period, indicating rising leverage. Return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a reasonable level of equity financing. However, the increasing debt levels pose a risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Pulmonx has shown improvement in free cash flow growth, with a TTM increase of 185.4%. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some efficiency in cash generation relative to net losses. However, the operating cash flow remains negative, highlighting ongoing cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue91.66M83.79M68.67M53.66M48.42M32.73M
Gross Profit67.19M62.00M50.75M39.87M35.63M21.20M
EBITDA-54.36M-50.79M-55.09M-55.99M-46.62M-28.44M
Net Income-56.75M-56.39M-60.84M-58.92M-48.66M-32.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets138.28M162.85M177.78M193.68M235.17M263.71M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments76.55M101.48M117.10M141.14M180.04M231.79M
Total Debt56.56M56.47M41.42M24.40M26.46M27.22M
Total Liabilities78.25M77.04M59.47M39.67M41.93M37.57M
Stockholders Equity60.03M85.81M118.31M154.01M193.24M226.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-32.62M-32.98M-38.42M-46.45M-45.10M-31.54M
Operating Cash Flow-32.07M-31.54M-37.61M-45.14M-41.43M-30.63M
Investing Cash Flow44.56M17.48M-2.01M-4.22M-46.26M12.69M
Financing Cash Flow887.00K1.36M21.40M2.47M4.50M234.83M

Pulmonx Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.42
Price Trends
50DMA
1.94
Negative
100DMA
1.83
Negative
200DMA
2.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Negative
RSI
38.59
Neutral
STOCH
50.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUNG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.55, below the 50-day MA of 1.94, and below the 200-day MA of 2.15, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LUNG.

Pulmonx Risk Analysis

Pulmonx disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pulmonx reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pulmonx Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$79.82M55.883.64%16.88%
65
Neutral
$63.07M-8.12-14.85%-13.79%-132.21%
60
Neutral
$145.24M-9.71-172.18%-1.32%55.62%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
45
Neutral
$39.92M-2.27-157.91%-18.96%8.98%
45
Neutral
$62.28M-1.07-73.73%15.59%4.13%
44
Neutral
$34.97M-0.8912.24%47.45%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LUNG
Pulmonx
1.51
-7.17
-82.60%
APYX
Apyx Medical
3.54
2.12
149.30%
XTNT
Xtant Medical Holdings
0.57
<0.01
1.79%
SRTS
Sensus Healthcare
3.84
-1.25
-24.56%
TELA
TELA Bio
0.79
-1.82
-69.81%
ICCM
Icecure Medical
0.58
-0.74
-55.98%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 03, 2026