tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
QuantumScape (QS)
NASDAQ:QS
US Market

QuantumScape (QS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
9,328 Followers

Top Page

QS

QuantumScape

(NASDAQ:QS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(15.21% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by pre-revenue fundamentals with large ongoing losses and negative free cash flow, plus weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partly offset by a comparatively strong balance sheet/liquidity position and earnings-call updates indicating runway through the end of the decade and early commercialization signals via customer billings.
Positive Factors
Technological Advancements
The transition to the Cobra process represents a significant technological advancement, allowing for higher-volume production. This enhances QuantumScape's ability to scale its operations and meet future demand, strengthening its competitive position in the solid-state battery market.
Strategic Partnerships
The strategic partnership with Volkswagen's PowerCo is crucial for industrializing QuantumScape's technology at scale. This collaboration provides access to resources and expertise, facilitating the commercialization of their battery technology and enhancing market entry prospects.
Financial Position
QuantumScape's strong liquidity position provides a substantial cash runway, supporting ongoing R&D and operational activities. This financial stability allows the company to focus on long-term strategic goals without immediate pressure for external funding.
Negative Factors
Lack of Revenue
The absence of revenue generation is a significant concern, as it indicates that QuantumScape has yet to commercialize its technology. This poses a risk to financial sustainability and investor confidence, as the company remains reliant on external funding.
High Operating Expenses
High operating expenses highlight the cost-intensive nature of QuantumScape's operations. This financial burden can strain resources and impact profitability, necessitating efficient cost management to ensure long-term viability.
Uncertain Customer Engagement
The lack of confirmed licensing agreements with OEMs underscores uncertainty in customer engagement. This uncertainty can delay revenue generation and market penetration, impacting QuantumScape's ability to establish a foothold in the automotive battery market.

QuantumScape (QS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

QuantumScape Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQuantumScape Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, focuses on the development and commercialization of solid-state lithium-metal batteries for electric vehicles and other applications in the United States. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyQuantumScape makes money through the development and future commercialization of its solid-state battery technology. The company aims to license its technology and establish partnerships with major automotive manufacturers to integrate its batteries into electric vehicles. Revenue is expected to be generated through these strategic partnerships and potential joint ventures. Additionally, QuantumScape may also explore direct sales of its battery products once they are commercially viable. Significant partnerships, such as the one with Volkswagen Group, play a crucial role in QuantumScape's business model by providing financial support and a pathway to market entry for their cutting-edge battery solutions.

QuantumScape Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in technology demonstration and partnerships, with notable progress in customer billings and financial guidance. However, the company continues to face financial losses, although these are within expected ranges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Launch Program with Volkswagen Group
QuantumScape unveiled the Ducati V21L race motorcycle at IAA Mobility in Munich, a collaboration with Ducati, Audi, PowerCo, and QuantumScape, showcasing the performance of their next-generation battery technology.
Progress in Commercial Engagement
Substantial progress in expanding commercial engagement, including deepening relationships with existing customers and adding new partners like Corning and Murata Manufacturing to the QS technology ecosystem.
Customer Billings Milestone
Billing over $1 million in customer activities in Q3, marking a significant step in QuantumScape's capital-light development and licensing business model.
Financial Outlook and Cash Runway
QuantumScape revised their full-year guidance for adjusted EBITDA loss to $245 million to $260 million and extended their cash runway through the end of the decade, with $1 billion in liquidity.
Negative Updates
GAAP Net Loss
Reported a GAAP net loss of $105.8 million in Q3.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Adjusted EBITDA loss was $61.4 million in Q3, aligning with expectations but still a significant loss.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2025 earnings call, QuantumScape Corporation provided guidance on several key metrics. The company reported a GAAP operating expense of $115 million and a GAAP net loss of $105.8 million, with an adjusted EBITDA loss of $61.4 million, aligning with expectations. QuantumScape revised its full-year guidance for adjusted EBITDA loss to a range of $245 million to $260 million and adjusted its capital expenditures guidance to $30 million to $40 million due to efficiency gains and changes in equipment ordering timelines. The company raised $263.5 million through an at-the-market equity program, ending the quarter with $1 billion in liquidity, extending its cash runway through the end of the decade. A new operational metric, customer billings, was introduced, with $12.8 million billed in Q3, reflecting the company's capital-light business model and its steps towards commercialization.

QuantumScape Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are dominated by pre-revenue operations and sustained large losses (TTM EBIT -$490.8M; net loss -$449.6M) and continued cash burn (TTM operating cash flow -$245.0M; free cash flow -$280.1M). Offsetting this, the balance sheet provides meaningful runway with low leverage (~$73.0M total debt; debt-to-equity ~0.06) and sizable equity (~$1.22B).
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
QS remains pre-revenue (revenue is 0 across all periods provided), with persistent and sizable operating losses. In TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), gross profit is negative (-$70.0M) and losses remain elevated (EBIT -$490.8M; net loss -$449.6M), showing limited signs of an earnings inflection. The one relative positive is that net losses improved materially versus 2020’s very large loss, but losses have been consistently large from 2021–TTM, indicating profitability is still not in sight.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is a key support: leverage is low and improving, with total debt down to ~$73.0M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and a low debt-to-equity level (~0.06). Equity remains sizable (~$1.22B TTM), providing financial flexibility. The main weakness is continued value erosion risk from ongoing losses (return on equity is strongly negative, ~-0.40 TTM), which can pressure equity over time if cash burn persists.
Cash Flow
27
Negative
Cash generation remains weak, with continued cash burn: operating cash flow is negative in every year shown and is -$245.0M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), while free cash flow is also negative at -$280.1M. Free cash flow deteriorated versus the prior annual period (2024 free cash flow of -$336.7M vs TTM -$280.1M is an improvement, but the provided free cash flow growth figure for TTM is sharply negative), highlighting volatility in burn trends. A modest positive is that free cash flow is broadly in line with (and slightly better than) net loss in TTM, but the company is still reliant on external funding until revenues ramp.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-69.96M-57.78M-41.96M-36.12M-14.70M-8.08M
EBITDA-377.56M-417.94M-400.74M-373.37M-29.86M-1.65B
Net Income-449.61M-477.86M-445.14M-411.91M-45.97M-1.68B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.34B1.32B1.50B1.48B1.72B1.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.00B910.77M1.07B1.06B1.45B997.55M
Total Debt73.00M93.54M100.63M105.42M77.37M12.46M
Total Liabilities127.48M164.55M161.80M155.86M107.06M713.29M
Stockholders Equity1.22B1.16B1.34B1.32B1.61B351.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-280.14M-336.69M-324.54M-376.87M-255.09M-85.36M
Operating Cash Flow-244.98M-274.56M-240.03M-218.02M-127.91M-61.26M
Investing Cash Flow-126.16M128.87M-152.53M124.12M-385.83M-802.65M
Financing Cash Flow419.42M144.03M300.21M8.60M736.56M953.72M

QuantumScape Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.68
Price Trends
50DMA
11.09
Negative
100DMA
12.75
Negative
200DMA
9.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.62
Positive
RSI
32.07
Neutral
STOCH
5.36
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.27, below the 50-day MA of 11.09, and below the 200-day MA of 9.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.36 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for QS.

QuantumScape Risk Analysis

QuantumScape disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. QuantumScape reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

QuantumScape Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.47B31.6219.14%10.29%-3.90%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$1.48B-8.06-68.95%45.98%44.14%
54
Neutral
$726.49M-7.81-33.69%-15.43%
48
Neutral
$5.22B-10.93-38.65%15.04%
48
Neutral
$198.87M-2.77-71.46%46.09%46.01%
45
Neutral
$817.58M-8.26-23.63%25.24%-12.96%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QS
QuantumScape
8.86
3.79
74.75%
XPEL
XPEL
53.27
12.15
29.55%
INVZ
Innoviz Technologies
0.96
-0.60
-38.46%
ENVX
Enovix
6.54
-5.19
-44.25%
SES
SES AI Corporation Class A
2.15
0.95
79.17%
SLDP
Solid Power
4.43
3.05
221.01%

QuantumScape Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
QuantumScape Adds Veteran Finance Executive to Board
Positive
Jan 30, 2026

On January 29, 2026, QuantumScape Corporation appointed veteran finance and technology executive Geoffrey Ribar to its Board of Directors for a term expiring at the company’s next annual meeting of stockholders, with no committee assignments made at this time. Ribar, who brings more than four decades of experience across the semiconductor and broader technology sectors and currently serves on the boards of MACOM Technology Solutions, Everspin Technologies and Acacia Research, will receive the company’s standard non-employee director compensation package, including $80,000 in annual cash compensation and restricted stock unit grants that vest over time subject to his continued service, underscoring QuantumScape’s move to deepen its board’s financial and technology expertise as it advances its business objectives; the company noted there are no special arrangements, family relationships or related-party transactions connected to his appointment beyond its standard indemnification agreement.

The most recent analyst rating on (QS) stock is a Hold with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QuantumScape stock, see the QS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
QuantumScape to Transfer Stock Listing to Nasdaq
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, QuantumScape Corporation announced its decision to transfer the listing of its Class A Common Stock from the New York Stock Exchange to The Nasdaq Stock Market, effective after the market close on December 22, 2025. Trading on Nasdaq is expected to begin on December 23, 2025, under the ticker symbol ‘QS.’ This strategic move aligns QuantumScape with Nasdaq’s community of innovative companies and is anticipated to enhance shareholder value without disrupting trading activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (QS) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QuantumScape stock, see the QS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
QuantumScape Enters Sublease Agreement with Momentus Inc.
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 3, 2025, QuantumScape Battery, Inc. entered into a Sublease Agreement with Momentus Inc. for a building in San Jose, California, reducing its operational footprint in line with its technology licensing focus. The sublease, which runs until September 30, 2032, is expected to generate approximately $11.5 million in base rent for QuantumScape, with Momentus Inc. responsible for additional expenses and subject to the Master Landlord’s consent.

The most recent analyst rating on (QS) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QuantumScape stock, see the QS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026