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QuantumScape (QS)
NASDAQ:QS
US Market

QuantumScape (QS) AI Stock Analysis

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QS

QuantumScape

(NASDAQ:QS)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▼(-2.05% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by the lack of revenue, large ongoing losses, and persistent cash burn, alongside bearish price momentum below key moving averages. Offsetting factors include a low-leverage balance sheet and, from the earnings call, extended liquidity runway and early commercialization signals (customer billings), which improve outlook but do not yet resolve profitability risk.
Positive Factors
Technological Advancements
The transition to the Cobra process represents a significant technological advancement, allowing for higher-volume production. This enhances QuantumScape's ability to scale its operations and meet future demand, strengthening its competitive position in the solid-state battery market.
Strategic Partnerships
The strategic partnership with Volkswagen's PowerCo is crucial for industrializing QuantumScape's technology at scale. This collaboration provides access to resources and expertise, facilitating the commercialization of their battery technology and enhancing market entry prospects.
Financial Position
QuantumScape's strong liquidity position provides a substantial cash runway, supporting ongoing R&D and operational activities. This financial stability allows the company to focus on long-term strategic goals without immediate pressure for external funding.
Negative Factors
Lack of Revenue
The absence of revenue generation is a significant concern, as it indicates that QuantumScape has yet to commercialize its technology. This poses a risk to financial sustainability and investor confidence, as the company remains reliant on external funding.
High Operating Expenses
High operating expenses highlight the cost-intensive nature of QuantumScape's operations. This financial burden can strain resources and impact profitability, necessitating efficient cost management to ensure long-term viability.
Uncertain Customer Engagement
The lack of confirmed licensing agreements with OEMs underscores uncertainty in customer engagement. This uncertainty can delay revenue generation and market penetration, impacting QuantumScape's ability to establish a foothold in the automotive battery market.

QuantumScape (QS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

QuantumScape Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQuantumScape Corporation, a development stage company, focuses on the development and commercialization of solid-state lithium-metal batteries for electric vehicles and other applications. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyQuantumScape makes money through the development and future commercialization of its solid-state battery technology. The company aims to license its technology and establish partnerships with major automotive manufacturers to integrate its batteries into electric vehicles. Revenue is expected to be generated through these strategic partnerships and potential joint ventures. Additionally, QuantumScape may also explore direct sales of its battery products once they are commercially viable. Significant partnerships, such as the one with Volkswagen Group, play a crucial role in QuantumScape's business model by providing financial support and a pathway to market entry for their cutting-edge battery solutions.

QuantumScape Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in technology demonstration and partnerships, with notable progress in customer billings and financial guidance. However, the company continues to face financial losses, although these are within expected ranges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Launch Program with Volkswagen Group
QuantumScape unveiled the Ducati V21L race motorcycle at IAA Mobility in Munich, a collaboration with Ducati, Audi, PowerCo, and QuantumScape, showcasing the performance of their next-generation battery technology.
Progress in Commercial Engagement
Substantial progress in expanding commercial engagement, including deepening relationships with existing customers and adding new partners like Corning and Murata Manufacturing to the QS technology ecosystem.
Customer Billings Milestone
Billing over $1 million in customer activities in Q3, marking a significant step in QuantumScape's capital-light development and licensing business model.
Financial Outlook and Cash Runway
QuantumScape revised their full-year guidance for adjusted EBITDA loss to $245 million to $260 million and extended their cash runway through the end of the decade, with $1 billion in liquidity.
Negative Updates
GAAP Net Loss
Reported a GAAP net loss of $105.8 million in Q3.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Adjusted EBITDA loss was $61.4 million in Q3, aligning with expectations but still a significant loss.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2025 earnings call, QuantumScape Corporation provided guidance on several key metrics. The company reported a GAAP operating expense of $115 million and a GAAP net loss of $105.8 million, with an adjusted EBITDA loss of $61.4 million, aligning with expectations. QuantumScape revised its full-year guidance for adjusted EBITDA loss to a range of $245 million to $260 million and adjusted its capital expenditures guidance to $30 million to $40 million due to efficiency gains and changes in equipment ordering timelines. The company raised $263.5 million through an at-the-market equity program, ending the quarter with $1 billion in liquidity, extending its cash runway through the end of the decade. A new operational metric, customer billings, was introduced, with $12.8 million billed in Q3, reflecting the company's capital-light business model and its steps towards commercialization.

QuantumScape Financial Statement Overview

Summary
QuantumScape faces significant financial challenges with no revenue generation, large net losses, and ongoing cash burn. While the balance sheet is strong due to high equity and low leverage, the lack of revenue and continued losses are concerning. Cash flow is negative and reliant on external funding, adding sustainability risks.
Income Statement
QuantumScape has consistently reported zero revenue over multiple years, indicating a lack of commercialized product sales. The company experiences high net losses, with increasing EBIT and EBITDA losses year over year, highlighting operational challenges. The absence of revenue growth is a significant concern.
Balance Sheet
QuantumScape maintains a strong equity position with a high equity ratio, indicating a stable financial foundation. The company's low debt-to-equity ratio suggests limited leverage, reducing financial risk. However, the consistent net losses are eroding equity over time, which is a potential long-term concern.
Cash Flow
The company has a negative free cash flow, which has shown some variability without a clear trend of improvement. Operating cash flow is consistently negative, indicating ongoing cash burn. The reliance on financing activities to cover cash flow deficits poses sustainability risks if external funding becomes less accessible.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-69.96M-57.78M-41.96M-36.12M-14.70M-8.08M
EBITDA-377.56M-417.94M-400.74M-373.37M-29.86M-1.65B
Net Income-449.61M-477.86M-445.14M-411.91M-45.97M-1.68B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.34B1.32B1.50B1.48B1.72B1.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.00B910.77M1.07B1.06B1.45B997.55M
Total Debt73.00M93.54M100.63M105.42M77.37M12.46M
Total Liabilities127.48M164.55M161.80M155.86M107.06M713.29M
Stockholders Equity1.22B1.16B1.34B1.32B1.61B351.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-280.14M-336.69M-324.54M-376.87M-255.09M-85.36M
Operating Cash Flow-244.98M-274.56M-240.03M-218.02M-127.91M-61.26M
Investing Cash Flow-126.16M128.87M-152.53M124.12M-385.83M-802.65M
Financing Cash Flow419.42M144.03M300.21M8.60M736.56M953.72M

QuantumScape Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.72
Price Trends
50DMA
12.62
Negative
100DMA
12.45
Negative
200DMA
9.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.45
Negative
RSI
40.70
Neutral
STOCH
34.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.00, below the 50-day MA of 12.62, and above the 200-day MA of 9.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for QS.

QuantumScape Risk Analysis

QuantumScape disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. QuantumScape reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

QuantumScape Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.49B32.2319.14%10.29%-3.90%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
$1.71B-9.69-68.95%45.98%44.14%
51
Neutral
$1.02B-10.15-23.63%25.24%-12.96%
50
Neutral
$777.60M-7.99-33.69%-15.43%
48
Neutral
$6.38B-13.22-38.65%15.04%
48
Neutral
$252.34M-3.26-71.46%46.09%46.01%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QS
QuantumScape
10.72
5.41
101.88%
XPEL
XPEL
54.30
13.87
34.31%
INVZ
Innoviz Technologies
1.13
-0.57
-33.53%
ENVX
Enovix
7.86
-2.92
-27.09%
SES
SES AI Corporation Class A
2.20
1.37
165.06%
SLDP
Solid Power
5.44
3.79
229.70%

QuantumScape Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
QuantumScape to Transfer Stock Listing to Nasdaq
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, QuantumScape Corporation announced its decision to transfer the listing of its Class A Common Stock from the New York Stock Exchange to The Nasdaq Stock Market, effective after the market close on December 22, 2025. Trading on Nasdaq is expected to begin on December 23, 2025, under the ticker symbol ‘QS.’ This strategic move aligns QuantumScape with Nasdaq’s community of innovative companies and is anticipated to enhance shareholder value without disrupting trading activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (QS) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QuantumScape stock, see the QS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
QuantumScape Enters Sublease Agreement with Momentus Inc.
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 3, 2025, QuantumScape Battery, Inc. entered into a Sublease Agreement with Momentus Inc. for a building in San Jose, California, reducing its operational footprint in line with its technology licensing focus. The sublease, which runs until September 30, 2032, is expected to generate approximately $11.5 million in base rent for QuantumScape, with Momentus Inc. responsible for additional expenses and subject to the Master Landlord’s consent.

The most recent analyst rating on (QS) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QuantumScape stock, see the QS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025