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Quantum Corporation (QMCO)
NASDAQ:QMCO

Quantum (QMCO) AI Stock Analysis

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QMCO

Quantum

(NASDAQ:QMCO)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▼(-9.44% Downside)
Quantum's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and unattractive valuation. While recent earnings call highlights and corporate events show some positive strategic moves, the company's financial instability and bearish technical indicators weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Debt Restructuring
The debt restructuring enhances financial flexibility and supports strategic goals, positioning Quantum for long-term stability and growth.
Backlog Growth
A strong backlog indicates robust sales traction and future revenue potential, supporting sustained business growth.
Strategic Partnerships
Aligning with strategic partners can enhance market reach and product offerings, driving long-term competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue suggests challenges in market demand or competitiveness, potentially impacting long-term growth prospects.
Net Loss Increase
Increased net losses can strain financial resources and hinder investment in growth initiatives, affecting future performance.
Gross Margin Challenges
Persistently low gross margins indicate cost pressures or pricing challenges, which may affect profitability over the long term.

Quantum (QMCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Quantum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQuantum Corporation provides products for storing and managing digital video and unstructured data in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers CatDV, an asset management and workflow orchestration platform that provides asset management, automation, and collaboration tools for organization that manages large volumes of digital media; StorNext software systems that enable high-speed ingest, editing, processing, and management of digital video and image datasets; and Scalar tape systems that provide long-term data storage facility to archive and preserve digital content for decades. It also provides DXi backup appliances for backup storage and multi-site disaster recovery; portfolio of products designed for the capture and analysis of video surveillance and security, including video recording servers, as well as hyperconverged storage systems for video surveillance management and recording; and appliances designed for video surveillance analytics and to run various types of access control systems. In addition, the company offers managed services, customer support agreements, software subscriptions, installation, and consulting and training services; and object storage systems for online content repositories, such as media archives, genome sequencing data repositories, and big data lakes. Further, it sells linear tape-open (LTO) tape cartridges, as well as standalone LTO tape drives for small business and desktop use. The company sells its products through a network of distributors, value-added resellers, direct marketing resellers, original equipment manufacturers, and other suppliers, as well as directly to corporate entities and government agencies. Quantum Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyQuantum generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling hardware and software products related to data storage and management. Key revenue streams include the sale of storage systems, data protection software, and cloud services. Additionally, Quantum earns recurring revenue through maintenance contracts, subscription services, and professional services such as installation and support. Strategic partnerships with technology providers and resellers also contribute to its earnings by expanding market reach and enhancing product offerings. These partnerships may include collaborations with cloud service providers or integrators that facilitate the deployment of Quantum's solutions in various environments.

Quantum Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Quantum showed significant progress with strong backlog and debt reduction efforts, alongside notable project wins like the Library of Congress. However, year-over-year revenue decline and increased net loss due to debt restructuring present challenges. Despite these issues, the financial restructuring and backlog growth indicate a positive trajectory.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue at High End of Guidance
Quantum's revenue was at the high end of their guidance range, showing solid progress and initial benefits from restructuring.
Debt Reduction Milestone
Quantum entered a definitive agreement to convert $52 million in term debt to senior secured convertible notes, aiming to eliminate $140 million in total debt since 2020.
Backlog Increase
Quantum closed the quarter with a backlog of over $25 million, significantly above the historical target range of $8 million to $10 million, indicating strong sales traction.
Library of Congress Project Win
Quantum won a significant contract with the Library of Congress for its 100-year Archive project, showcasing the strength of its ActiveScale Cold Storage and Scalar i7 RAPTOR solutions.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Quantum achieved a positive adjusted EBITDA of $0.5 million, improving from a negative $6.5 million in the prior quarter.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline Year-Over-Year
Revenue for the quarter was $62.7 million, down from $71.8 million in the same quarter of the previous year.
GAAP Net Loss Increase
GAAP net loss for the quarter was $46.5 million, compared to a net loss of $12.2 million in the prior year quarter, primarily due to accounting treatment of debt amendments.
Gross Margin Challenges
GAAP gross margin was 37.6%, down from 42.7% in the prior year quarter, with ongoing challenges in expanding margins above 40%.
Manufacturing Limitations
Quantum faced manufacturing limitations affecting the ability to ship low-end tape libraries, impacting revenue potential.
Company Guidance
In the recent Quantum Corporation earnings call for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, the company provided several key metrics and guidance. Revenue reached $62.7 million, aligning with the high end of their guidance range, supported by a significant backlog of over $25 million, notably higher than the historical target of $8 million to $10 million. GAAP gross margin improved to 37.6% from 35.3% in the previous quarter, while non-GAAP operating expenses decreased by $5 million quarter-over-quarter to $24.8 million. The company achieved positive adjusted EBITDA of $0.5 million, a notable improvement from the previous quarter's negative $6.5 million. Looking forward, Quantum expects third-quarter revenue to be approximately $67 million, with non-GAAP operating expenses around $25 million and adjusted EBITDA projected to be $1 million. The company highlighted strategic efforts to become debt-free, including a significant agreement to convert $52 million of term debt into senior secured convertible notes, pending shareholder approval.

Quantum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Quantum's financial performance is severely challenged, with negative net profit margins, declining revenue, and a weak balance sheet marked by negative equity and high leverage. Cash flow issues persist, with negative operating and free cash flows, indicating a need for significant financial restructuring.
Income Statement
Quantum's income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative net profit margins and declining revenue growth. The TTM data shows a gross profit margin of 39.85%, but the net profit margin is deeply negative at -41.75%, indicating substantial losses. Revenue has been decreasing, with a TTM revenue growth rate of -2.90%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet highlights financial instability, with negative stockholders' equity and a concerning debt-to-equity ratio. The TTM data shows a debt-to-equity ratio of -0.08, indicating more liabilities than equity. Return on equity is positive at 71.09%, but this is due to the negative equity, which is not a healthy sign. The equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of -2.08%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.12, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue259.25M274.06M311.60M422.08M383.43M349.58M
Gross Profit100.69M109.83M124.89M143.26M157.64M150.75M
EBITDA-113.27M-85.06M-16.17M4.25M61.00M-2.00M
Net Income-144.41M-115.09M-41.29M-18.37M38.35M-35.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets137.70M155.40M187.62M213.66M201.63M194.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.67M16.46M25.69M25.96M5.21M28.14M
Total Debt108.24M132.88M119.98M99.64M123.18M103.33M
Total Liabilities298.20M319.77M309.11M298.03M345.37M307.17M
Stockholders Equity-160.50M-164.37M-121.50M-84.37M-143.74M-112.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-42.23M-28.56M-16.02M-17.48M-40.04M-7.70M
Operating Cash Flow-38.91M-23.61M-10.16M-4.89M-33.73M-767.00K
Investing Cash Flow-3.33M-4.95M-5.87M-15.60M-14.12M-9.59M
Financing Cash Flow40.57M19.31M15.71M41.16M20.16M31.33M

Quantum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.73
Price Trends
50DMA
7.86
Negative
100DMA
8.70
Negative
200DMA
9.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Negative
RSI
48.23
Neutral
STOCH
73.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QMCO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.43, below the 50-day MA of 7.86, and below the 200-day MA of 9.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for QMCO.

Quantum Risk Analysis

Quantum disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Quantum reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Quantum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$68.54B29.2331.48%0.18%-16.35%316.56%
70
Outperform
$20.87B18.34125.35%1.89%2.64%4.12%
68
Neutral
$64.92B39.021.02%31.56%106.00%
64
Neutral
$22.11B191.249.27%13.18%-0.92%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
55
Neutral
$26.36B166.803.98%10.88%51.13%
44
Neutral
$103.46M-0.35-9.11%-61.28%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QMCO
Quantum
7.51
-14.90
-66.49%
IRM
Iron Mountain
89.50
-10.92
-10.87%
NTAP
NetApp
107.03
-7.30
-6.39%
STX
Seagate Tech
321.48
231.99
259.24%
WDC
Western Digital
212.14
164.91
349.16%
PSTG
Pure Storage
72.44
9.19
14.53%

Quantum Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Quantum completes major convertible debt exchange and approvals
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 18, 2025, Quantum Corporation completed a debt exchange with Dialectic Technology SPV LLC, issuing $54.7 million of senior secured convertible notes due December 18, 2028 in exchange for existing term loans owed to Dialectic, following shareholder approval on December 16, 2025. The notes carry a 10% payment-in-kind interest rate, an initial $10 per-share conversion price subject to reset and anti-dilution protections, and are secured by all company assets that also secure the term loans; if fully converted and combined with Dialectic’s forbearance warrant, Dialectic could own approximately 36.9% of Quantum’s outstanding common stock after conversion and exercise, with Quantum also agreeing to maintain escalating quarterly minimum liquidity levels in 2026 and granting Dialectic registration rights for the underlying shares. At the December 16, 2025 annual meeting, shareholders elected the full slate of director nominees, approved the convertible note transactions with Dialectic and potential share issuances under Dialectic’s forbearance warrant for Nasdaq compliance purposes, expanded the 2023 Long-Term Incentive Plan by 1.4 million shares while removing individual award caps, endorsed executive compensation on an advisory basis, ratified CohnReznick LLP as auditor for fiscal 2026, and authorized the potential adjournment of the meeting, collectively reinforcing management’s capital restructuring strategy and compensation framework while paving the way for significant potential equity dilution and tighter liquidity covenants.

The most recent analyst rating on (QMCO) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Quantum stock, see the QMCO Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Quantum Announces 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting Date
Neutral
Oct 20, 2025

Quantum Corporation has set December 16, 2025, as the date for its 2025 annual meeting of stockholders. Stockholders wishing to present proposals not included in the proxy statement must adhere to specific deadlines and comply with the company’s bylaws and relevant regulations. The announcement highlights the importance of timely submissions and compliance with Securities and Exchange Commission rules for proposals to be considered for inclusion in the meeting’s proxy materials.

The most recent analyst rating on (QMCO) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Quantum stock, see the QMCO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025