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Quantum Corp (QMCO)
:QMCO
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Quantum (QMCO) AI Stock Analysis

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QMCO

Quantum

(NASDAQ:QMCO)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(1.12% Upside)
Quantum's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, with significant revenue declines and negative profit margins. While technical analysis shows some short-term bullish momentum, the overbought signals and negative valuation metrics pose risks. The earnings call further underscores the financial challenges, despite some positive strategic initiatives.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Significant debt reduction enhances financial stability and flexibility, allowing Quantum to allocate resources towards growth initiatives and operational improvements.
Product Innovations
New product launches in the backup market can drive future revenue growth by capturing market share and meeting evolving customer needs in data management.
Leadership Changes
New leadership with industry experience can enhance strategic direction and execution, potentially improving sales performance and market positioning.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A significant year-over-year revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining market share and competitive positioning, impacting long-term growth prospects.
Decreased Gross Margin
Declining gross margins suggest increased cost pressures and pricing challenges, which can erode profitability and limit reinvestment in the business.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative operating cash flow indicates difficulties in generating sufficient cash from operations, potentially constraining investment capacity and financial resilience.

Quantum (QMCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Quantum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQuantum Corporation provides products for storing and managing digital video and unstructured data in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers CatDV, an asset management and workflow orchestration platform that provides asset management, automation, and collaboration tools for organization that manages large volumes of digital media; StorNext software systems that enable high-speed ingest, editing, processing, and management of digital video and image datasets; and Scalar tape systems that provide long-term data storage facility to archive and preserve digital content for decades. It also provides DXi backup appliances for backup storage and multi-site disaster recovery; portfolio of products designed for the capture and analysis of video surveillance and security, including video recording servers, as well as hyperconverged storage systems for video surveillance management and recording; and appliances designed for video surveillance analytics and to run various types of access control systems. In addition, the company offers managed services, customer support agreements, software subscriptions, installation, and consulting and training services; and object storage systems for online content repositories, such as media archives, genome sequencing data repositories, and big data lakes. Further, it sells linear tape-open (LTO) tape cartridges, as well as standalone LTO tape drives for small business and desktop use. The company sells its products through a network of distributors, value-added resellers, direct marketing resellers, original equipment manufacturers, and other suppliers, as well as directly to corporate entities and government agencies. Quantum Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyQuantum makes money through several key revenue streams, primarily from the sale of its hardware and software solutions. This includes revenue from high-performance storage systems, data protection software, and cloud storage services. Additionally, the company generates income from subscriptions and maintenance contracts associated with its products, providing ongoing support and updates to customers. Quantum also engages in partnerships with other technology firms and resellers, which can enhance its distribution capabilities and expand its market reach, contributing to overall revenue growth. Furthermore, the company may benefit from government and enterprise contracts that require robust data management solutions.

Quantum Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 10, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
While there are significant efforts in leadership changes and product innovation, the financial performance including revenue decline, decreased gross margin, and increased net loss overshadow these positives. The company's debt reduction is a positive sign, but the financial challenges indicate a tough operating environment.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Debt Reduction
The company reduced its net debt position to approximately $66.8 million, representing a reduction of more than 40% from the net debt position at the end of fiscal 2025.
New Leadership Additions
Appointed Tony Craythorne as Chief Revenue Officer and Gregg Pugmire as Vice President of Americas Sales, along with new board members with significant industry experience.
Product Innovations and Launches
Launched two new DXi T-Series models with all-flash deduplication appliances, positioning the company to capture a share in the multibillion-dollar backup market.
Strong Backlog Position
Backlog at the end of the first quarter was approximately $10 million, which is at the higher end of the target run rate of $8 million to $10 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Revenue
First quarter revenue was $64.3 million compared to $72.3 million in the prior year first quarter, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline.
Decreased Gross Margin
GAAP gross margin for the first quarter was 35.3%, down from 37.4% in the fiscal first quarter of 2025, due to inventory provisions and import tariffs.
Increased Net Loss
GAAP net loss in the first fiscal quarter was $17.2 million compared to a net loss of $19.9 million in the year-ago quarter, reflecting a negative financial performance.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was negative $6.5 million, worse than the negative $2.2 million in the prior year quarter.
Company Guidance
During Quantum Corporation's Fiscal First Quarter 2026 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance and insights into their financial performance and strategic direction. Revenue for the quarter was reported at $64.3 million, a decrease from the previous year's $72.3 million, largely due to a shift in product mix. The company also reported a GAAP gross margin of 35.3%, down from 39.6% in the previous quarter, influenced by increased inventory provisions and import tariffs. Operating expenses on a GAAP basis were $35.3 million, while non-GAAP operating expenses were $30 million. The company faced a GAAP net loss of $17.2 million or $1.87 per share, with a non-GAAP net loss of $14.5 million or $1.58 per share. Adjusted EBITDA was negative $6.5 million. The company's cash and cash equivalents stood at $37.5 million, with total outstanding term debt of $104.3 million. Looking ahead, Quantum anticipates second-quarter revenue of approximately $61 million and a reduction in non-GAAP operating expenses to about $27 million. They aim for a breakeven adjusted EBITDA in the next quarter as they focus on improving sales execution and leveraging high-value assets.

Quantum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Quantum is struggling with profitability, financial stability, and cash flow management. Persistent losses, high debt levels, and negative equity highlight significant risks. A strategic overhaul focused on revenue growth and cost management is essential.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Quantum has faced significant challenges in maintaining profitability. The gross profit margin for TTM is approximately 40.04%, but the company has been unable to translate this into net profits, as indicated by a net profit margin of -43.62%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, highlighting operational inefficiencies. Revenue has been decreasing, indicating a need for strategic shifts to stimulate growth.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure. The company's stockholders' equity is negative, showing a debt-heavy configuration. The debt-to-equity ratio cannot be computed due to negative equity, but the high total liabilities and negative equity ratio indicate financial instability. The return on equity is also negative due to persistent net losses.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows cash management difficulties. Both operating and free cash flows are negative, suggesting potential liquidity issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is undefined due to negative free cash flow, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is also negative. These metrics suggest challenges in sustaining operations without external financing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue285.86M274.06M311.60M412.75M372.83M349.58M
Gross Profit114.49M109.83M124.89M133.94M147.03M150.75M
EBITDA-97.89M-85.06M-16.17M4.25M-9.63M-2.00M
Net Income-124.72M-115.09M-41.29M-37.94M-32.28M-35.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets168.06M155.40M187.62M213.66M201.63M194.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.38M16.46M25.69M25.96M5.21M27.43M
Total Debt146.40M132.88M119.98M99.64M123.18M100.75M
Total Liabilities363.11M319.77M309.11M300.55M328.32M307.17M
Stockholders Equity-195.06M-164.37M-121.50M-86.89M-126.68M-112.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.94M-28.56M-16.02M-17.48M-40.04M-7.70M
Operating Cash Flow-9.77M-23.61M-10.16M-4.89M-33.73M-767.00K
Investing Cash Flow-5.17M-4.95M-5.87M-15.60M-14.12M-9.59M
Financing Cash Flow10.99M19.31M15.71M41.16M20.16M31.33M

Quantum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.35
Price Trends
50DMA
8.53
Positive
100DMA
9.34
Positive
200DMA
15.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.04
Negative
RSI
74.51
Negative
STOCH
73.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QMCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.89, above the 50-day MA of 8.53, and below the 200-day MA of 15.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.51 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for QMCO.

Quantum Risk Analysis

Quantum disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Quantum reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Quantum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$57.02M-24.73%-9.09%-1586.89%
60
Neutral
$146.14M-44.58%4.65%-79.75%
52
Neutral
$158.63M33.98%-8.07%-86.20%
50
Neutral
$87.06M-23.11%-73.87%-115.50%
48
Neutral
$75.98M16.92-20.27%0.63%-364.33%
41
Neutral
$35.47M-7.04%154.52%47.31%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QMCO
Quantum
13.35
10.07
307.01%
ALOT
AstroNova
10.14
-3.74
-26.95%
INVE
Identiv
3.73
0.17
4.78%
TACT
Transact Technologies
5.36
0.95
21.54%
OSS
One Stop Systems
5.79
3.04
110.55%
EBON
Ebang International Holdings
5.02
-0.66
-11.62%

Quantum Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Quantum Regains Nasdaq Compliance, Stabilizing Market Position
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

On September 12, 2025, Quantum Corporation received confirmation from the Nasdaq Stock Market that it has regained compliance with the periodic filing requirement as per Nasdaq Listing Rule 5250(c)(1). This resolution indicates that the company has addressed previous compliance issues, potentially stabilizing its market position and reassuring stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (QMCO) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Quantum stock, see the QMCO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 08, 2025