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Polestar Automotive Holding UK (PSNY)
NASDAQ:PSNY

Polestar Automotive Holding UK (PSNY) AI Stock Analysis

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PSNY

Polestar Automotive Holding UK

(NASDAQ:PSNY)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(1488.24% Upside)
Polestar Automotive's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and challenging valuation metrics. The company's significant financial instability, high leverage, and negative cash flows are major concerns. Technical analysis further supports a bearish outlook with negative momentum indicators. The absence of profitability and dividend yield further weighs down the valuation.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships with established players like Volvo enhance technology sharing and supply chain efficiencies, supporting long-term cost reductions and innovation capabilities.
Growing EV Demand
Increasing global demand for EVs, bolstered by government incentives, provides a supportive market environment for Polestar's growth and revenue potential over the long term.
Revenue Growth
Despite financial challenges, improvements in revenue and free cash flow growth indicate potential for future financial stabilization and market expansion.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage and negative equity pose significant financial risks, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns.
Negative Cash Flows
Persistent negative cash flows reflect ongoing liquidity challenges, which may hinder operational capabilities and strategic investments in the long term.
Profitability Challenges
Consistently negative profit margins indicate operational inefficiencies and high costs, which could impede the company's ability to achieve sustainable profitability.

Polestar Automotive Holding UK (PSNY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Polestar Automotive Holding UK Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPolestar Automotive Holding UK (PSNY) is a high-performance electric vehicle manufacturer that focuses on sustainable mobility solutions. A subsidiary of Volvo Cars and Geely, Polestar operates primarily in the automotive sector, designing and producing electric vehicles that combine luxury, performance, and cutting-edge technology. The company's core products include a range of electric cars, with an emphasis on performance-oriented models and innovative features that appeal to environmentally conscious consumers.
How the Company Makes MoneyPolestar generates revenue through the sale of electric vehicles, which includes various models that cater to different segments of the automotive market. The company also earns money through service agreements, maintenance plans, and software subscriptions that enhance the vehicle's functionality over time. Additionally, Polestar benefits from strategic partnerships, including collaborations with Volvo Cars for shared technology and supply chain efficiencies, which help to reduce production costs and increase profit margins. The growing demand for electric vehicles globally, along with government incentives for EV purchases, further contributes to Polestar's revenue growth.

Polestar Automotive Holding UK Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 03, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Polestar's earnings call highlighted strong revenue and sales volume growth, operational improvements, and a successful expansion in Europe. However, these positives were countered by significant challenges, including a negative gross margin due to an impairment expense, difficulties in the U.S. market, and the absence of updated financial guidance. The mixed results suggest a balanced outlook with both promising achievements and notable challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue grew by 56% to $1.4 billion in the first half of 2025, driven by higher sales volume and an increase in the share of higher-priced Polestar 3 and Polestar 4 models.
Retail Sales Volume Increase
Retail sales volume grew by 51% to over 30,000 cars, surpassing the growth target of 30% to 35% for 2025 to 2027.
Operational Improvements
Polestar achieved operational improvements with a reduction in production costs due to lower material costs, including for batteries, and optimized marketing spend.
Expansion in Europe
Polestar expanded its presence in Europe, signing 26 new retail partners, with Europe now being the main regional market and comprising 77% of sales.
Carbon Credit Sales Boost
Carbon credit sales amounted to $90 million, contributing positively to profitability and aligning with the target of achieving a 3-digit $100 million amount in 2025.
Negative Updates
Negative Gross Margin
Gross margin was negative at 49% due to a $739 million impairment expense for Polestar 3 assets, driven by increased production costs and pricing pressures.
Challenging U.S. Market
The U.S. market is challenging due to tariffs and policy changes, representing only 9% of retail sales, with significant impacts on profitability.
Increase in Net Loss
The net loss for the first 6 months of 2025 was primarily due to the impairment expense, with an adjusted EBITDA loss of $302 million, though narrowed by 30% compared to the previous year.
Withdrawal of Financial Guidance
Polestar did not issue any new financial guidance, reflecting uncertainties and external headwinds impacting the business.
Company Guidance
During the Polestar First Half 2025 Results Conference Call, the company emphasized strong commercial performance with a 51% growth in retail sales volume, surpassing their target of 30% to 35% growth for 2025 to 2027. Revenue increased by 56% to $1.4 billion, driven by higher sales volume and a growing share of higher-priced Polestar 3 and 4 models. Despite these achievements, profitability was impacted by significant external headwinds, including tariffs and mounting pricing pressure, resulting in a negative gross margin of 49% due to an impairment expense of $739 million for Polestar 3 assets. Adjusted gross margin improved to a positive 1.4% from a negative 2.6% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed by 30% to $302 million. The company raised $200 million in new equity and secured around $2.1 billion in loan facilities to support operations. Polestar reiterated its target for a compound annual retail sales volume growth of 30% to 35% over 2025 to 2027 but did not issue specific financial guidance.

Polestar Automotive Holding UK Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Polestar Automotive is facing significant financial challenges across all verticals. The company is struggling with profitability, high leverage, and negative cash flows. While there are minor improvements in revenue and free cash flow growth, the overall financial health remains weak, with substantial risks due to negative equity and high debt levels.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Polestar Automotive's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has consistently reported negative gross and net profit margins, indicating ongoing losses. Although there is a slight revenue growth in the TTM period, the margins remain deeply negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and high costs relative to revenue. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, suggesting difficulties in managing operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
15
Very Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning financial structure with negative stockholders' equity, indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative due to negative equity, highlighting high leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is positive in the TTM period but is misleading due to negative equity. The equity ratio is also negative, underscoring financial instability.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates persistent negative operating and free cash flows, though there is a slight improvement in free cash flow growth in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, suggesting that free cash flow exceeds net income, but this is due to both metrics being negative.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.55B2.03B2.38B2.44B1.34B610.25M
Gross Profit-828.47M-876.17M-413.08M119.44M11.06M56.52M
EBITDA-417.20M-1.67B-826.89M-229.51M-716.10M-226.89M
Net Income-2.27B-2.05B-1.19B-479.02M-1.01B-484.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.64B4.05B4.12B3.94B3.31B2.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments718.63M739.24M768.93M973.88M757.93M316.42M
Total Debt5.65B5.01B3.58B1.44B825.41M436.52M
Total Liabilities7.91B7.38B5.38B4.08B3.19B1.97B
Stockholders Equity-4.27B-3.33B-1.26B-133.34M122.50M580.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.47B-1.35B-2.03B-1.80B-441.83M-300.76M
Operating Cash Flow-1.32B-991.21M-1.89B-1.09B-312.16M-57.05M
Investing Cash Flow-379.15M-412.56M-417.62M-715.97M-129.67M-243.71M
Financing Cash Flow1.67B1.42B2.10B2.09B909.57M359.64M

Polestar Automotive Holding UK Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.85
Price Trends
50DMA
21.85
Negative
100DMA
26.70
Negative
200DMA
29.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.98
Positive
RSI
38.72
Neutral
STOCH
19.90
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSNY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.70, below the 50-day MA of 21.85, and below the 200-day MA of 29.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.98 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PSNY.

Polestar Automotive Holding UK Risk Analysis

Polestar Automotive Holding UK disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Polestar Automotive Holding UK reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Polestar Automotive Holding UK Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$21.46B-65.28%28.21%44.43%
55
Neutral
$17.31B28.476.53%-10.00%-54.75%
50
Neutral
$18.66B-9.01%86.57%51.35%
45
Neutral
$11.24B-296.45%14.94%2.53%
41
Neutral
$4.21B-61.12%45.86%22.13%
40
Underperform
$1.40B
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSNY
Polestar Automotive Holding UK
14.33
-14.66
-50.57%
NIO
Nio
5.03
0.61
13.80%
LI
Li Auto
17.08
-4.72
-21.65%
XPEV
XPeng, Inc. ADR
18.99
6.60
53.27%
LCID
Lucid Group
12.54
-14.76
-54.07%
RIVN
Rivian Automotive
18.42
3.08
20.08%

Polestar Automotive Holding UK Corporate Events

Polestar Reports Strong Revenue Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 15, 2025

Polestar Automotive Holding UK Plc, a Swedish electric performance car manufacturer, focuses on innovative design and sustainability in the automotive industry, with a presence in 28 global markets. In its latest earnings report, Polestar announced a 49% increase in revenue for the first nine months of 2025, driven by higher sales volumes and a diverse model lineup, despite facing external profitability challenges. Key financial metrics revealed a revenue of USD 2,171 million, a net loss of USD 1,558 million, and a cash balance of USD 995 million, with significant contributions from carbon credit sales. The company also reported a 36.5% increase in retail sales, highlighting strong performance in Europe and the introduction of higher-priced models. Looking ahead, Polestar remains focused on expanding its market presence and enhancing operational efficiency, while navigating a competitive market environment.

Polestar ADR Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 6, 2025

Polestar’s recent earnings call painted a picture of a company experiencing both significant achievements and notable challenges. While the call highlighted strong revenue and sales volume growth, operational improvements, and a successful expansion in Europe, these positives were tempered by a negative gross margin due to an impairment expense, difficulties in the U.S. market, and the absence of updated financial guidance. This mixed bag of results suggests a balanced outlook for Polestar, with both promising achievements and notable challenges ahead.

Polestar Reports Strong Revenue Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 4, 2025

Polestar Automotive Holding UK Plc, a Swedish electric performance car brand, is known for its focus on innovative design and sustainability within the automotive industry. The company has recently reported a significant revenue growth of 56% in the first half of 2025, driven by a 51% increase in retail sales volumes and expansion of its retail network. Despite this growth, the company faced profitability challenges due to external headwinds, resulting in a net loss of USD 1,193 million, primarily attributed to a substantial impairment expense. Polestar’s strategic efforts included raising USD 200 million in new equity and confirming a future production site in Europe for the Polestar 7, planned for launch in 2028. Looking ahead, Polestar remains focused on expanding its market presence and achieving a compound annual retail sales volume growth target of 30-35% from 2025 to 2027.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 13, 2025