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Peraso, Inc. (PRSO)
NASDAQ:PRSO
US Market

Peraso (PRSO) AI Stock Analysis

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PRSO

Peraso

(NASDAQ:PRSO)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$0.91
▼(-51.44% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing losses and sustained negative free cash flow—despite improving margins and narrowing losses. Technicals are a meaningful positive with price above major moving averages and supportive momentum, while valuation remains constrained by negative earnings. The earnings call added optimism around accelerating mmWave-driven revenue and improving gross margin, but working-capital build and continued losses temper the upside.
Positive Factors
High Gross Margins
Sustained gross margins above 50% indicate strong product-level economics and differentiation in mmWave RF/beamforming ICs. High gross margin provides structural capacity to cover R&D and SG&A as volumes scale, improving the path to durable operating breakeven over multiple quarters.
Accelerating mmWave Revenue
Rapid, multi-quarter growth in 60 GHz product revenue signals successful design wins and meaningful market traction in fixed wireless and backhaul. Durable demand for high-capacity links and initial tactical communications trials support ongoing revenue expansion as OEMs ramp deployments.
Low Leverage
A low debt load reduces bankruptcy and refinancing risk, giving management flexibility to invest in product development and commercial ramps. This conservative capital structure supports longer runway for execution while the company transitions toward sustainable cash generation.
Negative Factors
Persistent Cash Burn
Material negative operating and free cash flow over trailing twelve months indicates the business is not yet self-funding. Continued cash burn pressures liquidity, increases reliance on external financing, and constrains the company’s ability to fund product commercialization and inventory build without dilution.
Sustained Net Losses
Despite improving gross margins, persistent negative operating and net margins reflect elevated operating expenses and limited operating leverage. Continued losses suppress retained earnings and ROE, delaying the timeline to durable profitability and reducing internal capital available for strategic initiatives.
Strategic and Financing Uncertainty
Ongoing strategic review and external talks create uncertainty around long-term direction and may lead to outcomes that dilute shareholders or change capital allocation. Combined with warrant extensions and ATM increases, these actions suggest recurring reliance on capital markets, pressuring financial stability.

Peraso (PRSO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Peraso Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPeraso Inc. operates as a fabless semiconductor company, develops, markets, and sells semiconductor devices and modules. It focuses on development of millimeter wavelength (mmWave) for the 60 gigahertz, spectrum, and for 5G cellular networks. The company's products include mmWave ICs, including baseband IC, various mmWave radio frequency, integrated circuits, as well as associated antenna technology; and mmWave modules. It also provides accelerator engine products, comprising bandwidth engine for high-performance applications where throughput is critical; and programmable hyperspeed engine to allow user-defined functions or algorithms. In addition, the company offers quad partition rate which allows for parallel accesses to multiple partitions of the memory simultaneously. Its mmWave products enable various applications, such as 5G with low latency and high reliability, multi-gigabit, mmWave links over 25 kilometers, as well as consumer applications, such as wireless video streaming, and untethered augmented reality and virtual reality. The company also licenses intellectual property, as well as offers non-recurring engineering services. It markets its products through direct sales personnel, as well as sells representatives and distributors. The company was formerly knowns as MoSys, Inc. and changed its name to Peraso Inc. in December 2021. Peraso Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is based in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyPeraso, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, including mmWave ICs and modules. These products are sold to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and system integrators who incorporate them into their wireless communication systems. The company may also engage in licensing agreements, allowing other firms to utilize its proprietary technology for a fee. In addition, Peraso might receive revenue from research and development services provided to strategic partners and customers. Significant partnerships with industry leaders and participation in joint ventures can further bolster its earnings by expanding its market reach and integration in emerging technologies like 5G.

Peraso Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 16, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:May 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed meaningful progress in strategic areas—especially a large increase in millimeter wave revenue, several high-profile customer wins (including defense and robotaxi collaborations), improved gross margin (GAAP) and materially lower operating expenses—resulting in a significantly reduced annual GAAP net loss. Offsetting these positives were continuing total revenue declines year-over-year, a near-term supplier-caused shipment delay >$500k that weakens Q1 guidance (Q1 revenue ~ $1.2M), reduced non-GAAP gross margins due to product mix shift, negative adjusted EBITDA, and lower demand visibility from irregular customer order patterns. Overall, the company appears to be transitioning toward new higher-growth products with improved cost discipline, but near-term revenue and visibility risks temper the outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Millimeter Wave Revenue Growth
Full-year 2025 millimeter wave product sales increased to $9.1M from $1.3M in 2024 (approximately a 7x increase, ~+600% YoY). Q4 2025 millimeter wave revenues were $2.4M (versus $0.2M in Q4 2024). Management described millimeter wave revenue as having grown approximately six-fold year-over-year.
Meaningful Reduction in Operating Expenses
Full-year GAAP operating expenses declined to $11.8M in 2025 from $20.0M in 2024 (≈-41%). Full-year non-GAAP operating expenses decreased to $11.3M from $14.9M in 2024 (≈-24%). Drivers included reduced stock-based compensation, fully amortized intangibles, and lower severance/software license obligations.
Improved GAAP Profitability Metrics
Full-year GAAP gross margin improved to 58.0% in 2025 from 51.7% in 2024 (+6.3 percentage points). Full-year GAAP net loss improved to $4.8M (loss $0.67/share) from $10.7M in 2024 (loss $3.57/share), a substantial reduction in annual GAAP net loss.
Strategic Customer Wins and Product Launches
Notable design wins and collaborations during 2025 included Tachyon Networks (selected modules), renewed collaboration with Wheeling for multi-gigabit mesh, MicroSeq integrating Peraso tech in a product launched at Mobile World Congress, and naming Intact as a lead defense contractor for a drone friend-or-foe system. Management highlighted successful field trials and initial production shipments for defense.
New Market Expansion (Tactical Communications & Robotaxi Edge AI)
Peraso transitioned a defense engagement into a new tactical communications vertical with initial production shipments and successful field trials; management also announced collaborations with robotaxi/edge-AI partners (BX60/VX60 platforms) targeting high-throughput depot offload use cases (up to 1 TB/vehicle/hour), representing potential large-scale adjacent market opportunities.
Improved Liquidity in Q4
Cash increased to approximately $2.9M as of 12/31/2025 from $1.9M on 9/30/2025 (net +$1.0M), reflecting ~$2.1M in net proceeds from the at-the-market offering during Q4.
Negative Updates
Full-Year and Quarterly Revenue Declines
Total net revenue for full-year 2025 was $12.2M, down from $14.6M in 2024 (≈-16.4% YoY). Q4 2025 net revenue was $2.9M versus $3.7M in Q4 2024 and $3.2M in the prior quarter.
Near-Term Revenue Impact from Supplier Delay
An unexpected supplier logistics issue (materials stuck in customs) will delay a significant order from Q1 to Q2 2026, expected to reduce Q1 revenue by more than $500,000. Management now expects Q1 2026 net revenue of approximately $1.2M.
Decline in Non-GAAP Gross Margin
Full-year non-GAAP gross margin fell to 58.0% in 2025 from 67.2% in 2024 (-9.2 percentage points), primarily due to reduced shipments of higher-margin memory IC products transitioning to millimeter wave mix.
Continued Losses and Negative Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA remained negative: Q4/2025 adjusted EBITDA was negative $1.1M and full-year adjusted EBITDA was negative $4.0M (though improved from negative $4.5M in 2024). Non-GAAP net loss for full-year 2025 was $4.3M (loss $0.60/share).
Lower Visibility and Irregular Order Patterns
Management cited reduced visibility into future demand due to irregular ordering from fixed wireless access customers and multiple new customers without established order patterns, increasing forecasting uncertainty.
Revenue Mix Risk from Memory IC Decline
Decrease in shipments of legacy memory IC products (end-of-life) reduced product revenues and pressured non-GAAP gross margin; the company is relying on millimeter wave ramp to offset this mix shift.
Company Guidance
Peraso guided to approximately $1.2 million of total net revenue for Q1 2026 assuming the delayed Asia‑supplier order does not contribute, noting the supplier issue is expected to reduce Q1 revenue by more than $500,000 with that shipment now anticipated in Q2 2026; management also said production revenue from the Intact defense engagement is expected to shift into the second half of 2026, and reiterated expectations for continued year‑over‑year growth in millimeter‑wave revenue after millimeter‑wave sales rose to $9.1 million in full‑year 2025 (about six‑fold versus $1.3M in 2024). For context, the company reported cash of approximately $2.9M as of 12/31/2025, roughly 12.0M shares outstanding (weighted average ~9.2M), and a full‑year adjusted EBITDA loss of $4.0M in 2025.

Peraso Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite strong gross margin (~56%) and improving losses versus prior years, the business remains deeply unprofitable (net margin ~-48%) with continued cash burn (TTM operating cash flow ~-$5.2M; free cash flow ~-$5.3M). Low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.08–0.09) helps reduce balance-sheet risk, but modest equity and negative returns keep the financial profile pressured.
Income Statement
28
Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is down (-4.5%), extending a choppy multi-year top-line pattern. Profitability is the key weakness: despite a solid TTM gross margin (~56%), the company remains deeply unprofitable with negative operating and net margins (net margin ~-48%). The positive offset is a clear improvement versus prior years (losses and margins have narrowed meaningfully from 2022–2023 levels), but the business has not yet converted that gross profit into sustainable operating profitability.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Leverage looks manageable with low debt relative to equity in both TTM and the latest annual period (debt-to-equity ~0.08–0.09), which reduces financial risk. However, equity is modest (~$3.6M TTM) and returns on equity remain sharply negative due to ongoing losses, indicating limited balance-sheet earning power. Overall, the capital structure is relatively conservative, but the company needs improved profitability to strengthen equity over time.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation is the primary pressure point: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is materially negative (~-$5.2M) and free cash flow is also negative (~-$5.3M), implying continued cash burn to fund operations. Free cash flow improved versus the prior year (growth +20% from a negative base), but cash flow is still not self-sustaining. The company’s losses are also broadly mirrored in cash outflows, suggesting limited near-term support from working-capital or non-cash add-backs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.00M14.57M13.75M14.87M5.68M9.09M
Gross Profit7.64M7.53M1.87M5.95M2.41M7.34M
EBITDA-4.81M-8.76M-19.22M-23.27M-15.02M-6.46M
Net Income-5.07M-10.73M-16.80M-32.40M-10.91M-10.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.24M7.21M10.71M22.49M47.95M9.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.86M3.34M1.58M2.91M15.16M1.71M
Total Debt192.00K321.00K719.00K1.49M667.00K5.66M
Total Liabilities2.64M3.74M6.63M7.23M5.88M13.91M
Stockholders Equity3.60M3.47M4.08M15.26M42.07M-3.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.32M-4.58M-4.78M-17.03M-12.25M-10.28M
Operating Cash Flow-5.24M-4.58M-4.69M-16.02M-12.02M-10.24M
Investing Cash Flow-79.00K0.001.01M10.04M6.63M-38.13K
Financing Cash Flow5.87M6.34M3.44M1.92M9.57M10.08M

Peraso Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.87
Price Trends
50DMA
1.03
Positive
100DMA
1.05
Positive
200DMA
1.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Negative
RSI
68.68
Neutral
STOCH
59.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRSO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.14, above the 50-day MA of 1.03, and above the 200-day MA of 1.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PRSO.

Peraso Risk Analysis

Peraso disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Peraso reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Peraso Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$209.47M-357.39-0.80%-0.41%-134.49%
54
Neutral
$17.52M-1.87-148.60%2.15%94.29%
48
Neutral
$38.68M-4.2539.55%-38.72%16.01%
48
Neutral
$136.15M-27.53%7.53%-15.00%
47
Neutral
$11.52M-4.79-45.37%729.81%61.92%
46
Neutral
$51.51M-0.61-99.13%2.80%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRSO
Peraso
1.87
1.04
124.49%
PXLW
Pixelworks
6.08
-1.79
-22.74%
LEDS
SemiLEDs
1.40
-0.39
-21.79%
SQNS
Sequans Communications S A
3.22
-19.28
-85.69%
MRAM
Everspin Technologies
9.06
3.72
69.66%
VLN
Valens
1.33
-0.79
-37.26%

Peraso Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Peraso continues due diligence talks on Mobix Labs deal
Neutral
Jan 21, 2026

Peraso Inc. disclosed that, following an initial confidentiality agreement signed on October 30, 2025, it remains in active discussions with Mobix Labs, Inc. over a potential strategic transaction and both parties are conducting customary confidential due diligence. Mobix Labs has submitted a non-binding indication of interest for an all-stock deal at a premium to Peraso’s current trading price, but no agreement has yet been reached on key terms such as structure, consideration, or timing, leaving the outcome and implications for shareholders uncertain at this stage.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRSO) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Peraso stock, see the PRSO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Peraso Adds Industry Veteran Cees Links to Board
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 21, 2025, Peraso Inc.’s board amended its Amended and Restated 2019 Stock Incentive Plan to remove limits on equity awards for non-employee directors, following stockholder approval at the December 22, 2025 annual meeting to increase the plan’s share reserve by 1,000,000 shares. At that meeting, shareholders, representing about 38.7% of voting power, re-elected four directors, ratified Weinberg & Company, P.A. as independent auditor for 2025, approved the stock plan share increase and authorized potential adjournments of the meeting, signaling support for the company’s governance and compensation framework. On December 23, 2025, Peraso appointed veteran wireless entrepreneur and semiconductor executive Cees Links to its board, adding a seasoned industry figure with deep Wi-Fi, IoT and photonics experience that could bolster the company’s strategic positioning in advanced wireless markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRSO) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Peraso stock, see the PRSO Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Peraso Extends Series C Warrants Expiration Date
Neutral
Dec 9, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Peraso Inc. extended the expiration date of its Series C Warrants to January 7, 2026. This extension, achieved through amendments with each warrant holder, impacts 1,293,650 shares of common stock, originally issued in November 2024. The Series C Warrants, with an exercise price of $1.61 per share, have undergone multiple extensions since their initial expiration date in May 2025. The resale of shares from these warrants is registered under the company’s effective registration statement with the SEC.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRSO) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Peraso stock, see the PRSO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Peraso Increases Share Offering to Boost Flexibility
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Ian McWalter announced his retirement from Peraso Inc., deciding not to seek re-election as a director at the company’s 2025 annual meeting. His departure is not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations or policies. On November 21, 2025, Peraso Inc. filed a prospectus supplement to increase the maximum number of shares available under its At the Market Offering Agreement to $3,150,000, excluding previously sold shares. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its financial flexibility and market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRSO) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Peraso stock, see the PRSO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 18, 2026