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GCT Semiconductor Holding (GCTS)
NYSE:GCTS
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GCT Semiconductor Holding (GCTS) AI Stock Analysis

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GCTS

GCT Semiconductor Holding

(NYSE:GCTS)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(9.49% Upside)
GCT Semiconductor Holding's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by declining revenues, negative margins, and high leverage. While there are positive developments in 5G technology and customer engagement, these are currently insufficient to offset the significant financial challenges. The technical analysis and valuation further reflect the company's struggles, with bearish indicators and a negative P/E ratio.
Positive Factors
5G Technology Commercialization
The recognition of first 5G product revenue marks a significant milestone, indicating early adoption and potential growth in the 5G market, which could drive long-term revenue expansion.
Customer Engagement
Positive feedback from major customers on 5G chipsets reflects strong market interest and potential for future sales, enhancing GCT's competitive position in the semiconductor industry.
Strengthened Financial Position
The additional financing improves GCT's ability to scale production and meet demand, which is crucial for capitalizing on growth opportunities in the 5G sector.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
The sharp decline in revenue indicates significant challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact the company's ability to invest in growth and innovation.
Negative Gross Margin
Negative gross margins highlight operational inefficiencies and the inability to cover production costs, which could hinder profitability and financial stability.
Increased Administrative Expenses
Rising administrative costs strain financial resources and could limit the company's ability to invest in strategic initiatives, affecting long-term growth prospects.

GCT Semiconductor Holding (GCTS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GCT Semiconductor Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc., operates as a fabless semiconductor company, designs, develops, and markets integrated circuits for the wireless semiconductor industry. The company provides RF and modem chipsets based on 4G LTE technology, including 4G LTE, 4.5G LTE Advanced, and 4.75G LTE Advanced-Pro. It also develops and sells cellular IoT chipsets for low-speed mobile networks such as eMTC/NB-IOT/Sigfox, and other network protocols; and 5G solutions. Its products and solutions are used in smartphones, tablets, hotspots, CPEs, USB dongles, routers, and M2M applications. The company sells its products directly or indirectly through distributors to original equipment manufacturers and original design manufacturers primarily in Taiwan, China, Korea and Japan, Europe, North America and South America. The company was formerly known as Global Communication Technology, Inc. GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyGCT Semiconductor generates revenue through the sale of its semiconductor products, which are primarily sold to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and distributors in various industries. The company's revenue model is driven by direct sales of its high-performance RF components and integrated circuits, which are essential for enhancing telecommunications and electronic devices. Key revenue streams include bulk orders from large contracts with major tech companies, ongoing supply agreements, and licensing of proprietary technologies. Additionally, GCTS may benefit from strategic partnerships with other technology firms that enhance its market reach and product offerings, further contributing to its earnings through collaborative projects and joint ventures.

GCT Semiconductor Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects GCT Semiconductor's positive strides in 5G technology commercialization and customer engagement, highlighted by significant milestones like the first 5G product revenue and engagement with major customers like Gogo. However, these advancements are overshadowed by significant financial challenges, including a sharp decline in revenue, negative gross margins, and increased expenses, which paint a more concerning picture of the company's current financial health.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
First 5G Product Revenue Recognition
GCT Semiconductor recognized its first 5G product revenue this quarter, marking an important milestone in its commercialization path and indicating early adoption of its next-generation technology.
Successful 5G Chipset Sampling and Customer Engagement
Successfully completed sampling of 5G chipsets and modules to lead customers, including Airspan Networks and Orbit, with positive feedback received, reflecting growing confidence in the commercial readiness of the solution.
Gogo's 5G Deployment Plan
Gogo, the first 5G network operator, is set to activate full service before year-end 2025 using GCT's 5G chipset, marking the first planned commercial deployment and showcasing the chipset's performance in a demanding airborne environment.
Strengthened Financial Position
Secured $10.7 million in debt financing to support production readiness and volume shipments, strengthening the company's balance sheet for future growth phases.
Negative Updates
Significant Revenue Decline
Net revenues decreased significantly from $2.6 million in Q3 2024 to $400,000 in Q3 2025, largely due to a $1.6 million decrease in product sales and a $600,000 decline in service revenues.
Negative Gross Margin
The gross margin was negative in Q3 2025 due to lower product revenue that was insufficient to absorb production overhead costs, reflecting challenges in achieving profitability.
Increased Costs Associated with 4Gs LTE Inventory
Incurred a $500,000 incremental write-down related to slow-moving 4Gs LTE inventory, which contributed to increased cost of net revenue.
Increase in General and Administrative Expenses
General and administrative expenses increased by 64% from $2.4 million in Q3 2024 to $3.9 million in Q3 2025, driven by rising stock-based compensation and personnel-related costs.
Company Guidance
In the GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc. third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company outlined several key metrics and guidance for the upcoming quarters. They reported a notable milestone with the recognition of their first 5G product revenue, although it remains small in scale. The company has shipped over 2,500 units of their 5G chipset and expects to support the first wave of aircraft installations, with plans to scale as additional operators and network partners begin deployments in 2026. Financially, GCT recorded a decrease in net revenue from $2.6 million in Q3 2024 to $400,000 in Q3 2025, attributed to a $1.6 million decline in product sales and a $600,000 drop in service revenues. They secured $10.7 million in debt financing to bolster production readiness and maintain a cash position of $8.3 million. The company anticipates improved margins and positive cash flow by late 2026, with pricing for their 5G chipset averaging around $40. Looking ahead, GCT is focused on ramping up production capacity to meet growing demand, ensuring supply chain readiness, and achieving adjusted EBITDA breakeven by Q3 2026.

GCT Semiconductor Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GCT Semiconductor Holding faces significant financial challenges across all verticals. The income statement highlights declining revenues and negative margins, while the balance sheet shows negative equity and high leverage. Cash flow remains a concern, with negative operating and free cash flows. The company needs to address these issues to stabilize its financial position and improve profitability.
Income Statement
25
Negative
The income statement reflects significant challenges, with declining revenue and negative profit margins. The TTM data shows a severe revenue decline of 35.9% and negative net profit margins, indicating profitability issues. The company has struggled with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, suggesting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a precarious financial position, with negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio. The negative equity ratio indicates financial instability. However, the return on equity has improved slightly, albeit still negative, reflecting ongoing challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, although there is a slight improvement in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues. Despite these challenges, the free cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, suggesting some efficiency in converting income to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.89M9.13M16.03M16.67M25.52M
Gross Profit-8.00K5.08M6.73M5.05M8.16M
EBITDA-32.64M-6.74M-13.89M-21.38M-20.63M
Net Income-39.33M-12.38M-22.47M-26.41M-26.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.27M19.90M16.43M16.48M353.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.34M1.44M258.00K1.40M1.21M
Total Debt435.00K43.45M80.07M70.34M5.49M
Total Liabilities104.42M79.21M131.87M111.41M36.53M
Stockholders Equity-80.15M-59.31M-115.44M-94.93M317.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-27.22M-31.50M-9.16M-18.99M-18.38M
Operating Cash Flow-25.72M-30.96M-8.83M-18.09M-17.74M
Investing Cash Flow-1.50M-542.00K-331.00K-903.00K-637.00K
Financing Cash Flow35.94M36.47M8.15M19.27M10.57M

GCT Semiconductor Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.37
Price Trends
50DMA
1.43
Negative
100DMA
1.43
Negative
200DMA
1.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
54.24
Neutral
STOCH
69.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GCTS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.37 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.35, below the 50-day MA of 1.43, and below the 200-day MA of 1.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GCTS.

GCT Semiconductor Holding Risk Analysis

GCT Semiconductor Holding disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GCT Semiconductor Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GCT Semiconductor Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
$91.50M-2.24%-2.20%-204.45%
46
Neutral
$101.11M-8.46%-7.79%10.04%
45
Neutral
$38.77M-1.11-38.72%16.01%
42
Neutral
$146.43M-15.40-24.81%-42.77%83.21%
41
Neutral
$74.85M-2.01-46.98%-186.82%
40
Underperform
$96.64M-4.58-21.44%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GCTS
GCT Semiconductor Holding
1.42
-1.11
-43.87%
INTT
inTEST
7.76
-0.44
-5.37%
MX
MagnaChip
2.96
-1.59
-34.95%
PXLW
Pixelworks
6.91
-2.71
-28.17%
WKEY
WISeKey International Holding
8.65
6.66
334.67%
NA
Nano Labs Ltd. Sponsored ADR Class A
4.12
-7.90
-65.72%

GCT Semiconductor Holding Corporate Events

GCT Semiconductor Reports Q3 2025 Earnings and 5G Progress
Nov 13, 2025

GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc. is a fabless designer and supplier of advanced 5G and 4G LTE semiconductor solutions, known for its market-proven system-on-chip solutions that integrate various functionalities for wireless connectivity.

Shareholder Meetings
GCT Semiconductor Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

On September 18, 2025, GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made. Stockholders elected management’s nominees as directors, ratified BPM LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025, and approved the issuance of shares exceeding 19.99% of outstanding stock to comply with NYSE rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GCTS) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GCT Semiconductor Holding stock, see the GCTS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
GCT Semiconductor Secures $10.7M Loan for 5G Chipsets
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

On September 10, 2025, GCT Research, Inc., a subsidiary of GCT Semiconductor Holding, entered into a loan agreement with Anapass, Inc. for a term loan of approximately $10.7 million to accelerate production readiness for their 5G chipsets. This financing, announced on September 11, 2025, is aimed at supporting the commercial launch of GCT’s 5G chipset following successful sampling and positive customer feedback. The funds will be used for working capital requirements, including preparations for mass production and volume shipments expected to begin in the fourth quarter of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (GCTS) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GCT Semiconductor Holding stock, see the GCTS Stock Forecast page.

GCT Semiconductor’s Earnings Call: 5G Progress Amid Challenges
Aug 14, 2025

GCT Semiconductor Holdings’ recent earnings call highlighted a company in transition, with a mixed sentiment reflecting both optimism and challenges. The company is making significant strides in its 5G chipset development and strategic partnerships, positioning itself for future growth. However, current financial metrics reveal challenges, including declining revenues and margins, as the company navigates the shift from 4G to 5G technologies.

GCT Semiconductor Advances in 5G Market Strategy
Aug 13, 2025

GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc. is a prominent fabless designer and supplier of advanced 5G and 4G LTE semiconductor solutions, known for its compact, high-performance, and cost-effective system-on-chip solutions that integrate radio frequency, baseband modem, and digital signal processing functions. The company operates within the semiconductor industry, focusing on providing connectivity solutions for commercial devices used by leading wireless carriers worldwide.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025