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Amtech Systems (ASYS)
NASDAQ:ASYS

Amtech Systems (ASYS) AI Stock Analysis

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Amtech Systems

(NASDAQ:ASYS)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(8.43%Upside)
Amtech Systems is currently experiencing financial and profitability challenges, primarily due to declining revenues and increased leverage. However, technical indicators show moderate bullish momentum, and strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call suggest potential for long-term improvement. The negative valuation metrics remain a concern, emphasizing the need for operational and financial recovery to enhance investor attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Cash Position
Unrestricted cash and cash equivalents at the end of the December quarter were $13.2 million dollars, compared to $11.1 million dollars at the end of the September quarter.
Cost Savings
Restructuring moves are expected to save $13 million on an annual basis and result in an EBITDA breakeven annual sales level of $60 million.
Sales Forecast
Amtech reported sales within its previously revised range and guided to somewhat higher sales in the June quarter.
Negative Factors
Backlog Decline
The backlog in the year-ago period was $44.3 million, indicating a significant decrease to the current backlog of $19.1 million.
Operating Loss
The GAAP operating loss for the Thermal Processing Solutions segment was $8.40 million in the March quarter versus an operating income of $2.87 million in the prior quarter.
Revenue Guidance
The Company now expects second quarter revenues in the range of $15 - $16 million, and nominally negative adjusted EBITDA, compared to the original second quarter guidance of $21 - $23 million revenue and nominally positive adjusted EBITDA.

Amtech Systems (ASYS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amtech Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmtech Systems, Inc. manufactures and sells capital equipment and related consumables for use in fabricating silicon carbide (SiC), silicon power devices, analog and discrete devices, electronic assemblies, and light-emitting diodes (LEDs) worldwide. The company operates in Semiconductor and Material and Substrate segments. The Semiconductor segment designs, manufactures, sells, and services thermal processing equipment, including solder reflow ovens, diffusion furnaces, and customer high-temp belt furnaces for use by semiconductor manufacturers, as well as in electronics, automotive and other industries; and wafer polishing equipment and related services. Its products include horizontal diffusion furnaces; and belt furnaces. The Material and Substrate segment manufactures and sells consumables and machinery for lapping and polishing of materials, such as silicon wafers for semiconductor products; sapphire substrates for LED lighting and mobile devices; silicon carbide wafers for LED and power device applications; various glass and silica components for 3D image transmission; quartz and ceramic components for telecommunications devices; and medical device components, and optical and photonics applications. This segment also offers substrate process chemicals for use in various manufacturing processes, including semiconductors, silicon and compound semiconductor wafers, and optics. The company sells its products through sales personnel, as well as a network of independent sales representatives and distributors. The company was formerly known as Quartz Engineering & Materials, Inc. and changed its name to Amtech Systems, Inc. in 1987. Amtech Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmtech Systems generates revenue primarily through the sale of its thermal processing equipment and related technologies to semiconductor manufacturers. The company's key revenue streams include the direct sale of its diffusion furnaces and polishing systems, as well as the provision of customer support services and spare parts. Amtech often establishes long-term partnerships with its clients, ensuring a steady demand for its equipment and services. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation and customization enables it to cater to specific customer needs, enhancing its market competitiveness and revenue potential.

Amtech Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 23.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed a mixed outlook with significant challenges in the mature node semiconductor market, impacting revenue and profitability, but also highlighted strong demand in AI-related segments and successful cost optimization efforts. The company's solid cash position and strategic initiatives provide a positive long-term perspective despite current headwinds.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
AI Packaging Equipment Bookings Surge
Orders for advanced packaging equipment, particularly for AI applications, were very strong, with second-quarter bookings exceeding total bookings for all of fiscal 2024.
Cost Structure Optimization
The company executed site consolidations and workforce adjustments, expecting $1 million in incremental EBITDA savings per quarter from Q4 2025, with total annualized savings anticipated at $11 million.
Strong Cash Position
Amtech ended the quarter with $13.4 million in cash and no outstanding debt, providing flexibility for strategic investments.
Growth in Semiconductor Fabrication Solutions
Stabilization in the Semiconductor Fabrication Solutions segment was noted, with a book-to-bill ratio slightly above 1, indicating balanced incoming orders and revenue.
Negative Updates
Revenue Shortfall and Profitability Impact
Revenue for the second fiscal quarter came in below guidance, driven by a $4.9 million shipment delay in the Thermal Processing Solutions segment and overall softening in the mature node semiconductor market, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.4 million.
Significant Impairment and Write-offs
Amtech recorded a $22.9 million impairment charge and a $6 million inventory write-off due to prolonged softness in the mature node and EV-related semiconductor market.
Decreased Revenue and Net Loss
Net revenue decreased by 36% from fiscal Q1 and 39% from the second quarter of fiscal 2024. GAAP net loss for the second quarter was $31.8 million, compared to net income in previous periods.
Weak Orders for Reflow Equipment in the U.S.
Orders for reflow equipment in the U.S. were weak due to high tariffs, although this was offset by strength in Asia.
Company Guidance
During Amtech Systems' fiscal second quarter 2025 conference call, the company highlighted several key metrics and guidance for the future. The company reported a net revenue of $15.6 million, representing a 36% decrease from fiscal Q1 and a 39% decrease from the same quarter in fiscal 2024. This decline was attributed to a $4.9 million shipment delay and weakened demand in the mature node semiconductor market. The adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was a loss of $1.4 million, with a GAAP net loss of $31.8 million or $2.23 per share. Notably, the company recorded an impairment charge of $22.9 million and a $6 million inventory write-off. Despite these challenges, Amtech saw strong demand for its advanced packaging equipment, driven by AI applications, with Q2 bookings for this product line exceeding total bookings for fiscal 2024. The company anticipates revenues of approximately $16.9 million for Q3 2025 and expects adjusted EBITDA to be nominally neutral. Cost-optimization efforts are projected to yield additional savings of $1 million per quarter starting in Q4 2025, with a target of achieving a breakeven adjusted EBITDA at around $16 million in revenue. Amtech ended the quarter with $13.4 million in cash and no outstanding debt, positioning it to continue strategic investments.

Amtech Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Amtech Systems faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability pressures, as indicated by negative profit margins and decreased cash flow growth. While the balance sheet remains relatively stable, increased leverage and a negative return on equity highlight potential risks. The company must address operational inefficiencies and stabilize revenues to improve financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Amtech Systems has experienced significant volatility in revenue with a notable decline from $113.3M in 2023 to $90.8M TTM, indicating a contraction in sales. Gross profit margin decreased from 31.4% to 31.5% TTM, while the net profit margin turned negative at -34.8% TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational challenges and potential profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company maintains a relatively healthy equity base with an equity ratio of 61.2% TTM, down from previous levels, highlighting stability. However, the debt-to-equity ratio increased to 0.32 TTM, reflecting a rise in leverage which could pose risks amid declining revenues. Return on equity is negative, pointing to inefficiencies in generating profits from shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Amtech Systems shows a mixed cash flow picture with free cash flow of $4.56M TTM, but free cash flow growth is negative compared to the previous period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 0.24, indicating some ability to generate cash despite negative net income, which provides a cushion against financial stress.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
90.83M101.21M113.31M106.30M85.20M65.46M
Gross Profit
28.60M36.23M35.55M39.51M34.53M24.44M
EBIT
-30.40M-6.73M-14.97M4.82M3.73M2.74M
EBITDA
-27.85M-3.92M-9.65M6.55M5.21M810.00K
Net Income Common Stockholders
-31.60M-8.49M-12.58M17.37M1.51M-3.91M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
13.43M11.09M13.13M46.87M32.84M45.07M
Total Assets
83.41M118.95M137.02M133.53M116.91M102.10M
Total Debt
16.52M17.57M22.20M11.82M13.72M10.24M
Net Debt
3.10M6.49M9.07M-35.05M-19.12M-34.83M
Total Liabilities
32.37M36.59M48.66M35.17M31.28M20.58M
Stockholders Equity
51.03M82.36M88.36M98.37M85.63M81.52M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.56M4.96M-10.60M4.07M-8.97M-4.34M
Operating Cash Flow
7.61M9.84M-7.70M5.20M-5.96M-1.66M
Investing Cash Flow
-3.05M-2.18M-37.83M18.77M-8.09M-12.62M
Financing Cash Flow
-4.14M-10.63M11.74M-8.27M1.17M-1.50M

Amtech Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.15
Price Trends
50DMA
3.77
Positive
100DMA
4.41
Negative
200DMA
5.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
55.03
Neutral
STOCH
56.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASYS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.05, above the 50-day MA of 3.77, and below the 200-day MA of 5.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ASYS.

Amtech Systems Risk Analysis

Amtech Systems disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amtech Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amtech Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$342.67M14.8321.69%-14.48%46.79%
67
Neutral
$87.32M25.19-0.10%5.19%-101.31%
62
Neutral
$11.95B9.93-7.21%4.85%7.32%-8.25%
60
Neutral
$846.81M-9.87%-30.75%-3668.44%
55
Neutral
$59.40M40.38-47.90%-16.52%-46.13%
53
Neutral
$48.49M378.21%39.81%
VLVLN
53
Neutral
$241.04M-24.31%-12.13%-39.21%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASYS
Amtech Systems
4.15
-2.48
-37.41%
AEHR
Aehr Test Systems
11.51
0.71
6.57%
COHU
Cohu
18.18
-13.81
-43.17%
INTT
inTEST
6.99
-2.57
-26.88%
SQNS
Sequans Communications S A
1.91
0.68
55.28%
VLN
Valens
2.28
-0.82
-26.45%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.