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Atomera (ATOM)
NASDAQ:ATOM
US Market

Atomera (ATOM) AI Stock Analysis

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Atomera

(NASDAQ:ATOM)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲( 13.29% Upside)
Atomera faces significant financial challenges, with continuous losses impacting profitability and cash flow. Positive technical momentum offers some optimism, but overbought conditions warrant caution. Recent strategic partnerships and technological advancements provide potential upside, yet financial losses and uncertain revenue guidance weigh heavily on the stock's outlook.

Atomera (ATOM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Atomera Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtomera Incorporated (ATOM) is a semiconductor materials and intellectual property licensing company. It operates primarily in the technology sector, focusing on the development and commercialization of its proprietary technology called Mears Silicon Technology (MST). This technology aims to improve the performance and efficiency of semiconductor devices. Atomera collaborates with semiconductor manufacturers to integrate MST into their existing production processes, enhancing the semiconductor characteristics without substantial changes to their designs.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtomera makes money primarily through the licensing of its Mears Silicon Technology (MST) to semiconductor manufacturers. The company enters into licensing agreements where it provides access to its patented technology, allowing manufacturers to incorporate MST into their semiconductor production processes. Revenue is generated from a combination of upfront licensing fees, milestone payments, and royalties based on the volume or value of semiconductor products sold that utilize MST. Key partnerships with leading semiconductor companies play a significant role in driving Atomera's revenue, as these collaborations facilitate the adoption and integration of MST across the industry.

Atomera Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Atomera is struggling financially, with continuous losses impacting profitability and cash flow. Despite low leverage, the inability to generate positive net income or free cash flow raises concerns about its operational efficiency and long-term viability.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Atomera's income statement indicates significant challenges with profitability. The gross profit margin has dropped due to decreasing gross profit despite minor revenue growth. The company has consistently reported negative net income, resulting in a negative net profit margin over the years. Although there was a slight revenue increase from the previous year, it has not translated into profitability improvements. The negative EBIT and EBITDA margins further highlight operational inefficiencies and high costs.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative due to consistent net losses, indicating poor returns to shareholders. The equity ratio remains high, reflecting a stronger reliance on equity financing. Despite this, ongoing losses and declining equity raise concerns about long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Atomera's cash flow statement shows persistent negative free cash flow, suggesting operational cash burn. Operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income ratios indicate inefficiencies in converting revenue into cash. While there was a significant inflow from financing activities, it mainly covers operational deficits without contributing to growth investments.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
135.00K550.00K382.00K400.00K62.00K
Gross Profit
12.00K522.00K301.00K147.00K49.00K
EBIT
-19.34M-20.68M-17.53M-15.53M-14.92M
EBITDA
-16.94M-18.16M-15.68M-15.27M-14.70M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-18.43M-19.79M-17.36M-15.71M-14.66M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
26.77M19.53M21.18M28.70M37.94M
Total Assets
29.12M24.03M26.73M36.06M39.40M
Total Debt
1.98M3.64M4.88M6.54M692.00K
Net Debt
-23.79M-8.95M-16.31M-22.16M-37.25M
Total Liabilities
4.05M5.86M6.42M7.68M2.05M
Stockholders Equity
25.08M18.17M20.31M28.38M37.34M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-13.24M-14.59M-12.54M-12.55M-12.20M
Operating Cash Flow
-13.24M-14.56M-12.50M-12.44M-12.07M
Investing Cash Flow
6.08M-6.75M-39.00K-109.00K-131.00K
Financing Cash Flow
20.34M12.71M5.02M3.31M35.27M

Atomera Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.62
Price Trends
50DMA
5.12
Positive
100DMA
6.93
Negative
200DMA
5.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.66
Negative
RSI
58.96
Neutral
STOCH
38.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATOM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.97, above the 50-day MA of 5.12, and above the 200-day MA of 5.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ATOM.

Atomera Risk Analysis

Atomera disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Atomera reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Atomera Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$72.96M25.19-0.10%5.19%-101.31%
70
Outperform
$137.05M176.22-0.31%-22.48%-102.37%
61
Neutral
$11.41B10.19-7.05%2.95%7.46%-10.52%
ICICG
59
Neutral
$141.62M20.245.21%236.05%
54
Neutral
$81.56M-24.87%-20.12%-660.05%
MXMX
52
Neutral
$141.01M-14.88%3.59%-64.21%
52
Neutral
$203.26M-90.30%-78.70%13.98%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATOM
Atomera
6.62
2.40
56.87%
INTT
inTEST
5.84
-4.13
-41.42%
MX
MagnaChip
3.91
-1.04
-21.01%
QUIK
QuickLogic
5.15
-7.50
-59.29%
MRAM
Everspin Technologies
6.15
0.10
1.65%
ICG
Intchains Group Ltd. ADR
2.69
-5.49
-67.11%

Atomera Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 30.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented several strategic advancements, including a new partnership and progress in GaN and RF SOI technologies. However, these were tempered by continued financial losses, modest revenue guidance, and delays in customer deals.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
New Partnership Announcement
Atomera announced a partnership with a major unnamed capital equipment provider aimed at accelerating MST technology adoption and enhancing sales efforts. This collaboration is expected to help Atomera deliver optimized solutions more quickly.
Progress in GaN Technology
Atomera completed the world's first GaN devices using MST technology, in collaboration with Sandia National Labs, showing improved electrical performance and material quality.
Expansion with STMicro
Atomera made significant progress with STMicro, focusing on manufacturability and yield. New discussions have started with other ST product areas, potentially leading to new licenses.
Strong Interest in RF SOI
Atomera reported increased customer interest in improving low noise amplifiers (LNAs) for RF SOI devices, driven by demands for better performance in 5G technologies.
Cash Position
Atomera raised $2.4 million under its ATM facility, maintaining a comfortable cash position amidst volatile market conditions.
Negative Updates
Increased Net Loss
GAAP net loss for Q1 2025 was $5.2 million, up from $4.8 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to increased R&D and legal expenses.
Revenue Guidance
Revenue for Q2 is expected to be between $0 and $50,000, indicating uncertainty and potential revenue challenges.
Delayed Customer Engagement
The transformative customer previously mentioned did not result in a reported agreement by the earnings call, indicating potential delays.
Company Guidance
During the call, Atomera provided guidance on its financial and business outlook for the first quarter of 2025. The company reported a GAAP net loss of $5.2 million or $0.17 per share, compared to a net loss of $4.8 million or $0.19 per share in Q1 2024. Operating expenses increased to $5.5 million, largely driven by a $397,000 rise in R&D expenses and a $277,000 hike in G&A expenses, partially offset by a $226,000 reduction in sales and marketing costs. The company's cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled $24.1 million as of March 31, 2025. Atomera's non-GAAP net loss was $4.4 million, with stock compensation expenses remaining steady at $1 million. The company anticipates Q2 revenue to fall between zero and $50,000, dependent on wafer shipments, and adjusted its full-year non-GAAP OpEx guidance to a range of $17.25 million to $17.75 million. Atomera highlighted its strategic partnership with a major capital equipment provider to accelerate production timelines and improve sales efforts, with no significant alterations to its license fees and royalties business model.

Atomera Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Atomera Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting, Elects Directors
Positive
May 16, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Atomera Incorporated held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and strategic direction. The stockholders elected five directors to the board, ratified the appointment of CBIZ CPAs P.C. as the independent accounting firm, approved executive compensation, and endorsed an amendment to the company’s 2023 Stock Incentive Plan, indicating continued support for the company’s leadership and strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATOM) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atomera stock, see the ATOM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Atomera Revises CEO Severance Agreement Terms
Neutral
May 5, 2025

Atomera has amended its employment agreement with CEO Scott A. Bibaud, initially established in March 2025. The revised agreement, effective May 5, 2025, alters the conditions under which Mr. Bibaud would receive severance payments in the event of a Change of Control, shifting from a ‘single trigger’ to a ‘double trigger’ requirement.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.