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Atomera (ATOM)
NASDAQ:ATOM
US Market

Atomera (ATOM) AI Stock Analysis

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Atomera

(NASDAQ:ATOM)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(4.17%Upside)
Atomera's overall stock score is driven by significant financial challenges, including ongoing losses and cash flow concerns, which weigh heavily on its profile. While technical indicators and strategic initiatives provide some potential for improvement, the negative valuation metrics limit the stock's attractiveness in the current market environment.

Atomera (ATOM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Atomera Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtomera Incorporated is a high-tech company operating in the semiconductor industry. The company focuses on enhancing the performance and efficiency of semiconductor devices through its proprietary technology, Mears Silicon Technology (MST). MST is designed to improve the electrical characteristics of semiconductor wafers, which can lead to better power efficiency and performance of electronic devices. Atomera works with semiconductor manufacturers and foundries to integrate MST into their production processes.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtomera makes money primarily through licensing its Mears Silicon Technology (MST) to semiconductor manufacturers and foundries. The company enters into agreements with these manufacturers, allowing them to incorporate MST into their production processes in exchange for licensing fees. These fees can be structured in various ways, including upfront payments, ongoing royalties based on the volume of production using MST, or milestone payments as manufacturers achieve certain production or performance targets. Atomera may also engage in joint development agreements where they collaborate with manufacturers to optimize MST for specific applications, potentially leading to additional revenue streams. The company's revenue is significantly influenced by the adoption rate of MST in the semiconductor industry and its ability to establish and maintain partnerships with key players in the market.

Atomera Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented several strategic advancements, including a new partnership and progress in GaN and RF SOI technologies. However, these were tempered by continued financial losses, modest revenue guidance, and delays in customer deals.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
New Partnership Announcement
Atomera announced a partnership with a major unnamed capital equipment provider aimed at accelerating MST technology adoption and enhancing sales efforts. This collaboration is expected to help Atomera deliver optimized solutions more quickly.
Progress in GaN Technology
Atomera completed the world's first GaN devices using MST technology, in collaboration with Sandia National Labs, showing improved electrical performance and material quality.
Expansion with STMicro
Atomera made significant progress with STMicro, focusing on manufacturability and yield. New discussions have started with other ST product areas, potentially leading to new licenses.
Strong Interest in RF SOI
Atomera reported increased customer interest in improving low noise amplifiers (LNAs) for RF SOI devices, driven by demands for better performance in 5G technologies.
Cash Position
Atomera raised $2.4 million under its ATM facility, maintaining a comfortable cash position amidst volatile market conditions.
Negative Updates
Increased Net Loss
GAAP net loss for Q1 2025 was $5.2 million, up from $4.8 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to increased R&D and legal expenses.
Revenue Guidance
Revenue for Q2 is expected to be between $0 and $50,000, indicating uncertainty and potential revenue challenges.
Delayed Customer Engagement
The transformative customer previously mentioned did not result in a reported agreement by the earnings call, indicating potential delays.
Company Guidance
During the call, Atomera provided guidance on its financial and business outlook for the first quarter of 2025. The company reported a GAAP net loss of $5.2 million or $0.17 per share, compared to a net loss of $4.8 million or $0.19 per share in Q1 2024. Operating expenses increased to $5.5 million, largely driven by a $397,000 rise in R&D expenses and a $277,000 hike in G&A expenses, partially offset by a $226,000 reduction in sales and marketing costs. The company's cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled $24.1 million as of March 31, 2025. Atomera's non-GAAP net loss was $4.4 million, with stock compensation expenses remaining steady at $1 million. The company anticipates Q2 revenue to fall between zero and $50,000, dependent on wafer shipments, and adjusted its full-year non-GAAP OpEx guidance to a range of $17.25 million to $17.75 million. Atomera highlighted its strategic partnership with a major capital equipment provider to accelerate production timelines and improve sales efforts, with no significant alterations to its license fees and royalties business model.

Atomera Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Atomera is struggling financially, with continuous losses impacting profitability and cash flow. While its leverage is low, the inability to generate positive net income or free cash flow raises concerns about its operational efficiency and long-term viability.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Atomera's income statement indicates significant challenges with profitability. The gross profit margin has dropped due to decreasing gross profit despite minor revenue growth. The company has consistently reported negative net income, resulting in a negative net profit margin over the years. Although there was a slight revenue increase from the previous year, it has not translated into profitability improvements. The negative EBIT and EBITDA margins further highlight operational inefficiencies and high costs.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative due to consistent net losses, indicating poor returns to shareholders. The equity ratio remains high, reflecting a stronger reliance on equity financing. Despite this, ongoing losses and declining equity raise concerns about long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Atomera's cash flow statement shows persistent negative free cash flow, suggesting operational cash burn. Operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income ratios indicate inefficiencies in converting revenue into cash. While there was a significant inflow from financing activities, it mainly covers operational deficits without contributing to growth investments.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
121.00K135.00K550.00K382.00K400.00K62.00K
Gross Profit
-40.00K12.00K522.00K301.00K147.00K49.00K
EBIT
-19.77M-19.34M-20.68M-17.53M-15.53M-14.92M
EBITDA
-18.52M-16.94M-18.16M-15.68M-15.27M-14.70M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-18.82M-18.43M-19.79M-17.36M-15.71M-14.66M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
24.12M26.77M19.53M21.18M28.70M37.94M
Total Assets
26.25M29.12M24.03M26.73M36.06M39.40M
Total Debt
1.61M1.98M3.64M4.88M6.54M692.00K
Net Debt
-22.51M-23.79M-8.95M-16.31M-22.16M-37.25M
Total Liabilities
2.97M4.05M5.86M6.42M7.68M2.05M
Stockholders Equity
23.28M25.08M18.17M20.31M28.38M37.34M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-13.88M-13.25M-14.59M-12.54M-12.55M-12.20M
Operating Cash Flow
-13.87M-13.24M-14.56M-12.50M-12.44M-12.07M
Investing Cash Flow
4.56M6.08M-6.75M-39.00K-109.00K-131.00K
Financing Cash Flow
18.63M20.34M12.71M5.02M3.31M35.27M

Atomera Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.28
Price Trends
50DMA
5.41
Positive
100DMA
6.09
Negative
200DMA
5.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
44.37
Neutral
STOCH
29.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATOM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.52, below the 50-day MA of 5.41, and below the 200-day MA of 5.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ATOM.

Atomera Risk Analysis

Atomera disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Atomera reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Atomera Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$90.95M25.19-0.10%5.19%-101.31%
66
Neutral
$135.70M176.22-0.31%-22.48%-102.37%
62
Neutral
$11.97B10.08-7.46%2.96%7.37%-8.22%
ICICG
59
Neutral
$118.51M23.973.39%236.05%
MXMX
54
Neutral
$141.73M-14.88%3.59%-64.21%
54
Neutral
$93.75M-24.87%-20.12%-660.05%
48
Neutral
$191.90M-90.30%-78.70%13.98%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATOM
Atomera
5.28
1.35
34.35%
INTT
inTEST
6.83
-2.69
-28.26%
MX
MagnaChip
3.84
-1.08
-21.95%
QUIK
QuickLogic
5.68
-5.38
-48.64%
MRAM
Everspin Technologies
5.71
-0.41
-6.70%
ICG
Intchains Group Ltd. ADR
1.80
-5.00
-73.53%

Atomera Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Atomera Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting, Elects Directors
Positive
May 16, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Atomera Incorporated held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and strategic direction. The stockholders elected five directors to the board, ratified the appointment of CBIZ CPAs P.C. as the independent accounting firm, approved executive compensation, and endorsed an amendment to the company’s 2023 Stock Incentive Plan, indicating continued support for the company’s leadership and strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATOM) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atomera stock, see the ATOM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Atomera Revises CEO Severance Agreement Terms
Neutral
May 5, 2025

Atomera has amended its employment agreement with CEO Scott A. Bibaud, initially established in March 2025. The revised agreement, effective May 5, 2025, alters the conditions under which Mr. Bibaud would receive severance payments in the event of a Change of Control, shifting from a ‘single trigger’ to a ‘double trigger’ requirement.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.