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Semileds Corp. (LEDS)
NASDAQ:LEDS

SemiLEDs (LEDS) AI Stock Analysis

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LEDS

SemiLEDs

(NASDAQ:LEDS)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-22.68% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/04/26
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability and a bearish technical trend, alongside material corporate-event risks (Nasdaq compliance and potential dilution). Positive operating/free cash flow and improved leverage provide some support but are not yet reinforced by durable earnings strength.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sizable TTM revenue growth indicates rising end-market demand and product traction across segments (automotive, horticulture, general lighting). Durable top-line expansion supports operating scalability and offsets some legacy margin pressure as volumes spread fixed costs over time.
Cash Generation
Positive operating and free cash flow across the trailing year shows the business can self-fund operations and modest investment without immediate external capital. That cash resilience reduces short-term liquidity stress and supports reinvestment or debt reduction as earnings recover.
Reduced Leverage
Material improvement in leverage and lower absolute debt levels enhance financial flexibility and reduce interest burden versus prior years. A stronger capital structure gives the company runway to execute growth initiatives and withstand cyclical semiconductor demand volatility.
Negative Factors
Weak Profitability
Very low gross margin and persistent net losses mean revenue growth does not yet translate into durable earnings. Structural cost or pricing issues could prevent sustainable operating leverage, leaving profitability vulnerable if volumes moderate or input costs rise.
Nasdaq Listing Risk
Noncompliance with listing equity thresholds is a material structural risk: potential delisting would impair liquidity, increase cost of capital, and weaken partner/customer confidence. Management must remediate within prescribed periods or face damaging governance and financing consequences.
Financing Dependence & Dilution Risk
Ongoing reliance on insider/related-party loans with equity repayment options signals constrained external funding access and raises dilution risk. This financing pattern can erode minority shareholder value and reflects structural dependence on affiliated capital rather than market financing.

SemiLEDs (LEDS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SemiLEDs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSemiLEDs Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells light emitting diode (LED) chips, LED components, and LED modules and systems in the United States, Taiwan, the Netherlands, Germany, Japan, Ireland, and internationally. The company also sells enhanced vertical, LED product series in blue, white, green, and UV; LED chips to packagers or distributors; and lighting products primarily to original design manufacturers of lighting products and the end-users of lighting devices, as well as packages and sells its LED chips into LED components to distributors. Its products are used for general lighting applications, including commercial, industrial, and residential lighting; and specialty industrial applications, such as ultraviolet or UV, curing of polymers, LED light therapy in medical/cosmetic applications, counterfeit detection, germicidal and viricidal devices LED lighting for horticulture applications, architectural lighting, and entertainment lighting. SemiLEDs Corporation was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Chunan, Taiwan.
How the Company Makes MoneySemiLEDs generates revenue primarily through the sale of its LED chips and lighting products. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes direct sales to customers in the lighting and electronics industries, as well as partnerships with manufacturers who integrate SemiLEDs' products into their own lighting solutions. Key revenue streams include bulk sales of LED chips to commercial and industrial customers, as well as royalties and licensing fees from proprietary technologies. Additionally, SemiLEDs may benefit from government contracts and incentives aimed at promoting energy-efficient lighting solutions, which can further enhance its earnings.

SemiLEDs Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue growth and improved leverage are positives, and operating/free cash flow are solidly positive. However, profitability remains weak with very low gross margin (~4.9%) and the business is still loss-making, limiting the score despite the turnaround progress.
Income Statement
32
Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is $44.3M and shows strong growth versus the prior annual period, but profitability remains weak: gross margin is ~4.9% and the company is still loss-making (net margin ~-3.0%, with negative EBIT/EBITDA). While losses have narrowed materially versus 2021–2024 (when net margins were deeply negative), the current cost structure still does not convert revenue into sustainable earnings.
Balance Sheet
41
Neutral
Leverage has improved significantly over time, with debt-to-equity down to ~1.13 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) from much higher levels in earlier years, and total debt reduced to ~$2.34M. However, equity remains relatively small (~$2.07M) and returns on equity are still meaningfully negative, indicating the balance sheet is more stable than before but still vulnerable if losses persist.
Cash Flow
67
Positive
Cash generation is a clear bright spot: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is positive (~$2.75M) and free cash flow is also positive (~$2.27M), with strong free-cash-flow growth versus the prior annual period. The main caution is that earnings are still negative, so cash flow strength may be influenced by working-capital or other timing benefits rather than durable profitability.
BreakdownTTMAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.32M43.01M5.18M5.98M7.05M4.74M
Gross Profit2.19M2.43M1.05M1.01M1.40M1.03M
EBITDA-498.00K-272.00K-1.17M-1.40M-1.42M-1.59M
Net Income-1.32M-1.13M-2.04M-2.69M-2.74M-2.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.23M15.59M11.14M13.46M16.05M18.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.89M2.59M1.67M2.57M4.27M4.83M
Total Debt3.80M4.01M4.82M7.74M8.51M9.31M
Total Liabilities12.16M12.81M8.89M12.26M12.56M13.61M
Stockholders Equity2.07M2.78M2.20M1.15M3.45M4.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.25M1.64M-488.00K-1.18M-1.79M-1.85M
Operating Cash Flow2.73M2.21M-365.00K-984.00K-1.51M-1.74M
Investing Cash Flow-474.00K-595.00K-101.00K-321.00K-113.00K159.00K
Financing Cash Flow-494.00K-622.00K-449.00K-456.00K490.00K3.99M

SemiLEDs Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.94
Price Trends
50DMA
1.75
Negative
100DMA
2.08
Negative
200DMA
2.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
37.73
Neutral
STOCH
45.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LEDS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.64, above the 50-day MA of 1.75, and below the 200-day MA of 2.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LEDS.

SemiLEDs Risk Analysis

SemiLEDs disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SemiLEDs reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SemiLEDs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
$156.62M-5.29-23.56%7.53%-15.00%
54
Neutral
$8.06M-0.92-180.20%2.15%94.29%
54
Neutral
$40.34M-222.710.84%0.10%-54.98%
49
Neutral
$37.26M-1.26-38.72%16.01%
47
Neutral
$12.83M-10.34-45.37%729.81%61.92%
44
Neutral
$75.37M-1.73-46.98%-186.82%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LEDS
SemiLEDs
1.56
-0.21
-11.86%
PRSO
Peraso
0.86
<0.01
0.12%
PXLW
Pixelworks
5.92
-3.26
-35.51%
TRT
Trio-Tech International
4.61
1.62
54.18%
VLN
Valens
1.53
-0.71
-31.70%
GCTS
GCT Semiconductor Holding
1.32
-0.66
-33.33%

SemiLEDs Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
SemiLEDs Receives Nasdaq Notice Over Listing Compliance
Negative
Feb 3, 2026

On January 30, 2026, SemiLEDs received a notice from The NASDAQ Stock Market that it no longer meets the minimum $2,500,000 stockholders’ equity requirement for continued listing under Listing Rule 5550(b)(1), and also fails to satisfy the alternative criteria based on market value of listed securities or net income from continuing operations. The company has 45 calendar days from that date to submit a plan to regain compliance and, if NASDAQ accepts the plan, SemiLEDs could receive an extension of up to 180 calendar days from January 30, 2026 to restore compliance, putting its continued listing status under review and creating uncertainty for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (LEDS) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SemiLEDs stock, see the LEDS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
SemiLEDs Extends Insider Loan, Adds Stock Repayment Option
Negative
Jan 16, 2026

On January 8, 2019, SemiLEDs entered into secured loan agreements totaling $3.2 million with Chairman and CEO Trung Doan and its then-largest shareholder J.R. Simplot Company, later assigned to Simplot Taiwan Inc., at an annual interest rate of 8% and secured by a second priority lien on the company’s headquarters building. Since then, through a series of amendments dated between January 16, 2021, and January 15, 2026, the company has repeatedly extended the loans’ maturities—most recently to January 15, 2027—while progressively adding flexibility to repay principal and accrued interest with newly issued common stock, capitalizing $364,924.63 of unpaid interest into Simplot Taiwan’s loan and enabling up to $1.2 million of debt to be settled in equity, moves that ease near‑term cash obligations but increase potential dilution for shareholders and underscore SemiLEDs’ ongoing reliance on insider and major-shareholder financing.

The most recent analyst rating on (LEDS) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SemiLEDs stock, see the LEDS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026