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Pernod Ricard
(OTC:PRNDY)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$16.50
▼(-6.62% Downside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:03/21/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong margins and stable leverage) and very compelling valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by weak technicals, with the stock trading below all major moving averages and negative momentum readings.
Positive Factors
Margin Strength
Sustained high gross margins (~60%) and improving net margin (14.8% in 2025) reflect durable pricing power from premium brands and efficient operations. This margin resilience supports reinvestment, stable cash returns and tolerance to cost volatility over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Trend
Negative revenue growth (recently -6.18% reported) signals demand or distribution challenges that can erode operating leverage and slow scale benefits. Persistent top-line contraction threatens long-term margin improvements and limits organic growth opportunities.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin Strength
Sustained high gross margins (~60%) and improving net margin (14.8% in 2025) reflect durable pricing power from premium brands and efficient operations. This margin resilience supports reinvestment, stable cash returns and tolerance to cost volatility over the next several months.
Read all positive factors
Pernod Ricard (PRNDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$18.30B
Dividend Yield5.55%
Average Volume (3M)255.08K
Price to Earnings (P/E)11.4
Beta (1Y)0.68
Revenue Growth-6.18%
EPS Growth35.75%
CountryUS
Employees19,557
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryBeverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.12
Shares Outstanding1,261,346,000
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume255,084
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.24
Price to Book (P/B)1.41
Price to Sales (P/S)1.95
P/FCF Ratio19.08
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.49
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.73
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.68
Enterprise Value/Ebitda9.48
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)1.35
Revenue Forecast (FY)$10.92B
Pernod Ricard Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Pernod Ricard SA operates as a global purveyor of alcoholic beverages, manufacturing and distributing a diverse array of wines and spirits across international markets. The company, which offers its products under numerous distinct labels, was est...
How the Company Makes Money
Pernod Ricard primarily makes money by selling branded alcoholic beverages to distributors, retailers, and on-trade customers, generating revenue from the volume of cases sold and the net price per case (often supported by premium brand positionin...
Pernod Ricard Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2025
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant achievements in operational efficiencies and cash flow management. However, these were offset by declines in key markets such as China and the U.S., leading to a cautious outlook for the fiscal year '26.Positive Updates
Strong Cash Flow Management
Free cash flow reached EUR 1.133 billion, up 18%, with strong operating working capital management leading to an improvement in cash conversion.
Negative Updates
Net Sales Decline
Net sales were down 3% organically and 6% in reported terms, impacted by currency effects and declines in China, U.S.A., and GTR Asia.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Cash Flow Management
Free cash flow reached EUR 1.133 billion, up 18%, with strong operating working capital management leading to an improvement in cash conversion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the fiscal year 2025 sales and results call, Pernod Ricard discussed various financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a 3% organic decline in net sales, affected by currency impacts, with a 2% volume recovery marking the third consecutive semester of growth. Despite challenges in China, the U.S., and GTR Asia, Pernod Ricard achieved organic operating margin expansion of 64%, driven by strong cost discipline and EUR 900 million in operational efficiencies. Free cash flow increased by 18% to EUR 1.133 billion, supported by effective working capital management. The company also proposed a stable dividend of EUR 4.70 per share. Looking forward, Pernod Ricard aims for organic net sales growth of 3% to 6% per annum from fiscal years 2027 to 2029, with a focus on margin expansion and a new EUR 1 billion efficiency program over the next four years.Pernod Ricard Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 10.00B | 10.96B | 11.60B | 12.14B | 10.70B | 8.82B |
| Gross Profit | 5.83B | 6.52B | 6.97B | 7.25B | 6.47B | 5.29B |
| EBITDA | 2.88B | 3.19B | 3.19B | 3.75B | 3.33B | 2.63B |
| Net Income | 1.40B | 1.63B | 1.48B | 2.26B | 2.00B | 1.30B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 37.66B | 37.08B | 39.19B | 37.68B | 36.01B | 32.15B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.40B | 1.83B | 2.68B | 1.61B | 2.53B | 2.08B |
| Total Debt | 13.60B | 12.59B | 13.62B | 11.87B | 11.17B | 9.60B |
| Total Liabilities | 21.14B | 20.85B | 22.39B | 20.96B | 19.76B | 17.07B |
| Stockholders Equity | 15.47B | 15.21B | 15.75B | 15.72B | 15.94B | 14.83B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.16B | 1.12B | 954.00M | 1.33B | 1.79B | 1.57B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.68B | 1.79B | 1.73B | 2.03B | 2.29B | 2.00B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 66.39M | -521.00M | -676.00M | -1.73B | -1.20B | -486.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.35B | -2.40B | -209.00M | -1.12B | -683.00M | -1.41B |
Pernod Ricard Technical Analysis
Negative
17.67
Price Trends
14.80
Negative
15.81
Negative
17.17
Negative
Market Momentum
0.03
Negative
57.57
Neutral
99.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRNDY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.61, above the 50-day MA of 14.80, and above the 200-day MA of 17.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRNDY.
Pernod Ricard Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
82 Outperform | $49.59B | 16.47 | 17.19% | 8.22% | -0.41% | 13.36% | |
70 Outperform | $18.30B | 11.40 | 9.20% | 5.55% | -6.18% | 35.75% | |
69 Neutral | $12.35B | 17.75 | 17.63% | 3.41% | -0.45% | -16.82% | |
69 Neutral | $12.35B | 17.75 | 17.63% | 3.42% | -0.45% | -16.82% | |
64 Neutral | $23.85B | 14.27 | 22.08% | 2.92% | -10.48% | ― | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
60 Neutral | $44.81B | 18.51 | 21.39% | 4.80% | -1.84% | -33.01% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
PRNDY
Pernod Ricard
14.60
-5.51
-27.40%
BF.A
Brown Forman A
27.36
0.01
0.04%
STZ
Constellation Brands
139.09
-22.93
-14.15%
DEO
Diageo
80.38
-19.95
-19.88%
BF.B
Brown-Forman B
26.65
-0.28
-1.05%
ABEV
Ambev SA
3.14
0.84
36.64%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.