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Brown Forman A (BF.A)
NYSE:BF.A

Brown Forman A (BF.A) AI Stock Analysis

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Brown Forman A

(NYSE:BF.A)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(9.33%Upside)
Brown Forman A's strong financial performance, characterized by profitability and cash management, is a key strength. However, the stock faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability efficiency. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, which could impact future performance. The fair valuation with a reasonable P/E ratio and attractive dividend yield supports the stock's appeal for income investors.

Brown Forman A (BF.A) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brown Forman A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrown-Forman Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, exports, markets, and sells various alcoholic beverages. It provides spirits, wines, whiskey spirits, whiskey-based flavored liqueurs, ready-to-drink and ready-to-pour products, ready-to-drink cocktails, vodkas, tequilas, champagnes, brandy, bourbons, and liqueurs. The company offers its products primarily under the Jack Daniel's, Reserve, Old Forester, Coopers' Craft, Herradura, el Jimador, New Mix, Korbel Champagnes, Sonoma-Cutrer, Finlandia, GlenDronach, Benriach, Glenglassaugh, Chambord, Slane, and Fords Gin brands. It is also involved in the sale of used barrels, bulk whiskey, and wine; and provision of contract bottling services. The company serves retail customers and consumers through distributors or state governments; and retailers, wholesalers, and provincial governments directly. It has operations in the United States, Germany, Australia, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and internationally. The company was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrown-Forman generates revenue through the production, marketing, and distribution of its alcoholic beverage brands. The company's primary revenue streams come from the sale of whiskey, vodka, liqueurs, and tequila, with Jack Daniel's Tennessee Whiskey being its flagship product. Brown-Forman sells its products through a combination of direct sales to retailers and distributors, as well as partnerships with wholesalers and other distribution networks around the world. The company also invests in brand building and marketing strategies to enhance its market presence and drive sales. Additionally, pricing strategies, product innovation, and geographic expansion contribute to Brown-Forman's earnings by capturing new markets and consumer segments.

Brown Forman A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -10.93%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted sequential improvement in sales and strategic initiatives to drive future growth. However, challenges such as declining reported net sales, competitive pressures in the tequila segment, and uncertainties related to tariffs pose significant risks. The company remains optimistic about its strategic initiatives and market opportunities.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequentially Stronger Top and Bottom Line Results
The company delivered sequentially stronger top and bottom line results, with January marking the fifth consecutive month of positive 3-month rolling organic net sales trends, aligning organic net sales with full-year expectations.
Organic Net Sales Growth
Organic net sales grew 2% after adjusting for divestitures and other factors, with Woodford Reserve and Jack Daniel's Tennessee Whiskey as the largest drivers.
Woodford Reserve and Jack Daniel's Performance
Woodford Reserve's organic net sales grew by 10%, driven by higher volumes and positive price mix. Jack Daniel's Tennessee Whiskey's organic net sales increased by 2%.
Strong Performance in Emerging Markets
Emerging international markets delivered an 8% organic net sales increase, led by double-digit growth in Turkey and Brazil.
Execution of Strategic Initiatives
The company announced strategic initiatives, including restructuring the executive leadership team and reducing the global workforce by approximately 12%, expected to deliver $70 million to $80 million in annualized savings.
Negative Updates
Reported Net Sales Decrease
Reported net sales decreased by 4% in the first nine months of fiscal 2025.
Challenges in Tequila Segment
Tequila brands, El Jimador and Herradura, faced challenges in the U.S. and Mexico, with a highly competitive environment and economic challenges.
Tariff Uncertainties
The operating environment remains volatile, particularly on the topic of tariffs, with potential impacts on the EU, Mexico, and Canada markets.
Gross Margin Contraction
Reported and organic gross profit decreased, resulting in 150 basis points of gross margin contraction to 59.4%.
Company Guidance
During the Brown-Forman Corporation's Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reaffirmed its full year guidance for organic net sales growth in the range of 2% to 4%, with a lean towards the lower end, and organic operating income growth in the same range, leaning towards the upper end. The company reported a 4% decrease in reported net sales for the first nine months of fiscal 2025, but a 2% growth in organic net sales, driven by key brands like Woodford Reserve and Jack Daniel's Tennessee Whiskey. Organic operating income grew by 5% during this period, despite a 13% decline in reported operating income. Brown-Forman highlighted its strategic initiatives, including workforce restructuring aimed at reducing costs by approximately $70 million to $80 million annually, with an anticipated $60 million to $70 million in severance and closure charges. Additionally, they discussed increased investment in brand-building, focusing on innovation and strategic partnerships to drive long-term growth. The company also addressed the ongoing uncertainties in the operating environment, such as potential tariffs and competitive pricing pressures, particularly in the U.S. tequila market.

Brown Forman A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brown Forman A demonstrates strong profitability and cash management capabilities. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with moderate leverage, but faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability efficiency.
Income Statement
70
Positive
The company shows a solid gross profit margin of around 59% and a stable EBIT margin of 27.8% in the latest year. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased due to lower net income. Revenue has slightly declined by 4.85% from the previous year, indicating a need for growth strategies.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio remains manageable at 0.68, showcasing moderate financial leverage. The equity ratio is healthy at around 49.4%, indicating a stable financial structure. However, the return on equity has decreased to 21.8%, signaling a decline in profitability efficiency.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 49.6%, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 68.8%, highlighting effective cash management. However, free cash flow growth is marginally positive, requiring focus on enhancing cash-generating activities.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.98B4.18B4.23B3.93B3.46B
Gross Profit2.34B2.53B2.49B2.39B2.09B
EBITDA1.11B1.51B1.31B1.31B1.09B
Net Income869.00M1.02B783.00M838.00M903.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.09B8.17B7.78B6.37B6.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments444.00M446.00M374.00M868.00M1.15B
Total Debt2.73B3.10B2.91B2.27B2.56B
Total Liabilities4.09B4.65B4.51B3.64B3.87B
Stockholders Equity3.99B3.52B3.27B2.74B2.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow431.00M419.00M457.00M798.00M755.00M
Operating Cash Flow598.00M647.00M640.00M936.00M817.00M
Investing Cash Flow249.00M49.00M-1.35B-127.00M98.00M
Financing Cash Flow-843.00M-618.00M239.00M-1.04B-485.00M

Brown Forman A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price29.27
Price Trends
50DMA
30.85
Negative
100DMA
32.10
Negative
200DMA
35.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Negative
RSI
53.31
Neutral
STOCH
79.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BF.A, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 29.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.61, below the 50-day MA of 30.85, and below the 200-day MA of 35.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BF.A.

Brown Forman A Risk Analysis

Brown Forman A disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brown Forman A reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brown Forman A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CCCCU
73
Outperform
$2.40B13.6211.33%3.36%6.18%61.39%
DEDEO
71
Outperform
$58.43B16.2935.83%3.13%-1.21%-8.89%
68
Neutral
$13.76B15.9323.14%3.10%-4.90%-14.49%
SASAM
65
Neutral
$2.20B32.227.36%0.79%-24.27%
STSTZ
65
Neutral
$30.34B49.10-5.05%2.37%-0.47%-117.62%
TATAP
65
Neutral
$10.15B10.057.90%3.76%-5.17%-0.74%
50
Neutral
AU$2.20B-0.58-14.39%11.90%7.38%-60.19%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BF.A
Brown Forman A
29.27
-14.19
-32.65%
SAM
Boston Beer
194.98
-89.60
-31.48%
CCU
Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA
12.83
0.77
6.38%
STZ
Constellation Brands
172.19
-72.43
-29.61%
DEO
Diageo
103.55
-21.39
-17.12%
TAP
Molson Coors
50.00
0.28
0.56%

Brown Forman A Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Brown Forman A Announces Leadership Transition and Compensation
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

On April 25, 2025, Marshall B. Farrer announced his resignation as Executive Vice President and Chief Strategic Growth Officer of Brown-Forman Corporation, effective after the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, to assume the role of Chairman of the Board. In recognition of his service and new role, the company approved a compensatory package including a one-time $865,000 payment and favorable treatment of his stock-settled appreciation rights, reflecting the company’s strategic leadership transition.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 05, 2025