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Brown Forman A (BF.A)
NYSE:BF.A
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Brown Forman A (BF.A) AI Stock Analysis

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BF.A

Brown Forman A

(NYSE:BF.A)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(18.19% Upside)
Brown Forman A's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and reasonable valuation. The technical analysis suggests a neutral short-term outlook, with the stock trading close to its moving averages. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.

Brown Forman A (BF.A) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brown Forman A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrown-Forman Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, exports, markets, and sells various alcoholic beverages. It provides spirits, wines, whiskey spirits, whiskey-based flavored liqueurs, ready-to-drink and ready-to-pour products, ready-to-drink cocktails, vodkas, tequilas, champagnes, brandy, bourbons, and liqueurs. The company offers its products primarily under the Jack Daniel's, Reserve, Old Forester, Coopers' Craft, Herradura, el Jimador, New Mix, Korbel Champagnes, Sonoma-Cutrer, Finlandia, GlenDronach, Benriach, Glenglassaugh, Chambord, Slane, and Fords Gin brands. It is also involved in the sale of used barrels, bulk whiskey, and wine; and provision of contract bottling services. The company serves retail customers and consumers through distributors or state governments; and retailers, wholesalers, and provincial governments directly. It has operations in the United States, Germany, Australia, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and internationally. The company was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrown-Forman generates revenue primarily through the sale of its alcoholic beverages across various markets worldwide. The company operates a direct-to-consumer sales model as well as partnerships with distributors and retailers, which allows it to reach both on-premise (bars and restaurants) and off-premise (liquor stores and supermarkets) channels. Key revenue streams include sales of whiskey, vodka, tequila, and wine, with Jack Daniel's being its flagship brand that contributes significantly to overall revenue. Additionally, Brown-Forman benefits from a strong brand portfolio and effective marketing strategies, as well as partnerships with international distributors that help expand its global reach. Seasonal and holiday promotions, along with limited edition releases, also play a role in driving sales and enhancing consumer engagement.

Brown Forman A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. While there were notable achievements such as organic net sales growth, strong performances from Woodford Reserve and Jack Daniel's, and effective cost reduction strategies, these were balanced by challenges such as reported net sales decline, challenges in the tequila segment, gross margin contraction, and uncertainties related to tariffs. The operating environment remains dynamic with both positive strategic initiatives and significant external challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Organic Net Sales Growth
Organic net sales grew 2% after adjusting for divestitures, foreign exchange, and business model changes, despite a reported net sales decrease of 4%.
Woodford Reserve Performance
Woodford Reserve reported a 10% organic net sales growth, driven by higher volumes and positive price mix, with continued double-digit growth in Woodford Reserve Double Oak.
Jack Daniel's Tennessee Whiskey Growth
Organic net sales for Jack Daniel's Tennessee Whiskey increased 2% for the year-to-date period, with strategic brand-building initiatives like McLaren Formula 1 sponsorship and music sponsorships.
Strong Performance of Diplomático and Gin Mare
Diplomático and Gin Mare reported very strong double-digit organic net sales growth, leading to a positive contribution from the emerging brands portfolio.
New Mix Double-Digit Growth
New Mix continued its impressive growth with a double-digit organic net sales increase in 12 of the past 13 quarters, gaining market share in Mexico.
Cost Reduction Initiatives
Strategic workforce initiatives and Cooperage closure expected to deliver $70 million to $80 million in annualized savings, with $33 million already incurred in restructuring charges.
Negative Updates
Reported Net Sales Decline
Reported net sales decreased by 4% over the nine months ended January 31, 2025.
Challenges in Tequila Segment
Tequila brands, El Jimador and Herradura, faced challenges in the U.S. and Mexico, with increasing competition and challenging macroeconomic conditions affecting performance.
Impact of Tariffs
Potential impact of tariffs on the U.S. distilled spirits market, with uncertainties around the EU's potential reintroduction of tariffs affecting financial outlook.
Gross Margin Contraction
Reported and organic gross profit decreased by 6% and 1%, respectively, leading to a 150 basis points contraction in gross margin to 59.4%.
Consumer Spending Concerns
Challenging consumer environment with consumers trading down and being more price-sensitive, impacting discretionary spending.
Company Guidance
During the call, Brown-Forman provided guidance for fiscal 2025, reaffirming expectations for organic net sales growth in the 2% to 4% range, guiding closer to the lower end, and organic operating income growth at the upper end of the 2% to 4% range. The company highlighted sequential improvements in top-line and bottom-line results, driven by emerging markets and innovation. Organic net sales grew by 2% year-to-date, with Woodford Reserve and Jack Daniel's Tennessee Whiskey being key contributors. The company emphasized its strategic initiatives, including a workforce reduction, which is expected to incur $60-$70 million in costs but deliver annualized savings of $70-$80 million. Furthermore, Brown-Forman is preparing for potential tariff impacts and expects its capital expenditures to be between $180 million and $190 million, with an updated effective tax rate of approximately 20% to 22%.

Brown Forman A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brown Forman A exhibits solid financial health with strong profitability and cash flow metrics. Despite a slight decline in revenue growth, the company maintains efficient operations and a stable balance sheet.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Brown Forman A has maintained strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 59% and a net profit margin above 21% in the TTM. However, the company experienced a slight decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -0.68% in the TTM. Despite this, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.59 in the TTM, reflecting a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 22.41%, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio indicates a stable financial structure, although there has been a slight increase in debt levels over the past year.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Brown Forman A demonstrates strong cash flow management with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 35.5% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating room for improvement in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.72, showing effective cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.95B3.98B4.18B4.23B3.93B3.46B
Gross Profit2.33B2.34B2.53B2.49B2.39B2.09B
EBITDA1.25B1.29B1.51B1.19B1.27B1.24B
Net Income844.00M869.00M1.02B783.00M838.00M903.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.17B8.09B8.17B7.78B6.37B6.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments471.00M444.00M446.00M374.00M868.00M1.15B
Total Debt2.70B2.73B3.10B2.91B2.27B2.56B
Total Liabilities4.18B4.09B4.65B4.51B3.64B3.87B
Stockholders Equity3.99B3.99B3.52B3.27B2.74B2.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow584.00M431.00M419.00M457.00M798.00M755.00M
Operating Cash Flow741.00M598.00M647.00M640.00M936.00M817.00M
Investing Cash Flow241.00M249.00M49.00M-1.35B-127.00M98.00M
Financing Cash Flow-930.00M-843.00M-618.00M239.00M-1.04B-485.00M

Brown Forman A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price27.92
Price Trends
50DMA
29.31
Negative
100DMA
30.10
Negative
200DMA
32.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.53
Positive
RSI
40.70
Neutral
STOCH
21.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BF.A, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.06, below the 50-day MA of 29.31, and below the 200-day MA of 32.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BF.A.

Brown Forman A Risk Analysis

Brown Forman A disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brown Forman A reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brown Forman A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
2.45B31.748.73%2.46%-7.28%
70
Outperform
$13.02B15.6122.65%3.24%-3.34%-14.19%
69
Neutral
9.82B16.7015.42%4.68%6.40%6.17%
66
Neutral
9.30B9.347.72%3.95%-5.48%-6.99%
61
Neutral
55.59B23.5121.23%4.18%0.22%-38.76%
60
Neutral
23.45B-55.72-6.09%3.05%-0.47%-117.62%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BF.A
Brown Forman A
27.92
-17.72
-38.83%
SAM
Boston Beer
225.41
-49.21
-17.92%
CPB
Campbell Soup
32.93
-16.18
-32.95%
STZ
Constellation Brands
133.04
-112.63
-45.85%
DEO
Diageo
99.05
-31.94
-24.38%
TAP
Molson Coors
46.86
-6.66
-12.44%

Brown Forman A Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsDividends
Brown-Forman Announces New Chairman and Dividend Approval
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Brown-Forman Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where the election of directors and the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal year 2026 were confirmed. Marshall B. Farrer was named Chairman, succeeding Campbell P. Brown, and the Board approved a regular quarterly cash dividend, continuing the company’s long-standing tradition of dividend payments. These decisions reflect Brown-Forman’s commitment to strong corporate governance and strategic growth, emphasizing long-term success and resilience in a complex market environment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025