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Brown-Forman Corp (BF-B) (BF.B)
:BF.B
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Brown-Forman B (BF.B) AI Stock Analysis

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BF.B

Brown-Forman B

(NYSE:BF.B)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(11.73% Upside)
Brown-Forman B's overall score is driven by strong financial performance and valuation, with solid profitability and attractive dividend yield. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, with short-term bullish momentum but longer-term caution. The earnings call reflects both opportunities in emerging markets and challenges in developed regions.
Positive Factors
Emerging Markets Growth
Strong growth in emerging markets like Mexico and Brazil indicates expanding market presence and potential for long-term revenue growth.
Cash Flow Generation
Improved cash generation enhances financial flexibility, supporting strategic investments and shareholder returns over the long term.
Super Premium Whiskey Performance
Growth in super premium whiskey brands strengthens Brown-Forman's market position in high-margin segments, boosting profitability.
Negative Factors
Decline in Developed Markets
Declining sales in developed markets like Germany and the UK could impact overall revenue growth and market share in these regions.
Challenges in the United States
Sales decline in the U.S. market, a key revenue source, may affect Brown-Forman's financial performance and growth prospects.
Impact of Trade Disputes
Trade disputes affecting Canadian sales could lead to sustained revenue challenges and necessitate strategic adjustments.

Brown-Forman B (BF.B) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brown-Forman B Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrown-Forman Corporation is a leading American beverage alcohol company, known for its diverse portfolio of premium spirits and wines. Founded in 1870 and headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, the company operates primarily in the distilled spirits sector, with iconic brands such as Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve, and Finlandia vodka. Brown-Forman markets its products globally, catering to a wide range of consumer preferences and occasions across various segments, including whiskey, vodka, tequila, and ready-to-drink cocktails.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrown-Forman generates revenue primarily through the sale of its branded spirits and wines across both domestic and international markets. The company's revenue model is driven by several key streams, including wholesale sales to distributors, retail sales, and direct-to-consumer channels. A significant portion of its income comes from the sale of its flagship brand, Jack Daniel's, which is one of the best-selling American whiskey brands worldwide. Additionally, Brown-Forman benefits from premium pricing strategies and brand loyalty, as its products are positioned in the high-end segment of the market. Strategic partnerships with distributors and retailers enhance its market reach and facilitate promotional activities, while international growth, particularly in emerging markets, contributes significantly to overall sales. The company's focus on innovation and product development, including new flavor offerings and packaging, also plays a vital role in attracting new customers and driving additional revenue.

Brown-Forman B Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong growth in emerging markets and a promising new product launch, but significant challenges in developed markets, particularly the U.S. and Canada, and a decline in used barrel sales.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Emerging Markets Growth
Organic net sales growth in emerging international markets increased by 25%, with notable performance in Mexico (22% increase) and Brazil (30% increase).
Launch of Jack Daniel's Tennessee Blackberry
The launch of Jack Daniel's Tennessee Blackberry in the U.S. has been promising, with initial shipments exceeding expectations and positive feedback from distributors and consumers.
Super Premium Whiskey Performance
Strong double-digit growth in super premium brands in markets like Brazil and Europe, including Woodford Reserve and Jack Daniel's Single Barrel.
Strategic Distributor Transitions in the U.S.
Successful transition to new distributor partners in the U.S., increasing headcount dedicated to the Brown-Forman portfolio by almost 3x.
Negative Updates
Decline in Developed Markets
Organic net sales in developed international markets declined by 9%, with significant decreases in Germany (13%) and the United Kingdom (16%).
Challenges in the United States
Organic net sales in the U.S. declined by 2%, with the overall distilled spirits trend showing a low single-digit decline.
Impact of Trade Disputes
Canada's organic net sales declined nearly 60% due to the trade dispute between the U.S. and Canada, impacting American spirits sales.
Decrease in Used Barrel Sales
Organic net sales for used barrels decreased by over 40%, reflecting lower demand and pricing in the current industry environment.
Company Guidance
During the Brown-Forman Corporation's First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 earnings call, the company provided detailed financial guidance and insights into their performance. For the first quarter, reported net sales decreased by 3%, while organic net sales saw a 1% increase, adjusting for the impact of acquisitions, divestitures, and foreign exchange. Gross margin expanded by 40 basis points to 59.8%, driven by a 240 basis point benefit from the absence of transition services agreements related to divested brands. Organic operating income increased by 2%, while reported operating income decreased by 7%. The company reaffirmed its full-year outlook, expecting low single-digit declines in organic net sales and organic operating income. Emerging international markets showed strong growth, with organic net sales increasing 25% in Travel Retail and 30% in Brazil. In the U.S., organic net sales declined 2%, influenced by distributor transitions and the launch of Jack Daniel's Tennessee Blackberry. Despite a challenging economic environment, the company remains optimistic, leveraging strategic innovation and geographic expansion to navigate market headwinds.

Brown-Forman B Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brown-Forman B demonstrates strong profitability with stable margins and effective equity utilization. However, declining revenue growth poses a risk to future performance. The company maintains a balanced leverage position, supporting its financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Brown-Forman B demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 59% and a net profit margin over 21% in the TTM. However, the company faces challenges with declining revenue growth, showing a negative trend in recent periods. Despite this, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.59 in the TTM, reflecting manageable leverage. Return on equity is solid at 22.4%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong free cash flow growth of 35.5% in the TTM, highlighting improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, suggesting potential areas for improvement in cash conversion. Nonetheless, the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.72, indicating good cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.95B3.98B4.18B4.23B3.93B3.46B
Gross Profit2.33B2.34B2.53B2.49B2.39B2.09B
EBITDA1.25B1.29B1.51B1.19B1.27B1.24B
Net Income844.00M869.00M1.02B783.00M838.00M903.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.17B8.09B8.17B7.78B6.37B6.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments471.00M444.00M446.00M374.00M868.00M1.15B
Total Debt2.70B2.73B3.10B2.91B2.27B2.56B
Total Liabilities4.18B4.09B4.65B4.51B3.64B3.87B
Stockholders Equity3.99B3.99B3.52B3.27B2.74B2.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow584.00M431.00M419.00M457.00M798.00M755.00M
Operating Cash Flow741.00M598.00M647.00M640.00M936.00M817.00M
Investing Cash Flow241.00M249.00M49.00M-1.35B-127.00M98.00M
Financing Cash Flow-930.00M-843.00M-618.00M239.00M-1.04B-485.00M

Brown-Forman B Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.64
Price Trends
50DMA
27.63
Positive
100DMA
28.42
Positive
200DMA
30.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
58.30
Neutral
STOCH
82.09
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BF.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.62, above the 50-day MA of 27.63, and below the 200-day MA of 30.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.09 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BF.B.

Brown-Forman B Risk Analysis

Brown-Forman B disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brown-Forman B reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brown-Forman B Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$2.08B23.029.58%-1.13%24.34%
74
Outperform
$13.49B16.0522.65%3.32%-3.34%-14.19%
67
Neutral
$9.00B15.0715.64%5.06%6.40%6.17%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
$51.33B21.2922.33%4.52%0.22%-38.76%
57
Neutral
$23.48B19.6915.91%3.02%-5.57%119.49%
56
Neutral
$9.22B-17.66%4.01%-4.01%-339.22%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BF.B
Brown-Forman B
28.98
-12.07
-29.40%
SAM
Boston Beer
194.80
-120.12
-38.14%
CPB
Campbell Soup
30.24
-14.01
-31.66%
STZ
Constellation Brands
136.38
-95.49
-41.18%
DEO
Diageo
91.61
-23.30
-20.28%
TAP
Molson Coors
46.61
-13.17
-22.03%

Brown-Forman B Corporate Events

Brown-Forman Corp Reports Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results
Aug 29, 2025

Brown-Forman Corporation is a leading global spirits company, known for its premium beverage alcohol brands such as Jack Daniel’s, Woodford Reserve, and Herradura, operating in the spirits industry for over 155 years.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 24, 2025