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Brown-Forman B (BF.B)
NYSE:BF.B

Brown-Forman B (BF.B) AI Stock Analysis

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BF.B

Brown-Forman B

(NYSE:BF.B)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(11.73% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:04/04/26
The score is driven by strong financial quality (high margins, improving leverage, and robust free cash flow) and supportive valuation (low P/E with a solid dividend yield). Offsetting these positives, technicals are mixed with the stock still below key longer-term moving averages, and financials show recent top-line softness and uneven cash conversion.
Positive Factors
Brand portfolio and successful product innovation
The Blackberry launch exceeded expectations with shipments ahead of depletions and strong international phased rollouts. Durable benefit: successful new SKUs sustain consumer relevance, support premiumization, and drive repeatable incremental volume and on- and off-premise listings across markets.
Negative Factors
Top-line softness and choppy revenue trends
Revenue has been uneven with reported net sales down and organic results only flat after adjustments; multi-period top-line declines reduce scale benefits and pressure operating leverage. Persistent softness can constrain long-term margin expansion and slower brand investment returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Brand portfolio and successful product innovation
The Blackberry launch exceeded expectations with shipments ahead of depletions and strong international phased rollouts. Durable benefit: successful new SKUs sustain consumer relevance, support premiumization, and drive repeatable incremental volume and on- and off-premise listings across markets.
Read all positive factors

Brown-Forman B (BF.B) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brown-Forman B Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Brown-Forman Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, exports, markets, and sells various alcoholic beverages. It provides spirits, wines, whiskey spirits, whiskey-based flavored liqueurs, ready-to-dri...
How the Company Makes Money
Brown-Forman makes money primarily by selling branded alcoholic beverages to wholesalers, distributors, and retail customers across global markets. Its core revenue stream is the sale of spirits—especially American whiskey—where it earns revenue b...

Brown-Forman B Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 04, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a balanced picture: meaningful regional and product-level strengths (double-digit emerging market growth, strong RTD and successful Blackberry innovation), improved cash flow and shareholder returns were offset by sizable, company-specific headwinds (major declines in used barrel sales and Canada distribution), pressured developed markets and near-term margin mix challenges. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance and emphasized strategic initiatives and cost discipline while acknowledging persistent macro uncertainty.
Positive Updates
Top-line performance (First half FY2026)
Reported net sales declined 4% in the first half of fiscal 2026, while organic net sales were flat after adjusting for acquisition & divestiture (A&D) impacts related to Korbel and Sonoma-Cutrer.
Negative Updates
Headwinds from used barrel sales and Canada trade dispute
Used barrel organic net sales decreased by more than 60% (management cited ~61% decline); Canadian organic net sales declined over 60% as U.S.-produced spirits remain off shelves in most provinces — together these were identified as material negative impacts to top-line performance (more than ~2 points of top-line impact).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Top-line performance (First half FY2026)
Reported net sales declined 4% in the first half of fiscal 2026, while organic net sales were flat after adjusting for acquisition & divestiture (A&D) impacts related to Korbel and Sonoma-Cutrer.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Brown‑Forman reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance, forecasting a low single‑digit decline in organic net sales for the full year, reported gross‑margin expansion (A&D benefits expected to more than offset negative price/mix and higher costs), and organic operating income down in the low single‑digit range; management expects shipments will be roughly in line with depletions for the year. Key quantified assumptions and impacts include an anticipated decline in used barrel sales of more than half versus fiscal 2025 (used barrels were down ~61% in H1), the continued Canada headwind (Canada organic net sales fell >60% in H1 and is assumed to persist), an effective tax rate of ~21%–23%, and a reduced full‑year capex outlook of $110–$120 million (down from $125–$135M). Financial and cash‑flow context provided: H1 reported gross margin was 59.5% (gross profit down 4%), reported operating income fell 9% (organic op income down 4%), diluted EPS was $0.83 (down 13%), cash flow from operations rose to $292M (+$163M) and free cash flow to $236M (+$179M); capital allocation actions include a 2% quarterly dividend increase (42nd consecutive increase) and a board‑authorized $400M buyback program (≈$99M repurchased as of 10/31/25).

Brown-Forman B Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and earnings quality: ~59% gross margin and ~21% net margin (TTM), improving leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~0.59 TTM), and robust free cash flow with ~85% FCF-to-net-income. Score is capped by choppy/declining recent revenue and somewhat volatile cash conversion (operating cash flow to net income ~0.56 TTM).
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
73
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMApr 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022Apr 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.92B3.98B4.18B4.23B3.93B3.46B
Gross Profit2.33B2.34B2.53B2.49B2.39B2.09B
EBITDA1.19B1.29B1.51B1.19B1.27B1.24B
Net Income807.00M869.00M1.02B783.00M838.00M903.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.30B8.09B8.17B7.78B6.37B6.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments402.00M444.00M446.00M374.00M868.00M1.15B
Total Debt2.75B2.73B3.10B2.91B2.27B2.56B
Total Liabilities4.22B4.09B4.65B4.51B3.64B3.87B
Stockholders Equity4.08B3.99B3.52B3.27B2.74B2.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow730.00M431.00M419.00M457.00M798.00M755.00M
Operating Cash Flow861.00M598.00M647.00M640.00M936.00M817.00M
Investing Cash Flow-83.00M249.00M49.00M-1.35B-127.00M98.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.03B-843.00M-618.00M239.00M-1.04B-485.00M

Brown-Forman B Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.85
Price Trends
50DMA
26.74
Positive
100DMA
27.20
Negative
200DMA
27.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Negative
RSI
57.86
Neutral
STOCH
68.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BF.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.74, above the 50-day MA of 26.74, and below the 200-day MA of 27.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BF.B.

Brown-Forman B Risk Analysis

Brown-Forman B disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brown-Forman B reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brown-Forman B Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$12.39B12.0919.93%3.42%-4.59%-19.19%
70
Outperform
$2.62B19.3012.16%-1.13%24.34%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$26.06B11.9625.44%2.92%-5.57%119.49%
60
Neutral
$42.84B6.0421.39%4.80%0.22%-38.76%
54
Neutral
$6.17B14.1413.98%5.64%2.71%4.90%
49
Neutral
$8.71B-18.18%4.08%-4.01%-339.22%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BF.B
Brown-Forman B
26.85
-5.70
-17.51%
SAM
Boston Beer
250.59
7.62
3.14%
CPB
Campbell Soup
20.69
-14.99
-42.02%
STZ
Constellation Brands
150.26
-29.81
-16.56%
DEO
Diageo
77.09
-27.26
-26.12%
TAP
Molson Coors
43.90
-13.75
-23.85%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 04, 2026