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Brown-Forman B (BF.B)
NYSE:BF.B
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Brown-Forman B (BF.B) AI Stock Analysis

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BF.B

Brown-Forman B

(NYSE:BF.B)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(9.02% Upside)
The overall stock score for Brown-Forman B is driven primarily by its strong financial performance and attractive valuation. The company's profitability and cash flow generation are robust, although declining revenue growth is a concern. The stock's valuation metrics suggest it may be undervalued, with a compelling dividend yield. However, technical indicators point to a bearish trend, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation Ability
Strong free cash flow growth indicates robust cash generation, enabling Brown-Forman to reinvest in its business, pay down debt, or return capital to shareholders, supporting long-term financial health.
Profitability
High profitability margins suggest efficient operations and pricing power, allowing Brown-Forman to maintain competitive advantages and sustain its market position over time.
Balance Sheet Health
A moderate debt-to-equity ratio indicates a balanced leverage position, providing financial stability and flexibility to navigate market changes and invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth trends can hinder Brown-Forman's ability to expand its market share and may impact long-term profitability if not addressed through strategic initiatives.
Earnings Decline
A decline in earnings per share growth reflects challenges in maintaining profitability, potentially affecting investor confidence and the company's ability to fund future growth.
Revenue Model Reliance
Heavy reliance on premium pricing strategies may expose Brown-Forman to risks if consumer preferences shift or competitive pressures increase, affecting long-term revenue stability.

Brown-Forman B (BF.B) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brown-Forman B Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrown-Forman Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, exports, markets, and sells various alcoholic beverages. It provides spirits, wines, whiskey spirits, whiskey-based flavored liqueurs, ready-to-drink and ready-to-pour products, ready-to-drink cocktails, vodkas, tequilas, champagnes, brandy, bourbons, and liqueurs. The company offers its products primarily under the Jack Daniel's, Reserve, Old Forester, Coopers' Craft, Herradura, el Jimador, New Mix, Korbel Champagnes, Sonoma-Cutrer, Finlandia, GlenDronach, Benriach, Glenglassaugh, Chambord, Slane, and Fords Gin brands. It is also involved in the sale of used barrels, bulk whiskey, and wine; and provision of contract bottling services. The company serves retail customers and consumers through distributors or state governments; and retailers, wholesalers, and provincial governments directly. It has operations in the United States, Germany, Australia, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and internationally. The company was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrown-Forman generates revenue primarily through the sale of its alcoholic beverages, which are distributed worldwide. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on the pricing strategy of its premium brands, which allows for higher profit margins. Key revenue streams include direct sales to retailers and wholesalers, as well as partnerships with distributors in various regions. The company also benefits from brand loyalty and recognition, which drives repeat purchases. Additionally, Brown-Forman invests in marketing and promotional campaigns to enhance brand visibility and attract new consumers. Seasonal sales spikes, particularly during holidays and special occasions, further contribute to its earnings.

Brown-Forman B Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments, such as the return to organic sales growth and strong performance in certain product lines and markets, alongside challenges like reported sales decline, gross margin contraction, and external uncertainties like tariffs. The strategic initiatives are set to improve long-term efficiency but also highlight current operational challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Organic Net Sales Growth
Organic net sales increased by 2% after adjusting for divestitures and other factors, indicating a return to growth expectations.
Woodford Reserve Performance
Woodford Reserve continued to grow by 10% in organic net sales, driven by its Distiller Select and Double Oak products.
Jack Daniel's RTD Recognition
Jack & Coke RTD received the 2025 Product of the Year Award in the U.K. in the premixed spirit category.
Growth in Emerging Markets
Emerging international markets delivered an 8% organic net sales increase, led by strong growth in Turkey and Brazil.
Strategic Workforce Initiatives
The company announced strategic initiatives including workforce reduction and closure of the Louisville Cooperage, expected to save $70-$80 million annually.
Negative Updates
Reported Net Sales Decline
Reported net sales decreased by 4% over the nine months of fiscal 2025.
Tequila Brands Challenges
El Jimador and Herradura faced challenges in the U.S. and Mexico, with a competitive market and economic challenges impacting performance.
Gross Margin Contraction
Gross margin contracted by 150 basis points to 59.4% due to higher costs and foreign exchange impacts.
Tariff Uncertainties
Continued uncertainty around tariffs, especially with potential impacts from the EU, Canada, and Mexico, affecting strategic planning.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, Brown-Forman reaffirmed its guidance for organic net sales growth in the range of 2% to 4%, expecting it to be closer to the lower end. The company reported a 2% increase in organic net sales year-to-date, despite a 4% decrease in reported net sales. This was achieved after adjusting for the divestitures of Finlandia and Sonoma-Cutrer, foreign exchange impacts, and changes in the business model for Jack Daniel's Country Cocktails. Brown-Forman experienced organic operating income growth of 5%, with Woodford Reserve and Jack Daniel’s Tennessee Whiskey being significant contributors. The company also highlighted its strategic initiatives, including a reduction in global workforce by approximately 12%, expected to generate $70 million to $80 million in annual savings. Despite higher costs impacting the gross margin, which contracted by 150 basis points to 59.4%, Brown-Forman anticipates maintaining its full-year guidance with a focus on innovation, emerging markets, and the premium whiskey category.

Brown-Forman B Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brown-Forman B demonstrates strong profitability with stable margins and effective equity utilization. However, declining revenue growth poses a risk to future performance. The company maintains a balanced leverage position, supporting its financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Brown-Forman B demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 59% and a net profit margin over 21% in the TTM. However, the company faces challenges with declining revenue growth, showing a negative trend in recent periods. Despite this, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.59 in the TTM, reflecting manageable leverage. Return on equity is solid at 22.4%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong free cash flow growth of 35.5% in the TTM, highlighting improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, suggesting potential areas for improvement in cash conversion. Nonetheless, the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.72, indicating good cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.95B3.98B4.18B4.23B3.93B3.46B
Gross Profit2.33B2.34B2.53B2.49B2.39B2.09B
EBITDA1.25B1.29B1.51B1.19B1.27B1.24B
Net Income844.00M869.00M1.02B783.00M838.00M903.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.17B8.09B8.17B7.78B6.37B6.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments471.00M444.00M446.00M374.00M868.00M1.15B
Total Debt2.70B2.73B3.10B2.91B2.27B2.56B
Total Liabilities4.18B4.09B4.65B4.51B3.64B3.87B
Stockholders Equity3.99B3.99B3.52B3.27B2.74B2.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow584.00M431.00M419.00M457.00M798.00M755.00M
Operating Cash Flow741.00M598.00M647.00M640.00M936.00M817.00M
Investing Cash Flow241.00M249.00M49.00M-1.35B-127.00M98.00M
Financing Cash Flow-930.00M-843.00M-618.00M239.00M-1.04B-485.00M

Brown-Forman B Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.60
Price Trends
50DMA
27.62
Negative
100DMA
28.26
Negative
200DMA
30.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Positive
RSI
40.76
Neutral
STOCH
18.17
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BF.B, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.64, below the 50-day MA of 27.62, and below the 200-day MA of 30.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.17 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BF.B.

Brown-Forman B Risk Analysis

Brown-Forman B disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brown-Forman B reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brown-Forman B Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$2.23B23.519.58%-1.13%24.34%
70
Outperform
$12.52B14.8722.65%3.41%-3.34%-14.19%
68
Neutral
$12.75B15.0022.65%3.43%-3.34%-14.19%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
$52.47B22.0622.33%4.56%0.22%-38.76%
57
Neutral
$22.86B19.0715.91%3.19%-5.57%119.49%
56
Neutral
$8.74B-17.66%3.99%-4.01%-339.22%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BF.B
Brown-Forman B
26.60
-13.07
-32.95%
SAM
Boston Beer
200.03
-108.32
-35.13%
BF.A
Brown Forman A
26.61
-12.21
-31.45%
STZ
Constellation Brands
127.65
-100.93
-44.16%
DEO
Diageo
90.80
-24.88
-21.51%
TAP
Molson Coors
46.33
-11.27
-19.57%

Brown-Forman B Corporate Events

Brown-Forman Corp Reports Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results
Aug 29, 2025

Brown-Forman Corporation is a leading global spirits company, known for its premium beverage alcohol brands such as Jack Daniel’s, Woodford Reserve, and Herradura, operating in the spirits industry for over 155 years.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025