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Pernod Ricard (PRNDY) AI Stock Analysis

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PRNDY

Pernod Ricard

(OTC:PRNDY)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$23.00
▲(10.47% Upside)
Pernod Ricard's overall stock score reflects strong profitability and valuation, balanced by technical indicators suggesting caution. The earnings call highlighted operational efficiencies but also noted challenges in key markets, contributing to a cautious outlook.

Pernod Ricard (PRNDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pernod Ricard Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPernod Ricard (PRNDY) is a global leader in the wine and spirits industry, renowned for its diverse portfolio of premium brands. The company operates in two main sectors: spirits and wine, offering a wide range of products that include well-known labels such as Absolut Vodka, Jameson Irish Whiskey, Chivas Regal, and Jacob's Creek. Pernod Ricard's business model emphasizes a strong commitment to quality and innovation, alongside a focus on sustainability and social responsibility.
How the Company Makes MoneyPernod Ricard generates revenue primarily through the sale of its alcoholic beverages, which are distributed across various global markets. The company operates on a multi-channel distribution model, encompassing direct sales, partnerships with wholesalers, and collaborations with retailers. Key revenue streams include the sale of spirits and wines, which are marketed under both owned and distributed brands. Pernod Ricard also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its market presence and allow for co-branding opportunities. Additionally, the company invests in marketing and promotional activities to drive brand awareness and consumer engagement, further contributing to its sales growth. Factors such as geographical expansion, product innovation, and an increasing global demand for premium alcoholic beverages play significant roles in boosting its earnings.

Pernod Ricard Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant achievements in operational efficiencies and cash flow management. However, these were offset by declines in key markets such as China and the U.S., leading to a cautious outlook for the fiscal year '26.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Flow Management
Free cash flow reached EUR 1.133 billion, up 18%, with strong operating working capital management leading to an improvement in cash conversion.
Operational Efficiencies Achieved
EUR 900 million in operational efficiencies were completed, contributing to strong organic operating margin expansion of 64%.
Innovation and Brand Performance
Innovations such as Absolut Ocean Spray and Kahlúa Dunkin were highlighted as successful, with strong double-digit growth for brands like Jameson and Bumbu.
Negative Updates
Net Sales Decline
Net sales were down 3% organically and 6% in reported terms, impacted by currency effects and declines in China, U.S.A., and GTR Asia.
Challenges in China
Organic net sales in China were down 21% due to a challenging macroeconomic environment and consumer sentiment impacted by a ban on public officials' alcohol consumption.
U.S. Market Underperformance
The U.S. market saw a decline of 6% in net sales, with a subdued consumer confidence and economic moderation affecting performance.
Company Guidance
In the fiscal year 2025 sales and results call, Pernod Ricard discussed various financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a 3% organic decline in net sales, affected by currency impacts, with a 2% volume recovery marking the third consecutive semester of growth. Despite challenges in China, the U.S., and GTR Asia, Pernod Ricard achieved organic operating margin expansion of 64%, driven by strong cost discipline and EUR 900 million in operational efficiencies. Free cash flow increased by 18% to EUR 1.133 billion, supported by effective working capital management. The company also proposed a stable dividend of EUR 4.70 per share. Looking forward, Pernod Ricard aims for organic net sales growth of 3% to 6% per annum from fiscal years 2027 to 2029, with a focus on margin expansion and a new EUR 1 billion efficiency program over the next four years.

Pernod Ricard Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pernod Ricard shows strong profitability with robust profit margins and a stable balance sheet. However, recent revenue declines and inconsistent cash flow growth highlight areas for improvement. The company maintains a balanced leverage position, supporting its financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Pernod Ricard has maintained strong gross and net profit margins over the years, with a gross profit margin consistently around 60% and a net profit margin improving to 14.8% in 2025. However, revenue growth has been negative in recent years, indicating potential challenges in expanding sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has been stable, hovering around 0.8, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity has shown a slight decline, but remains above 10%, suggesting decent profitability. The equity ratio is solid, reflecting a strong capital structure.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Pernod Ricard's cash flow metrics show a mixed picture. Free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, with recent positive growth following previous declines. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.96B10.96B11.60B12.14B10.70B8.82B
Gross Profit6.52B6.52B6.97B7.25B6.47B5.29B
EBITDA3.25B3.19B3.19B3.75B3.33B2.63B
Net Income1.63B1.63B1.48B2.26B2.00B1.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.08B37.08B39.19B37.68B36.01B32.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.83B1.83B2.68B1.61B2.53B2.08B
Total Debt12.59B12.59B13.62B11.87B11.17B9.60B
Total Liabilities20.85B20.85B22.39B20.96B19.76B17.07B
Stockholders Equity15.21B15.21B15.75B15.72B15.94B14.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.12B1.12B954.00M1.33B1.79B1.57B
Operating Cash Flow1.79B1.79B1.73B2.03B2.29B2.00B
Investing Cash Flow-521.00M-521.00M-676.00M-1.73B-1.20B-486.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.40B-2.40B-209.00M-1.12B-683.00M-1.41B

Pernod Ricard Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price20.82
Price Trends
50DMA
20.88
Negative
100DMA
21.14
Negative
200DMA
20.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
39.98
Neutral
STOCH
-0.22
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRNDY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.04, below the 50-day MA of 20.88, and below the 200-day MA of 20.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -0.22 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRNDY.

Pernod Ricard Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$37.25B14.0915.08%1.96%-0.79%-10.83%
$24.76B14.2310.16%5.53%-5.04%11.11%
$12.60B15.0122.65%3.33%-3.34%-14.19%
$12.85B15.2022.65%3.34%-3.34%-14.19%
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
$50.69B21.5422.33%4.49%0.22%-38.76%
$22.56B19.1215.91%3.10%-5.57%119.49%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRNDY
Pernod Ricard
19.61
-4.64
-19.13%
BF.A
Brown Forman A
27.12
-14.70
-35.15%
STZ
Constellation Brands
131.38
-101.44
-43.57%
DEO
Diageo
92.09
-26.61
-22.42%
BF.B
Brown-Forman B
27.23
-15.38
-36.09%
ABEV
Ambev SA
2.31
0.27
13.24%

Pernod Ricard Corporate Events

Pernod Ricard’s Mixed Earnings Call: Achievements and Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Pernod Ricard’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture for investors, highlighting both significant achievements and notable challenges. While the company demonstrated strong operational efficiencies and robust cash flow management, these positive aspects were tempered by declines in key markets such as China and the U.S., resulting in a cautious outlook for fiscal year 2026.

Pernod Ricard Reports FY25 Earnings Amid Market Challenges
Aug 29, 2025

Pernod Ricard SA is a global leader in the spirits and wine industry, known for its premium to luxury brands such as Absolut vodka, Chivas Regal, and Jameson Irish whiskey. The company is listed on Euronext and is part of the CAC 40 and Eurostoxx 50 indices.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 19, 2025