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Pernod Ricard (PRNDY)
OTHER OTC:PRNDY

Pernod Ricard (PRNDY) AI Stock Analysis

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PRNDY

Pernod Ricard

(OTC:PRNDY)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$16.50
â–¼(-6.62% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/21/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong margins and stable leverage) and very compelling valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by weak technicals, with the stock trading below all major moving averages and negative momentum readings.
Positive Factors
Margin Strength
Sustained high gross margins (~60%) and improving net margin (14.8% in 2025) reflect durable pricing power from premium brands and efficient operations. This margin resilience supports reinvestment, stable cash returns and tolerance to cost volatility over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Trend
Negative revenue growth (recently -6.18% reported) signals demand or distribution challenges that can erode operating leverage and slow scale benefits. Persistent top-line contraction threatens long-term margin improvements and limits organic growth opportunities.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin Strength
Sustained high gross margins (~60%) and improving net margin (14.8% in 2025) reflect durable pricing power from premium brands and efficient operations. This margin resilience supports reinvestment, stable cash returns and tolerance to cost volatility over the next several months.
Read all positive factors

Pernod Ricard (PRNDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pernod Ricard Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Pernod Ricard (PRNDY) is a global leader in the wine and spirits industry, renowned for its diverse portfolio of premium brands. The company operates in two main sectors: spirits and wine, offering a wide range of products that include well-known ...
How the Company Makes Money
Pernod Ricard primarily makes money by selling branded alcoholic beverages to distributors, retailers, and on-trade customers, generating revenue from the volume of cases sold and the net price per case (often supported by premium brand positionin...

Pernod Ricard Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant achievements in operational efficiencies and cash flow management. However, these were offset by declines in key markets such as China and the U.S., leading to a cautious outlook for the fiscal year '26.
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Flow Management
Free cash flow reached EUR 1.133 billion, up 18%, with strong operating working capital management leading to an improvement in cash conversion.
Negative Updates
Net Sales Decline
Net sales were down 3% organically and 6% in reported terms, impacted by currency effects and declines in China, U.S.A., and GTR Asia.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Cash Flow Management
Free cash flow reached EUR 1.133 billion, up 18%, with strong operating working capital management leading to an improvement in cash conversion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the fiscal year 2025 sales and results call, Pernod Ricard discussed various financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a 3% organic decline in net sales, affected by currency impacts, with a 2% volume recovery marking the third consecutive semester of growth. Despite challenges in China, the U.S., and GTR Asia, Pernod Ricard achieved organic operating margin expansion of 64%, driven by strong cost discipline and EUR 900 million in operational efficiencies. Free cash flow increased by 18% to EUR 1.133 billion, supported by effective working capital management. The company also proposed a stable dividend of EUR 4.70 per share. Looking forward, Pernod Ricard aims for organic net sales growth of 3% to 6% per annum from fiscal years 2027 to 2029, with a focus on margin expansion and a new EUR 1 billion efficiency program over the next four years.

Pernod Ricard Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability remains strong (gross margin ~60% and net margin improving to 14.8% in 2025) and leverage is balanced (debt-to-equity ~0.8). Offsetting this, recent revenue declines and an operating cash flow to net income ratio below 1 point to weaker growth and cash conversion.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.00B10.96B11.60B12.14B10.70B8.82B
Gross Profit5.83B6.52B6.97B7.25B6.47B5.29B
EBITDA2.88B3.19B3.19B3.75B3.33B2.63B
Net Income1.40B1.63B1.48B2.26B2.00B1.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.66B37.08B39.19B37.68B36.01B32.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.40B1.83B2.68B1.61B2.53B2.08B
Total Debt13.93B12.59B13.62B11.87B11.17B9.60B
Total Liabilities21.14B20.85B22.39B20.96B19.76B17.07B
Stockholders Equity15.47B15.21B15.75B15.72B15.94B14.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.16B1.12B954.00M1.33B1.79B1.57B
Operating Cash Flow1.68B1.79B1.73B2.03B2.29B2.00B
Investing Cash Flow66.39M-521.00M-676.00M-1.73B-1.20B-486.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.35B-2.40B-209.00M-1.12B-683.00M-1.41B

Pernod Ricard Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price17.67
Price Trends
50DMA
17.05
Negative
100DMA
17.36
Negative
200DMA
18.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.54
Negative
RSI
46.31
Neutral
STOCH
96.46
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRNDY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.95, above the 50-day MA of 17.05, and below the 200-day MA of 18.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.46 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PRNDY.

Pernod Ricard Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$50.71B13.6316.90%8.22%-0.68%4.29%
73
Outperform
$13.56B12.0919.93%3.42%-4.59%-19.19%
71
Outperform
$13.56B12.0919.93%3.41%-4.59%-19.19%
70
Outperform
$19.22B4.749.20%5.55%-5.04%11.11%
65
Neutral
$28.81B16.4225.44%2.92%-5.57%119.49%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
$43.11B6.0421.39%4.80%0.22%-38.76%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRNDY
Pernod Ricard
15.30
-4.47
-22.59%
BF.A
Brown Forman A
29.70
-3.17
-9.64%
STZ
Constellation Brands
166.15
-14.78
-8.17%
DEO
Diageo
77.45
-29.33
-27.47%
BF.B
Brown-Forman B
29.49
-3.71
-11.17%
ABEV
Ambev SA
3.19
1.10
52.34%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 21, 2026