Palomar Holdings (PLMR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.23B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 409.93K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 21.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.58
• Revenue Growth: 52.60%
• EPS Growth: 50.69%
• Country: US
• Employees: 253
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 71
• Industry: Insurance - Property & Casualty
• EPS (TTM): 1.76
• Shares Outstanding: 26,783,464
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 620,120
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 409,932
• PEG Ratio: 0.51
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.70
• Price to Sales (P/S): 4.87
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.33
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.32
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 6.98
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 11.68
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 32.10
• 1Y Price Target: $173.17
• Price Target Upside: 43.59% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 7

• Rating: 83 Outperform
• Price Target: ―

Palomar Holdings exhibits strong financial and technical performance with significant revenue growth and a bullish technical outlook. These positive factors are slightly offset by a high P/E ratio and the challenges discussed in the earnings call, such as the impact of wildfires on the California insurance market. Overall, the company's strategic growth initiatives and strong equity position underpin a solid stock performance outlook.

Positive Factors

Earnings Performance

The company's earnings per share outperformed expectations, indicating strong financial performance.

Growth Prospects

Palomar Holdings is expected to grow at a healthy pace, with near-term growth likely trending above 20% due to new business lines and stable reinsurance costs.

Reinsurance Strategy

Palomar Holdings' strategy of exiting wind-exposed lines has reduced underwriting volatility and improved reinsurance cost management.

Negative Factors

Earnings Impact

Slower growth in commercial earthquake insurance is a headwind, impacting Palomar Holdings' earnings significantly due to its higher reinsurance leverage and underwriting margins.

Earthquake Segment

Growth in the earthquake segment decelerated significantly, which could be a concern for some investors.

Segment Growth

Slower growth in commercial earthquake insurance is a headwind, impacting Palomar Holdings' earnings significantly due to its higher reinsurance leverage and underwriting margins.

Palomar Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Palomar Holdings, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides specialty property insurance to residential and commercial customers. The company offers personal and commercial specialty property insurance products, including residential and commercial earthquake, commercial all risk, specialty homeowners, inland marine, Hawaii hurricane, and residential flood, as well as other products, such as assumed reinsurance, commercial flood, real estate error and omission, and real estate investor products. It markets and distributes its products through retail agents, wholesale brokers, program administrators, and carrier partnerships. The company was formerly known as GC Palomar Holdings. Palomar Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in La Jolla, California.

How the Company Makes Money

Palomar Holdings generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of specialty insurance policies. The company collects premiums from policyholders in exchange for providing coverage against specific risks, such as earthquakes and hurricanes. Palomar employs a focused underwriting strategy to assess and price risk accurately, allowing it to maintain profitability while offering competitive rates. Additionally, the company leverages reinsurance agreements to manage its exposure to large-scale catastrophic events, which helps stabilize its financial performance. Key revenue streams include premium income from policyholders and investment income from the company's portfolio of invested assets. Significant partnerships with reinsurers and distribution partners also contribute to Palomar's ability to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings.

Palomar Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Palomar Holdings showcases strong financial health with substantial revenue and net income growth, a solid balance sheet, and robust cash flow generation. However, the absence of EBIT and EBITDA figures in 2024 and fluctuating total assets warrant caution. The company's strong equity position and consistent cash flow performance provide a solid foundation for future growth.

Income Statement

Palomar Holdings has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with an impressive increase from $113.3M in 2019 to $553.9M in 2024. The gross profit margin is robust, consistently at 100% due to the nature of the insurance industry. Net profit margins have improved, reaching 21.2% in 2024 from 9.4% in 2019. However, the absence of EBIT and EBITDA in 2024 raises concerns about operational efficiency, affecting the overall score.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with zero debt in 2024, resulting in a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. Stockholders' equity has significantly increased, enhancing the equity ratio to 87.8% in 2024. However, fluctuations in total assets and a decrease in total liabilities indicate potential volatility. The strong equity position supports financial stability.

Cash Flow

Palomar Holdings exhibits strong cash flow performance with free cash flow increasing substantially to $260.9M in 2024 from $38.8M in 2019. Operating cash flow to net income ratio remains robust, indicating efficient cash conversion. However, the significant increase in investing cash outflows might pose a risk to future liquidity if not managed properly.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	610.17M	553.86M	375.93M	327.09M	247.79M	168.46M
Gross Profit	364.96M	269.45M	375.93M	327.09M	247.79M	168.46M
EBITDA	132.76M	152.33M	111.92M	72.54M	60.68M	7.56M
Net Income	134.11M	117.57M	79.20M	52.17M	45.85M	6.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.43B	2.26B	1.71B	1.30B	925.73M	729.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.11B	149.26M	51.55M	583.17M	482.97M	431.52M
Total Debt	0.00	0.00	52.60M	36.40M	2.19M	0.00
Total Liabilities	1.64B	1.53B	1.24B	914.06M	531.57M	365.38M
Stockholders Equity	790.45M	729.03M	471.25M	384.75M	394.17M	363.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	307.95M	260.91M	109.35M	163.65M	82.96M	49.48M
Operating Cash Flow	315.21M	261.16M	116.11M	169.58M	87.81M	53.55M
Investing Cash Flow	-341.86M	-306.24M	-128.48M	-156.81M	-58.19M	-181.44M
Financing Cash Flow	84.20M	73.77M	-3.94M	5.02M	-13.04M	128.33M

Palomar Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 120.60
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLMR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 120.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 127.21, below the 50-day MA of 141.92, and below the 200-day MA of 128.85, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PLMR.

Palomar Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PLMR	83 Outperform	$3.23B	21.20	22.45%	―	52.60%	50.69%
MCY	75 Outperform	$4.16B	10.66	21.56%	1.69%	14.93%	22.19%
HGTY	73 Outperform	$3.77B	53.70	12.70%	―	17.25%	-11.72%
SKWD	73 Outperform	$1.97B	15.32	16.20%	―	22.20%	5.78%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$17.53B	11.67	10.43%	3.82%	9.93%	1.66%
KMPR	58 Neutral	$3.28B	9.85	12.21%	2.39%	2.75%	572.22%
LMND	55 Neutral	$4.32B	―	-35.10%	―	22.91%	4.95%

Palomar Holdings Corporate Events

Palomar Holdings Extends CEO Mac Armstrong’s Term

Palomar Holdings, Inc. has entered into an executive employment agreement with its CEO, Mac Armstrong, extending his term through January 2029. The agreement includes a base salary, bonus potential, long-term incentives, and specific benefits if terminated under certain conditions, highlighting the company’s commitment to retaining leadership and potentially stabilizing its market position.