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Palomar Holdings Inc (PLMR)
NASDAQ:PLMR

Palomar Holdings (PLMR) AI Stock Analysis

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PLMR

Palomar Holdings

(NASDAQ:PLMR)

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Outperform 83 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:83Outperform
Price Target:
$158.00
▲(23.00% Upside)
Overall score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (profitable growth and a zero-debt balance sheet) and a very positive earnings update with raised guidance and strong underwriting results. Technicals add support via a clear uptrend and positive momentum, while valuation is more neutral due to a moderate P/E and no provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong growth in gross written premiums indicates effective market penetration and product demand, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling reinvestment in growth initiatives and strategic acquisitions.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquisitions like First Indemnity of America provide new growth vectors, diversifying revenue streams and strengthening market position.
Negative Factors
Impact of Wildfires
Wildfires pose ongoing risks to the insurance market, potentially disrupting operations and increasing claims, affecting profitability.
Fronting Business Decline
A significant decline in the fronting business could indicate challenges in maintaining partnerships, impacting revenue stability.
Reinsurance Cost Pressure
High reinsurance costs could strain margins and impact profitability, especially amid market uncertainties like wildfires.

Palomar Holdings (PLMR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Palomar Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPalomar Holdings, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides specialty property insurance to residential and commercial customers. The company offers personal and commercial specialty property insurance products, including residential and commercial earthquake, commercial all risk, specialty homeowners, inland marine, Hawaii hurricane, and residential flood, as well as other products, such as assumed reinsurance, commercial flood, real estate error and omission, and real estate investor products. It markets and distributes its products through retail agents, wholesale brokers, program administrators, and carrier partnerships. The company was formerly known as GC Palomar Holdings. Palomar Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in La Jolla, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyPalomar Holdings generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of specialty insurance policies. The company collects premiums from policyholders in exchange for providing coverage against specific risks, such as earthquakes and hurricanes. Palomar employs a focused underwriting strategy to assess and price risk accurately, allowing it to maintain profitability while offering competitive rates. Additionally, the company leverages reinsurance agreements to manage its exposure to large-scale catastrophic events, which helps stabilize its financial performance. Key revenue streams include premium income from policyholders and investment income from the company's portfolio of invested assets. Significant partnerships with reinsurers and distribution partners also contribute to Palomar's ability to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings.

Palomar Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Palomar Holdings exhibited robust growth and strategic expansion through acquisitions, leading to record-breaking financial metrics. Despite some challenges in the commercial earthquake segment and a decline in fronting premium, the overall performance and future outlook remain strong.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Gross Written Premium and Net Income
Palomar reported a record gross written premium growth of 44% and a 70% increase in adjusted net income for the third quarter of 2025.
Acquisition of Gray Casualty and Surety Company
Palomar announced the acquisition of Gray Casualty and Surety Company, enhancing their surety platform and providing access to markets like Texas, Florida, and California.
Strong Operating Metrics
The company achieved an adjusted combined ratio of 75% and an adjusted return on equity of 26%.
Growth in Specialty Lines
Specialty lines such as Casualty, Crop, and Builders Risk showed significant growth, with the Casualty business growing 170% and Crop franchise doubling its premium compared to the previous year.
Positive Revision of 2025 Guidance
Palomar raised its 2025 adjusted net income guidance to $210-$215 million from $198-$208 million.
Negative Updates
Rate Pressure in Commercial Earthquake
The Commercial Earthquake business experienced an 18% decrease in risk-adjusted pricing, with large accounts facing more pressure.
Decline in Fronting Premium
Fronting premium declined 32% year-over-year due to the termination of the Omaha National partnership.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Palomar Holdings, Inc. reported exceptional performance with record gross written premiums and adjusted net income. The company's gross written premium grew by 44% year-over-year, while adjusted net income increased by 70%, reaching $55.2 million. The adjusted combined ratio was 75%, and the adjusted return on equity stood at 26%. Palomar's diverse portfolio, which includes earthquake, inland marine, other property, casualty, and crop insurance, showed robust growth across various segments. The earthquake segment saw an 11% year-over-year increase in gross written premiums, while the inland marine and other property category grew 50%. The casualty division experienced a notable 170% growth. Additionally, the crop segment delivered $120 million in gross written premiums, doubling compared to the previous year. The company also announced the acquisition of Gray Casualty and Surety Company, which will enhance its surety platform. The transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026 and be accretive to earnings in its first year. Palomar raised its 2025 adjusted net income guidance to a range of $210 million to $215 million, implying a full-year adjusted return on equity of over 20%.

Palomar Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Palomar Holdings showcases strong financial health with substantial revenue and net income growth, a solid balance sheet, and robust cash flow generation. However, the absence of EBIT and EBITDA figures in 2024 and fluctuating total assets warrant caution. The company's strong equity position and consistent cash flow performance provide a solid foundation for future growth.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Palomar Holdings has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with an impressive increase from $113.3M in 2019 to $553.9M in 2024. The gross profit margin is robust, consistently at 100% due to the nature of the insurance industry. Net profit margins have improved, reaching 21.2% in 2024 from 9.4% in 2019. However, the absence of EBIT and EBITDA in 2024 raises concerns about operational efficiency, affecting the overall score.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with zero debt in 2024, resulting in a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. Stockholders' equity has significantly increased, enhancing the equity ratio to 87.8% in 2024. However, fluctuations in total assets and a decrease in total liabilities indicate potential volatility. The strong equity position supports financial stability.
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
Palomar Holdings exhibits strong cash flow performance with free cash flow increasing substantially to $260.9M in 2024 from $38.8M in 2019. Operating cash flow to net income ratio remains robust, indicating efficient cash conversion. However, the significant increase in investing cash outflows might pose a risk to future liquidity if not managed properly.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue775.96M553.86M375.93M327.09M247.79M168.46M
Gross Profit386.11M269.45M195.59M137.64M110.90M40.31M
EBITDA226.79M157.44M111.92M72.54M60.72M7.56M
Net Income175.87M117.57M79.20M52.17M45.85M6.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.94B2.26B1.71B1.31B925.73M729.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.25B550.86M695.35M583.17M482.97M431.52M
Total Debt0.000.0052.60M36.40M0.000.00
Total Liabilities2.07B1.53B1.24B921.70M531.57M365.38M
Stockholders Equity878.11M729.03M471.25M384.75M394.17M363.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow358.31M260.91M109.35M163.65M82.96M49.48M
Operating Cash Flow364.34M261.16M116.11M169.58M87.81M53.55M
Investing Cash Flow-311.80M-306.24M-128.48M-156.81M-58.19M-181.44M
Financing Cash Flow-27.37M73.77M-3.94M5.02M-13.04M128.33M

Palomar Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price128.46
Price Trends
50DMA
127.49
Positive
100DMA
122.23
Positive
200DMA
134.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.66
Positive
RSI
47.84
Neutral
STOCH
30.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLMR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 128.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 132.62, above the 50-day MA of 127.49, and below the 200-day MA of 134.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PLMR.

Palomar Holdings Risk Analysis

Palomar Holdings disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Palomar Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Palomar Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$3.40B20.0422.24%54.41%52.71%
78
Outperform
$2.28B11.2331.94%0.82%8.71%17.26%
73
Outperform
$3.42B13.97%
70
Neutral
$1.09B22.5017.02%38.50%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
57
Neutral
$5.93B-33.42-31.34%30.53%21.82%
52
Neutral
$2.25B10.059.03%3.15%4.51%-8.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PLMR
Palomar Holdings
128.46
18.86
17.21%
KMPR
Kemper
38.49
-26.27
-40.57%
HCI
HCI Group
175.95
52.45
42.47%
LMND
Lemonade
79.41
47.01
145.09%
ROOT
Root
70.17
-8.69
-11.02%
AHL
Aspen Insurance Holdings Ltd Class A
37.28
2.82
8.18%

Palomar Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Palomar Holdings to Acquire Gray Casualty & Surety
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 27, 2025, Palomar Insurance Holdings, a subsidiary of Palomar Holdings, Inc., announced an agreement to acquire The Gray Casualty & Surety Company for $300 million. This acquisition, expected to close in the first half of 2026, aims to enhance Palomar’s presence in the surety market by leveraging Gray Surety’s national footprint and experienced management team. The transaction is subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions, and it signifies Palomar’s strategic intent to bolster its market position and drive profitable growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLMR) stock is a Buy with a $137.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Palomar Holdings stock, see the PLMR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025