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Park-Ohio Holdings (PKOH) AI Stock Analysis

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PKOH

Park-Ohio Holdings

(NASDAQ:PKOH)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▲(10.84% Upside)
Park-Ohio Holdings' stock score is driven by its strong technical indicators and attractive valuation, despite financial performance concerns due to high leverage and cash flow issues. Strategic initiatives and positive earnings call guidance provide a promising outlook, though challenges remain in certain segments.
Positive Factors
Strategic Investments
Investments in technology and capacity expansion indicate a commitment to long-term growth, enhancing competitive positioning and operational efficiency.
Record High Backlog
A record high backlog suggests strong future demand and revenue visibility, supporting sustained business operations and growth.
Free Cash Flow Expectations
Strong free cash flow expectations indicate improved liquidity and financial flexibility, enabling debt reduction and strategic investments.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can constrain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Cash Flow Challenges
Cash flow challenges can hinder the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, affecting long-term financial health.
Sales Decline in North America
A decline in sales in key markets can impact revenue and profitability, challenging the company's ability to maintain growth momentum.

Park-Ohio Holdings (PKOH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Park-Ohio Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPark-Ohio Holdings Corp. is a diversified international manufacturing and supply chain logistics company headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio. The company operates through two primary segments: the Manufacturing segment, which provides engineered products and components, and the Supply Chain segment, which offers logistics and supply chain management services. Park-Ohio serves a variety of industries, including automotive, aerospace, and industrial markets, delivering a range of core products such as metal products, fasteners, and specialized packaging solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyPark-Ohio generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily from the sale of its manufactured products and supply chain services. The Manufacturing segment contributes significantly to earnings by supplying engineered components and systems to major industrial customers, leveraging its technical expertise and production capabilities. The Supply Chain segment enhances revenue through logistics services, including inventory management, transportation, and warehousing solutions, often on a contract basis with long-term customers. Key partnerships with major OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers in various sectors further bolster the company's revenue streams, as they provide stable contracts and consistent demand for its products and services. Additionally, the company's focus on operational efficiency and cost management strengthens its profitability, allowing it to adapt to market changes and customer needs.

Park-Ohio Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Park-Ohio Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a company in transition, focusing on strengthening its financial position and preparing for future growth through strategic investments and strong backlogs. However, challenges remain with sales declines in North America and increased interest expenses impacting profitability.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Refinancing and Improved Credit Ratings
The company refinanced both its senior notes and revolving credit facility, extending maturity dates by 5 years and strengthening its balance sheet. This led to upgraded ratings on the new senior secured notes from Moody's, S&P Global, and Fitch Ratings.
Record High Backlog and New Equipment Orders
New equipment orders in the industrial equipment business were very strong, with bookings and backlogs at record high levels. The backlog increased by 28% since year-end, driven by significant orders such as a $47 million order for induction slab heating equipment.
Strong Free Cash Flow Expectations
The company expects strong free cash flow in the fourth quarter, ranging between $45 million to $55 million, which would result in a significant reduction of debt by $35 million to $45 million quarter-over-quarter.
Negative Updates
Sales Decline in North America
There was a year-over-year sales decline due to lower end market demand in certain North American industrial end markets, which offset growth in Europe.
Higher Interest Expenses Impacting EPS
Higher interest expense of $1.1 million from new senior secured notes reduced adjusted EPS by $0.07 per diluted share.
Decreased Profitability in Engineered Products Segment
The Engineered Products segment reported a decrease in sales and profitability due to lower demand in forged and machined products business and lower production levels in North America and Asia.
Company Guidance
During the Park-Ohio Holdings Group Corp. third quarter 2025 results conference call, the company provided guidance indicating strong momentum as they transition into 2026. The company is focused on transformation into a leaner and more predictable business, with strategic capital investments in technology and capacity expansion expected to drive future sales growth and profitability. Despite mixed demand in several end markets, the company reported consistent operating performance, with third-quarter revenue at $399 million and gross margins of 16.7%. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.65, slightly down from previous quarters, due to higher interest expenses and bond-related costs. The company aims to achieve meaningful debt reduction, projecting a fourth-quarter free cash flow of $45 million to $55 million, contributing to an annual range of $10 million to $20 million. Park-Ohio anticipates full-year 2025 net sales between $1.600 billion to $1.620 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.70 to $2.90, highlighting strategic initiatives that are expected to support long-term growth and competitive advantage into 2026.

Park-Ohio Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Park-Ohio Holdings shows resilience in profitability margins despite revenue challenges. However, high leverage and cash flow constraints are significant concerns. The company needs to improve cash flow management and reduce debt to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Park-Ohio Holdings shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a slight decline in revenue with a negative growth rate of -1.18%. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin around 16.9%, and the net profit margin is positive at 1.73%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, suggesting operational efficiency. Despite the revenue decline, the company has improved its net income compared to previous years.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.88, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity (ROE) is modest at 7.99%, reflecting moderate profitability. The equity ratio stands at 26.37%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement in reducing debt levels.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows challenges, with negative free cash flow growth and a free cash flow to net income ratio of -2.25, indicating cash flow issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.03, suggesting limited cash generation from operations. The company needs to enhance its cash flow management to support its financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.59B1.66B1.66B1.49B1.28B1.15B
Gross Profit267.40M281.40M271.40M210.50M177.90M165.30M
EBITDA108.60M125.40M118.30M74.70M56.80M54.00M
Net Income23.50M31.80M7.80M-14.20M-24.80M-4.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.44B1.37B1.34B1.44B1.36B1.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.80M53.10M54.80M58.20M54.10M55.00M
Total Debt709.90M667.20M687.80M720.90M649.70M599.00M
Total Liabilities1.06B1.03B1.05B1.17B1.04B942.60M
Stockholders Equity374.80M330.80M280.40M256.50M314.10M344.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-18.20M-1.60M22.30M-54.50M-65.60M43.00M
Operating Cash Flow18.40M29.80M50.50M-27.60M-43.30M69.30M
Investing Cash Flow-25.20M-30.90M-15.80M-45.50M-16.20M-24.90M
Financing Cash Flow-1.40M1.60M-39.00M81.20M59.90M-47.30M

Park-Ohio Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.75
Price Trends
50DMA
20.21
Positive
100DMA
19.49
Positive
200DMA
19.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
61.61
Neutral
STOCH
83.82
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PKOH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.87, above the 50-day MA of 20.21, and above the 200-day MA of 19.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.82 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PKOH.

Park-Ohio Holdings Risk Analysis

Park-Ohio Holdings disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Park-Ohio Holdings reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Park-Ohio Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$631.81M46.6311.39%16.04%75.37%
67
Neutral
$308.39M10.348.13%2.34%-3.90%61.80%
66
Neutral
$334.02M23.637.14%4.11%3.36%57.40%
65
Neutral
$273.56M17.0019.37%5.02%-2.73%-11.67%
64
Neutral
$2.24B52.303.07%2.83%-16.00%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$223.73M639.920.22%1.03%14.24%-96.24%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PKOH
Park-Ohio Holdings
20.64
-11.22
-35.22%
GHM
Graham
55.28
10.44
23.28%
HI
Hillenbrand
31.73
-1.79
-5.34%
OFLX
Omega Flex
27.05
-21.20
-43.94%
TWIN
Twin Disc
15.52
3.44
28.44%
LXFR
Luxfer
12.66
-1.52
-10.72%

Park-Ohio Holdings Corporate Events

Park-Ohio Reports Stable Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp., headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, is a diversified international company that provides supply chain management outsourcing services, capital equipment for production lines, and manufactured components for assembly. The company operates in the industrial sector with three main segments: Supply Technologies, Assembly Components, and Engineered Products.

Executive/Board Changes
Park-Ohio Holdings Elects Andrew Clarke to Board
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. announced that Andrew C. Clarke was elected to its board of directors and to the board of its principal operating subsidiary, Park-Ohio Industries, Inc., effective immediately. This strategic move positions the company to potentially benefit from Mr. Clarke’s expertise as he joins the board as a non-employee director, receiving compensation similar to other non-employee directors.

The most recent analyst rating on (PKOH) stock is a Hold with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Park-Ohio Holdings stock, see the PKOH Stock Forecast page.

Park-Ohio’s Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Strategic Moves
Aug 12, 2025

In a recent earnings call, Park-Ohio presented a mixed sentiment with both positive achievements and concerning declines. The company reported strong capital equipment orders and successful refinancing efforts, which were offset by decreased revenue and challenges in key segments. This balance of positive and negative trends shaped the overall sentiment of the call.

Park-Ohio Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance
Aug 8, 2025

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp., headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, is a diversified international company specializing in supply chain management outsourcing services, capital equipment, and manufactured components across various industries. The company operates through three segments: Supply Technologies, Assembly Components, and Engineered Products.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 30, 2025