Park-Ohio Holdings (PKOH)
NASDAQ:PKOH
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Park-Ohio Holdings
(NASDAQ:PKOH)
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Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(4.95% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/05/26
The score is held back primarily by weaker cash-flow quality, thin margins, and still-high leverage despite improving trends. Offsetting factors include a strong technical uptrend, reasonable valuation, and a cautiously optimistic 2026 outlook with improved cash generation and debt reduction.
Positive Factors
Order backlog & bookings
A materially larger backlog and record bookings provide durable revenue visibility into 2026–2027, supporting higher utilization and steadier production schedules. This reduces short‑term demand volatility risk and increases the probability of converting booked demand into sustainable top‑line growth.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Material net leverage leaves limited financial flexibility in a cyclical industrial end market. High debt amplifies earnings volatility, constrains capital allocation choices, and makes the company more sensitive to interest‑rate and cash‑flow swings during downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Order backlog & bookings
A materially larger backlog and record bookings provide durable revenue visibility into 2026–2027, supporting higher utilization and steadier production schedules. This reduces short‑term demand volatility risk and increases the probability of converting booked demand into sustainable top‑line growth.
Read all positive factors
Park-Ohio Holdings (PKOH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$342.99M
Dividend Yield2.32%
Average Volume (3M)36.31K
Price to Earnings (P/E)12.1
Beta (1Y)1.32
Revenue Growth-3.90%
EPS Growth61.80%
CountryUS
Employees6,300
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryIndustrial - Machinery
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.65
Shares Outstanding14,399,130
10 Day Avg. Volume53,319
30 Day Avg. Volume36,307
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.26
Price to Book (P/B)0.75
Price to Sales (P/S)0.18
P/FCF Ratio144.49
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.82
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.61
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.57
Enterprise Value/Ebitda8.45
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$37.00Price Target Upside55.33% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)3.15
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.67B
Park-Ohio Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. provides supply chain management outsourcing services, capital equipment, and manufactured components in the United States, Europe, Asia, Mexico, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Supply Tech...
How the Company Makes Money
Park-Ohio makes money primarily by selling manufactured products and by charging for outsourced supply-chain services. (1) Manufactured products revenue: PKOH generates sales from producing and delivering engineered components, assemblies, and oth...
Park-Ohio Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across different business units, indicating which segments are leading growth and where there might be challenges.
Breaks down sales across different business units, indicating which segments are leading growth and where there might be challenges.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyPark-Ohio Holdings Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a cautiously optimistic outlook: management delivered meaningful operational wins (debt reduction, stronger Q4 cash flow, margin improvement in Supply Technologies, record bookings/backlog in Engineered Products) and provided growth and EPS guidance for 2026. However, full-year 2025 results show weakness (4% revenue decline, ~25% drop in adjusted EPS), segment profitability pressures (Assembly Components and Forged & Machine Products), and a non-cash $8.9M write-off. The company is actively investing in automation, IT/ERP, distribution capacity, and targeted growth capital to drive durable, higher-margin growth and expects improved flow-through in 2026. Given the strong cash and balance-sheet actions, tangible backlog/bookings improvement, and a clear plan to address operational issues, the positives modestly outweigh the near-term negatives.Positive Updates
Improved Cash Generation and Debt Reduction
Fourth quarter operating cash flow of $49,000,000 and free cash flow of $36,000,000; full-year operating cash flow increased by $42,000,000 from $35,000,000 in 2024 (to $77,000,000). Used excess cash and free cash flow to reduce long-term debt by $40,000,000 and met the debt reduction goal.
Negative Updates
Full-Year Revenue Decline
Full-year consolidated sales of $1,600,000,000 in 2025, a decline of 4% versus 2024, with declines primarily in North American industrial end markets.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Improved Cash Generation and Debt Reduction
Fourth quarter operating cash flow of $49,000,000 and free cash flow of $36,000,000; full-year operating cash flow increased by $42,000,000 from $35,000,000 in 2024 (to $77,000,000). Used excess cash and free cash flow to reduce long-term debt by $40,000,000 and met the debt reduction goal.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Park‑Ohio guided 2026 consolidated revenue of $1,675–$1,710 million (up 5–7% vs 2025’s $1,600M), adjusted EPS of $2.90–$3.20 (up 7–19% vs 2025 adj. EPS $2.70), EBITDA of 8–9% of net sales, and full‑year free cash flow of $20–$30M, with a normalized tax rate expected at 18–20% (2025 effective rate 12%). Management said roughly 75% of 2026 growth is expected from volume, noting Q4 2025 operating cash flow of $49M and Q4 free cash flow of $36M, FY operating cash flow up $42M (to $77M) versus 2024, and use of Q4 cash to reduce long‑term debt by $40M; 2025 capex was $40M (including >$12M in IT) with growth capex representing more than one‑third of total capex. Other key 2025 metrics cited: Q4 net sales $395M (+2% YoY), FY sales $1,600M (‑4% YoY), Q4 gross margin 17.3% (+70 bps YoY) and FY gross margin 17%, Q4 adjusted operating income $20M (+4% YoY) and Q4 adj. EPS $0.65 (vs $0.67), Supply Technologies Q4 sales $187M and operating income $21M (11.1% margin, +240 bps), backlog $180M (+24% YoY), record Engineered Products bookings $217M (including a $47M order), and $40M of incremental Assembly Components annual sales rolling into launches in H2 2026–2027.Park-Ohio Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
40
Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.60B | 1.66B | 1.66B | 1.49B | 1.28B |
| Gross Profit | 271.20M | 281.40M | 271.40M | 210.50M | 177.90M |
| EBITDA | 114.60M | 125.40M | 118.30M | 74.70M | 56.80M |
| Net Income | 23.80M | 31.80M | 7.80M | -14.20M | -24.80M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 1.42B | 1.37B | 1.34B | 1.44B | 1.36B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 44.80M | 53.10M | 54.80M | 58.20M | 54.10M |
| Total Debt | 670.30M | 667.20M | 687.80M | 720.90M | 649.70M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.04B | 1.03B | 1.05B | 1.17B | 1.04B |
| Stockholders Equity | 382.80M | 330.80M | 280.40M | 256.50M | 314.10M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 2.00M | -1.60M | 22.30M | -54.50M | -65.60M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 42.30M | 29.80M | 50.50M | -27.60M | -43.30M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -40.30M | -30.90M | -15.80M | -45.50M | -16.20M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -11.10M | 1.60M | -39.00M | 81.20M | 59.90M |
Park-Ohio Holdings Technical Analysis
Negative
23.82
Price Trends
24.94
Negative
22.97
Positive
20.98
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.38
Positive
41.52
Neutral
67.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PKOH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.97, below the 50-day MA of 24.94, and above the 200-day MA of 20.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PKOH.
Park-Ohio Holdings Risk Analysis
Park-Ohio Holdings disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Park-Ohio Holdings reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Park-Ohio Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $865.12M | 62.02 | 11.90% | ― | 16.04% | 75.37% | |
66 Neutral | $299.70M | 20.04 | 17.67% | 4.80% | -2.73% | -11.67% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
63 Neutral | $219.06M | 2.69 | 13.25% | 0.95% | 14.24% | -96.24% | |
60 Neutral | $342.99M | 12.14 | 8.13% | 2.32% | -3.90% | 61.80% | |
60 Neutral | $325.55M | 11.56 | 13.57% | 3.70% | 3.36% | 57.40% |
* Industrials Sector Average
PKOH
Park-Ohio Holdings
23.82
2.75
13.08%
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.