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Luxfer Holdings (LXFR)
NYSE:LXFR

Luxfer (LXFR) AI Stock Analysis

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LXFR

Luxfer

(NYSE:LXFR)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▼(-4.31% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
The score is driven mainly by improving financial strength and earnings recovery with conservative leverage, supported by constructive (but cautious) guidance from the latest call. These positives are tempered by weak technicals (below key moving averages with oversold momentum) and a demanding valuation (high P/E), partially offset by the ~4% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet deleveraging
Meaningful deleveraging and a low net-debt position provide durable financial flexibility. Lower leverage reduces interest strain, supports continued dividend policy, funds targeted investments or M&A, and cushions the business against cyclical revenue swings over the coming 2–6 months and beyond.
Negative Factors
Revenue drift & cylinder weakness
Sustained revenue drift and pronounced softness in core gas‑cylinder end markets (SCBA, alternative fuels, healthcare variability) weaken scale and operating leverage. Given cylinders are a large revenue source, continued declines could pressure margins and limit funding for strategic projects.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet deleveraging
Meaningful deleveraging and a low net-debt position provide durable financial flexibility. Lower leverage reduces interest strain, supports continued dividend policy, funds targeted investments or M&A, and cushions the business against cyclical revenue swings over the coming 2–6 months and beyond.
Read all positive factors

Luxfer (LXFR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Luxfer Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Luxfer Holdings PLC, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and supplies high-performance materials, components, and high-pressure gas containment devices for defense and emergency response, healthcare, transportation, and general ...
How the Company Makes Money
Luxfer primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling engineered products and materials to industrial and commercial customers, with revenue recognized from product shipments under customer purchase orders and longer-term supply relationships....

Luxfer Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed solid fundamental progress: full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, meaningful EPS and cash generation gains, strong performance in the Electron segment, and a reduced net debt position with low leverage. These positives were balanced by near-term volume softness (notably in Gas Cylinders and Q4 sales), one-off legal/operational charges, elevated 2026 capex and temporary inefficiencies related to optimization projects, and modest FX and timing headwinds. On balance the company demonstrated durable earnings quality and a clear plan to drive further efficiency and growth.
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Adjusted full-year sales of $371.2M, up 2.5% year-over-year, reflecting overall revenue expansion despite uneven end-market demand.
Negative Updates
Weak Fourth Quarter Sales and Volume Headwinds
Q4 adjusted sales declined to $90.7M, down 5.5% YoY; declines driven by lower demand in clean energy, automotive, and countermeasure flares.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Adjusted full-year sales of $371.2M, up 2.5% year-over-year, reflecting overall revenue expansion despite uneven end-market demand.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to adjusted EBITDA of $50–55 million and adjusted earnings per share roughly in the $1.2–$1.5 range (the call referenced a midpoint of about $1.12), with expected operating cash flow of ~$20–25 million and capital expenditures of $15–20 million (including ~ $6 million planned Saxonburg investment); other planning assumptions include a tax rate of ~23%, interest expense of $3–4 million, net leverage of ~0.7x, and an FX planning rate of GBP 1.35 (about a $0.02 headwind versus 2025’s ~1.32). Management said the guidance includes ~ $2 million of efficiency benefits from the Saxonburg powder center of excellence and up to $4 million of savings from the Pomona→Riverside consolidation (with equipment moves/commissioning to cause Q1 inefficiencies), and it excludes one‑time advisory costs tied to the Board’s strategic review.

Luxfer Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength and deleveraging are clear positives (debt-to-equity down to ~0.17 and ROE recovered to ~14% in 2025). Profitability improved versus the 2023 loss, but revenue has drifted lower over multiple years and operating/cash-flow results remain uneven (FCF down ~28% in 2025 vs. 2024).
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue384.60M391.90M405.00M423.40M374.10M
Gross Profit89.20M85.70M76.60M95.00M96.00M
EBITDA35.20M45.10M12.60M62.90M54.10M
Net Income31.30M18.40M-1.90M26.90M29.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets369.70M382.40M372.10M407.10M368.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.30M4.10M2.30M12.60M6.20M
Total Debt39.40M59.80M91.90M104.10M72.40M
Total Liabilities143.30M162.90M159.50M199.80M159.70M
Stockholders Equity226.40M219.50M212.60M207.30M209.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.20M40.80M16.90M7.60M17.00M
Operating Cash Flow34.00M51.10M26.30M15.90M26.10M
Investing Cash Flow-5.10M-3.40M-9.50M-5.70M-5.10M
Financing Cash Flow-25.00M-44.00M-27.50M-2.00M-16.10M

Luxfer Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.54
Price Trends
50DMA
13.92
Negative
100DMA
13.47
Negative
200DMA
13.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.46
Negative
RSI
42.93
Neutral
STOCH
75.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LXFR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.11, below the 50-day MA of 13.92, and below the 200-day MA of 13.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LXFR.

Luxfer Risk Analysis

Luxfer disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Luxfer reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our incorporation outside the United States and the location of certain directors, officers and assets may make it difficult to enforce U.S. judgments Q4, 2025
2.
Future dividends are at the discretion of our Board and may be reduced or suspended based on financial and legal constraints Q4, 2025
3.
Fraud, control failures or errors in finance processes could result in financial loss, misstatement and regulatory exposure Q4, 2025

Luxfer Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$865.12M62.0211.90%16.04%75.37%
66
Neutral
$299.70M20.0417.67%4.80%-2.73%-11.67%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$219.06M2.6913.25%0.95%14.24%-96.24%
60
Neutral
$325.55M11.5613.57%3.70%3.36%57.40%
60
Neutral
$342.99M12.148.13%2.32%-3.90%61.80%
59
Neutral
$2.01B-18.5114.80%-38.45%-148.99%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LXFR
Luxfer
12.22
0.84
7.41%
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Company
14.86
14.19
2111.31%
GHM
Graham
78.13
49.31
171.10%
OFLX
Omega Flex
29.69
-3.65
-10.95%
PKOH
Park-Ohio Holdings
23.82
2.75
13.08%
TWIN
Twin Disc
15.19
7.73
103.70%

Luxfer Corporate Events

Dividends
Luxfer declares quarterly interim dividend, signaling confidence
Positive
Jan 15, 2026
On January 13, 2026, Luxfer Holdings PLC announced that its board of directors had declared a quarterly interim dividend of $0.13 per ordinary share, payable on February 4, 2026 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on January 23, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026