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Twin Disc Inc (TWIN)
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Twin Disc (TWIN) AI Stock Analysis

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TWIN

Twin Disc

(NASDAQ:TWIN)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(17.29% Upside)
Twin Disc's overall stock score is driven by positive earnings call sentiment and strong technical indicators, suggesting potential upside. However, challenges in financial performance, particularly profitability, and a high P/E ratio indicating overvaluation, temper the outlook. Investors should weigh the bullish momentum against valuation risks.

Twin Disc (TWIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Twin Disc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTwin Disc, Inc. is a leading manufacturer of power transmission equipment, primarily serving the marine and industrial sectors. Founded in 1918 and headquartered in Racine, Wisconsin, the company specializes in producing a range of products including marine gears, hydraulic components, and other advanced mechanical systems. Twin Disc's offerings are widely used in commercial marine applications, such as workboats and pleasure craft, as well as in various industrial applications, including oil and gas, construction, and agriculture.
How the Company Makes MoneyTwin Disc generates revenue primarily through the sale of its power transmission products and systems. The company operates in two main segments: the marine segment, which includes marine transmissions and controls for boats, and the industrial segment, which encompasses hydraulic clutches and drives for various industrial applications. Key revenue streams include direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and aftermarket sales for existing installations. Significant partnerships with major OEMs in the marine and industrial markets further enhance its revenue potential. Additionally, Twin Disc benefits from a strong aftermarket service component, providing maintenance and replacement parts that contribute to ongoing revenue. The company’s diverse product range and strategic focus on high-performance applications position it well to capitalize on growing demand in its sectors.

Twin Disc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a generally positive outlook, with strong sales growth and backlog, significant improvements in the defense segment, and enhanced profitability. However, challenges such as tariff impacts and a reported net loss were noted. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating a positive sentiment.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to Fiscal 2026
Sales grew 9.7% year-over-year to $80 million, with significant contributions from the marine and propulsion business and the integration of Katsa and Kobelt. Gross margins increased by 220 basis points to 28.7%, supported by operational improvements and product mix.
Defense Segment Growth
Defense-related projects have shown strong momentum, with orders increasing by $4 million sequentially and up 45% year-over-year, comprising 15% of the total backlog.
Improved EBITDA and Profitability
EBITDA increased by 172% to $4.7 million compared to the prior year, reflecting higher operating income and reduced currency losses.
Record Backlog
The company reported a robust 6-month backlog of $163.3 million, up 13% year-over-year, indicating sustained demand across end markets.
Marine and Propulsion Success
Sales in the marine and propulsion segment increased 14.6% year-over-year to $48.2 million, driven by work boat activity and government programs.
Negative Updates
Tariff Increases Impact Costs
Tariffs are expected to impact the second quarter cost of sales by 1% to 3%, up from roughly 1%, although this is expected to be temporary.
Net Loss Reported
The company reported a net loss of $518,000 or $0.04 per diluted share, although this was an improvement from the prior year's loss of $2.8 million.
Challenges in Oil and Gas Segment
Oil and gas shipments remained nearly flat, with a decline in China and cautious North American customers focusing on rebuilds and refurbishments.
Company Guidance
During the Twin Disc, Inc. fiscal first quarter 2026 conference call, the company provided detailed guidance on its performance and future outlook. Sales for the quarter grew 9.7% year-over-year, reaching $80 million, with significant contributions from the marine and propulsion business and recent acquisitions, Katsa and Kobelt. Organic net sales increased by 1.1%, excluding acquisition and foreign exchange impacts. The company reported a gross margin expansion of 220 basis points to 28.7%, driven by improved operational efficiencies and product mix. EBITDA margins remained robust despite non-operating items, and the company ended the quarter with a six-month backlog of $163.3 million, up 13% year-over-year. The defense sector showed exceptional growth, with defense-related backlog increasing 45% year-over-year. The company anticipates a temporary increase in tariffs impacting second-quarter cost of sales by 1% to 3%, expecting it to return to normal levels in the second half of the fiscal year. With a strategic focus on global footprint optimization and operational excellence, Twin Disc aims to sustain profitability and long-term value creation.

Twin Disc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Twin Disc shows moderate revenue growth and a stable financial position with low leverage. However, profitability remains a challenge with negative net profit margins and declining free cash flow growth. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and cash flow generation to enhance overall financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Twin Disc's income statement shows moderate revenue growth with a 2.08% increase in TTM. However, the net profit margin is negative at -0.56%, indicating challenges in profitability. The gross profit margin is stable at 27.21%, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low at 1.30% and 5.67%, respectively. Overall, the company demonstrates revenue growth but struggles with profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -1.23%, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 44.10%, showing a solid equity base relative to total assets. The company maintains a stable financial position with low leverage but needs to improve its return on equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by -9.27% in TTM, raising concerns about cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.19, indicating some cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.37, suggesting limited cash flow relative to net income. While the company generates positive operating cash flow, the decline in free cash flow growth is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue347.84M340.74M295.13M276.96M242.91M218.58M
Gross Profit96.34M92.73M83.32M74.33M68.81M50.86M
EBITDA22.41M19.31M27.05M26.39M24.64M4.16M
Net Income353.00K-1.89M10.99M10.38M10.47M-29.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets363.54M355.56M312.06M289.18M276.52M275.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.24M16.11M20.07M13.26M12.52M12.34M
Total Debt47.05M49.20M48.22M36.74M54.26M44.97M
Total Liabilities202.65M191.17M157.00M143.66M145.34M144.75M
Stockholders Equity160.32M164.01M154.70M145.09M130.78M130.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.00M8.82M25.01M14.98M-13.04M2.06M
Operating Cash Flow20.80M23.98M33.72M22.90M-8.31M6.53M
Investing Cash Flow-33.62M-32.90M-32.07M-408.00K5.90M-2.74M
Financing Cash Flow7.97M-965.00K2.75M-19.51M4.05M-4.32M

Twin Disc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.92
Price Trends
50DMA
14.42
Positive
100DMA
11.85
Positive
200DMA
9.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.61
Positive
RSI
71.40
Negative
STOCH
77.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TWIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.58, above the 50-day MA of 14.42, and above the 200-day MA of 9.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 71.40 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TWIN.

Twin Disc Risk Analysis

Twin Disc disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Twin Disc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Twin Disc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$4.26B31.2610.89%1.12%5.06%-22.73%
69
Neutral
$231.00M660.700.22%1.02%14.24%-96.24%
68
Neutral
$4.79B55.885.80%0.54%6.44%101.24%
66
Neutral
$3.16B31.0111.32%0.50%-0.96%-11.55%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$9.34B29.2712.38%5.52%9.03%
57
Neutral
$2.23B-1.50%2.84%-7.93%91.44%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TWIN
Twin Disc
16.98
4.75
38.82%
NPO
Enpro
213.07
50.56
31.11%
FELE
Franklin Electric Co
94.87
-11.72
-10.99%
GNRC
Generac Holdings
155.29
-34.06
-17.99%
HI
Hillenbrand
31.68
1.76
5.88%
KAI
Kadant
269.06
-129.07
-32.42%

Twin Disc Corporate Events

Twin Disc Reports Strong Sales Growth and Improved Margins
Nov 6, 2025

Twin Disc, Inc. is a company that designs, manufactures, and sells marine and heavy-duty off-highway power transmission equipment, catering to markets such as pleasure craft, commercial and military marine, energy, and industrial sectors. In its latest earnings report, Twin Disc announced a 9.7% increase in sales for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, reaching $80 million, with a gross margin expansion to 28.7%. Despite a net loss of $518,000, the company reported a significant improvement in EBITDA, which rose by 172.3% year-over-year to $4.7 million. The company’s backlog increased to $163.3 million, supported by strong demand in the defense sector and record bookings in marine and propulsion systems. Looking forward, Twin Disc’s management remains optimistic about continued growth, focusing on operational discipline, innovation, and customer engagement to drive profitability throughout fiscal 2026.

Twin Disc Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth
Nov 6, 2025

The recent earnings call of Twin Disc Inc. painted a generally positive picture, with the company showcasing strong sales growth and a robust backlog. Notable improvements were observed in the defense segment and overall profitability, although some challenges, such as tariff impacts and a reported net loss, were acknowledged. Despite these hurdles, the highlights of the call significantly outweighed the lowlights, indicating an optimistic sentiment for the company’s future.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Twin Disc Reports Strong Q1 Sales Growth for 2026
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Twin Disc reported a 9.7% increase in sales for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, reaching $80 million, driven by the acquisition of Kobelt and strong performance in Marine and Propulsion Systems. The company’s gross margin improved by 220 basis points to 28.7%, and EBITDA rose by 172.3% compared to the previous year. Despite a net loss of $518 thousand, the company saw a robust six-month backlog of $163.3 million, supported by strong demand, particularly in the defense sector. The CEO highlighted growth in marine and propulsion bookings and steady land-based transmission activity, positioning the company for profitable growth in fiscal 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWIN) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Twin Disc stock, see the TWIN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Twin Disc to Present at Investor Meetings
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

Twin Disc, a company involved in manufacturing, is set to present materials at investor meetings and conferences starting November 5, 2025. The presentation will include non-GAAP financial information to provide insights into the company’s core business performance, although these measures are not a substitute for GAAP results. The company emphasizes that these materials should not be deemed as material information and highlights the risks associated with forward-looking statements included in the presentation.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWIN) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Twin Disc stock, see the TWIN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Twin Disc Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Twin Disc held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where several key decisions were made. The shareholders elected John H. Batten, Juliann Larimer, and Kevin M. Olsen as directors, approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers, and ratified the appointment of RSM US LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026. Additionally, non-employee directors received restricted stock under the company’s Omnibus Incentive Plan, reflecting a significant portion of their annual board retainer.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWIN) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Twin Disc stock, see the TWIN Stock Forecast page.

Twin Disc Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Twin Disc Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a blend of robust sales growth and strategic advancements in key markets, despite facing challenges in the oil and gas sector and increased expenses. The company reported a net loss for the year, yet its expansion in the defense market and strategic integrations suggest a positive outlook for the future.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Twin Disc to Present at Investor Meetings
Neutral
Aug 26, 2025

Twin Disc, a company involved in the manufacturing sector, announced that its executive officers plan to present materials at investor meetings and conferences starting August 27, 2025. These materials, which include non-GAAP financial information, will be available on the company’s website. The company emphasizes that these non-GAAP measures provide additional insights into their core business operations, although they should not replace GAAP-compliant results. The announcement highlights the company’s efforts to engage with investors and analysts, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder perceptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWIN) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Twin Disc stock, see the TWIN Stock Forecast page.

Twin Disc Reports Strong Sales Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 22, 2025

Twin Disc, Inc. is a company that designs, manufactures, and sells marine and heavy-duty off-highway power transmission equipment, catering to markets such as pleasure craft, commercial and military marine, energy, natural resources, government, and industrial sectors. In its latest earnings report, Twin Disc reported a 15.5% increase in sales for the fiscal year 2025, reaching $340.7 million, despite a net loss of $1.9 million. The company’s fourth quarter saw a 14.5% rise in sales to $96.7 million, with a net income of $1.4 million. Key drivers of growth included strong demand in Marine and Propulsion Systems and a recovery in the Industrial segment, although challenges persisted in the oil and gas sector. The company also highlighted its strategic advancements in electrification and recent acquisitions that expanded its global footprint. Looking forward, Twin Disc’s management remains optimistic about capturing additional growth opportunities, supported by a healthy backlog and strategic positioning in the defense market.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Twin Disc Reports FY 2025 Results with Sales Growth
Neutral
Aug 21, 2025

On August 21, 2025, Twin Disc announced its fiscal year 2025 results, highlighting a 15.5% increase in sales to $340.7 million and a net loss of $1.9 million. Despite challenges in the oil and gas sector, the company saw strong demand in marine and propulsion systems, and industrial segments. The company reported a healthy backlog, increased operating cash flow, and continued strategic acquisitions, enhancing its global footprint and market diversification. CEO John H. Batten emphasized the company’s resilience and strategic positioning for future growth, supported by a robust defense market presence and ongoing integration efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWIN) stock is a Hold with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Twin Disc stock, see the TWIN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Twin Disc to Present at Investor Meetings
Neutral
Aug 21, 2025

Twin Disc, a company involved in manufacturing, is preparing to present materials at investor meetings and conferences starting August 21, 2025. These presentations will include non-GAAP financial measures to provide additional insights into the company’s performance. The company emphasizes that these non-GAAP measures are not a substitute for GAAP results and warns against undue reliance on forward-looking statements due to potential risks and uncertainties.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWIN) stock is a Hold with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Twin Disc stock, see the TWIN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Twin Disc Sets 2026 Executive Compensation Plan
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Twin Disc‘s Compensation and Human Capital Committee approved the base salaries and fiscal 2026 bonus targets for its principal executive officers, with no increase for CEO John H. Batten and a 4.2% increase for CFO Jeffrey S. Knutson. The committee also awarded restricted and performance stock awards under the Omnibus Incentive Plan, with specific performance objectives set for the three-year period ending June 30, 2028. These decisions reflect the company’s strategic focus on aligning executive compensation with performance metrics, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWIN) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Twin Disc stock, see the TWIN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025