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Twin Disc Inc (TWIN)
:TWIN

Twin Disc (TWIN) AI Stock Analysis

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Twin Disc

(NASDAQ:TWIN)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(3.31%Upside)
Twin Disc's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive technical momentum, tempered by a high valuation and overbought technical indicators. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events does not impact the score due to proportional weight redistribution.

Twin Disc (TWIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Twin Disc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTwin Disc, Incorporated designs, manufactures, and sells marine and heavy duty off-highway power transmission equipment worldwide. It operates through two segments, Manufacturing and Distribution. The company's products include marine transmissions, azimuth drives, surface drives, propellers, and boat management systems, as well as power-shift transmissions, hydraulic torque converters, power take-offs, industrial clutches, and controls systems. It also provides non-twin disc manufactured products. The company sells its products through a direct sales force and distributor network to customers primarily in the pleasure craft, commercial, and military marine markets, as well as in the energy and natural resources, government, and industrial markets. Twin Disc, Incorporated was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Racine, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyTwin Disc makes money primarily by designing, manufacturing, and selling power transmission equipment to various industries. Its key revenue streams come from the sales of marine transmissions, surface drives, and related components to the marine industry, as well as industrial products to sectors like oil and gas, construction, and agriculture. Additionally, Twin Disc generates revenue through aftermarket services, which include repair, maintenance, and spare parts. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with leading original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and distributors globally, which help expand its market reach and enhance sales opportunities.

Twin Disc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 42.77%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Twin Disc experienced significant sales growth, particularly in the marine propulsion and industrial segments, supported by acquisitions and strong market demand. However, challenges such as declining gross profit margins and reduced performance in the oil and gas segment posed concerns. Overall, the sentiment remains balanced with both growth opportunities and financial pressures.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Double-Digit Sales Growth
Second quarter sales reached $89.3 million, reflecting a 23.2% year-over-year increase, driven by strong performance in marine propulsion and industrial segments.
Marine Propulsion Segment Growth
Sales in the marine propulsion segment grew 23.9% year-over-year, driven by demand in North American projects and luxury yacht markets.
Industrial Segment Growth
The industrial segment grew 44.8% year-over-year, driven by the addition of Casa and a rebound in Lufkin orders.
Improved Cash Flow
Operating cash generation of $4.3 million was strong in the quarter, and EBITDA increased to $6.3 million, up 13.5% compared to the second quarter of 2024.
Negative Updates
Gross Profit Margin Decline
Gross profit margin decreased to 24.1% from 28.3% in the prior year, impacted by inventory write-downs and unfavorable product mix.
Oil and Gas Segment Decline
Oil and gas exports were down, with revenue from this segment comprising less than 8% of total revenue and down 24% year-over-year.
Increased Net Debt
Net debt increased by $12.3 million to $9 million due to the Casa acquisition, with a 24.3% decrease in cash balance compared to the prior year.
Company Guidance
During the fiscal second quarter of 2025, Twin Disc, Incorporated reported significant year-over-year growth, with sales reaching $89.9 million, reflecting a 23.2% increase. This growth was largely driven by a $10 million incremental benefit from the Casa acquisition and a 10.1% organic revenue increase. The marine propulsion segment saw a 23.9% rise in sales, while the land-based transmission and industrial segments grew by 19.8% and 44.8%, respectively. However, gross profit margins decreased from 28.3% to 24.1%, partly due to inventory rationalization and purchase accounting amortization expenses. The company maintained a healthy backlog, despite a sequential decrease due to high shipments and foreign exchange impacts, and ended the quarter with a net debt of $9 million. Twin Disc remains focused on strategic acquisitions, operational efficiencies, and advancing its technology portfolio, particularly in hybrid and electric propulsion systems, to sustain long-term growth and value creation.

Twin Disc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Twin Disc's financial position is solid, with improvements in revenue, profitability, and balance sheet stability. The company has managed to increase its income and maintain a conservative leverage level. Cash flow management remains robust, supporting operational activities. However, there is potential for improvement in operational efficiencies and capital allocation to enhance overall financial strength.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Twin Disc has demonstrated solid revenue growth and profitability improvements. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue of $321.4 million shows a notable increase from the previous year. The gross profit margin improved to 27.1%, and the net profit margin is now at 2.9%, reflecting better cost management. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate room for further operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.28, indicating a conservative leverage profile. ROE for the TTM is 6.4%, showing profitability against equity. The equity ratio is 47.8%, highlighting a healthy balance between assets and equity. While there is stability, further enhancement in equity growth and asset utilization could strengthen the position.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Free cash flow has decreased in the TTM, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 1.88, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.28, showing effective cash conversion. Continued focus on capital expenditure and cash management will be crucial.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue321.40M295.13M276.96M242.91M218.58M246.84M
Gross Profit87.03M83.32M74.33M68.81M50.86M55.71M
EBITDA22.27M27.05M22.23M21.34M4.16M-30.13M
Net Income9.38M10.99M10.38M8.10M-20.70M-39.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets307.36M312.06M289.18M276.52M275.41M294.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.91M20.07M13.26M12.52M12.34M10.69M
Total Debt41.34M48.22M29.44M47.12M44.97M56.08M
Total Liabilities159.73M157.00M143.66M145.34M144.75M154.17M
Stockholders Equity147.02M154.70M145.09M130.78M130.21M139.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.55M25.01M14.98M-13.04M2.06M-1.08M
Operating Cash Flow21.98M33.72M22.90M-8.31M6.53M9.62M
Investing Cash Flow-31.58M-32.07M-408.00K5.90M-2.74M-10.62M
Financing Cash Flow2.66M2.75M-19.51M4.05M-4.32M-1.05M

Twin Disc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.68
Price Trends
50DMA
7.63
Positive
100DMA
7.85
Positive
200DMA
9.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.55
Negative
RSI
73.07
Negative
STOCH
88.72
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TWIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.33, above the 50-day MA of 7.63, and below the 200-day MA of 9.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.07 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.72 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TWIN.

Twin Disc Risk Analysis

Twin Disc disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Twin Disc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Twin Disc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Neutral
$139.46M19.3215.52%-1.02%-7.87%
65
Neutral
$136.95M33.222.77%1.69%11.49%-66.66%
65
Neutral
$10.77B15.805.51%1.90%3.03%-26.66%
57
Neutral
$41.74M30.96-1.24%-25.94%-108.22%
CVCVV
57
Neutral
$20.92M-0.26%48.84%98.75%
44
Neutral
$130.01M-9.30%1.15%-12.36%-569.47%
40
Underperform
$47.57M77.71%1.71%-3.55%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TWIN
Twin Disc
9.68
-2.66
-21.56%
BWEN
Broadwind Energy
1.84
-1.35
-42.32%
CVV
CVD Equipment
3.13
-0.87
-21.75%
HURC
Hurco Companies
19.98
4.92
32.67%
TAYD
Taylor Devices
44.46
2.26
5.36%
TPIC
TPI Composites
0.98
-2.86
-74.48%

Twin Disc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Twin Disc Reports Q3 2025 Sales Increase
Neutral
May 7, 2025

Twin Disc reported a 9.5% increase in sales for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, reaching $81.2 million, driven by acquisitions and strength in its Marine and Propulsion Systems and Industrial segments. Despite a net loss of $1.5 million, the company saw a healthy backlog of $133.7 million and improved operational execution, with a focus on integrating recent acquisitions and advancing strategic priorities in hybrid and electric marine solutions.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Twin Disc to Present at Investor Meetings
Neutral
May 7, 2025

Twin Disc, a company involved in manufacturing, has announced that its executive officers will present materials at investor meetings and conferences starting May 7, 2025. These materials, which include non-GAAP financial information, are intended to provide investors with a deeper understanding of the company’s performance, although they are not a substitute for GAAP measures. The company emphasizes that these presentations should not be considered as an indication of the materiality of the information contained within them.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 28, 2025