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Performant Healthcare (PHLT)
NASDAQ:PHLT
US Market

Performant Healthcare (PHLT) AI Stock Analysis

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Performant Healthcare

(NASDAQ:PHLT)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-4.53%Downside)
Performant Healthcare's stock score is primarily driven by strong technical momentum and a positive earnings call outlook. However, inconsistent financial performance and poor valuation metrics detract from the overall score.
Positive Factors
Business Strategy
Performant's decision to wind down the customer care business is a positive overall as it simplifies the Company's story and should increase margins in the long run.
Contract Growth
Several contracts are ramping and new RAC region RFPs are coming to market, supporting confidence in the company’s ability to achieve 15% revenue growth in 2025.
Government Alignment
Performant Healthcare is well-positioned to benefit from changing tides in payment integrity, supported by a close alignment with the current administration's focus on Medicare waste, fraud, and abuse.
Revenue Performance
The company's Q4 revenue exceeded expectations, indicating strong performance across all segments and end markets.
Negative Factors
Claims Volume
Performant reported a solid Q3, with in line revenue and adj. EBITDA ahead of expectations while maintaining its 2024 guidance despite lower claims volumes in a pre-election environment.

Performant Healthcare (PHLT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Performant Healthcare Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPerformant Healthcare (PHLT) is a company that specializes in providing technology-enabled recovery and related analytics services primarily to the healthcare industry. Its core services include identifying and recovering improper payments for healthcare programs, which helps clients enhance their operational and financial performance. The company operates within the sectors of healthcare, government, and commercial markets, offering solutions that leverage its proprietary technology and data analytics capabilities.
How the Company Makes MoneyPerformant Healthcare makes money by offering recovery and analytics services that help clients identify and recover improper payments, primarily within the healthcare sector. The company's revenue model is based on contingency fees, where it earns a percentage of the funds it successfully recovers for its clients. This performance-based model aligns Performant Healthcare's incentives with those of its clients, as both parties benefit from maximizing recoveries. Additionally, the company may engage in significant partnerships with government agencies and commercial clients, further contributing to its revenue streams.

Performant Healthcare Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 86.22%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter with significant revenue growth and a return to positive EBITDA, driven by successful commercial implementations and increased efficiency. Despite the loss of the CMS RAC Region 5 contract, the company remains optimistic about future growth and has raised its full-year guidance. The overall sentiment is positive with more highlights than lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Healthcare Revenue Growth
Healthcare revenue grew by 29% year-over-year, reflecting strong growth across both government and commercial clients.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
The company reported a positive adjusted EBITDA of over $3 million, a significant improvement from a $1.2 million loss in the same quarter last year.
Record Commercial Implementations
Implemented 13 commercial programs in the quarter, the highest number for a single quarter, expected to contribute $4.5 to $5 million in annualized revenue.
Revenue and Profitability Guidance Increase
Full-year revenue guidance raised to $133 - $135 million with adjusted EBITDA guidance increased to $9 - $10 million.
Strong Claims-Based Revenue Growth
Claims-based business revenue grew by 38% year-over-year, contributing significantly to overall company revenue growth.
Negative Updates
Loss of CMS RAC Region 5 Contract
The company was not selected for CMS RAC regions three through five, including region five which primarily involved low-margin claims.
Expected Mid-Year EBITDA Decline
Guidance implies a decline in adjusted EBITDA in the middle of the year due to investments in the New York RAC implementation and the wind-down of RAC Region 5.
Company Guidance
During Performant Healthcare, Inc.'s first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 29% growth in healthcare revenue compared to the same quarter in 2024, and a positive adjusted EBITDA of $3.3 million, improving from a $1.2 million loss in the previous year. Total company revenues reached $33.3 million, marking a 22% increase year-over-year, with claims-based revenue leading at $17.1 million, reflecting a 38% growth. The company implemented 13 commercial programs, expected to contribute $4.5 to $5 million in annualized revenue. Performant increased its full-year revenue guidance to $133-$135 million and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $9-$10 million, citing strong first-quarter results and a promising outlook. The company also emphasized strategic investments, particularly in technology and client partnerships, to further drive growth and efficiency.

Performant Healthcare Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Performant Healthcare faces significant financial challenges, with inconsistent revenue, negative profitability, and erratic cash flow performance. While the balance sheet shows manageable leverage, declining equity and negative free cash flow highlight the need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Performant Healthcare has shown inconsistent revenue performance with significant fluctuations in profitability. The gross profit margin improved from negative to positive in 2024, yet EBIT and net profit margins remain negative, indicating ongoing operational challenges and a need for cost management improvements.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects moderate stability with a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating manageable leverage levels. However, declining stockholder equity and a decreasing equity ratio suggest potential financial challenges that need addressing.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals erratic free cash flow performance, with recent years showing negative free cash flow figures. The company has improved operating cash flow, but the free cash flow to net income ratio remains weak, indicating cash generation issues relative to earnings.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue122.98M113.74M109.18M124.39M155.94M
Gross Profit-9.50M113.74M109.18M124.39M55.28M
EBITDA-2.21M828.00K304.00K8.08M-6.94M
Net Income-9.89M-7.52M-6.54M-10.29M-13.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets101.77M99.03M118.83M121.98M126.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.29M7.25M23.38M17.35M16.04M
Total Debt8.85M5.54M21.47M23.24M65.73M
Total Liabilities25.27M18.32M34.35M39.56M84.25M
Stockholders Equity76.50M80.71M84.48M82.42M41.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-832.00K-283.00K-6.46M-2.50M17.02M
Operating Cash Flow6.18M3.86M-2.88M916.00K20.81M
Investing Cash Flow-7.01M-4.14M1.73M-270.00K-3.79M
Financing Cash Flow2.79M-15.85M5.06M608.00K-3.72M

Performant Healthcare Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.19
Price Trends
50DMA
3.00
Positive
100DMA
2.82
Positive
200DMA
3.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Negative
RSI
83.91
Negative
STOCH
93.65
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PHLT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.58, above the 50-day MA of 3.00, and above the 200-day MA of 3.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 83.91 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.65 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PHLT.

Performant Healthcare Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
MTMTW
72
Outperform
$456.51M10.227.21%-2.75%65.38%
71
Outperform
¥254.55B13.008.49%3.09%6.31%12.77%
67
Neutral
$328.11M-7.65%11.76%19.71%
TBTBI
50
Neutral
$198.60M-36.98%-16.76%-1127.93%
RGRGP
50
Neutral
$199.41M-31.18%4.64%-16.27%-589.83%
46
Neutral
$206.45M-45.64%-9.61%-18170.36%
45
Neutral
$158.61M
-5.34%-125.18%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PHLT
Performant Healthcare
4.19
1.69
67.60%
FORR
Forrester Research
10.83
-6.27
-36.67%
MTW
Manitowoc Company
12.88
2.43
23.25%
RGP
Resources Connection
6.03
-3.49
-36.66%
TBI
Trueblue
6.65
-3.18
-32.35%
AZULQ
Azul SA
0.52
-4.15
-88.87%

Performant Healthcare Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Performant Healthcare Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 23, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Performant Healthcare, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders in Weston, Florida, where 86.58% of the company’s shares were represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected three Class I directors and ratified the appointment of Baker Tilly US, LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (PHLT) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Performant Healthcare stock, see the PHLT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025