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Progyny (PGNY)
NASDAQ:PGNY
US Market

Progyny (PGNY) AI Stock Analysis

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Progyny

(NASDAQ:PGNY)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(7.26%Upside)
Progyny's strong financial performance is the most significant factor, showcasing robust growth and effective management. The positive outlook from the earnings call adds to this strength, despite some technical weaknesses and a high valuation. The absence of corporate events maintains focus on these primary factors.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Progyny posted a second consecutive quarter of solid results well ahead of analyst and consensus estimates.
Market Demand
Management highlighted that the pace of births for individuals above the age of 30 has increased, indicating a growing market demand.
Market Position
The company is making investments to integrate acquisitions and improve member experience, which should solidify its leadership position.
Negative Factors
Macro-economic Concerns
Management noted unexpected variability seen in 2024 and macro-economic uncertainty, which has led to a more cautious approach to the outlook.
Operating Model
There is an inherently low level of visibility in the PGNY operating model.
Uncertainty
Continuation services for Amazon customers are expected to contribute more revenue, creating noise and uncertainty.

Progyny (PGNY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Progyny Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProgyny, Inc. is a leading fertility benefits management company headquartered in the United States. It operates within the healthcare services sector, providing comprehensive fertility solutions to large self-insured employers. Progyny's core product is its fertility benefits plan, which integrates superior clinical solutions with a member-centric approach. The company aims to improve outcomes, reduce healthcare costs, and provide a better experience for those seeking fertility-related services.
How the Company Makes MoneyProgyny makes money primarily through the provision of fertility benefit plans to employers. Its revenue model is based on contracts with employers who pay Progyny to manage and administer fertility benefits for their employees. These contracts typically involve a per-member-per-month fee structure, which provides a recurring revenue stream. Additionally, Progyny earns fees related to the usage of its services, which include access to a network of fertility specialists, personalized support, and advanced fertility treatments. The company also forms strategic partnerships with healthcare providers and leverages its data-driven approach to improve clinical outcomes and cost efficiencies, further enhancing its value proposition to clients.

Progyny Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Member Utilization Rate
Member Utilization Rate
Tracks the percentage of members actively using Progyny's services, providing insight into program engagement and the effectiveness of member outreach.
Chart InsightsProgyny's member utilization rate has stabilized around the mid-50s since 2023, reflecting consistent engagement despite macroeconomic uncertainties. The latest earnings call highlights robust revenue growth and expanded partnerships, which may support future utilization. However, slight decreases in female utilization and ART cycles suggest variability in member engagement. Progyny's strategic focus on product expansion and a diversified client base positions it well for continued growth, even as it navigates the transition of a large client and broader economic challenges.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Progyny Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.25%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Progyny's earnings call reflects strong financial performance and growth potential, highlighted by record revenues, expanded partnerships, and a raised guidance. However, challenges include the transition of a large client and macroeconomic uncertainties impacting pipeline growth. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic expansions and diversified client base provide a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth and Guidance Increase
First quarter revenue grew 16.5% to $324 million, primarily due to an increase in the number of clients and covered lives. Full-year guidance has been raised, projecting revenue growth between 1.5% and 5.8% with expectations excluding a large client to be 11% to 15%.
Record Quarterly Results and Cash Flow
The company reported record quarterly results for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA, along with significant quarterly cash flow generation, nearly doubling operating cash flow compared to the prior year.
Expansion of Product Portfolio and Partnerships
Progyny made meaningful progress in expanding its product portfolio and platform, enhancing member experience, and extending its position in women's health and family building. New partnerships include Cigna and large regional plans.
High Client Diversification and Growth in Covered Lives
Progyny reported 532 clients and an average of 6.7 million covered lives, with diversification across 45 industries, showing resilience and growth even after losing a large client.
Negative Updates
Large Client Transition and Impact on Revenue
A large former client is providing an extended transition period, contributing approximately $31 million in the first quarter. This transition impacts comparability and revenue growth metrics.
Slight Decrease in Utilization Metrics
Female utilization and ART cycles per unique female utilizer showed slight decreases compared to the prior year, reflecting some variability in member engagement.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty Affecting Sales Pipeline
The average number of lives in the sales pipeline is lower than the previous year, possibly due to macroeconomic uncertainties affecting decision-making processes of potential clients.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter 2025 earnings call, Progyny Inc. reported robust financial results with double-digit growth in both revenue and adjusted EBITDA compared to the prior year. Revenue increased 16.5% to $324 million, driven primarily by an uptick in the number of clients and covered lives. The company saw a record 16,160 ART cycles, reflecting a 9% growth year-over-year. Progyny raised its full-year guidance, projecting revenue between $1.185 billion and $1.235 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $190 million and $203 million. The guidance assumes a contribution of $44 million to $46 million from a large client under a transition of care agreement. The company also reported record gross margins and significant quarterly cash flow, with a focus on expanding its product portfolio and platform to enhance member experience. With stable utilization rates and a diversified client base across 45 industries, Progyny remains optimistic about its growth trajectory and market position in women's health and family building solutions.

Progyny Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Progyny exhibits strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, a robust balance sheet, and effective cash flow management. The company demonstrates outstanding revenue growth and profitability, a prudent capital structure, and strong cash generation capabilities.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Progyny demonstrates strong revenue growth with a significant increase in total revenue from $786.91M in 2022 to $1.21B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), marking a 54% growth rate over this period. The gross profit margin remains robust at approximately 22%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 4.33% for TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, reflecting operational efficiency. Overall, the company shows strong revenue growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
Progyny maintains a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 in TTM, indicating low financial leverage. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 11.23%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is strong at 64%, indicating a healthy balance between debt and equity financing. The company’s balance sheet reflects stability and financial health with manageable liabilities.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Progyny demonstrates strong cash flow performance with a free cash flow growth rate of 12.73% from 2024 to TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 3.87, indicating excellent cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable at 3.73, highlighting robust cash generation relative to net income. Overall, the cash flow position is strong, supporting the company's growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.21B1.17B1.09B786.91M500.62M344.86M
Gross Profit266.75M253.36M238.80M167.32M112.14M70.06M
EBITDA74.72M67.45M64.47M24.94M33.64M10.25M
Net Income52.50M54.34M62.04M30.36M65.77M46.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets730.28M607.10M756.62M542.99M358.06M253.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments256.12M227.95M371.09M189.30M119.42M109.30M
Total Debt26.00M19.27M19.39M7.71M7.42M8.32M
Total Liabilities263.13M185.04M203.19M166.02M106.24M86.98M
Stockholders Equity467.16M422.06M553.43M376.97M251.82M166.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow195.78M173.70M185.17M77.15M23.91M35.17M
Operating Cash Flow203.18M179.10M188.81M80.39M26.04M36.20M
Investing Cash Flow81.84M195.79M-200.53M-43.87M8.77M-40.03M
Financing Cash Flow-285.76M-309.88M-11.07M-7.86M-13.70M-6.25M

Progyny Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.91
Price Trends
50DMA
21.84
Positive
100DMA
21.93
Negative
200DMA
19.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
54.07
Neutral
STOCH
59.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PGNY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.49, above the 50-day MA of 21.84, and above the 200-day MA of 19.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PGNY.

Progyny Risk Analysis

Progyny disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Progyny reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Progyny Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.78B37.856.05%3.89%-17.69%-10.24%
74
Outperform
$1.88B38.6710.11%9.47%-7.81%
PHPHR
71
Outperform
$1.70B-15.97%16.29%66.01%
68
Neutral
$1.75B65.954.43%4.35%
59
Neutral
$1.51B-43.33%22.29%-32.89%
54
Neutral
$1.48B-54.49%-2.54%-322.03%
51
Neutral
$7.41B0.36-61.88%2.33%16.99%1.69%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PGNY
Progyny
21.91
-6.47
-22.80%
PINC
Premier
21.61
3.77
21.13%
TDOC
Teladoc
8.41
-0.91
-9.76%
PHR
Phreesia
28.49
7.82
37.83%
SDGR
Schrodinger
20.61
1.85
9.86%
GDRX
GoodRx Holdings
4.90
-2.92
-37.34%

Progyny Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Progyny Stockholders Meeting Highlights Governance Decisions
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Progyny, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. Stockholders elected Class III directors, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent accounting firm, but did not approve the executive compensation package, indicating potential concerns among stakeholders about executive pay.

The most recent analyst rating on (PGNY) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Progyny stock, see the PGNY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Progyny Director Fred Cohen to Step Down
Neutral
Apr 11, 2025

On April 9, 2025, Dr. Fred E. Cohen informed Progyny, Inc. that he will not seek reelection at the company’s 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. His decision is not due to any disagreement with the company’s operations, policies, or practices, and he will remain a director until the end of his current term.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025