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Premier Inc (PINC)
NASDAQ:PINC
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Premier (PINC) AI Stock Analysis

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Premier

(NASDAQ:PINC)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▲(9.16%Upside)
Premier's overall stock score reflects strong financial management and earnings performance, but is tempered by bearish technical indicators and valuation concerns. Strategic initiatives and a solid dividend yield offer some support, though market pressures and analyst caution warrant a measured outlook.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Strategy
Premier's acquisition of IllumiCare is aimed at enhancing its clinical decision support capabilities, aligning with its mission to drive value-based care and operational efficiency.
Financial Performance
Premier reported a F3Q beat and lifted FY25 Adj EBITDA guidance modestly.
Shareholder Returns
Management has prioritized shareholder returns through a $200MM accelerated share repurchase program, and the deal is not expected to impact that capital allocation strategy.
Negative Factors
Fee Pressure
Net GPO admin fee revenue declined 10% y/y as the negotiated increases in the share to its hospital members more than offset growth in gross admin fee revenue.
Revenue Challenges
Net revenue declined 8% y/y and rose 10% q/q to $255M (ex Contigo Health which will be fully divested by year end).

Premier (PINC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Premier Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPremier, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a healthcare improvement company in the United States. It operates in two segments, Supply Chain Services and Performance Services. The Supply Chain Services segment offers its members with an access to a range of products and services, including medical and surgical products, pharmaceuticals, laboratory supplies, capital equipment, information technology, facilities and construction, and food and nutritional products, as well as purchased services, such as clinical engineering and workforce solutions. This segment also provides the ASCENDrive programs for members to receive group purchasing programs, tiers, and prices; SURPASS Performance Group services; STOCKD, an e-commerce platform; PROVIDEGX program, which identifies supply sources for drugs that are on or may be at risk of being added to the national drug shortage list, or that are vulnerable to pricing volatility, as well as direct sourcing business; SaaS informatics products; supply chain co-management services; purchased services contracts; direct sourcing solutions; and supply chain resiliency programs. The Performance Services segment provides technology and services platform with offerings that help optimize performance in three main areas, including clinical intelligence, margin improvement, and value-based care under the PINC AI brand; third party administrator services and management of health benefit programs under the Contigo Health brand; and digital invoicing and payables services that offers financial support services to healthcare product suppliers and service providers under the Remitra brand. The company also provides services to other businesses, including food service, schools, and universities. Premier, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyPremier, Inc. generates revenue primarily through its group purchasing organization (GPO) and performance services. The GPO aggregates purchasing volume from member hospitals and healthcare providers to negotiate discounts with manufacturers, earning fees based on the volume of products purchased. Additionally, the company offers supply chain co-management solutions that contribute to its revenue. In the Performance Services segment, Premier provides subscription-based data analytics and consulting services that help healthcare providers enhance quality, safety, and cost management, further adding to its earnings. Strategic partnerships, alliances, and technology-driven solutions also play a crucial role in the company's revenue generation.

Premier Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.69%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of strong sequential growth and strategic advancements, such as the partnership with Epic and an accelerated share repurchase program, which were positively received. However, challenges persist with consulting revenue decline and tariff concerns affecting healthcare providers' operational environment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Sequential Revenue Growth
Net revenue of $261 million for the third quarter grew $21 million sequentially compared to Q2. Adjusted EBITDA excluding Contigo Health was $73 million, representing a sequential improvement of $21 million, achieving the highest quarterly margin of this fiscal year at 28.4%.
Accelerated Share Repurchase Program
Premier initiated a $200 million accelerated share repurchase program during the quarter, resulting in the receipt of 9 million shares, with expectations for final settlement by fiscal Q1 2026.
Supply Chain Services Performance
The Supply Chain Services segment performed above expectations, with gross administrative fees growing 3.5% over the prior year period, driven by higher contract penetration and onboarding new members.
Strategic Partnership with Epic
Premier announced a strategic partnership with Epic, aiming to launch a documentation and coding solution by late 2025, expanding Premier's reach to Epic's vast customer base.
Dividend Declaration
Premier's Board declared a dividend of $0.21 per share payable in June, with a total of $60 million returned in dividends in the first nine months of fiscal year 2025.
Negative Updates
Decline in Consulting Revenue
The Performance Services segment experienced lower consulting revenue compared to the prior year period, although partially offset by better performance in the applied sciences business.
Impact of Tariffs on Healthcare Providers
Tariffs remain a concern, potentially impacting care delivery. Premier is actively monitoring developments and advocating in Washington, but the situation remains fluid and requires continued monitoring.
Challenge in Contract Renewals
Net revenue declined by $25 million from the prior year period, largely driven by higher fee share from contract renewals, which is mostly completed but still impacting financial results.
Company Guidance
During Premier's fiscal year 2025 third quarter conference call, the company reported strong results with significant sequential growth in revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS, surpassing expectations. The Supply Chain Services segment, in particular, contributed to this performance, prompting Premier to increase its full-year guidance for adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS, while reaffirming the midpoint of its consolidated revenue guidance. Premier's efforts to enhance supply chain resilience, member-driven contracting strategies, and investments in technology and advisory services were highlighted as key factors driving this success. The company also initiated a $200 million accelerated share repurchase program and continued its quarterly cash dividend, reflecting a commitment to returning value to stockholders. Additionally, Premier is actively addressing challenges like tariffs and workforce shortages, leveraging data and AI-enabled solutions to support healthcare providers in delivering high-quality, affordable care.

Premier Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Premier demonstrates strong operational efficiency and prudent financial management, with a solid balance sheet and cash flow generation. However, declining revenues and net margins suggest market pressure, cautioning future performance.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company's revenue has shown fluctuations, with a notable decline from 2021 to 2025. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable around 60-65%, indicating efficient production management. However, the net profit margin has decreased over the years, reflecting higher costs or reduced pricing power. The TTM data shows a concerning drop in net income, suggesting potential financial pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Premier has maintained a strong equity position, with the equity ratio improving from 2020 to 2025. The debt-to-equity ratio has fluctuated but remains manageable, indicating prudent financial leverage. The reduction in cash and cash equivalents could pose liquidity risks, but overall, the balance sheet is solid with a consistent increase in stockholders' equity.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The company has demonstrated strong free cash flow generation, with a positive growth trajectory. Operating cash flow consistently exceeds net income, which is a positive indicator of cash-generating efficiency. However, the decline in free cash flow in TTM suggests caution for future cash management.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.35B1.34B1.43B1.72B1.30B
Gross Profit888.01M896.29M885.04M837.33M866.80M
EBITDA256.97M398.26M467.15M383.67M547.83M
Net Income119.54M175.03M265.87M287.52M291.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.40B3.37B3.36B3.52B2.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments125.15M89.79M86.14M129.14M99.30M
Total Debt113.70M440.33M487.29M521.67M137.19M
Total Liabilities1.44B1.04B1.11B1.29B2.81B
Stockholders Equity1.96B2.33B2.25B2.23B139.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow215.37M362.24M356.79M318.53M255.13M
Operating Cash Flow296.56M444.54M444.23M407.40M349.52M
Investing Cash Flow-68.47M-273.62M-139.44M-174.57M-222.32M
Financing Cash Flow-192.72M-167.27M-347.79M-203.00M-168.95M

Premier Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price21.07
Price Trends
50DMA
22.33
Negative
100DMA
20.59
Positive
200DMA
20.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Positive
RSI
35.95
Neutral
STOCH
18.90
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PINC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 21.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.64, below the 50-day MA of 22.33, and above the 200-day MA of 20.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PINC.

Premier Risk Analysis

Premier disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Premier reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Premier Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$1.30B61.551.73%3.00%
70
Neutral
$1.70B64.064.43%4.35%
65
Neutral
¥345.70B11.08-2.99%2.56%11.77%-10.16%
64
Neutral
$1.72B36.576.05%4.00%-17.69%-10.24%
EVEVH
64
Neutral
$1.34B-10.99%10.24%2.63%
DHDH
59
Neutral
$578.04M-86.36%-3.04%-152.59%
59
Neutral
$241.93M-60.75%4.66%11.33%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PINC
Premier
21.07
2.34
12.49%
OMCL
Omnicell
27.97
0.45
1.64%
EVH
Evolent Health
11.27
-8.86
-44.01%
GDRX
GoodRx Holdings
4.73
-3.33
-41.32%
SOPH
SOPHiA GENETICS
3.75
-0.91
-19.53%
DH
Definitive Healthcare Corp
4.02
-1.63
-28.85%

Premier Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Premier Engages Stakeholders with July 2025 Presentation
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

Premier, Inc. announced that starting July 8, 2025, it will engage with investors and stakeholders to discuss its Stewardship Outreach presentation for July 2025. The company will not update its fiscal 2025 financial performance until the public announcement scheduled for August 18, 2025. The presentation includes forward-looking statements about Premier’s business strategies, healthcare improvements, and financial guidance, highlighting the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance technology and expand market presence. These initiatives are expected to impact Premier’s operations and industry positioning positively, offering potential growth and value creation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (PINC) stock is a Sell with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premier stock, see the PINC Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Premier Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results Improvement
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Premier, Inc. announced its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, which ended on March 31, 2025. The company reported a total net revenue of $261.4 million, a 9% decrease from the previous year but a 9% increase from the previous quarter. Net income from continuing operations was $27.6 million, a significant improvement from a net loss in the same period last year. Despite a decrease in adjusted EBITDA and EPS compared to the prior year, both metrics showed substantial growth from the second quarter of fiscal 2025. The company attributed its sequential revenue and profitability growth to better-than-expected performance in its Supply Chain Services segment. Premier also increased its adjusted EBITDA and EPS guidance while reaffirming its revenue guidance midpoint, highlighting the positive impact of its share repurchase program.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025